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Chart-patterns

The bleeding stops tonight! 60 day BTC cycle over. 18.4k Next WkOk. Let me explain what is going on in this noisy chart folks. I am sorry for all of the lines. The lines that I would like to explain are: 1) The two up-trending blue supports near our 50 day MA. These should stop us tonight. If we break through the first, we still have another. They are both very good support. Break 'em and we're going down to 11k. However, I don't think this will happen. 2) The purple lines in the bottom of the RSI between the black vertical. The reason I don't think we'll break our support tonight is because all throughout 2017 BTC has followed a pattern that I've noticed: 60 day cycles (on average). For the first 40-45 days of this cycle, BTC trends up. Massively. For the remainder of the cycle (the last 15-20 days) BTC trends down. This has happened repeatedly. I've measured these 60 day cycles with those purple lines that I have orange arrows pointing at. The black vertical lines mark the beginning and ending of this cycle. Tonight marks the end of another one of these 60 day cycles. My hunch is that by tomorrow morning the bulls will show up in full force again. 3) The vertical purple lines: These are fractals. I have measure the up-movement of the last trend from BTC's lowest point to highest. We then formed another clear downtrend channel. Perfect! A good sign that fractals will work in our favor to show us our next short term target. I clone my first fractal and set it at BTC's current low within that down channel (bottom-most of the 4 red bars). This shows me that our new near term target will be anywhere from $18,400-18,800. I suspect we hit this target sometime next week. Get your buy orders lined up. We are in the buy zone now. Happy trading all!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by stewdamus
33
Litecoin. Technically, it's a buy, but...Alright. So on a technical basis, we do have a couple of solid buy signals. -First of all, we broke our down channel. -Secondly, we entered back into my bull channel. So what's my problem, you asked. I don't know just yet? I'm still trying to put my finger on this one. If I had to put something into words here I'd say that we still don't have solid, hot red confirmation (a multiplicity of indicators) confirming bullishness again (at least for Bitcoin, which is who Litecoin has been following as of late). Volume is way down. RSI and MACD are right on the edge. Etc., etc. If you choose to buy here, caution is advised. Dip your toes in slowly (dollar cost average in, maybe 20% per buy) and have your stops tight. Mine are just below the ascending bottom GREEN trendline for now. I'm extremely cautious here and reluctant to buy until we have more signs corroborating this move up.
COINBASE:LTCUSD
by stewdamus
12
Bitcoin Litecoin Ethereum to dump this weekend? I am not suggesting it will happen, but I am seeing some of the leading cryptos (Bitcoin, Litecoin, and Ethereum) poised to dump this weekend. In addition to all remaining in bearish chart patterns: -Ethereum has fallen below .618 fib retracement and the $275-$280 support level. -Bitcoin has dropped below it's longer term bullish channel yesterday evening -Litecoin has dropped below it's 6 month bullish channel yesterday evening They all seem to want to move down and touch our 200 MA. And while Ethereum and Bitcoin have some big supports to work through until they get there, Litecoin has easier work of it and very well could get there in the next days/weeks. Whether they dump or not this weekend, I think the downward trend has definitely been validated on my charts and until we escape these bearish wedges/channels, I, for one, will not be looking to reposition just yet. Greater discounts are on their way!
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by stewdamus
Bitcoin buyers. Now!In my last post I recommended to wait. Now, I am recommending a buy. Technically, this sell off is perfect and exactly what I had been hoping for. We hit the $3800 price point I had hoped for and we are right back in sync with our 50MA and smack dab in the middle of my bull channel. In other words, Bitcoin is back exactly where it should be and the consolidation here represents health NOT sickness as many of the doomsdayers would like to suggest. Could we go lower? Yes. We can go all the way to the bottom of my bull channel (BOTTOM BLACK ASCENDING TL - currently $3500) and I will still be extremely bullish. However, I am not going to bet we'll get there. Rather, my recommendation is to buy anything in between $3500-$3800 for a nice LONGER TERM SWING TRADE. Here's my case for buying: - Good support on RSI (I see us potentially bouncing here) - 50 MA support - Bottom of Bollinger Band - All the gloom and doomers are talking about China, Jamie Dimon, and the end of crypto. This is great for buyers. We know this is not the end but in fact, it has just begun. Again. Can we go lower? Of course! Your stop outs would be anything below the BOTTOM ASCENDING BLACK TL. I've set mine for $3450. BOTTOM LINE: This is longer term SWING TRADE advice only. Buy here. Buy now. But for gosh sakes put in your stops as suggested so you don't get burned. Happy Trading all.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by stewdamus
2
OMGUSD OmiseGo Target $15.28. Double your money!!!I want to show you something. I'm not saying this will happen but... Take a look at this chart. It is beautiful. And according to what it is telling me, we have two (possibly three) more days MAX (but probably less) of consolidation for OmiseGo. Once complete, we would break out and above our shorter downward sloping ORANGE trendline. Of course, the possibility remains that we could break down too, BUT remember, the trend is your friend. And there is more reason to believe OMG will go higher including but not limited to: - Bitcoin continuing to lead upwards - Great support at 78.6% ($7.60) - Current trend for OMG - Middle Bollinger rising rapidly for support - etc. Our longer term (maybe not till October) target is $15.28 (161.8% Fib), DOUBLE CURRENT PRICE! At which point you will be yelling, "OMG"! WARNING: This is a high risk trade with risk of big losses. You MUST put in your stops properly. Stop out would be at $7.60. Trade carefully and, as always, happy trading my friends.
BITFINEX:OMGUSDLong
by stewdamus
5
LTC hold the lines! Litecoin line battles.This analysis is simple as always. Either LTC holds above the lines (purple circles) and remains strongly bullish, OR it doesn't. If LTC breaks below the bullish trendlines, we remain long term bulls (as we are still in the bullish GREEN channel long term); however, we will become short term bears. If we break down, we will go to: STOP 1: $46.01 STOP 2: $43.66 or STOP 3: $42.00 While the first two stops are a in sight, the third is more unlikely. Reason? We will have a ton of support at the first two. The first is our very strong $46 support and stop two includes: our support line, the 50 MA, AND the Middle Bollinger. If we break down and you want to throw a short term short trade out, I wouldn't fault you. But be aware of these strong supports. If you are a longer term swing trader as I am, you could sell here and repositions. But again, the risks are the same as in shorting. You have to be on constant watch as I am sure you are well aware. These markets can move fast and at night while you sleep. The safest approach is to stay LONG. "HODL!" as they say. We are still in the longer term bullish GREEN channel and our target remains $57. Happy Trading all!
COINBASE:LTCUSDLong
by stewdamus
Bitcoin Bulls are amped! Back into bull channel! $4000 Target!Wow! Wow! Wow! These Bitcoin bulls are furious and charging through everything. There is a ton of strength behind this move! Really the only major resistance we have to break is our TOP of June 12th. After that? $4000+ We are seeing slight consolidation here as we rest on our $2760 support. Now is the time to BUY, BUY, BUY. We are back in our bullish GREEN channel and I don't see us breaking back down through this, especially with all the strength in this move we've already observed. If you are a swing trader like me, there's really not much of a better opportunity to buy. We may bounce around between our TOP of $2980 and the bottom of our channel for a few days leading up to Aug 1, but sometime around the 1st of August (+/- a couple days) I expect us to break the TOP. Target is at/around $4000 or top of GREEN channel. Trailing stop should be adjusted frequently to follow the bottom GREEN trendline of our channel. Time to cash in on all your patience. Have fun. Happy trading friends.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by stewdamus
Bitcoin/Bitstamp. Your best price before another breakout -$3146Bitcoin is on a tear! These bulls don't want to rest. There will not be many more chances while we consolidate slightly here to hop on this train for a mad ride up to $4000 plus. However, if we do rest in the next couple days, look to buy at any price between now (currently $3446) down to $3146 and in the next 3-6 days. Consolidation won't last longer than this. If you can nab it at $3146, you've just entered long at a great price! In 3-4 weeks we'll be at $4000+. Hold tight y'all. Happy trading.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by stewdamus
If Bitcoin does this we could go to $4000 or $4800 before downAs stated in my last post, the bulls just do not want to rest. Bitcoin is still in the hype driven stage of the gartner hype cycle: www.google.com This makes is hard to get in a good price. While many are claiming Bitcoin has reached target on their charts, or that Bitcoin is due for consolidation (which is true), or that Bitcoin bears should have entered their short positions, I SEE SOMETHING ELSE. My charts are telling me that there is still actually more room for Bitcoin to move UP! Here's my case: First, notice the top circle. If we close above this steep ascending wedge, we are entering into yet ANOTHER breakout mode. However, I do believe this to be the last as we will be going vertical at this point. If we close above this ascending wedge on the daily then one of two things will happen: 1) We touch the top of the GREEN Channel at around $4000 or, 2) We go all the way up (and FAST) to around $4815 before breaking down badly. You'll also see room to run into overbought territory on the RSI (bottom circle). One interesting anamoly that I've spotted is some divergence from the bottom Bollinger Band (middle circle). Keep an eye on that. This could indicate a correction within the week BUT MAYBE NOT BEFORE WE BREAK THE ASCENDING TRIANGLE and head higher first. BE CAREFUL. WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION HERE. If we don't break this triangle on the daily, correction may start now. Be careful and happy trading.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by stewdamus
3
TenX PAYBTC price projections. Levels.It is definitely harder to predict price patterns on these brand new coins, but Ima give it a try. Here we see Fib from low to high. You'll also see some trendlines that have started to form and support levels I've drawn. So, let's make heads and tails of this. Fib. is self-explanatory. I've drawn it from around the low to around the high of this coin. First major resistance comes in at .001. So, that will be our TARGET. You can see that the current trend is upwards. I've drawn in these trendline both on the price chart and the RSI chart. Support levels are: .00059 (this will be our stop out), .00053, and down from there .00036. Resistance levels are: .00072 and .00079. We are currently fighting both. We are also forming an ascending triangle pattern against both (a good sign). However, we are also at the top of our Bollinger Band and nearing overbought conditions on the RSI. This is our caution to put in your stops. In conclusion, the charts favor an upward move but they are also admonishing us to be careful. My TARGET for this trade is .001. Happy trading all!
Long
by stewdamus
5