Silver Faces Resistance After Recent RallySilver remained above $32 per ounce on Sunday after recent volatility, supported by a weaker dollar on soft US economic data and easing global trade war concerns.
On Friday, silver hit a three-month high, driven by strong industrial demand, particularly in electrification and manufacturing. Reports showed China added 357 gigawatts of solar and wind power in 2024, boosting industrial silver use. Meanwhile, India’s Oil and Natural Gas Corp pledged INR 1 trillion for renewable energy, and Indonesia aims to add 17 gigawatts of solar capacity.
Key resistance is at 33.15, with further levels at 33.80 and 34.50. Support stands at 31.40, followed by 30.90 and 30.20.
Chartanalysis
Gold Extends Gains as Trade War Fears MountGold climbed above $2,900 per ounce, extending its gains for a second day as fears of a global trade war fueled demand. Concerns over President Donald Trump’s proposed reciprocal tariffs added to market uncertainty, increasing gold’s appeal. However, hawkish Fed comments capped further gains.
Fed Governor Michelle Bowman reiterated caution on rate cuts due to inflation risks, while Governor Christopher Waller suggested delaying reductions until inflation eases. Investors now await Wednesday’s Fed meeting minutes for more policy insights. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions persist as markets watch for updates on a potential Russia-Ukraine ceasefire.
Key resistance levels are at $2,949, $2,975, and $3,000. Support is at $2,880, with further levels at $2,830 and $2,760.
GBP/USD Rises on Strong UK GDPGBP/USD climbed to 1.2595 in early Asian trading on Sunday, driven by strong UK GDP data and weaker US retail sales. January retail sales dropped 0.9%, the steepest decline in nearly two years, after a revised 0.7% rise in December, far below the expected 0.1% dip. However, year-over-year sales grew by 4.2%. Meanwhile, the UK economy expanded by 0.1% in Q4 2024, beating forecasts and strengthening the Pound.
Key resistance is at 1.2600, with further levels at 1.2650 and 1.2700. Support stands at 1.2340, followed by 1.2265 and 1.2100.
Fed Talk Lifts Dollar, EUR/USD Under PressureEUR/USD hovers around 1.0455, while the dollar index rebounded to 107 on Tuesday, snapping a three-day losing streak. The recovery followed remarks from Federal Reserve officials signaling a pause in rate cuts to focus on inflation control. Fed Governor Christopher Waller suggested holding off on cuts unless inflation trends match 2024 levels, while Governor Michelle Bowman stressed the need for more evidence before easing policy. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker also supported maintaining current rates amid economic strength.
Markets now await this week’s FOMC minutes for further rate guidance. Last week, the dollar weakened due to mixed US economic data and reduced tariff concerns. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent noted that currency manipulation is now a key factor in trade strategy.
Technically, resistance stands at 1.0515, with further barriers at 1.0600 and 1.0650. Support lies at 1.0350, followed by 1.0275 and 1.0220.
Yen Dips After Strong Japan GDP DataThe Japanese yen slipped to around 151.8 per dollar, reversing a three-day rally as the dollar gained strength after Fed officials signaled reluctance to cut rates due to inflation concerns.
Japan’s Q4 GDP grew 0.7% quarter-on-quarter, up from 0.4% and beating the 0.3% forecast. On an annual basis, GDP rose 2.8%, aligning with expectations and improving from 1.7% in Q3. These figures support a more hawkish outlook for the Bank of Japan, though uncertainty remains over a potential rate hike in March, with further increases expected later this year.
Technically, resistance is at 154.90, with further levels at 156.00 and 157.00. Support stands at 151.25, followed by 149.20 and 147.10.
Bitcoin Price Prediction: Will BTC Drop to 93K Before Moving HigBitcoin is currently trading around $95,304, showing signs of consolidation after its recent bullish momentum. Based on the current market structure, there is a possibility that BTC may drop to $93,000 before making a move towards the highlighted supply zone.
📉 Potential Move to $93,000?
Looking at the price action, Bitcoin appears to be forming a retracement pattern. If the bearish pressure continues, we could see BTC testing the $93K support level, which may act as a liquidity grab before a reversal.
📌 Key Supply Zone to Watch
The highlighted zone between $105,624 - $111,075 is a crucial resistance area. If Bitcoin reaches this level, it could face strong selling pressure, making it an ideal area for short opportunities.
💡 Trading Plan:
If BTC drops to $93K, it could be a liquidity grab before a move higher.
Watch the $105K - $111K area for potential sell setups.
A rejection from this zone could lead to a new bearish wave.
🚀 What do you think? Will BTC hit $93K before heading toward this supply zone? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 🔥
Ripple: Short-term Sell-offs ExpectedRipple’s recent upward push didn’t prove to be sustainable. Anyway, we primarily anticipate another significant sell-off, which should drive the price down into our magenta Target Zone between $1.69 and $1. These declines should allow the corresponding corrective wave (4) to establish a proper low. Only after this bottom has been settled do we reckon with the extended rise of the magenta wave (5), which should target new all-time highs beyond the $3.39 resistance. If XRP breaks above this green level sooner than primarily expected, the magenta wave alt.(5) will begin prematurely. Under this 33% likely alternative scenario, the magenta wave alt.(4) would have already concluded with the February 3 low, and our magenta Target Zone wouldn’t be reached.
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG RANGE ROUTE MAP UPDATEDWeekly GOLD Analysis: 17th February 2025
Hello Traders,
Here’s a weekly chart analysis of GOLD, offering an in-depth look at recent market trends and future outlook. Since October 2023, our consistent tracking has achieved 100% target accuracy, as shown by the Golden Circle markers on the charts. Let’s break down the highlights and what’s next.
Recap of Last Week’s Successes
Weekly Chart Highlights:
* EMA5 crossed and settled above Entry ✅ 2735 reached
* Bullish Target TP1: 2877 ✅ Achieved
* GoldTurn Levels at 2875 activated twice ✅ Reached
What’s Next for GOLD? Bullish or Bearish?
After hitting ENTRY LEVELS at 2735 and TP1 2877, we saw a small close above 2877 last week, leaving 3018 open as a potential target. We mentioned that an EMA5 lock would confirm this movement.
While EMA5 hasn’t locked yet, the close from last week provided a solid push upward, gaining over 500 pips. The long-term gap remains open, with more movement likely after last week’s candle body close.
Key Level: 2735 remains a critical zone.
GoldTurn Levels at 2875 and 2735 are active, and the price may revisit these levels before bouncing back to reach TP1 and beyond.
Recommendations & Strategy:
* Focus on EMA5: Watch its behavior around 2877 for key signals on short- and long-term trades.
* Support Levels: GoldTurn levels at 2875 and 2735 are vital for identifying reversal points and prime dip-buying opportunities.
* FVG Support: A range between 2835 and 2850 is also supportive.
For precise entry and exit points, check our daily, 12H, 4H, and 1H analyses for clearer market guidance.
We’ll continue to provide daily updates, insights, and strategies on our TradingView and YouTube channels every Sunday. Don’t forget to like, comment, and share to support our work and help others benefit!
The Quantum Trading Mastery
Evaluating the Future of Midcaps: How Much Pain Is Left....?Midcap Correction: How Much More Pain is Left..?
The midcap sector has experienced a significant correction, currently down approximately 18% amid the broader market downturn. This raises an important question: how much more pain is left for midcaps?
Historical Context and Market Correction :
If we look at past trends, this 18% to 20% correction is not unprecedented. A similar downturn occurred in 2022, when the midcap index was corrected by around 23.3%. Therefore, it’s important to remember that such market fluctuations are a normal part of the cycle and not something entirely new.
Primary Causes of the Correction :
Two key factors have contributed to the current market correction. Firstly, the high valuations of midcap stocks coupled with slower-than-expected earnings growth over the past two quarters have created pressure on prices. While there are other contributing factors, these two stand out as the primary drivers behind the recent downturn.
However, this correction may not persist for long. Looking ahead, earnings are expected to pick up in the coming quarters, fueled by an anticipated boost in consumption due to the new income tax bill presented in the latest budget. As a result, a combination of market correction and improving earnings growth could lay the foundation for a potential recovery and a return of the bull run.
Technical Support Levels and Future Outlook :
From a technical analysis standpoint, the midcap index is currently hovering around the 49,650 mark, which is a significant support level. Additionally, this price point coincides with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, reinforcing its importance as a key technical support area. The broader Fibonacci golden zone, which spans from 50,180 to 46,800, also suggests that this range will provide strong support for the midcap index in the near term.
Given these technical factors, it’s reasonable to anticipate that the downside could be limited to around 5% more from the current level of 49,650. Beyond this range, the market may stabilize, and with expected earnings growth, we could witness a market rebound in the upcoming quarters.
Risks to Consider :
While the outlook for midcaps appears optimistic, investors should remain cautious. One major risk is the ongoing trade war, which continues to create significant uncertainty in global markets. Any escalation in trade tensions could weigh on the broader market, including midcaps, and introduce additional volatility.
Conclusion :
In summary, while the midcap index has experienced an 18% correction, this level of decline is not unprecedented, and there is potential for recovery. With strong earnings growth expected in the coming quarters and key technical support levels in place, the midcap sector could see a return to positive momentum. However, caution is advised, especially considering the uncertainties surrounding the trade war. Investors should keep an eye on these developments to navigate the market with caution and opportunity in mind.
Boeing: More RoomBoeing recently climbed higher, and we still grant the magenta wave slightly more room on the upside. However, this corrective upward movement should come to an end below the resistance at $197.20 and transition into the sell-off phase of the same-colored wave . This movement, in turn, should complete the overarching turquoise wave 2 while remaining above the support at $137.03. Afterward, the price should surge beyond the resistance at $267.54, allowing the larger magenta wave (1) to conclude. On the other hand, we see a 30% chance that Boeing will form a fresh low below the $137.03 mark during the green wave alt. .
EURNZD - Sell Setup at Key Resistance ZoneOANDA:EURNZD is currently trading in a clear resistance zone that has consistently acted as a barrier for bullish momentum. This area aligns with prior supply levels and could attract some seller interest.
If rejection patterns, such as bearish engulfing candles or long upper wicks, emerge, I anticipate a move toward 1.83500 . However, a break above this zone could signal a potential shift in market sentiment.
This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation before jumping in.
GOLD - at support? holds or not??#GOLD. market just near to his current supporting region that is around 2909-10 to 2914-15
that region is most important for now and if market hold it in that only case we can see bounce again. otherwise not,.
Note: 2908-09 is the final area for now and we will go for cut n reverse below that.
good luck
trade wisely
Silver at $32.90, Asian Demand Fuels RiseSilver jumped to $32.90 on Friday morning, fueled by increased demand for safe-haven assets amid rising trade tensions and geopolitical risks. Additionally, strong demand from China and other Asian markets has further supported silver prices.
From a technical perspective, $33.15 is the first resistance level, with further targets at $33.80 and $34.50 if the price breaks higher. On the downside, $31.40 serves as the first support level, followed by $30.90 and $30.20 if selling pressure intensifies.
Gold Steady, Set for Seventh Weekly GainGold traded at $2,930 per ounce, maintaining its position for a seventh weekly gain. On Thursday, President Trump instructed federal agencies to explore ways to align U.S. tariffs with those of other countries, though without immediate implementation. While the delay eased some concerns, fears of escalating global trade tensions persisted, driving investors toward gold.
Meanwhile, U.S. producer inflation exceeded expectations, following strong consumer inflation data earlier in the week. This reinforced the view that the Fed is unlikely to cut interest rates soon. Despite this, gold remained resilient, supported by trade war uncertainties and a weaker dollar, which made the metal more affordable for foreign buyers.
The first resistance is at $2,949, with further levels at $2,975 and $3,000 if the price moves higher. On the downside, $2,885 is the first support level, followed by $2,830 and $2,760 if selling pressure increases.
GBP/USD Up on Positive Growth DataThe British pound climbed to $1.2560 after preliminary data showed the UK economy grew by 0.1% in the final quarter of 2024, defying expectations of a 0.1% contraction and outperforming the Bank of England’s forecasts. This puts the economy slightly ahead of where it was when Labour took office in July, offering some relief to the government.
However, challenges remain as the Office for Budget Responsibility is set to release an updated economic and fiscal outlook on March 26, with reports indicating a lowered growth forecast. Meanwhile, the Bank of England cut interest rates by 25bps to 4.5% last week, its third reduction since beginning its easing cycle in August 2024, while also downgrading its 2025 GDP growth forecast to 0.7%.
1.2600 is the first resistance level, with further targets at 1.2650 and 1.2700 if the pair moves higher. On the downside, 1.2340 serves as the first support level, followed by 1.2265 and 1.2100 if selling pressure intensifies.
Dollar Weakens as Trade Tensions EaseEUR/USD is hovering around 1.0460 on Friday morning, while the dollar index remains near 107, poised for a 1% weekly decline. The drop is driven by easing trade tensions and expectations of a softer personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index later this month. The dollar weakened 0.8% on Thursday after President Trump directed his administration to explore reciprocal tariffs on countries with unfair trade practices. However, since these tariffs are not expected immediately, concerns over retaliation and inflation eased, reducing uncertainty around the Fed's ability to lower borrowing costs.
Meanwhile, producer inflation data exceeded expectations, following strong consumer inflation figures from the previous day. Despite this, components of the report suggest that core PCE inflation, the Fed's key focus, may come in lower than anticipated.
Technically, 1.0460 is the first resistance level, with further barriers at 1.0515 and 1.0600 if the pair moves higher. On the downside, initial support is at 1.0350, followed by 1.0275 and 1.0220.
Yen Rallies as Trump Delays TariffsThe Japanese yen traded around 153 per dollar on Friday, following a 1% gain in the previous session. The yen strengthened as the dollar retreated sharply after President Trump delayed reciprocal tariffs, easing concerns over escalating trade tensions. The latest US PPI report also hinted that core PCE inflation, the Fed’s key metric due later this month, could come in lower than expected.
Japan’s Economy Minister Ryosei Akazawa stated that Japan would respond appropriately to any US reciprocal tariffs, while the Bank of Japan’s hawkish stance continued to support the yen. Although uncertainty remains about a potential rate hike in March, the central bank is widely expected to introduce further increases later this year.
Technically, 154.90 is the key resistance level, with further targets at 156.00 and 157.00. On the downside, 151.90 is the first major support, followed by 151.25 and 149.20 if the pair moves lower.
Coca-Cola: High in Sight?!Coca-Cola has gained around 9% over the past two weeks and should now be approaching the high of the turquoise wave 4. As soon as this top is established (below the resistance at $70.74), we expect sell-offs down to the forecast low of wave (A) in magenta below the support at $60.62. However, if the stock breaks above the resistances at $70.74 and $73.53 during its current upward move, we will consider wave alt.(A) in magenta as complete. In this scenario, the subsequent wave alt.(B) would already be underway, aiming for a high within our beige Target Zone between $75.32 and $80.36 (probability: 39%).
XAUUSD TODAY'S MAPPING IS HERE Hello Guy's Welcome To Another Day Of TRADING
Here we are mapping chart of XAUUSD ( GOLD ) in 15-M TF
Ascending triangle pattern: Trendlines indicating higher lows and a horizontal resistance level.
Breakout and retest: The price has broken above the resistance and appears to be retesting the breakout level.
Trade setup:
Entry Level: Near the breakout retest point.
Take-profit: Near 2951
Stop-loss: Around 2900
This analysis indicates a bullish sentiment, expecting gold to rise further if the breakout holds.
Silver Prices Soar on Electrification DemandSilver rose above $32 per ounce, nearing a three-month high with high demand in the electrification sector, offsetting concerns over a hawkish Fed. The US ISM manufacturing PMI's unexpected rebound improved the manufacturing outlook, while China, India, and Indonesia encouraged investments in solar and wind power. Meanwhile, the US inflation data reduced expectations for lower Fed borrowing costs, increasing the opportunity cost of holding precious metals.
The first resistance level will be 32.50 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 33.00 and 33.50. On the downside, 31.40 will be the first support level. 30.90 and 30.20 are the next levels to observe if the first support level is breached.