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T-Mobile US: Destination reached 📍✅In line with our expectations, the TMUS share has since risen further and in the process also reached our dark green Target Zone (coordinates: $161.69 - $168.80). Basically, we now expect a bearish trend reversal in that price range after the top of wave (B) in dark green. This top could already be imminent, but we have to concede that the price can rise even higher in our Zone to this end and utilise the entire price range accordingly. Once the high is in, however, it should go lower again.
NASDAQ:TMUSShort
by MarketIntel
⤴️⤴️EURUSD BULLISH MOMENTUM Fullbacks)🚀🚀🚀The dollar edger higher on Friday but is set to end 2023 with its first yearly loss since 2020 against the euro and a basket of currencies, on expectations the U.S. Federal Reserve will begin cutting rates next year as inflation moderates. Questions for 2024 will be when the Fed begins cuts, and whether the first rate reduction is made to avoid over-tightening as inflation drops, or due to slowing U.S. economic growth. With markets already pricing in aggressive cuts, debate is also focused on how much further the dollar is likely to fall. “We’ve already weakened quite a bit in anticipation of a Fed cut cycle to come,” said Brad Bechtel, global head of FX at Jefferies in New York. The dollar's decline accelerated after the Fed adopted an unexpectedly dovish tone and forecast 75 basis points in rate reductions for 2024 at its December policy meeting. Markets are pricing in even more aggressive cuts, with the first reduction seen likely in March and 158 basis points in cuts expected by year-end. (FEDWATCH) The Fed’s tone contrasted with other major central banks, including the European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of England (BoE), which maintained they will hold rates higher for longer. But “I do think they will capitulate. European growth is just struggling too much and inflation’s coming down relatively fast … same in the U.K. in many ways,” said Bechtel. “If all three central banks are cutting, it's going to be very hard for the dollar to weaken significantly." Against a basket of currencies, the greenback on Friday gained 0.13% to 101.32 DXY , rising from a five-month trough of 100.61 reached on Thursday. It is on track to lose 2.10% this year and is down 4.62% this quarter, the worst performance in a year. The euro EURUSD dipped 0.19% to $1.1040, hovering just below a five-month peak of $1.11395 reached on Thursday. It is heading for a 3.04% gain for the year, its first positive year since 2020. "Markets are looking for a cut earlier in the U.S. and are less certain that the European Central Bank will cut as quickly, so that's why the dollar is very soft," said Niels Christensen, chief analyst at Nordea. "We also have positive risk appetite which is another negative for the dollar. Going into 2024, the soft dollar will be a theme towards the March central bank meetings," Christensen added. Policymakers at the ECB and the BoE did not signal any imminent rate cuts at their policy meetings this month, but traders are pricing in 162 bps of cuts by the ECB next year, with the probability of two cuts by April. The BoE is also expected to cut rates by 148 bps in 2024. "While it feels like the market might have moved too far too fast, the facts are that growth is non-existent in Europe, slowing in the U.S., and inflation is falling globally," said CJ Cowan, portfolio manager at Quilter Investors. "The ECB is famously slow to change policy course so almost two cuts priced by April looks aggressive, even if it might be the right thing to do." Sterling GBPUSD rose 0.08% to $1.2745 and was on track for a 5.39%
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
Palladium: Time for the Turnaround! 🔄Palladium is heading a little further downwards: the price is now drilling deeper and deeper into our turquoise Target Zone (coordinates: $1092 - $997). We expect that the low of wave B in turquoise will be deposited within this price range and that the trend reversal to the north will then succeed, which should subsequently bring us the price increases in wave C in turquoise. All technical conditions have now been met for this low; however, we allow the price to move a little lower again within our Zone. To hedge or minimize the risk of long trades, a stop 1% below the lower edge of the Zone can be placed. However, if the primarily expected bullish trend reversal succeeds, the metal should soon break above the resistance at $1257 and thus gain fresh upward momentum.
NYMEX:PA1!Long
by MarketIntel
1
Xiaomi: Still some Room! ⬆️Xiaomi stock has retreated somewhat in recent days. Nonetheless, we are sticking to our primary assumption that the price is likely to surpass the highs from November once again as part of the magenta wave (B) in order to form the high a good deal further north. Accordingly, we expect a return to this short-term bullish path in the near future. It is important to note, however, that the 33% probable alternative would already allow the high to be in place. We would favor this scenario in the event of significant declines. A far-reaching descent is also on the agenda in our primary scenario after the current (corrective) wave (B) has ended. The price should only finalize the big wave II in grey and thus the big correction below the support at HK$8.31.
HKEX:1810Long
by MarketIntel
BTC Daily chart 24th December 2023Seasons greetings to all! Warmest wishes for you and your family during the holiday season. In my last idea we saw that COINBASE:BTCUSD was able to break the double bottom neckline at 43,5K but was unable to create any significant momentum to continue the rally towards 45K. Since the holiday season has started, a period with lower volatility, i am not expecting BTC to go much higher till we get some more news about the BTC spot ETF. If the ETF is approved we will probably see a significant rally which will take BTC to at least 50K. If BTC will be able to break 50K and go higher, will depend on how much the ETF approval was already priced in. If people already bought the news then the ETF rally could be more modest than expected (e.g. 50K high instead of new ATH). If the ETF is rejected, then we will probably see a major price correction, dropping BTC under 40K support line with a possible bottom as low as 32K (the breaking of this resistance line was sort of the start of the current bullrun, so a retest is likely in a major correction). As you might have read, the SEC recently had a meeting with all the ETF applicants. I am guessing that the applicant probably received a heads-up of the SEC's oncoming decision. If the SEC has already decided that it will reject the current applications, we will see signs of a sell-off from now till 10th of January (when the SEC will formaly announce the rejection). So if BTC starts retracing, this could be a sign that the ETF applicants are selling off a part of their BTC ahead of the expected sell-off. Other than that i am not expecting any mayor moves during the oncoming week.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Bullissimo
AUDUSD Fails At 6-Month HighHi Traders! AUDUSD has tested the 6-month high but has failed, and there is a potentially big pullback that is about to occur. Here are the details: After the range zone breaks to the upside, The market was in an aggressive bull rally to tray and test the 6-month high but has exhausted due to a strong bearish presence at the 6-month high. The next signal to confirm this will be a price break below the 20 EMA for a confirmation signal. Preferred Direction: Sell Technical Indicators: 20 EMA Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps. Trade safely and responsibly. BluetonaFX
Short
by BluetonaFX
Potential Short on USDJPY With the first trade working out on the USDJPY with the move from resistance of the top of the channel to the bottom with bearish RSI divergence its now setting up for another move to the downside with a break of the upward channel. For the second trade I am now looking for a retest of the break, there is some very good support with two trendlines converging @146.30 I will be looking for a rejection at this level and taking a entry with a stoploss at last swing high. Will be looking for a take profit at next resistance zone at around 138.00, it could be a bigger measured move with the channel pattern @131.00 so will use a trailing stop or move stoploss to last swing high if it gets to fist target area and update this idea if needed. Move SL to BE when safe to do so and good luck.
Short
by jason_rpprt
2
Bitcoin: Keep it up! 🐂Due to Bitcoin's impulsive rise in the past few hours, we now believe that the low of wave (iv) in turquoise has already been established. The next step should be a sustained move above the resistance at $46 008. Nevertheless, our Target Zone between $40 323 and $33 374 remains on the chart. Bitcoin will still work through this Zone if it opts for our new alternative (27%). In this scenario, it would only have completed the corrective wave alt. (B) with the most recent rise and would now complete the wave alt. (iv) in turquoise into our described Zone.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by MarketIntel
2
Jan 1 2024 - a look at TSLA - breaking through a long resistanceHere I can see that we are getting close to my 2 to 3 year, long resistance, line and that it looks like we’re about to break through if we do that’s wonderful. I would say that I haven’t bought enough if we don’t that’s wonderful I would say I’m excited to buy more it’s not about the definition of where it’s going it’s about watching and predicting the entering exit points always there is only one version of long-term and that is you buy and you don’t look at the marketand this is more for daytrading and swing trading and shorter term trading where you buy and sell and buy and sell and so I look at that on both sides. I look at the long term where I put in 50% of my investment for a long-term gain but in that same investment if I hit points where I see strong resistance, I’m gonna sell part of that take profit let it drop and buy more so we’re looking at that today January 1, 2024.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by mindfree
GBPUSD Head & Shoulders OpportunityHi Traders! There is a pullback on the bullish momentum we have had over the past few days on GBPUSD, and there is a head-and-shoulders pattern on the 2H chart. Here are the details: The market is rapidly approaching the neckline, and there are opportunities for short entries to target a break below the neckline. The market has also broken below the 20 EMA, and a close below the 20 EMA will be an added confirmation signal. Preferred Direction: Sell Entry Level:1.27504 Stop Level:1.27806 Target Level: 1.26900 Technical Indicators: 20 EMA Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps. Trade safely and responsibly. BluetonaFX
Short
by BluetonaFX
7
⤴️⤴️GPBUSD) bullish on the market) analysis)🖼️🚀The dollar crept higher on the first trading day of the year as attention turned to economic data this week that may provide clues on the Federal Reserve's next moves, while bitcoin surged ahead of $45,000 for the first time since April 2022. The dollar index DXY , which measures the U.S. currency against six rivals, fell 2% in 2023, snapping two years of gains. It was last at 101.44, up 0.059%, as investors weighed the prospect of the Fed cutting rates this year. The dollar's ascent weighed on the Japanese yen USDJPY the most, with the Asian currency down 0.35% at 141.36 per dollar, having slid 7% in 2023. Rescue teams in Japan on Tuesday struggled to reach isolated areas hit by a powerful earthquake on New Year's Day, with reports of more than 20 people dead in a disaster that toppled buildings and knocked out power to thousands of homes. Markets are now pricing in an 86% chance of interest rate cuts from the Fed to start from March, according to CME FedWatch tool, with over 150 basis points (bps) of easing anticipated in the year. "The question is when and how fast rate cuts will be delivered," Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex, said in a note. "Moderating price pressures and weaker growth impulses have seen the pendulum of market sentiment swing dramatically from the 'higher for longer' mantra of most of last year to pricing in aggressive easing" from central banks, Chandler said. The focus now switches to a slew of economic data due this week, including the data on job openings and nonfarm payrolls. Minutes from the last Fed meeting in December are scheduled for release on Thursday and will provide insight into the central bankers' thinking around rate cuts this year. "The positive sentiment from end-2023 may roll over into this week as all eyes turn to the U.S. jobs report on Friday," said Nicholas Chia, macro strategist at Standard Chartered. At its December policy meeting, the Fed adopted an unexpectedly dovish tone and forecast 75 basis points in rate reductions for 2024. That contrasted with other major central banks, including the European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of England (BoE), which reiterated they will hold rates higher for longer. Still, traders are pricing in 158 bps of cuts by the ECB this year, while the BoE is also expected to cut rates by 144 bps in 2024. The euro EURUSD was down 0.13% to $1.103, inching away from the five-month peak of $1.11395 it touched last week. The single currency gained 3% last year, its first yearly gain since 2020. Sterling GBPUSD was last at $1.2729, up 0.05% on the day, having clocked its strongest performance last year since 2017 with a 5% gain, although a weakening economy and election uncertainty make a repeat performance unlikely. Elsewhere, the Australian dollar AUDUSD was up 0.35% at $0.68335. The New Zealand dollar NZDUSD was little changed at $0.63155. The crypto world started the year with a bang, with bitcoin BTCUSD touching a 21-month peak of $45,532 on rising expectations that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission would soon approve exchange-traded spot bitcoin funds.
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point