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AUDUSD ~ Risk Off Sentiment: Stuck In Limbo into EOY (2H)FX_IDC:AUDUSD chart mapping/analysis. Aussie Dollarydoos struggling to regain bullish momentum after early December peak. Trading scenarios into EOY: Preliminary trading range = ~66.20 to ~65.25. Break above ~66.20 = regain bullish momentum. Bullish target(s) = re-test descending trend-line (white dotted) / upper range of ascending parallel channel (green). Break below ~65.25 = extend bearish capitulation. Bearish target(s) = 61.8% Fib / lower range of ascending parallel channel (green) confluence zone. 200SMA also acting as dynamic resistance, reinforcing bearish rollover. Major macro economic news this week = higher probability of implied volatile swings in either direction.
by BlueHatInvestor
US Oil ~ Macro Headwinds > Market Intervention (1H)TVC:USOIL chart mapping/analysis. Crude Oil reversing all gains manufactured by OPEC+ production cuts & Middle-East conflict premiums, while threatening to further capitulate due to growing macro headwinds leading into 2024.. Trading scenarios into EOY: Bullish resurgence = rally above horizontal resistance line (yellow dashed) into 23.6% Fib & upper range of descending parallel channel (white) / re-test ascending trend-lines (green dotted) confluence zone. Bearish continuation = break below previous low (~68.80) towards ~67 horizontal line (yellow dashed) / descending trend-line (light blue / lower range of descending parallel channel (white) confluence zone. Neutral scenario = further sideways chop until next OPEC+ catalyst / key macro economic development.
TVC:USOILShort
by BlueHatInvestor
Gold/XAUUSD ~ Blow-off Top Keeps On...Blowing? (2H)TVC:GOLD chart mapping/analysis. Gold's massive (algo-triggered) blow-off top killed the bullish momentum - pending further selling pressure if DXY/bond yields decide to rally into end of the year.. Trading scenarios into EOY: Selling pressure towards 50% Fib initial support zone. Bearish EOY capitulation target = Golden Pocket support zone. Expect any bullish reversal to be met with sellers, pending underlying relative strength in DXY/bond yields. 38.2% Fib / 200SMA confluence zone as potential target for short positioning, TBC.
TVC:GOLDShort
by BlueHatInvestor
1
US10Y vs. SPX ~ Inverse Correlation/Ratio Indicator (Dec 2023)TVC:US10Y versus SP:SPX inverse correlation analysis. Work in progress indicator for anticipating market trend switches. Notes: Emerging correlation identified within US10Y/SPX ratio. Spikes in ratio (orange vertical line, dotted) aka bond yield ROC/volatility = higher probability of risk-off sentiment (ie big tech & growth stock rotation). Correlation only valid when market is "hyper-sensitive" to bond market fluctuations, especially during recent US Fed undertaking rate hike cycle. Should be used in conjunction with other confluence factors to provide conviction in swing/position trades.
TVC:US10Y
by BlueHatInvestor
Copper ~ Help Me Obi-China, You're My Only Hope (2H)CAPITALCOM:COPPER chart mapping/analysis. Copper - off its October lows, yet still contending with global macro headwinds & China's difficulty in shaking off its deflationary economic funk.. Trading scenarios into EOY: Prelim trading range = ~3.93 - ~3.73. Under bearish pressure from 38.2% Fib rejections. Bullish reaction to China/macro economic news = bounce off lower range of parallel channel (green) + 200SMA confluence support / break above 38.2% Fib / break above ~3.93 upper trading range. Bullish extension target(s) = 50% Fib / upper range of parallel channel (green) confluence zone. Bearish reaction to China/macro economic news = break below ~3.73 lower trading range / lower range of parallel channel (green) / break underneath 200SMA, becoming dynamic resistance. Bearish extension target(s) = 23.6% Fib / lower range of descending parallel channel (light blue).
CAPITALCOM:COPPER
by BlueHatInvestor
Gold: Bearish Dominance 🐻The bears are currently not giving up control of the gold price and have caused strong sell-offs. Nevertheless, we primarily see this as part of the substructure of the turquoise wave B and expect the rally to continue soon. However, for this scenario to remain in tact, the reversal must take place above the support at $1935. Should this level be broken, the alternative with a probability of 40% would come into play, which sees the price already in a descent.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by MarketIntel
Anta Sports: Turning Point Reached 🛑The bears dominated Anta Sports' price action last week, causing further sell-offs. Given this development, we do not consider the magenta wave (x) to be over yet and give it some room to fall. However, the price should not fall too much further and especially not below the support level of HK$67.85. Above this level, the low should be reached and the bullish move in the form of the magenta-colored wave (y) should resume. On the other hand, a break below this level would trigger our alternative scenario, to which we assign a fairly high probability of 44%, which would entail a direct completion of the green wave (2).
HKEX:2020Long
by MarketIntel
🔥 GPBUSD BEARISH ANALYSIS 🎯🔥✅Hello traders what do you think about Gpbusd)? traders 1h tame frame see a bearish pattern channels breakout. rsl retet 1.26393 Down 👇 support levels ✅ 1.25222 now waiting. Same time Dollar steady as traders weigh labour data; yuan eases Dec 6, 202311:22 GMT+5 The dollar was near a two-week high against a basket of currencies on Wednesday as investors assessed U.S. economic data that showed a cooling labour market, while wagering the Federal Reserve will cut rates next year. The spotlight in Asia was on China, where the yuan extended losses as markets grappled with rating agency Moody's cut to the Asian giant's credit outlook. The dollar index DXY , which measures the U.S. currency against six rivals, was 0.029% lower at 103.93, having climbed 0.3% overnight. The index is up 0.5% this month, after sliding 3% in November, its steepest monthly decline in a year. Data on Tuesday showed U.S. job openings fell to more than a 2-1/2-year low in October, the strongest sign yet that higher interest rates were dampening demand for workers. Data also showed there were 1.34 vacancies for every unemployed person in October, the lowest since August 2021. Moh Siong Sim, currency strategist at Bank of Singapore, said the data indicated that the cooling of the labour market is on track. "It puts a lot of focus now on the non farm payrolls this Friday." The November jobs data will provide further clues on the labour market ahead of the Fed's policy meeting next week Fed officials are now in a blackout period ahead of the U.S. central bank’s Dec. 12-13 meeting, where a key focus will be the updated projections of where they see rates at in 2024. Dollar steady as traders weigh labour data; yuan eases Dec 6, 202311:22 GMT+5 The dollar was near a two-week high against a basket of currencies on Wednesday as investors assessed U.S. economic data that showed a cooling labour market, while wagering the Federal Reserve will cut rates next year. The spotlight in Asia was on China, where the yuan extended losses as markets grappled with rating agency Moody's cut to the Asian giant's credit outlook. The dollar index DXY , which measures the U.S. currency against six rivals, was 0.029% lower at 103.93, having climbed 0.3% overnight. The index is up 0.5% this month, after sliding 3% in November, its steepest monthly decline in a year. Data on Tuesday showed U.S. job openings fell to more than a 2-1/2-year low in October, the strongest sign yet that higher interest rates were dampening demand for workers. Data also showed there were 1.34 vacancies for every unemployed person in October, the lowest since August 2021. Moh Siong Sim, currency strategist at Bank of Singapore, said the data indicated that the cooling of the labour market is on track. "It puts a lot of focus now on the non farm payrolls this Friday." The November jobs data will provide further clues on the labour market ahead of the Fed's policy meeting next week Fed officials are now in a blackout period ahead of the U.S. central bank’s Dec. 12-13 meeting, where a key focus will be the updated projections of where they see rates at in 2024. Traders have priced in 99.7% chance of the Fed standing pat next week but a 56% chance of the central bank cutting rates in March, according to CME's FedWatch tool. They have also priced in at least 125 basis points worth of cuts next year. (FEDWATCH) Mitra said there could be a snapback should the Fed drive home the message more forcefully that it is not about to cut rates anytime soon.
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
Quant: At the crossroads 🚦🛣️Considering last week's rise, which briefly pushed Quant's price above its November highs, we now believe that the overarching magenta wave (ii) has come to an end. Accordingly, the coin should already be working on the first steps of the subsequent upward movement, which we have broken down. Primarily, we consider wave ii in orange to have already ended, but if the resistance at $109.81 is not overcome, this would activate our 45% probable alternative. In this case, a fall to the orange Target Zone between $97.14 and $89.89 would be on the cards.
BINANCE:QNTUSDLong
by MarketIntel
1
EURUSD Back Under PressureHi Traders! EURUSD is now under pressure following the NFP report. Momentum is now back with the US dollar, and further downside momentum looks very likely. Here are the details: The market is trending down following the break and close below the 20 EMA. There is a possibility of the market going back below the 1.07 handle. Preferred Direction: Sell Entry Level: 1.07458 Stop Level: 1.07961 Target Level: 1.06453 Technical Indicators: 20 EMA Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps. Trade safely and responsibly.
Short
by BluetonaFX
9