Cardano: Bottom Formation? 🌱Theoretically, the current sideways movement could already be a bottom formation, meaning that the price will soon take off to the upside. However, we will only be convinced of this scenario (25% likely) if the resistance at $0.81 is breached. Primarily, we believe that there should be a setback before the low of magenta wave (ii) is placed.
Chartanalysis
Bitcoin - The halving breakout!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Bitcoin.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
On the Bitcoin chart there are actually only three lines which you need to draw: First you have a horizontal structure at $16.000 which Bitcoin perfectly broke towards the upside with the last cycle in 2020. Furthermore Bitcoin is creating an ascending trendline - always rejecting towards the upside - and there is also a horizontal structure at the $67.000 level. Just don't get caught up in the short term moves.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
possible Head & shoulder patternthere is a possibility that nifty smallcap 250 can for a head and shoulder pattern here, which can bring it down by total of 11%, and 7.7% after the formation gets completed. It is very likely that the market will not complete this pattern, but just for awareness and availability of different perspective I wanted to post about it.
also, please do not take any decisions too quickly based on this as patterns are for very short term but in the long term I'm still very bullish on the midcap and smallcap index.
Bitcoin: Ready or not? 🤔The price of Bitcoin is currently making another attempt to rise. However, we are sticking to our primary assumption that our same-colored Target Zone (coordinates: $58,655 - $47,012) should be reached first as part of the green wave 4. As soon as the low is established, the price should then rise above the resistance at $73,462. If this level is exceeded earlier, we will have to locate the price in the green wave alt. 5 now.
S&P500: Breather 😮💨The momentum in the S&P500 chart slowed down yesterday. With a view to the upper price target, however, there should still be room for further expansion in the current phase of the turquoise wave 5. Once the high has been placed, a larger corrective movement is on the cards. Please note our alternative scenario (38% probable). This option suggests the possibility of an already intact wave-2 sell-off. This scenario will be activated if the price falls below the support level of 4964 points.
BTC simple chart analysis: price limitAfter seven bullish minor waves in H4 t.f., later on chart reached 65.5k with a HH shadow that hits 300% of previous candle putting fibo. inside of it, on coordinates 64500 and 64k. The red parallel channel shows where chart feel atracted. Combining this aspects I can assume chart will go bearish for the moment. Later on, it should reach 57k at least, completing volume correction. Then, it can go up if corrections are needed.
Canadian Dollar Futures Trading Plan and ExplanationAfter analyzing options trades on CME, we found a promising opportunity to short Canadian Dollar. The option contract is for April with an expiration date of April 5, 2024.
We noticed an interesting option portfolio on March 22 that aligns with the trigger level on the futures chart (refer to chart). A trigger level is a graphical pattern on the underlying asset that
prompts traders to take or avoid specific trading actions.
For the Canadian futures chart, the trigger level is the price breakdown of the local resistance at 0.7403-0.07406. Opening long positions at the breakdown point was encouraged by the bullish shape and intensity of the candlestick with minimal shadows. This level was attractive for making purchases for both chartists and adepts of candlestick analysis.
The study of options trading has revealed that these levels are useful for opening counter positions when the price reaches them. To execute this strategy, smart traders use naked options in advance, specifically PUT options with a strike of 0.74. By utilizing the leverage effect of options, traders can create substantial short positions on futures contracts while maintaining a risk-free position for a limited time.
IMPORTANT! We do not expect the price to move towards the strike level. Instead, we recommend using the obtained exchange data and analyzing it to gain an edge when opening a trade, providing a better starting point and improving the risk/reward ratio.
Nifty ready to bounce back?Nifty has been moving very well within the channel range in the daily time frame. 22,000 is an important support level in this channel, and it's holding it very well for now. Today's close shows bulls are back in with a fight. I wouldn't enter into any short trade right now, if you are holding shorts, its a good time to exit
Aurora: Almost there 🎯Aurora shares have almost reached our turquoise Target Zone, which is located between C$8.39 and C$5.63. We primarily assume that this Zone should be approached next in the course of the current wave C. The low of wave C should also mark the end of the higher-level wave (2) in magenta, which will then clear the way for the subsequent wave (3).
Polkadot: Test of Strength 💪DOT experienced a decline last week. However, we consider this to be primarily part of the internal substructure of the orange wave (iii), which should extend well above the resistance at $8.50. In the short term, further setbacks to our orange Target Zone (between $4.85 and $6.58) are theoretically possible, which is why we are keeping this range active.
GOLD heading for double top?We have seen price break from longterm triangle pattern and is now breaking out of a secondary flag pattern. We are surely bullish now and price is targeting the highs.
On the daily price has rejected the 50% fib level so I expect a double top to form if not more past that. But for now a double top.
Now we wait for further confirmation of the break and play for the up move.
Starbucks: Deeper! 🐳
Starbucks recently moved lower into our Target Zone (between $86.38 and $68.39), where we anticipate the low for wave (B) in dark green. In the short term, the only thing missing here should be the completion of the subordinate wave (c) in magenta. So, we still grant the stock the space to head closer to the 100.00% Fibonacci. However, it is also 35% likely that our Zone will be undercut. In this case, we would anticipate the low of the alternative wave alt. (B) a little lower in the chart. In any case, as soon as the $89.73 mark is crossed, that will be an important confirmation for a successful bottom formation.
GOLD Bulls targetPrice has bounced off the 50% fib level on the daily chart and has also broken out of the triangle pattern previously created.
Price currently sits at resistance so there are no clear long entries to play here that would be safe to take, but if price drops to previously lows, or creates a new higher high, then we can be waiting for the next leg towards the highs.
GBP/USD maintains upward despite dipping to 1.2550 post-US NFPThe British Pound continues its upward momentum against the US Dollar, however, there has been a decline below the 1.2550 mark after surging to a high in the past three weeks at 1.2634 following the release of the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report.
On the 4-hour chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has been trading above the 50 level and continues to trend upwards without any signs of change. This indicates stability and the continuation of the bullish trend in the market.
GBP/USD Trades Below 1.2550 After US Jobs ReportGBP/USD is struggling to maintain its upward momentum and is trading below the 1.2550 level in the US trading session. Earlier in the day, disappointing April employment report from the US triggered a sell-off in the US Dolla (USD) and helped this currency pair reach its highest level in weeks above 1.2600. The disparity in economic data between the US and the UK has led to significant fluctuations in the currency market, creating both opportunities and challenges for investors.
Looking at the chart, we can see that prices are trading around the Simple Moving Averages (SMA). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is trading above the 50 level, indicating that buying pressure remains dominant with no significant changes, a sign of normalization. This may suggest that the market is undergoing a period of stability after the recent intense fluctuations.
EUR/USD Holds Above 1.0750 Despite Weak US NFP ReportEUR/USD is striving to hold above 1.0750 despite extending its upward momentum to the day's high at 1.0800. The strength of this currency pair is being supported by weaker-than-expected US NFP report, fueling expectations for an early interest rate cut by the Fed.
Meanwhile, in the Eurozone, attention is focused on the European Central Bank (ECB), with many forecasts suggesting that the ECB will proceed with an interest rate cut in June, provided there are no surprises regarding inflation. This reflects concerns about the pace of price increases in the Eurozone, which are trending back towards desired levels.
BTCUSD Analysis (4th May 2024)
Crypto Analysis (4th May 2024)
BTCUSD Analysis
On the 4 hour timeframe, price action has swept the buyside liquidity and created a bearish BOS. There are 2 scenarios i am looking at currently.
1) Price rejects of the 4 hour OB and creates a 15 minute bearish Change of Character. Once it has done that, i will look for another 15 minute bearish BOS to confirm that the bearish orderflow on the 15 minute is aligned to the 4 hour bearishness.
2) Price continues bullish and breaks past the 4 hour OB. If that is the scenario, i want to see a body candle close above the OB, before looking for a break and retest on the 1 hour timeframe to potentially continue higher. Further confirmations like a 5 minute bullish CHOCH after the retest of the OB will give me more confidence to look for BUYS.
EUR/USD Soars After Disappointing US NFP DataEUR/USD continues to maintain its upward momentum as it surged to the 1.0800 level in Friday's US trading session, reflecting the weakness of the US Dollar following weaker-than-expected Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data.
Meanwhile, the ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data for ISM services in April also fell short of expectations. This fuels expectations for an earlier interest rate cut from the Fed.
Gold Continues Steadily Around $2,300The price of gold dropped to $2,227 following the release of the report on non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate. However, afterwards, gold continued to trade steadily and ended the session around $2,300.
While the price remains in a downward trend, there is potential for short-term recovery as it approaches the trendline. Nevertheless, if the price continues its downward trajectory, dipping to $2,300, there is a significant risk that the downward trend may persist strongly in the near future
XAUUSD: Gold Maintains Stability Around 2,300 USDGold recorded a slight increase to near $2,230 in Thursday's US trading session, amidst optimistic market sentiment, declining US treasury bond yields, and a weaker US dollar. In the Asian trading session on Friday, the price of gold continued to maintain stability, fluctuating around the $2,300 mark.
Based on technical analysis on the 4-hour chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) still remains below 50, indicating that the optimism is not yet fully stable. However, there are signs of recovery, with the RSI expected to rise to the Fibonacci 0.5-0.618 range. This presents an opportunity for further price increases, likely to attract the attention of investors.