GILD hitting Major Support LineGilead Sciences is a deep value play, along the likes of a Joel Greenblatt "Magic Formula" stock. Around September I expressed a bullish interest in GILD given its fundamentals and its valuation. During that time, GILD traded at $73. Since I expressed a long interest, the stock has done nothing but decline. Looking back on my initial bullish opinion, I didn't take into consideration the charts, let alone even think about TA.
The fundamental research was over, and due to the fundamentals I didn't really think to take a look at the charts. After all, it was my inner Buffett saying, "Hey, this is a great business, don't even worry about the price, since the company is so great, it doesn't matter. Heck, if it goes lower, buy more!" Well, after reflecting on this consensus I realized how foolish it was of me.
If I would've taken the time to look at the charts, I would have realized that at $73, it didn't have much support on that level, with the most recent support level being at $66.51. So, instead of waiting for that support price to hit, I thought it would be a good idea to buy at $73. Not only did that bullish decision reflect in a loss of capital, but it resulted in dead money, money that could've been used in other capital allocations.
Nevertheless, I like GILDs fundamentals so much I had to take a second look as the share price kept falling. Now, at $66.51, GILD is right at the support level from mid 2014. GILD is still in a bearish channel, but since the company is so solid on its balance sheet and has loads of cash, if the bearish channel is broken upward, I will look to get in around the $71 level.
Will keep watching.
All the best,
RC
Channelbreak
AUDJPY Weekly outlook of a Harmonic Pattern in formation.The chart will be updated once I make sure of C's reversal point, you'll find it in a comment. I keep an eye on this pair ! The ascending channel broke so we're looking for C, which might be, in the same time, a retest to the descending channel before it goes to D. Keep an eye with me on these levels: 78.383 & 74.270 !!
& let me know what you think, please !
EURAUD H&S invalidatedEURAUD 4hr. For the head and shoulder pattern to be valid I believe the down leg after head formation should've gone to the neckline at around 1.3890 (shown by ellipse with question mark). Instead the pair was halted at 200ma confluent with 50% retracement and created a higher low, invalidating the h&s in my opinion. The pair may now respect this ascending parallel channel shown with long target at 1.4500 confluent with upper channel and -27% fib extension.
VCIT - Longterm Upward channel breakdown Short from $84.83VCIT was one of our recent Short alert. It is running within a broad Upward channel, noticeable in weekly frame. Moneyflow was diverging & now in the negative side. We been waiting for the perfect entry point & now it seems ready to fall. We think it can decline down to $79 area.
* Trade Criteria *
Date first found- March 14, 2017
Pattern/Why- Longterm Upward channel breakdown
Entry Target Criteria- Break of $84.83
Exit Target Criteria- $79.73
Stop Loss Criteria- $86.13
Please check back for Trade updates. (Note: Trade update is little delayed here.)
EURAUD Heading Lower Next Week?The EURAUD appears to have closed below channel support that extends from the February low. However, the 1.3900 support area isn't far below Friday's close.
I booked profit on my EURAUD short at 1.3907 last week for +190 pips. Depending on how Monday opens I'll be interested in shorting the cross again for a potential move back to the 1.3670 region.
Europe 50 Bullish Channel: Expect More BullishnessWe can see a clear upward channel here. Unless we see a breakout, I expect further bullishness. We may see some sideways movement first as there may be some resistance from the recently completed triangle. If this is broken, rapid increases are possible.
USDCHF CHANNELLove the respect for the lower trend line boundary here. Near perfect closes and bounces from the green highlighted areas. The upper line is debatable but we'll jump that hurdle when (if) we get there. If the current candle closes again on or above the trend line I will enter a long position. Enjoy!