BTCUSDT bearish impulse waveBTCUSDT up-to-date. Price is retracing below USDT41400, which level is a limit for a impulse wave confirmation, from an Elliotician perspective. On this case, if price is rejected from this 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, we'll see a profitable leg downward to accomplish wave -3. Potential USDT40400 target, in demand zone, for this swing trade. Chaikin Money Flow below zero showing selling pressure in confluence with price action.
Chaikin_money_flow
BTCUSDT IGNITING AN IMPULSE BEARISHAs an update from my first post on this new account, I'm showing u that on this 30m BTCUSDT chart that price is heading in a potential impulse wave (Elliot Wave Count). So, look on Chaikin Money Flow and u'll find a strong bearish divergence printed! Bears on command.
BNBUSDT Inexorable drop about to happenInexorable drop event expect while a Bump & Run formation is popping. The correlation on price action and time, as the precedent drop correspondent w/ the Chaikin Money Flow divergence, is so much reliable to me. Price on 1h chart just formed a hidden bearish divergence on CMF in conjunction w/ Awesome bear divergence. Fisher transform is beautifully suggesting direction Whales like to sell retailers confidence. Retest to the neckline accomplished.
BTCUSDT Wave B seems to be accomplishedBTCUSDT just made a peak accomplishing the wave B, likely starting a impulse wave inner the next wave C downward. On Chaikin Money Flow we can see a hidden bearish divergence on this daily chart. Overbought condition on ESCGO_LB suggesting that a bearish leg is coming to close the week. I'm expecting a drop to the 20k demand zone region to finish this minor A-B-C zigzag correction phase.
BNBUSDT Price, time & divergences.As a update about my current bear position on CZ coin as you can see by the link below.
The price action is heading one leg downward to complete a wave 5 of a contracting ending diagonal, according to the Wave Principle. That seams a breakdown can be expected to the local demand, as we can see clearly on this chart. After broken, the trendline tends to be retested. All my projections are displayed.
Technicals:
* Chaikin Money + 100EMAx100MA cross;
* ESCGO_LB;
This H4 chart is showing a lot of correlations about price, time and divergences on Chaikin Money Flow in in conjunction of 100EMA & 100MA moving averages crossover plus regular and hidden divergences, which is my system I've used to finding turn-points. If in parallel with RSI, is possible to note a lot of divergences that only Chaikin oscillator can display.
* In addition, an ABCD reciprocal (0.886:1.128) projection as an alternative projection.
BTCUSDT Trapped in a DiamondChaikin Money Flow oscillator hidden divergence suggests price action has peaked at supply zone. H4 Overbought. Price trapped by throwing-over diamond top chart pattern by overnight but printing lower high, validating wave (ii). Expecting a profitable impulsive swing downward towards 14.6% Fibonacci retracement level amid 27970, completing wave (iii) @ local demand zone for a potential reaction with anchored VWAP from ATH, i.e. 7% drawdown to a short-term 2D swing trade. Whales maybe sell bulls confidence.
BTCUSDT Throwback to TriangleAnother bearish divergence on Chaikin Money Flow as the price action throwback to the upper resistance of the triangle. A swing downward is starting to make a wave-a of a extensive wave-iii, which can b a great position for the day trading. How log will be this wave? Let' see forward. But is very probably that we are in an expanding ending diagonal to complete wave (v).
BTCUSDT Complex C - Multi Wave in an Ending DiagonalBTCUSDT made a beautiful corrective C-multi-wave pattern, which surprise terminus finished with an 5th wave leg-up that surpass the trend-line, after an ABCDE triangle. In the Wyckoff Method narrative we can call it an upthrust movement in phase c of a distribution. About the wave count, the entire triangle is an contracting ending diagonal of a corrective wave C, in which we can see a multiple pattern that confused the prediction. After the "thrust" the price action should return to the break point, characterizing a "false break". It's common in C-legs, when the triangle occurs, that it's exceed the break-point. In this case, price reached the weekly supply, interacting with AVWAP from ATH. Now the bears are slowly take control. I'm expecting 18% drawdown of a downtrend till the wave 3 of a potential impulsive downward.
Swing trade about to happen on CZcoin BNBUSDTBNBUSDT is about to finish the 5th wave of a contracting ending diagonal. 12% drawdown can be expected as illustrated on this 1D chart. Price action on intraday below volume POC.
According to my wave count, BNBUSDT is likely to be enter in a 5-wave swing-downward correction to made a lower low amid 160 USDT price @ least extending down 1.618 from the ABCD reciprocal harmonic pattern displayed.
In a Wickoff method perspective, the price tends to enter in a SOW phase, breaking-down this triangle structure, but a rally of relief can be expected as a potential growth of BTCUSDT for the next month open.
Oscillators:
*Fisher Transform;
*ESCGO_LZ (smoothed stochastic);
*Chaikin Money Flow.
This strategy was published for an educational study of the cycles of BNBUSDT market. You can see more of my progression on this short position by my previous posts.
Short CZ coin below volume POCPotential bearish trend reversal expected. Projecting BCD reciprocal targets extending 2.618 and 3.618 aiming local demand zone. That's a potential wave 1 to ignite. Wave 2 about to extend Fibonacci @ 61.8% (future local supply).
Technicals:
* Fisher Transform cross; Overbought;
* Chaikin Money Flow hidden bearish divergence:
Not interested in buying Cardano coinHighly bearish confluences of strong signals on 1D chart of ADAUSDT. The price action reached supply. Double top formation. Overbought. Heading downward. Potential Head & Shoulders scenario development till the final of April. Grey area is a not-trade-zone.
Technicals:
* ABCD reciprocal .886:1.128;
* Fisher Transform bearish cross / bearish divergence;
* Chaikin Money Flow bearish divergence; 100MA x 100EMA cross;
BTCUSD Daily overview on bearishness signsBTCUSD reached supply as it touched the Anchored VWAP at the 2022 high (@alphatrends insight), rejected the 23,000 price area after rising to 23,062 USD, which could be seen as a bull trap and a false breakout of the mother of all trendlines from ATH. This strong resistance combines the major trendline and the VWAP with a neckline of the 2021 bottom. Price action broke this dynamic trendline on June 13, 22 and tested it on August 15, 22; yesterday tested it and failed to break once again.
From the point of view of chart pattern analysis, we can consider a massive and complex Head and Shoulders formation in the retracement phase up to the neckline, which can be considered as a partial validation signal, which can arouse more interest on the bear side. Key level for new short positions. If we double down on the head range, we might see a confluence with a Fibonacci retracement from the low of Friday-13-Mar'20 for the ATH, which the 88.6% level calls the 11.4k.
Also, from a technical analysis point of view, we have a rare case of bearish divergence on this daily chart, on the RSI (not shown on this chart, but below), OBV, CCI and Chaikin Money Flow and Chaikin Oscillators.
Awesome Oscillator analysis on H4:
Ehlers Smoothed Stochastic
plus Sctochastic Divergence
H1 chart:
Looking closely, if the price loses local support on a pullback in the regression channel, it is possible that we will see a pullback at least to the breakeven level in the 19k-18k range soon, for a correction of the imbalance. Price action may react positively as bulls identify this area as a buy zone. The lower deviation of the Regression Channel calls the 14k sublevel. Therefore, I see a high possibility that the price will hit the demand zone at 16k sub-levels in a corrective wave. On the other hand, if price holds 17k making a higher low, a sharp pullback could send the price action into a large contraction (triangle) formation.
Intraday Triangle:
Looking to the daily chart of TOTAL top 125 crypto-coins market cap we can see that the price pulled back to test the upper trendline of a bearish pennant:
Psychologically, I think long-term buy-and-hold institutions may have an interest in voluntarily distributing this high level to spot traders so they can buy cheaper. Therefore, any pullback in the area of interest will be massively used by moonbois to inject liquidity. We are at a key point where market sentiment could turn from neutral to bearish. And the best choice, IMO, is to get ahead in short positions. But the scenario can only materialize with the definitions from the opening of the US Stock markets and a reversal from DXY. Mainly, I should keep an eye on S&P500 ES futures.
This is merely a technical analysis to improve studies of hypothetical scenarios and not a financial advice.
Best regards,
Thiago Oliveira
@firmestudio
BTCUSDT Deep Crab, CMF & RSI fractalAs we can see on this 1D chart, BTCUSDT can be ready to drop as Chaikin Money Flow and RSI correlations seems to be close to repeat signals for a potential drop. A target for this possible impulsive bearish wave is a Deep Crab harmonic pattern aiming the bottom from this consolidation. A strong pullback can occurs @ the support area. For an effective signal to exit of this trade the LSMA of 28 periods breakout can be a good indicator to avoid of a non-profitable consolidation phase after a potential 10% average downward. All the profitable trend tends to stay below 28LSMA due to the oversold condition on RSI. All the key levels are displayed on this chart.
LINKUSDT 2-top, H&S, Butterfly; pullback to necklineLINKUSDT 2-top, H&S, Butterfly; pullback to neckline
After a retrace from the Stocks Market, LINKUSDT presents a perfect price action in bearish confluences after exit of a ascendent broadening bottom. We can see a Head and Shoulders in process now, exactly pull-backing to neckline, in a potential Double Top pattern. The prior swing before this pullback fitted 50% of a potential CD-leg of a Butterfly Harmonic Pattern. We can expect a 2nd downward from the neckline which is the weekly volume point of control (POC), strong resistance. A 1st short-term-target has been applied on an AB=CD projection. The 14.6% Fib level is my key level to put targets. Plus hidden bearish divergences on 1H chart w/ Ehlers Stochastic, Awesome Oscillator and Chaikin Money Flow. Definitely bearish.
BTCUSD- Accumulation phaseToday, we'll take a look at the CMF indicator with my own custom settings, which has been showing some interesting data since the inception of bitcoin .
We entered an accumulation phase whenever we fell below the 0 line. Money began to flow back into the market after the accumulation.
In general, we are accumulating near/below the zero line. Anything above 0.25 has been a fantastic take profit zone.
Our first accumulation phase lasted 270 days in 2014/2015.
-1174 days-
Our second accumulation phase lasted 127 days in 2018/2019.
-1235 days-
We are now in our third accumulation phase.
The question is, how long will this accumulation last??
BTCUSDT short updatedTriangle breakout on this H1 chart volume decreasing with Chaikin Money Flow falling below zero. 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement key level to watch for retest. Big show of weakness. Big selling pressure. 14.6% Fibo target maintained in confluence on this triangle pattern. 2nd target below on AB=CD pattern in confluence with local support as we can see in my last update today.
BTCUSDT Fibonacci Retracement -188.6%Fibonacci Retracement 188.6% new intraday target. Chaikin Money Flow dives below zero. Fisher Transform H2 bearish momentum. 37/36.9k is the key level to short this currency in a top of the bearish flag (triangle) in formation. I put gasoline on this road. Pivots all based on Fibonacci ratios.
$NET on a beautiful upward trendSince Q1'21 earnings, $NET has been ripping upwards, climbing steadily along the trendline and staying above the 30-day MA. Chaikin money flow indicating heavy buying pressure starting as of late May.
Last week I observed a rising wedge forming in the chart:
I'll be Looking to accumulate during the dips as the price breaks out of that wedge and bounces off the trendline.
Thanks for stopping by, have a nice day. :)