FTR Setup - LongWhat is FTR?
FTR in forex refers to fail to return. An important price action term used to do technical analysis of currency pairs in forex.
Simply by its mean, price broke an important level but failed to return from that level. It is called FTR (fail to return).
In the picture, I tried to explain this important trading setup simply and completely.
Cfds
How Gearing Works with CFDs and Spread TradingThis is the most important concept you’ll need to understand to accelerate your account.
During your trading experience, with gearing, you’ll learn how to multiply your profits. But you can also multiply your losses, if you don’t know what you’re doing.
So listen up.
What Gearing is in a nutshell…
Gearing also known as leverage or margin trading, is the function that allows you to pay a small amount of money, in order to gain control and be exposed to a larger sum of money.
There is a very simple calculation you’ll use calculate the gearing for both CFDs and Spread Trading.
Exposure
Initial margin
In order to understand this formula, let’s use three gearing examples with shares versus CFDs and Spread Trading.
We’ll break it up into three steps for CFDs and Spread Trading:
1. Calculate the entry market exposure
2. Calculate the initial margin (Deposit)
3. Calculate the gearing
We’ll also exclude costs to help simplify the gearing concept better.
EXAMPLE 1:
Buying AAS Ltd shares
Portfolio value: R100,000
Company: AAS Ltd
Share price: R109.00
No. shares to buy: 100
If you buy one share at R109 per share, you’ll be exposed to R109 worth of one share.
If you buy 100 shares at R109 per share, you’ll be exposed to R10,900 worth of shares (100 shares X R109 per share).
We know that to be exposed to the full R10,900 worth of shares, we needed to pay an initial margin (deposit) of R10,900.
If we plug in values into the gearing formula, we get.
Gearing = (Exposure ÷ Initial Margin)
= (R10,900 ÷ R10,900)
= 1:1
This means, there is NO gearing or a gearing of 1 times, with the share example as, what we paid is exactly as what we are exposed to.
Easy enough? Let’s move onto CFDs.
EXAMPLE 2:
Buying AAS Ltd CFDs
Portfolio value: R100,000
CFD of the underlying Company: AAS Ltd CFD
Share price: R109.00
Margin % per CFD: 10%
(NOTE: Find out on your trading platform or ask your broker for the margin % per CFD)
No. CFDs to buy: 100
Step #1:
Calculate the entry exposure of the CFD
Entry exposure
= (Share price X No. CFDs)
= (R109.00 X 100 CFDs)
= R10,900
NOTE:
1 CFD per trade, you’ll be exposed to the value of one share.
100 CFDs per trade, you’ll be exposed to the value of 100 shares.
Step #2:
Calculate the initial margin of the CFD trade
Initial margin
= (Exposure X Margin % per CFD)
= (R10,900 X 0.10)
= R1,090
This means to buy 100 CFDs, you’ll need to pay an initial margin (deposit) of R1,090.
Step #3:
Calculate the gearing of the CFD trade
Gearing = (Exposure ÷ Initial margin)
= (R10,900 ÷ R1,090)
= 10 times
With a gearing of 10 times, this means two things…
#1: For every one CFD you buy for R10.90 per CFD, you’ll be exposed to 10 times more or the value of one AAS Ltd share.
#2: For every one cent the share price rises or falls, you’ll gain or lose 10 cents.
EXAMPLE 2:
Buying AAS Ltd CFDs
Portfolio value: R100,000
Underlying Company: AAS Ltd
Share price: 10,900c
Value per point: 100c (R1.00)
Margin % per Spread Trading contract: 7.50%
(NOTE: Find out on your trading platform or ask your broker for the margin % per share contract)
Step #1:
Calculate the entry exposure of the spread trade
Entry exposure
= (Share price X Value per point)
= (10,900c X 100c)
= 1,090,000 (R10,900)
Note:
1c value per point per spread trade– you’ll be exposed to one AAS share
100c value per point per spread trade – you’ll be exposed to 100 AAS shares
Step #2:
Calculate the initial margin of the spread trade
Initial margin
= (Exposure X Initial margin)
= (1,090,000c X 0.075)
= 81,750c (R817.50)
This means, you’ll need to pay an initial margin (deposit) of R817.50 to be exposed to R10,900 worth of AAS Ltd shares.
Step #3:
Calculate the gearing of the spread trade
Gearing = (Exposure ÷ Initial margin)
= (1,090,000 ÷ 81,750c)
= 13.33 times
This means, by depositing R817.50 you’ll be exposed to 13.33 times more or R10,900 (R817.50 X 13.33 times) worth of AAS Ltd shares.
You now know how gearing works with CFDs and Spread Trading, in the next lesson we’ll cover how to never risk more than 2% of your portfolio for each CFD and Spread Trade you take.
EXPLAINED: CFDs versus Spread Trading 101What are CFDs and Spread Trading?
Spread Trading (betting) and CFDs are financial instruments that allow us to do one thing.
To place a bet on whether a market will go up or down in price – without owning the underlying asset.
If we are correct, we stand a chance to make magnified profits and vice versa if wrong.
Both CFDs and Spread Trading, allow us to buy or sell a huge variety of markets including:
• Stocks
• Currencies
• Commodities
• Crypto-currencies and
• Indices.
When you have chosen a market to trade, there are two types of CFD or Spread Trading positions you can take.
You can buy (go long) a market at a lower price as you expect the price to go up where you’ll sell your position at a higher price for a profit.
You can sell (go short) a market at a higher price as you expect the price to go down where you’ll buy your position at a lower price for a profit.
EXPLAINED: CFDs for Dummies
DEFINITION:
A CFD is an unlisted over-the-counter financial derivative contract between two parties to exchange the price difference between the opening and closing price of the underlying asset.
Let’s break that down into an easy-to-understand definition.
EASIER DEFINITION:
A CFD (Contract For Difference) is an:
• Unlisted (You don’t trade through an exchange)
• Over The Counter (Via a private dealer or market maker)
• Financial derivative contract (Value from the underlying market)
• Between two parties (The buyer and seller) to
• Exchange the
• Price difference (Of the opening and closing price) of the
• Underlying asset (Instrument the CFD price is based on)
EASIEST DEFINITION
Essentially, you’ll enter into a CONTRACT at one price, close it at another price FOR a profit or a loss depending on the price DIFFERENCE (between your entry and exit).
Moving onto Spread Trading.
EXPLAINED: Spread Trading for Dummies
DEFINITION:
Spread Trading is a derivative method to place a trade with a chosen bet size per point on the movement of a market’s price.
EASIER DEFINITION:
Spread Trading is a:
Derivative method (Exposed to an underlying asset) to
Place a trade (Buy or sell) with a chosen
Bet size per point on where you expect a
Market price will
Move (Up or down)
In value
EASIEST DEFINITION:
Spread Betting allows you to place a BET size on where you expect a market to move in price.
Each point the market moves against or for you, you’ll win or lose money based on their chosen TRADING bet size (a.k.a Risk per point or cent movement).
The higher the bet size (value per point), the higher your risk and reward.
The costs you WILL pay with Spread Trading and CFDs
Both Spread Trading and CFDs are geared-based derivative financial instruments.
As their values derive from an underlying asset, when you trade using Spread Trading or CFDs, you never actually own any of the assets.
You’re just making a simple bet on whether you expect a market price to rise or fall in the future.
If you decide to go with the broker or market maker who offers CFDs or Spread Trading, there are certain costs you’ll need to pay.
Costs with Spread Trading
With Spread Trading, you’ll only have one cost to pay – which are all included in – the spread.
The spread is the price difference between the bid (buying price) and the offer (selling price).
EXAMPLE: Let’s say you enter a trade and the bid and offer prices is 5,550c – 5,610c.
The spread, in this case, is 60c (5,610c – 5,550c).
This means your trade has to move 60c to cross the spread in order for you to be in the money-making territory. Also, if the trade goes against you, the spread will also add to your losses.
Why the spread you ask?
The spread is where the brokers (market makers’) make their money.
Costs with CFDs
Brokerage
With CFDs, it can be different.
Depending on who you choose to trade CFDs with, you may need to cover both the spread as well as the brokerage fees – when you trade.
These brokerage fees can range from 0.2% – 0.60% for when you enter (leg in) and exit (leg out) a trade.
NOTE: If the minimum brokerage per trade is R100, you’ll have to pay R100 to enter your trade.
Daily Interest Finance Charge
The other (negligible) cost, you’ll need to cover is the daily financing charges.
If you buy (go long) a trade, you’ll have to pay this negligible charge (0.02% per day) to hold a trade overnight.
However, if you sell (go short) a CFD trade, you’ll then receive this negligible amount (0.009%) to hold a short trade overnight.
The costs you WON’T pay as a Spread Trader
With spread trading (betting), you don’t own anything physical.
When you take a spread bet, you’re simply making a financial bet on where you expect the price to move and nothing else.
This means, there will be no costs to pay as you would with shares including:
NO Daily Interest Finance charges
NO Stamp Duty costs
NO Capital Gains Tax
NO Securities Transfer Tax
NO Strate
NO VAT
NO Brokerage (all wrapped in the spread).
The costs you WON’T pay as a CFD trader
With CFDs, you’ll notice that there are similar costs with Spread Trading that you won’t have to pay including:
NO Stamp Duty costs
NO Securities Transfer Tax
NO Settlement and clearing fees
NO VAT
NO Strate
24-Hour Dealings
The great thing about Spread Betting or CFD trading is that, you can trade markets trade 24/5.
I’m talking about currencies, commodities and indices.
And with Crypto-currencies you can trade them 24 hours a day seven days a week.
I have left out a very important difference between CFDs and Spread Trading… Gearing and how it works in real life…
EUR/USD BELOW GAUSSIAN CHANNELEUR/USD currently holding Support shown as S on the chart, also holding the EMAs 8 and 34.
DTF we have a Rising Wedge with a target to the WTF S as shown on the chart if it plays out.
DTF and WTF quite far from the 200SMA and Gaussian channel.
We have completed 5 Waves to the downside, followed by oversold and a bounce.
Once we take the Gaussian Channel on DTF and WTF the uptrend can continue.
XAUUSD 20-10-2022 Analysis and brief descriptionXAUUSD is dropping and trending short while reaching the final targets for the seller. Seen the current circumstances worldwide, it's always good to have some gold in your pocket, so I strongly believe we are going to see a downturn of this asset in the upcoming months. This analysis has been done with the macro point of view and technical analysys for timing it appropriately.
US30 makes it two in a row, but do we need more evidence?What a start to the week and month we are seeing so far, traders. So far, buyers have added 5.52% to the US30, taking prices back to levels not seen since last month.
Yes, it is great to see, but should we start thinking bottom? The UN is warning that we could see a global recession, with developing nations possibly seeing the brunt of the hurt. JP Morgan is also advising this might not be a bottom unless we see certain factors met.
What has been driving the selling, Inflation, rising rates, U.S. and global recession fears? Have these factors gone? US-wise, the Fed remains hawkish, and Inflation remains in play. It is not uncommon to see sharp counter rallies in downtrends, and we need to be in tune with the market to either not be sucked in early or spot a potential turn.
Bulls are definitely back in charge in the short-term, but it’s the next reaction lower that could give us some key evidence in if we are going to see a potential turn. A new higher low followed by a break of the last high would be a very good sign that a new short-term trend is starting to form.
If we see a new move back down to or below the last low would be a worry that the current trend could continue lower.
This Friday’s U.S. employment data could also be a factor for the current recovery, and we feel that traders will be paying attention to its release this Friday at 8:30 am EST.
Thanks for tuning in for today's update. We like to hear from you, so please feel free to drop us a comment. We also run weekly webinars with guest analysts.
Shorting BTC - Sell stop via futures.BTC is showing opportunities to execute risk-adjusted short positions through futures or DMA CFDs (avoid STP brokers). No matter if BTC bounces to the upside, we could also benefit from such situation, and we can place pending orders in order to take advantage of the most likely scenario on a quantitative and qualitative level: a mid-term downtrend.
Operation:
R/R ratio: 1/2.42 (risky)
Risk mgmt: 0.65% of our portfolio risked.
Wealth mgmt: We will average probably at 15 000 with the same R/R ratio.
Timeline: 2-4 months.
Exchange: OKX.
Financial engineering: futures.
Sell stop 1: 16 950.
Stop loss 1: 19 800.
Take profit 1: 10 050.
Sell stop, stop loss, and take profit 2: We will check it in the future.
Should You Buy Gold? Yes! But Not Yet! Check It OutHello there! I want to be detailed on Gold in this analysis. I just decide to post an idea about it because I discovered something in the H4 timeframe that looks different from the other timeframes like the H1, 1D, 1W, and even the 1M, which can make some traders make the wrong decision going against the next market move. But first, I want to show you something in the monthly timeframe chart, then I will post the H4 chart to see what could happen when the Gold market opens. Look at the monthly analysis well so that you can understand what is going on now and what could happen next in the Gold market currently.
Monthly Timeframe
In the monthly chart, you can see that the Gold market has rejected the strong support level by forming a small bullish pin bar at the key support area. Warning: you must be careful here if you are deciding to sell Gold. The pin bar is not a classic kind though, it can have a bullish effect on the Gold price movement in the coming week. As a result, be very careful. Why? It's because ofe the context where the pin bar candlestick has appeared matters!
Daily Timeframe
In the daily timeframe, an engulfing candle, but not so strong, has formed at the key support level area, signaling the reversal to the upside. So, the Monday candle could close with a "wick below".
H4 Timeframe
In the H4 timeframe, there is a tendency for the price to experience a short-term bearishness, to reverse to the support level, creating a "W" or "double bottom" pattern before completely taking a rally to the upside. This means we can make sell trade decisions here and exit close to the support, not exactly at the support level though. Why the bearishness? The inside bars have formed at the key resistance level, showing a loss of momentum in the bulls of
Finally, the timeframe to pay much attention to is H4 for now because a bearish pin bar has formed in it. Take note of this and the stochastic seems to be going bearish, moving away from the overbought zone
SPY / SPXL - S&P 500 Analysis - Outlook$SPY 👀 -
💎 This chart, is a perfect example, how institutions are constantly building up liquidity (a massive of limit orders and stop losses of inexperienced/unsuspecting retail traders) to run them out (stop hunt).
💎 You see how easy it is to get caught on the wrong side of the market, if don't know how to read the charts (interpret them and forecast/anaylsis market cycles and future insititutional points of interest to be visited or revisisted.
✌️ If you're getting value out of my posts, then Follow, Share, Like, or Comment down below. 💰
#buildandgrow
📚 Updated Chart:
Could CPI data help the US30 confirm a continuation? Hi, and welcome to today’s update. In today’s video update, we’re looking at the US30 and wondering if today’s CPI could break the consolidation deadlock we are currently seeing price sitting in.
Price continues to be held in an ascending triangle pattern, and in uptrends, these are typically seen as continuation patterns. We can clearly see that price remains in an uptrend, so if we see better than expected CPI data today, could that be a driver that sets off buyers? Better than expected data could tell the market that peak inflation could be here and that rates could move into a holding phase or at least see a smaller increase.
But if we see worse than expected data, this could set the pattern up to fail, and we could see a new break lower. For now, we will look for the current trend to remain in play until we see further price action telling us otherwise.
US CPI data is due out at 8:30 am EST. Good trading, and enjoy your Wednesday.
NDX100 sellers are struggling to beat 11,780 for nowHello TradingView community, today’s video update is more to highlight an area as opposed to looking out for a potential set-up.
Tech stocks have been having a hard time of it lately, but we are seeing and watching an area between 11,780 and 11,550ish. The bottom is not exact, but after looking at the NDX100 you will see the point being made.
This area, for now, continues to reject sellers and continues to present as demand and possibly support for buyers. It’s no more than a level of interest for us at the moment. We could see price continue to hold there and perhaps push at a new move higher, or we could see sellers railroad the area.
The key for us will be if this level can continue to hold. If so, we will look for further price action to start thinking and looking for new ideas.
Good trading.