Yen Slips Toward 144 on Stronger DollarThe Japanese yen edged lower toward 144 per dollar on Tuesday, as the U.S. dollar strengthened amid optimism over potential U.S.-China trade talks and investor caution ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy decision. President Trump suggested a possible reduction in tariffs on Chinese goods. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan held rates steady but revised its growth and inflation outlook. Trading activity remained subdued due to a public holiday in Japan.
Resistance is located at 145.90, followed by 146.75 and 149.80. On the downside, support levels are at 139.70, then 137.00 and 135.00.
Chartanalysis
Nasdaq: The Rally Continues!The Nasdaq ended last week with strong upward momentum, moving swiftly toward the resistance at 20,694 points. Now it's getting interesting: once the index breaks above this mark, it should quickly enter our upper turquoise Target Zone (coordinates: 21,751 – 22,425 points), where we expect the peak of wave X in turquoise. Afterward, we anticipate a pullback during wave Y, which should aim for our lower turquoise Target Zone (coordinates: 17,074 – 15,867 points). The corrective magenta wave (4) should be completed there. However, if the Nasdaq directly surpasses the significant resistance at 23,229 points, our alternative scenario will take effect. In this 35% likely case, we would consider wave alt.(4) as already complete and locate the index in the impulsive wave alt.(5) .
A Bitcoin Prediction (2025)In this chart, we continue the journey of testing whether Bitcoin can live up to the expectations as published in my previous Bitcoin prediction chart (2024). Since we had technically hit my ATH cycle top for 2024–25, we are now gambling with the possibility that we might not have hit the highest cycle top targets and may just extend that little bit more. I think 2025 has most people asking, "Are we done yet?" or are we on the verge of something else? We'll just have to wait and see....
Upside:
As you can see in ATHs, there are several targets, and I've mentioned this in my previous chart. Ultimately, the high side of what this chart can expect from a cycle high is a 2-week close of $131k. Wicks can extend beyond this price, but I expect a close below (according to this chart). A close above will invalidate this chart. All prices within the lows and highs are acceptable.
Downside:
In my previous chart, I hadn't posted any projected targets during a bear market; I only highlighted the lows, as generally that is what most may consider important enough to know—when can we resume the bull market again? Well, in this chart, I have labeled two additional downside targets. Although these do not follow the same pattern as other targets, they do have a significant similarity to previous cycle lows. Expect bounces from these levels, but if the pattern holds true, they will fail and continue to lower prices. In the short term, resistance sits at $98,511, and again this is on a 2-week close. So this next week, we can wick above, which might be the path we are on.
Summary: I'll be posting updates close to each 2 week close, if I see something I'll be sure to post and update.
2024 Chart linked below.
GOLD (XAU/USD, 4H) updateOn the 4-hour chart, GOLD has broken below the lower boundary of a pennant pattern on increasing volume, signaling potential for continued downside. Despite this, the asset remains within the confines of a bullish megaphone structure, whose boundaries are still intact. The EMA indicators (20/50/100/200) are aligned in a bearish sequence, exerting downward pressure. The price is consolidating below the $3295 level and is approaching key demand zones.
Near-Term Downside Targets:
- $3177 — Intermediate demand zone
- $3063 — Major support level
Technical Highlights:
- Breakdown from bearish pennant confirmed by volume
- Price action continues within the bullish megaphone pattern
- EMA 20/50/100/200 positioned above price, indicating overhead resistance
- Volume increases observed during downward moves
- Key buyer interest zone: $3060–$3080
- Resistance zone: $3295–$3305
Following the breakdown from the consolidation pattern, gold is exhibiting a downward trajectory targeting support zones at $3177 and $3063. The bearish scenario is technically confirmed as long as the price remains below $3295. However, the movement within the bullish megaphone structure warrants close monitoring for potential shifts in momentum.
Adobe: Keep It Up!Adobe has steadily advanced upward within our beige Target Zone between $331.93 and $449.61, moving away from the low of the beige wave x, which thus gained further confirmation. The stock should soon fight its way out of this zone and head for the resistance at $640. The ongoing wave y should eventually extend significantly above this mark to complete the corrective upward movement of the blue wave (b) there.
Silver Slips on Trade Optimism and Weak Economic Data Silver prices dropped over 1% on Thursday, slipping to around $32 per ounce, dragged by reduced safe-haven demand following Trump's optimistic remarks on potential trade deals with China, India, Japan, and South Korea.
Weak economic data further pressured prices, with the U.S. economy contracting by 0.3% and China’s manufacturing PMI falling to a 16-month low, raising concerns about industrial demand.
Today, silver is showing signs of recovery amid improved risk appetite, with the market focus on the $34.90–$35.00 resistance zone as a key technical level.
Narrow Range: $31.30 – $33.70
Wide Range: $28.50 – $34.90/35.00
Gold Slips as Trade Optimism Eases Safe-Haven Demand Gold is hovering near $3,250/oz, on track for its worst week in over two months. Signs of easing tensions, China’s openness to trade talks and Trump’s remarks on deals with India, Japan, and South Korea, have weakened gold's demand.
Adding pressure, the U.S. economy contracted in Q1, and March PCE inflation was flat. Markets now turn their attention to the upcoming non-farm payrolls report.
Technically, the $3,200-$3,210 support zone is critical.
Narrow Range: $3,180 - $3,276
Wide Range: $3,075 - $3,303
#Gold #XAUUSD #SafeHaven #TradeTalks #USChina #Inflation #PCE #NonFarmPayrolls #Commodities #MarketAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldPrice #Forex #Investing
GBP Gains as Tariff Risk Stays LowThe British pound rose to $1.332, near its highest level since February 2022, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar. Sterling gained 3.2% in April, its best month since November 2023. The UK is seen as less exposed to U.S. tariffs, which President Trump has delayed until July. In 2024, the U.S. ran a $12 billion goods surplus with the UK, unlike its deficits with China and the EU, reducing trade risk. The pound also benefits from expectations that the Bank of England will be more cautious than others in cutting rates. Markets expect about 85 basis points of easing this year, which is in line with the Fed. Investors now await key U.S. jobs and inflation data for dollar direction.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3430, the next resistance levels are 1.3500 and 1.3550. Support levels are at 1.3200, followed by 1.3050 and 1.2960.
Yen Near 146 as Trade Hopes WeighThe yen hovered near 146 per dollar Friday after a 1.6% drop, pressured by weaker safe-haven demand amid improving US-China trade prospects. China is open to talks after repeated U.S. outreach, while Japan and the U.S. wrapped up a second round of bilateral talks, aiming for a June deal. Domestically, Japan’s jobless rate rose to 2.5% in March, but the labor market stayed tight. The Bank of Japan held rates at 0.5% and cut its growth and inflation outlooks, signaling limited chances of near-term hikes.
Resistance is located at 145.90, followed by 146.75 and 149.80. On the downside, support levels are at 139.70, then 137.00 and 135.00.
El Sewedy Electric Stock Trend AnalysisEl Sewedy Electric stock trend rose last period from the support line 78.287 to the resistance line 88.149, then rebounded to reach the support line 78.65, so the general trend was down by 0.24%. The stock rose, and broke the first support line 78.65 to reach the second support line 78.7574, then the third support line 78.858. On the other hand, when the stock rebounded, it broke the first resistance line 88.045 to reach the second resistance line 86.073, then the third resistance line 85.554
SPX Play-by-Play: From Trap to Trend and Back AgainJust price, structure, and volume — tracked in real time.
🧠 Chart Breakdown:
✅ Early Short Trap / Failed Breakdown — Sellers tried to press lower early, but price held key levels and reversed. That shift became the foundation for the entire move that followed.
✅ Breakout Long Trigger — After reclaiming structure, price drove into new highs with strong follow-through. Volume confirmed the breakout.
⛔ Top Rejection — Price pushed into resistance but couldn’t hold. Momentum faded, candles hesitated, and sellers stepped in.
✅ Fib-Based Bounce — After the pullback, price responded cleanly off fib-based support. The bounce was sharp, and volume backed it.
✅ Steady Uptrend Structure — Price moved in an orderly fashion. Small pullbacks held structure, and volume stayed supportive — a textbook controlled climb.
⛔ Range Resistance — Price returned to a previously rejected zone. Wicks and hesitation reappeared.
👀 Current Breakout Watch — Price is testing that resistance again. A reclaim with strength signals continuation. Another fade? Let it go.
Always happy to be helpful.
Cardano: Low Ahead!According to our primary scenario, Cardano's ADA coin should imminently pull back toward the support at $0.31 to finally complete the blue wave (ii). With this low in place, we see the altcoin breaking out above the resistance at $1.32. If the price manages to rise above this mark without forming a new low first (33% likely), we will have to assume that wave alt.(ii) in blue is already complete.
Uber (UBER, 1W) Tightening Structure Ready for BreakoutOn the weekly chart, UBER has formed a strong ascending wedge / tightening channel, showing clear higher lows and repeated rejections near upper resistance. The price is now approaching the apex of the pattern, with a possible breakout setup above $82.42.
If confirmed, the projected measured move (H = $27.67) aligns with Fibonacci extension targets at:
– $89.86 (1.272)
– $93.74 (1.414)
– $99.32 (1.618)
Technical structure:
– Price held support twice, confirming bullish intent
– Structure tightening — breakout likely on sustained volume
– Bullish divergence forming on the weekly stochastic oscillator
– A breakout above $82.42 activates the next impulse wave
– Volume is stable, with no signs of heavy distribution
Fundamentals:
Uber has reached a major financial milestone: consistent profitability and positive EBITDA growth. The company continues to expand across mobility and delivery, with a focus on cost efficiency, platform monetization, and retention. Increased user activity and growing institutional interest support a bullish mid-term thesis. Uber is increasingly seen as a core holding in next-gen tech and services portfolios.
The technical structure is approaching resolution. A confirmed breakout above $82.42 opens the door for a move to $89.86 → $93.74 → $99.32. With bullish structure and improving fundamentals, Uber is positioned for the next leg higher. This is a setup worth watching.
Tesla: More Room in Wave 4With the recent increases, TSLA approached the more significant local high from early April. Although we locate the price in a turquoise downtrend impulse, the internal corrective upward move of wave 4 still has some more room. With the following wave 5, the stock should then fall below the support at $215.01 to complete the magenta wave (3), which is also part of a downtrend impulse. Meanwhile, our alternative scenario suggests a much faster progression. We consider it 27% likely that with the low on April 7, the blue wave alt.(II) and thus the major corrective movement have already ended. In this case, the path would be clear for a new uptrend of the blue wave alt.(III), which would lead to increases above the resistance at $488.50. Primarily, however, we expect the corrective movement to conclude at a later time and at lower levels.
Palo Alto Networks: Countermovement or Breakout?Palo Alto has faced increasing upward pressure and has been noticeably pushed higher. Thus, the stock is ogling our alternative scenario, which envisions a direct breakout above the resistance level at $207.24. In this 30% likely scenario, we would attribute the last low to the beige wave alt.IV and prepare for a new high of the blue wave alt.(I). Primarily, however, we classify the recent gains as a countermovement and locate the stock already in the bearish blue wave (II), which should settle its low within the blue Target Zone between $104.74 and $55.73; prior to that, the price must fall below the support at $130.04. After the wave (II) low, a new (wave (III)) uptrend should begin and eventually lead to new all-time highs above $207.24.
AXS/USDT
AXS has been trading within a falling wedge pattern—a classic bullish reversal setup. Recently, the price broke above the upper resistance line of the wedge, indicating a potential trend reversal.
This breakout is supported by a long-term downtrend losing momentum, and a breakout confirmation through a retest may be forming. If the breakout holds, we could see a bullish move toward the next key resistance zone around 6.50 USDT, which is our primary target.
📌 Setup Summary:
Pattern: Falling Wedge (Bullish)
Breakout: Confirmed
Target: 6.50 USDT (TP)
Risk Management: Watch for price action near the retest zone
This setup aligns with our smart bot strategy which identifies breakout patterns and entry points automatically. Stay tuned for updates!
YFI/USDTIn this analysis, I’m tracking the recent downtrend on the US30 daily chart. Based on the current pattern and technical indicators (like RSI divergence and a bounce off a key support zone), I expect a potential reversal or at least a short-term correction. Entry signal is marked based on my Smart Bot strategy.
Equity Research Update – Paras Defence and Space Technologies CMP: ₹1,143 | Upside Potential: High
Paras Defence has broken out of a strong resistance zone (~₹1,120–₹1,160), confirmed by significant volume and bullish momentum. The RSI shows strength above 70, indicating buyer dominance. Historical resistance, marked by previous rejections, may now act as strong support. If sustained, this breakout could lead to a fresh uptrend. Investors may consider accumulating on dips with a medium-term target of ₹1,300–₹1,350, keeping a stop-loss below ₹1,080.
Recommendation: BUY on Breakout Confirmation
For Education Purpose only
Silver Falls to $33.00 on Trade OptimismSilver (XAG/USD) slipped to around $33.00 on Tuesday as safe-haven demand eased amid improving U.S.-China trade sentiment and a stronger U.S. dollar. Optimism grew after Trump suggested tariff rollbacks and China granted exemptions. Treasury Secretary Bessent confirmed ongoing talks and positive proposals. Markets now await key US data, Q1 GDP, PCE inflation, and Nonfarm Payrolls for clues on Fed policy.
Technically, the first resistance level is located at 33.80. In case of its breach 34.20 and 34.85 could be monitored respectively. On the downside, first support is at 32.50. 31.40 and 30.20 would become the next support levels if this level is passed.
Gold Retreats as Investors Eye Key Economic DataGold fell below $3,330 per ounce on Tuesday as investors monitored tariff talks and awaited key economic data. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said many top U.S. trading partners made "very good" tariff proposals and noted China’s tariff exemptions signal de-escalation efforts. He stressed it is now up to China to act. A modest rebound in the U.S. dollar also pressured gold. Markets are focused on upcoming reports, including Q1 GDP, March PCE inflation, and April nonfarm payrolls, for clues on the economy and Fed policy.
Key resistance is at $3365, followed by $3,405 and $3,500. Support stands at $3250, then $3165 and $3050.
Pound Pressured by BOE Cut ExpectationsGBP/USD dipped to approximately 1.3425 during early Asian trading on Tuesday, as a slight rebound in the U.S. dollar put pressure on the pair. The dollar was supported by easing U.S.-China trade tensions, following China’s decision to exempt certain U.S. imports from tariffs, despite its denial of ongoing negotiations.
Meanwhile, expectations of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Bank of England in May continue to weigh on the pound. Markets are now focused on an upcoming speech by BoE Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden, with any dovish remarks likely to add further downside pressure on the GBP.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3430, resistance levels are at 1.3500 and 1.3550. Support is at 1.3200, followed by 1.3050 and 1.2960.