Financial Titans Stocks: Macro Fib SchematicsThese are the largest financial institutions in the world. BlackRock, BlackStone, State Street Corporation, American Express Company. CME Group, NY Bank of Mellon Corporation, and Vangaurd. This is not a Bank Sector Idea. This is a Financial Conglomerate type of idea rather than individual banks. Because these companies realistically OWN the banks.
BlackRock, State Street, and Vanguard are the main three who own most of the stocks and therefore many percentages of tons companies.
-The "Dot Com" means they were formed from the Dot Com Bubble.
-The Collapse of the Bretton Woods System was in 1973. This is where we switched from a gold standard to the dollar standard.
-Black Monday of 1987 was a global market crash which was blamed on Computer Algorithms... HINT HINT: What you are looking at. "algorithms don't describe it well enough.
Charlesschwab
SCHW The Charles Schwab Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold SCHW here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of SCHW The Charles Schwab Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 66usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-1-19,
for a premium of approximately $2.06.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
$SCHW Faces Headwinds Yet Investors Find Hope in Growing AssetsCharles Schwab ( NYSE:SCHW ) are navigating challenges that come with the territory. The recent release of the company's Q4 results has sparked both concern and optimism among investors. Despite a significant drop in earnings, Charles Schwab managed to beat forecasts, leaving market participants to weigh the pros and cons of its performance against a backdrop of industry-wide shifts.
Earnings Overview:
Charles Schwab ( NYSE:SCHW ) reported a 36% drop in adjusted earnings to 68 cents per share, surpassing FactSet expectations of 64 cents per share. However, GAAP earnings nearly halved from 97 cents per share last year to 51 cents per share. This marks the sixth consecutive quarter of earnings declines for the brokerage giant. Net revenue also took a hit, falling 19% to $4.46 billion, just shy of the forecasted $4.48 billion.
The decline in net interest revenue, coupled with lower trading revenue and bank deposit account fees, reflects the challenges faced by Schwab in a changing market environment. Despite these setbacks, the company managed to add $306 billion in core net new assets during the 2023 fiscal year, bringing total client assets to a record $8.52 trillion at year-end.
Market Reaction:
In response to the earnings report, Schwab's stock experienced a 5.2% slump in early trade, raising concerns about triggering an automatic sell rule. The stock had briefly cleared a key entry point in a cup base in mid-December. The market's reaction suggests that investors are taking a cautious stance, carefully evaluating the implications of the results on the brokerage's future trajectory.
Comparison with Interactive Brokers:
Charles Schwab's performance is juxtaposed with that of Interactive Brokers (IBKR), which reported adjusted earnings of $1.52 per share, up nearly 17% from the previous year but falling just short of FactSet expectations of $1.53 per share. Despite the miss, Interactive Brokers demonstrated revenue growth, with a 16.6% increase to $1.139 billion.
Technical Outlook:
From a technical standpoint, NYSE:SCHW is currently trading in the middle of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average. This positioning indicates that investors are still in the process of evaluating the stock. The fact that it remains above the moving average signals some upward momentum, which could bode well for the stock's future value.
Conclusion:
While Charles Schwab faces headwinds with declining earnings and a less-than-stellar market response, the company's ability to attract significant net new assets suggests resilience. Investors must now weigh the short-term challenges against the long-term growth potential, especially as the brokerage aims to capitalize on its record-high total client assets. The industry-wide shifts in interest rates, trading dynamics, and asset management will likely continue to influence Schwab's performance, making it a stock to watch as it navigates through the complexities of the financial landscape.
Charles Schwab Opportunity Charles Schwab $SCWH
Earnings info will follow in comments:
Company Market Cap: $97.8 billion
Share Price: $53.72
Dividend: $1.00 dps – Dividend per share ($0.25 per quarter)
Dividend yield: 1.94% (Annual dps divided by current share price, expressed as a percentage)
Why this Trade?
o Contrarian trade – news is so negative its hard to not to feel interested
o Price 50% down from highs in Feb 2022
o Ascending triangle base re-test on-going
o Defined risk level/stop loss makes it an easy set up
o Long term diagonal support line provides secondary support
o RSI Oversold historic returns inform us of a current opportunity and potential future opportunities.
Concerns/Risks:
o Schwab is not a Global Systemically Important Bank (G-SIB)
o The 200 week SMA has been lost
o Rumours of Bankruptcy
Company Summary
o Charles Schwab is the 17th largest bank in the world with a market cap of $94.4 billion.
o Charles Schwab is primarily a wealth management and investment bank which stands out among the investment broker realm for its customer service, $0 trade commissions and large selection of mutual funds. From its origination the company has been all about making investing accessible to everyone.
o In line with this vision, Charles Schwab acquired rival firm TD Ameritrade three years ago. TD Ameritrade now provides investing and trading services for 11 million client accounts that total more than $1 trillion in assets, and custodial services for more than 6,000 independent registered investment advisors. Many Americans actively trade on TD or manage their own ROTH IRA’s through the platform, offering them tax benefits/advice and very flexible options for managing their own retirement funds. TD's Roth IRA has zero annual account fees or management fees.
The Chart
o You can see a potential Long Term Ascending Triangle playing out.
o There is an underside diagonal support line.
o The beauty of this trade is the following:
- A defined stop loss level at $45.39
- A potential 85% upside to – 12% downside (Adjust to suit your tolerance).
- A bounce of the top of the ascending triangle is promising.
o Any time we have been this oversold on the RSI we have made a significant upside move (green circles on the chart).
o The average performance after the green oversold RSI levels is an 82% price increase within a 12 months.
o If there is one thing we can take away from this chart it is that if we reach down into RSI oversold levels again this would be a great opportunity.
o Regardless I am proposing the trade based off the pattern and recent oversold RSI. Since this recent oversold level we have had an approximate 50% increase in price and a 27% retraction/decline back down to the ascending triangle base.
o For those of you who want to lower your risk you can raise the stop loss to a 5% decline ($48.00) or you can wait until over sold levels present themselves again.
Important to note that Charles Schwab is not a Global Systemically Important Banks (G-SIB) like Citibank and the likes. This makes this a higher risk trade, especially if we are looking long term over a 52 week period. Regardless, it is a well-established bank providing some of the leading brokerage services to the US public including management of ROTH IRA’s, the cornerstone of most Americans retirement planning. One could argue, its systemically important without being a member of the G-SIB.
As always, stay nimble in this market, do not enter a trade without a stop loss at a risk level you can tolerate. Same goes with position size. With this stock 50% down from highs way back in Feb 2022 this maybe an opportunity to claw onto this long term rising trend near it lower diagonal support line.
PUKA
Schwab Introduces Schwab Trading Powered by Ameritrade™Schwab introduced Schwab Trading Powered by Ameritrade, a reimagined trading experience made possible by the combination of two of the industry’s most innovative firms, Charles Schwab and TD Ameritrade. Schwab Trading Powered by Ameritrade unites the award-winning thinkorswim trading platforms with Schwab’s trading capabilities on Schwab.com and Schwab Mobile, alongside extensive trading education and specialized service designed for traders of all types and levels of expertise to create an exceptional trading experience.
SCHW The Charles Schwab Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsLooking at the SCHW The Charles Schwab Corporation options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $82.5 strike price at the money Puts with
2023-6-16 expiration date for about
$5.40 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
10/17/21 SCHWCharles Schwab Corporation (SCHW)
Sector: Finance (Investment Banks/Brokers)
Current Price: $80.90
Breakout price trigger: $79.00 (hold above)
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $79.00-$76.60
Price Target: $82.90-83.20 (1st) $93.00-$94.50 (2nd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 11-13d (1st), 118-123d (2nd)
Contract of Interest: $SCHW 11/19/21 85c, $SCHW 1/21/22 85c
Trade price as of publish date: $1.04/cnt, $2.58/cnt