Get started

Chaos

Gold. Why we should trade "bigger pic"?! 2/Dec/23XAUUSD. Elliott wave concept which is based on fractal "nature repeating pattern" theory. AND pattern "need our bared" eye "staring at screen".. Zooming in until " the tiniest spot". So..So,, We have better, bigger "vision" on Bigger Time Frame Chart! E.g yearly, Monthly Chart! As we have limitation to "Zooming" into 1hours or even1 minute chert with our "bared eye"! So who said cant't predict long term?! It's "more consistent" to predict on long term chart than short term chart!
TVC:GOLD
by SteveTan
The 4th TURNING and Davos' GREAT RESETThe 4th Turning is a sociological study of the last 600 years of Wester culture. In it, the authors conclude that society goes through 4 stages culminating in the 4th Turning, a time of chaos and upheaval that ends with the establishment of a "new order". We are in that period now, and the excessive debt, inflation and political tensions around the world indicate that there is a monumental change coming. Perhaps Davos' GREAT RESET as annunciated by Klaus Schwab, Perhaps something worse. Only time will tell.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by midnitepoet
3
A chaos theoretic apprch for bitcoin from this Feb to late MarchThe butterfly infographics of chaos theory prove that if the market goes favorable, the crypto price would definitely have great increments. And those people that bought cryptocurrency at a very reasonable price from 10-20 days ago until today (15 Feb.), would gain a very good profit of at least 46,000 USD or even many many thousands more, over the next 35 days or much soon... I emphasize who bought it today, yet would see the price going up suddenly...
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by GeraldMann
Trading Chaos By Bill Williams | Part 1Hello, everyone! Today we gonna start the series of articles about the "Trading Chaos" by Bill Williams(BW) . He has the unusual theory abut how the markets play out. After this concept learning I am going to trade with his techniques and test this trading method. Please, subscribe and give us a like if you are interested in studying Trading Chaos. If you are familiar with this theory and used it in practice, please, write your opinion about it in the comment section. Let's start! In the first chapter BW explains why the most of traders are in the wrong side of the market. There are a lot of strategies which use the linear method for the market price predicting, but the market is not a linear system, because it formed by the human behavior, which was born from chaos. The fractal geometry approximates the chaos in our world and, in particular, on the market. The fractal is the element of chaos and we will study how to identify and use it on the market in the next chapters. What you need to know now? 1.Classical technical analysis does not work because of the linear approach which it use. 2.Mechanical trading systems which provides the automatic trading does not work too with the same reason. 3.Market is the child of chaos and we need nonlinear methods, which we will consider in the next parts. DISCLAMER: Information is provided only for educational purposes. Do your own study before taking any actions or decisions at the real market.
Education
by Skyrexio
Pattern seeking!Is this the Wyckoff Pattern or something else? Whatever i see i saw often in the Bitcoin chart that there is for a specific time a recurring pattern. And it gets smaller and smaller. Than big again... What i am talking about are fractals. I dont know if i see it because it is my trading style and i see other traders trading like me. Or are that the algos?? Idk. But i trade what i see. And when i see a recurring pattern it helps me to position myself and trust in that what i see and trade. Just a crazy idea. But the ratios the pattern repeat are also in a quite interesting ratio. I just can recommend to read more about Mendelbrot and the chaos theory.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.P
by Cashflowjaque
AUS200: NO SLEEP - POPCORN AND PIZZA TONIGHT!No sleep for me tonight - and I'll be feeding on popcorn and beer! 🤣😂 Maybe a pizza or two. 🍕🍕 The set up here looks like a good short coming up. (Note the brutal disclaimers). 1. There is big trouble with Chinatown all over the world. Something about China banning shares on some American exchange - or something like that. The Dragon Index took a nose dive, and that reverberated into the Tech100. (See snapshot below - and check the news). 2. The Aussies are usually delayed in reacting. I don't know why. Maybe they're asleep due to some time zone effect when the action has happened. The current reaction is slow, on one 4H candle but the price action is better seen on 5 to 15 min time frames. 3. What happens with the Aussies - and I've seen it too many times - is that they wake up and go "OMG!" Then they panic buy or sell. 4. Normally the big action starts around 00:30 to 01:00 UK local time. As the Aussies open their exchange fully, there is usually some serious price action on 5 to 15 min time frames. Usually if sudden movement happens in that half-hour that sets the stage for what'll happen next in terms of direction - but expect big whipsaws between 00:30 and 02:00 AM. Whipsaws are nice if you know what you're doing. If you don't stay out! 5. The Aussie track both Tech and DJI for sense of direction. Well, as USTech has been clobbered, I expect the Aussies to run scared. Hello - I could always be wrong. This is shared experience - not advice! The smartest people so far are the Germans. The DAX took a pump south already. Now they're consolidating and thinking what to do next. Disclaimer: This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities or any asset class. This is not investment advice. Chart positions shown are not suggestions intended to assure you of an advantage. No predictions and no guarantees are supplied or implied. The author trades mostly trend following set ups which have a low win rate of approximately 40%. Heavy losses can be expected if trading live accounts or investing in any asset class. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
A
by Captain_Walker
2
THIS MEANS TROUBLE!You don't need to be a scientist or epidemiologist to see what's going on here. The COVID pandemic is out of control. These charts are limited because they show total infections - not rate of infections per day. The exponential appearance of total infections is because of the summation of infections. However, if a country is gaining some control over the virus then we could expect some flattening of the curve like with Australia. A flattening would mean they're not piling on loads of new infections. Many parts of Europe, America and UK are in big trouble - but we're not hearing much about the economic impact of any of that. Why? Because everybody is focused on fiscal stimulus and hopes that a vaccine will cure economies. Stock markets all over the world are looking past what rising infections mean for the future. Many countries are actually locking down but their stock markets are rocketing! Driven by hope and greed, those who look past reality are courting delusion. The gap between fantasy and reality closes suddenly at times. I don't know when this is going to happen. I don't have a crystal ball.
CEducation
by Captain_Walker
BIll Williams Chaos trades on EUR/USDThese trades can be entered in advance as Stop entry trades, where you cancel whichever trade does not trigger. 1. Go LONG above 1.1241 + Spread - ONLY if entry triggers above the red moving average (between the blue and green moving averages). Otherwise do not take this Long trade. Stop Loss 30 PIPs. Reasons as follows: a. Price bouncing up off lower diagonal trend line , drawn based on fractal Lows. b. Price bouncing up off 78.6% Fibo level. c. Price bouncing up off 1.12000 BRN . d. 14:00 candle is Bullish Divergent, a bullish sign. e. Entry level is 1 PIP above the highest fractal of the current trading range. Exit on trailing stop loss, based on a Close - not just a touch - below the red moving average line. Conservative Take Profit Level = 1.1305 (around 23.6% Fibo level), which would yield 63 PIPs, a Reward:Risk Ratio of 2.1. Ideal Take Profit Level = 1.1396 (around -27.2% Fibo level), which would yield 154 PIPs, a Reward:Risk Ratio of 5.1. 2. Go SHORT below 1.1189, ONLY if entry triggers below the red moving average (between the blue and green moving averages). Otherwise do not take this Short trade. Stop Loss 30 PIPs. Reasons as follows: a. Price hitting well below lower diagonal trend line , drawn based on fractal Lows. b. Price below 78.6% Fibo level, almost at 88.6% Fibo level. c. Price below 1.12000 BRN . d. Price is below the current Chaos Alligator , signifying a downtrend. d. Entry is 1 PIP below the lowest fractal of the current trading range. Exit on trailing stop loss, based on a Close - not just a touch - above the red moving average line. Conservative Take Profit Level = 1.1120 (around 127.2% Fibo extension level), which would yield 70 PIPs, a Reward:Risk Ratio of 2.3. Ideal Take Profit Level = 1.1058 (around 161.8% Fibo extension level), which would yield 131 PIPs, a Reward:Risk Ratio of 4.4. ___________ Why a possible entry either Long or Short? Chaos trading is a trend trading approach that always aims to go with the flow of the market. Right now it is not clear which way the market will decide to go when it re-opens on Sunday evening. Hence I am highlighting where and at what level I would choose to go either Long or Short, for the reasons stated above. Potential exit points shown are based on a trailing stop loss, and assumes this single trade. In practice, if the trend develops in either direction, there will be clear opportunities to add additional trades to capitalise on the trend, and increase profits, in line with the Williams’ Trading Chaos theory. For more details, read the book, Trading Chaos - Second Edition (ISBN 9780471463085), by Bill Williams and Justine Gregory-Williams.
by loudon3
FLASHING RED!! BRACE! 🚑😲This is serious picture emerging right now. Have a look. I'm watching what's happening with Gold in relation to the Down Jones Transportation Index, and Bitcoin. This is all coronavirus related. In tight summary, the smart money is moving into things that store real value - the kind that's unlikely to be affected by central banks. Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities. No predictions and no guarantees supplied. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
FOREXCOM:BTCUSDEducation
by Captain_Walker
DANGER: Global financial chaos looms, next week (educational). This is a brief educational post, that is meant as a heads up for sensible traders. They would wish to be aware of systemic risks approaching if Deutsche Bank collapses finally. This is likened to the Lehman Brothers fiasco of a few years ago, but it could be much bigger. I'm sharing this information based on reliable hard data available freely on the internet. DYOR. It's better to be prepared - and nothing happens, than not prepared and your world turns into chaos. The financial world is far more hooked up globally than around 2008 with the advent since, of superfast internet connections. The speed at which shockwaves may travel, would likely be hundreds of times faster than in 2008. So a 'flap of a butterfly's wings' in one financial corner of the planet could cause 'hurricanes' thousands of miles away in other corners of the world - like you never imagined before (concepts applied from Chaos Theory). Nothing here is predictive. I never do predictions. I deal only in probabilities. Appropriate seeding non-promotional references: 1. Lehman Brothers story 2. Deutsche Bank - recent events Disclaimer : This is not financial advice, even if so construed. Should you come to be influenced by this brief screencast, know that your losses are your own. In simple terms no liabilities accepted by me. You'd just have to sue yourself.
NYSE:DBEducation
by Captain_Walker
3
The "House of Commons Circus" ContinuesAt this point markets have priced in the support for a Brexit extension of at least one-quarter. The votes today and tomorrow are unlikely to affect EURGBP significantly. We are still tracking the same break to the upside that we have been for the past few weeks. There is a chance of a small move lower here with the headline on the extension of A50, however, risk investors are going to be underwhelmed with the coming weeks and this will be the catalyst for our break. Round 2 is in play for the House of Commons tonight. The house are voting on whether it supports leaving the EU without a deal. Markets are overwhelmingly expecting this to be rejected, leaving the possibility of a Brexit extension (round 3) tomorrow the most likely scenario. The pressure on brexiteers to deliver Brexit is mounting and my base case is for the deal to eventually pass meaning the UK will leave the EU with a Hard Brexit and the Pound will have to devalue to offset the immediate loss of access to the global trade stage. Best of luck.
Long
by ridethepig