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Litecoin LTCUSD to test $45 support - Should bounce hereAs I stated in my last post, I may have jumped the gun a bit on my Litecoin purchase. I knew this. But because I am a swing trader, I did not want to miss out on opportunity at that $50 level which provided fairly strong support. The next support level I see is even bigger. Why? 3 reasons: 1) I have redrawn my Fib retracement from the lows on 3-30 to the high on 07-05. This now provides .236 retracement support at approx. $45. 2) The low of our 07-04 candle sits at around $45 3) The middle Bollinger Band and 20 MA should intersect the first two supports at this level. If you have not already picked up some Litecoin, I would advise doing so at $45. You could always DCA down from there, should we go lower. I happen to believe we'll bounce at $45. Happy trading friends.
COINBASE:LTCUSDLong
by stewdamus
Major Bitcoin Bounce Expected by July 4thIn the next few days, I am expecting some major price action to occur in Bitcoin. As I analyze the charts, from a purely technical perspective, I see many signs that indicate the price will shoot up. Of course, there is always a chance we could go the opposite way as well. And thus, caution should be exercised as we flirt with these lower levels. If we do break through our supports, the drop will be UGLY! Very ugly! However, as I've stated before, as long as we remain within the channel I've drawn, I remain very bullish on Bitcoin. Here are a few of the indicators that I can see which help point to the upward direction of Bitcoin in the next few days. Let's all hope we are not being deceived by these chart indicators. Convergence of (4) four major supports: 1) $2420 support 2) 50 MA 3) Bottom Bollinger Band 4) Bottom of channel Additionally, we have observed a couple of weeks of healthy consolidation, contracting Bollinger Bands, and we are once again headed into oversold territory according to the RSI. With all of these signs, I suspect that within 3-4 days, we will see price action shoot up like the 4th of July fireworks. Happy Independence Day my American friends and as always happy trading!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by stewdamus
13
Bitcoin Bounced - Now What?So, we bounced before and on the 4th as expected. But now we're up against that $2600 ceiling again and can't seem to close above it. As we continue to struggle with these upper levels, it is becoming increasingly clear that the market is not willing to do much more here before BIP 148 on August first. I've said all along that I'll remain bullish as long as we continue to remain within the green channel on my chart. However, it is looking more and more like we are going to test channel support once more, and if we do, I am not sure how much longer we can hold until breaking through. Long story short. It's uncomfortable down here near the bottom of our channel. But it's this simple. Above the bottom channel support = hold. Below the channel support = sell. And for me personally, I will probably sell and sit on the sidelines and observe until these forking issues all look to be resolved. Until then, have fun trading my friends.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by stewdamus
Look how perfect!Check this out! After breaking through our $2420 support, I became a bit nervous. We only had one more stop before the floor fell completely out and that was at the $2330 area. Fortunately, there was plenty of support to hold us today. We had the bottom of our channel, the 50 day MA, and the bottom of the Bollinger Band all holding us up at the same area. We held today, bounced, and it now looks like we will even close this candle far above $2420. As the market hits the far east tonight, we should get even more support. With this long awaited consolidation, the crypto market has had it's chance to catch a breath. We can now continue our move onwards and upwards. As always, happy trading friends.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by stewdamus
3
$2760 - So you're telling me there is still a chance? Last night I had hoped we'd break through our overhead resistance of $2760 as the far east took over the helm. However, the show of strength that I was hoping for was nowhere to be found and Bitcoin closed the last candle in anticlimactic fashion. As I've stated in previous posts, if we are unable to break through this resistance, we are in for a few more days of sideways (and possibly downward) consolidation. I am actually a fan of more consolidation here, as it will spring-load any future moves upwards and give us much more strength. If we do consolidate, we will end up breaking through support of the bottom of our ascending triangle. Once this happens, we may rest for a few days and either bounce around between $2599 and $2760, or, we will break through our $2599 support as well and fall back down to the $2400 area. There is also still a chance we can hammer through our overhead resistance of $2760 today. However, this probability is not very likely.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by stewdamus