Crucial moments for BTCUSD -- Will we see 30k ever again?Wow, we are in some critical times in BTC's history! To keep it as simple as possible; we are looking for price to show the signs of the beginning form of a "higher low" when we look at our monthly (+) timeframe.
It is also important to see the pressure that is currently placed on the buying side of the channel of the downtrend we see when looking at the weekly chart (-). A break from this channel + further confirmation on intraday timeframes would begin demonstrating further the nature of the beginnings of a higher low when going back to the monthly candlestick view. These are places where new investors and patient traders are very likely to put their money where their mouth is.
"Where there is buyers, there are sellers.", meaning that this chart is showing potential areas for volatility. I personally find that its best to remain neutral (as a trader), and allow the market to break key areas and trendlines first before making a properly managed risk.
I own Bitcoin, and I trade it also.
I am publishing a 1H chart to show how important a close can be on a low timeframe, but the reality is that any serious player in the game is looking at price movement from a much larger one. You can find other perspectives and larger timeframe chart analysis' regarding Bitcoin in my previous publishings.
Critique my work! Let me know your thoughts in the comments section, and tell me what you think Bitcoin is going to do in the coming weeks. Be sure to like my page and follow me for more market ideas and chart analysis.
As always, happy trading and good luck!
CFD
XAUUSD Rise After RetraceAfter growing significantly and reaching strong monthly resistance levels, price started to drop and retrace.
Currently, price is in the correction phase and has approached to the yellow support zone.
We can see the rejection and upside push from this level in the past, and at this moment it seems like it may happen again.
We should wait for the current 4H candle to be closed first, then if price breaks the ascending trend line and closes a bullish 4H candle above it, we can expect a rise to the red resistance level around 2003, and in the case of an upside breakout on the red resistance level, wait for bullish candle confirmation to be closed above the level (2003), then go long again with a target at 2047
XAUUSD Triangle PatternAs you see in the 4H chart, price has made a symmetrical triangle pattern and is moving inside the pattern right now.
Since the symmetrical triangles can be broken out to both directions, we should wait for the price to see to which direction it will break the pattern.
After the triangle’s breakout, wait for the breakout and candle closure on the last major high or low to be more confident about the validation of the breakout.
If price breaks the triangle to the upside, wait for the red resistance level at 1945 to broken, then we can expect a rise to 1974.
On the other side, if price breaks the triangle to the downside, wait for the yellow support zone around 1918 to be broken too, then we can expect a drop on XAUUSD.
Personally, I’m on the bearish side for XAUUSD.
BTCUSD-- High Volatility means Pay Day for us CFD tradersI am expecting major movements this month on BTCUSD!
I am very excited to share my first analysis of March '22 on this particular pair.
The price area shown in the chart is my current POI.
I will be monitoring this level to see how price reacts early in the development of the new monthly candle. Target areas are fibonacci levels drawn on the 1M timeframe, and you can see more perspectives and my reasoning for the placememnt of those levels on the next post after this one.
You can also find other posts about cryptocurrency by me! They can be found in the links to the related ideas below.
Happy trading, and good luck!
XAUUSD Bearish PressureLast week, after the war begun between Russia and Ukraine, we saw a significant rise on XAUUSD as a safe haven.
Price had a significant growth around 1980 (approximately near to $2000 which is a strong resistance level and almost the highest price that XAUUSD has been ever met before).
Since price approached to this strong resistance level, it started a drop. Currently, we can see the bearish pressure on price.
There is a support level around 1887 which has pushed the price to the upside for several times in the past. If price breaks this level to the downside and closes the bearish 4H candle below it, I expect a drop on XAUUSD to 1850 in the future.
But, remember that, because the war isn’t over yet and we don’t know what might happen, we should be aware of the probability of growth either.
NG Both SidesAs you see in the chart, price is moving in the ascending parallel channel and currently, it has been pushed to the upside after retesting the channel’s lower band.
If price breaks the red resistance level at 4.515 and closes a bullish candle above this level, we can expect a rise on NG to the channel upper band.
On the other hand, since we should always consider the another side either, if price breaks the yellow support zone around 4.300 and closes below this level, the bullish scenario is canceled and price may drop to 4.00
XAUUSD Retest or Breakout?After a significant growth, price has started to do some rest and it seems like it is making a reversal pattern.
There is a support zone around 1891 which has pushed the price to the upside in the past.
If price breaks the yellow support zone and closes a bearish candle below this level, I expect a drop to 1877 which was a resistance level before and now has turned into a support level. In the case of a downside breakout on 1877, the next target would be around 1850
On the other side, if price retests 1877 and got rejected from it, we can expect the drop as a downside retrace and then a beginning of a rise towards the last high around 1913
NQAfter a significant sharp fall, price has started a mild upside move on the bullish trend line.
Currently, price has respected the trend line and is pushed to the upside after touching it, and the last 4H candle has been closed bullish.
Since price is moving in the uptrend and failed to make lower lows, I expect a rise towards the last high at 14600, and in the case of an upside breakout on this level, the next target would be 15000
Otherwise, if price breaks the trend line to the downside, price will continue moving downside and the bullish scenario will be canceled.
XAUUSD Resistance ApproachAs you see in the chart, XAUUSD has been very bullish and rising significantly in the past few days.
Currently, price is approaching to the last recent high at 1879:
Since price has been rejected in the last time from this level, we can expect another rejection and a drop on price for the second time with a target around 1850
On the other side, since we are in an uptrend, there is a high possibility of upside breakout on the resistance level, and if price closes a bullish candle above this level, we can expect more rise for XAUUSD around (1897 - 1900)
NG Possible ScenariosWe are in a downtrend and price has made lower lows and lower highs. Currently, price is moving up to retest the yellow broken level.
Since, we are in a downtrend, if price retests the yellow level and gets rejected from it, I expect a drop on NG to the marked green levels.
On the other hand, since price failed to break the last major low and could not make a lower low:
If price breaks the yellow level to the upside, we should wait for the red resistance level (last high) to be broken out to the upside and make a higher high, then we can expect a bullish reversal move on NG.
Gold movement February 9, 2022All eyes on todays USD news.
Xauusd has gained strength since last week and has been on a bullish path and current at 1827 region.
1829/32 will stand as a strong resistance and above that we can see bull will roll the dice to 1838 zone
On the contrary, 1818 is acting as a strong support zone and below that we can expect the bears to take the game towards 1812, 1804 with a short term target close to 1760/52.
If you like the analysis, please like and share your feedback.
GBPUSD-- using large TF sup/res + fibonacci to find trade earlyWhile making GBPUSD outlook for the week i noticed an awesome 5:1 r/r position that fits right into my trading plan. Had to take it, had to share with you all. I am not the biggest fan on placing entries on small TF's, but thats why proper risk management is they key to testing out ideas.
NG Bullish Pattern Price is in a strong bullish trend and is bouncing in a bullish expanding triangle pattern.
Currently, price is pushed to the upside after touching the triangle’s lower side and the last 4H candle has engulfed the previous candles which is a good bullish sign.
I expect a rise on NG towards the upper side of the pattern which is also a resistance level from November, 2021 at 5.450
NG Bearish ScenarioAs you see in the chart, we are in a downtrend and there is a resistance level at 4.182 which has pushed the price to the downside.
Currently, price is facing a bullish pressure which may push it to retest the resistance level one more time (We may see a double top pattern creation).
There’s a support level at 3.962, and if price breaks this level to the downside and closes a bearish candle below this level, I expect a drop on NG to 3.852 and 3.700
Otherwise, if price breaks the resistance at 4.182 to the upside with bullish candle closure, the bearish scenario is invalid and we expect a rise to the next major high around 4.400
Market remain unstable AUDUSD EURUSDAUD/USD🔼
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Tuesday's trading session was marred by choppy, unexpected trading conditions for the second consecutive day. The S&P 500 is still trading in the red ahead of the US close. Still, it has rebounded sharply from earlier session lows, providing a sense of foreboding following yesterday's fierce late-session rally. As a result of the recent sensitivity of G10 FX markets to equity market volatility, the net result is a somewhat pro-risk bias. The Dollar Index (DXY) is slightly higher on the day but has retreated from previous highs in the 96.20s to trade below the significant figure.
The USD shrugged off mixed Consumer Confidence data. The headline index fell marginally but not as much as feared due to inflation and pandemic (Omicron) fear, and somewhat faster than expected home price increase in November. Markets' primary focus is on
1) Wednesday's Federal Reserve meeting and
2) geopolitics, both of which have been cited as reasons for risk asset underperformance and increased safe-haven demand.
However, one day ahead of what is projected to be an extremely hawkish Fed meeting (the Fed is predicted to approve multiple raises and QT in 2022), the most risk-sensitive G10 currencies performed nicely.
The Australian and Canadian dollar both gained roughly 0.3 percent on the day against the dollar, relegating them to second and third place in terms of G10 performance, trailing the high beta NOK, which gained 0.5 percent. The Australian dollar rebounded over 0.7150/$ on hawkish RBA wagers following a hotter-than-expected Q4 2021 Consumer Price Inflation report that will have surprised the central bank.
Hawkish central bank wagers are also bolstering the loonie. A minority of experts expect the Bank of Canada to surprise the market on Wednesday with a 25 basis point rate hike. Rather than that, the bank is more likely to adjust its forward guidance on rate hikes to reflect the current run of positive economic indicators, implying a rate hike is imminent in March.
GBP/USD was another risk-sensitive G10 currency that performed well on Tuesday, with GBP/USD returning above the 1.3500 level as FX markets continue to disregard the uncertain political backdrop in the United Kingdom. With London police investigating charges that Downing Street parties violated lockdown rules, Boris Johnson's position as Prime Minister appears precarious.
In terms of the rest of the G10 currencies, the JPY and NZD were flat against the dollar on the day, with USD/JPY trading just below 114.00 and NZD/USD trading just below 0.6700 ahead of December New Zealand trade numbers.
Despite positive German Ifo survey findings released during the European morning, the euro fell 0.2 percent against the dollar, with EUR/USD harmed by technical selling following a fall below a significant long-term uptrend in play since late November. The pair is currently trading around 1.1300, rebounding from earlier lows in the 1.1260s, its lowest level in almost a month.
Finally, CHF was the day's notable G10 underperformer, with EUR/CHF appreciating 0.4 percent to the 1.0375 range and USD/CHF gaining 0.6 percent to reach 0.9200 for the first time in almost two weeks amid speculation regarding SNB intervention.
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GBPNZD-- playing a single level in a larger fibo placementLooking at price action on some of the different hourly timeframes + high probability retracement opportunity on GBPNZD. Be sure to check out the next post i make which is my analysis of this same pair from a higher timeframe perspective. Show some love and leave a comment telling what you think about my analysis.
Gold,XauusdThe global ounce of gold is on a downtrend (correction), the downtrend line is broken but the price is still moving below $ 1830. If the price stabilizes above 1830, we can have the first long-term trend changes.
But looking at the valid moving averages 50 and 100, which are very useful numbers in gold, we notice a negative failure in these two moving averages, but the important point is the breaking point of these two averages, which is done at $ 1773 and has become an important area. It has been said that the essence of this area is for resistance, that is, first confirming the price to come down and then resistance at the desired price.
But the key support of $ 1690 after the failure of support 1760 is very important.
Be successful and profitable