Reversal Trade - Godfrey PhilipGodfrey Philip
This stock is forming good Weekly Tighter Close. Let's wait & check out how it behaves this week.
17 Feb Week Rejection is alarming.
No follow through to that rejection in last week. This week is defending last weekly low so far.
Highly Risky Trade, Rs.600, I am targeting 10% i.e. 24 Feb 25 Weekly High.
This is not a Buy Reco, Do your own Diligence. This is purely for educational purpose.
Chartanalysis
Zscaler: BalancedZS has seen buyers and sellers largely balancing each other recently, preventing any significant moves in either direction. As a result, we continue to place the stock in a corrective rally as part of the magenta wave , with its high anticipated above the $259.61 resistance. However, if the price falls below the $153.70 support, the ongoing corrective structure will extend further, with the turquoise wave alt.X establishing a new low. This alternative scenario carries a 35% probability.
Silver Climbs on Weak Inflation DataSilver surged toward $33.90 an ounce, its highest since late October with ongoing trade tensions and rising Fed rate cut expectations after weak U.S. inflation data.
Trump threatened 200% tariffs on European wines in response to the EU’s 50% tariff on U.S. whiskey, further heightening market uncertainty. U.S. producer prices remained flat in February in the meantime, consumer inflation rose just 0.2%, and jobless claims declined, signaling a resilient labor market.
If silver breaks above $34.00, the next resistance levels are $34.85 and $35.00. On the downside, support is at $33.80, with further levels at $33.15 and $32.75 if selling pressure increases.
Gold's Record Week: $2,980 MilestoneGold surged above $2,980 per ounce, hitting a record and heading for a 2% weekly gain as risk aversion and Fed rate cut expectations grew. Trump escalated trade tensions, threatening a 200% tariff on European wines after the EU's 50% tax on U.S. whiskey.
February's PPI and CPI data showed easing inflation, increasing Fed flexibility for rate cuts, and raising gold's appeal. Strong ETF inflows and continued central bank purchases, with China extending its buying for a fourth month, further supported prices.
Key resistance stands at 3000, with further levels at 3045 and 3100. Support is at 2980, followed by 2916 and 2885.
Euro Climbs on German Deal, Awaits Fitch RatingThe euro climbed toward $1.09, nearing its highest since early November, as Germany agreed on debt reform and increased spending. Chancellor-elect Friedrich Merz secured a deal with the Green and Social Democrat parties ahead of next week’s parliamentary vote.
Markets await Fitch’s rating decision on France, which is due after Friday’s close. Meanwhile, trade tensions rose as Trump threatened a 200% tariff on European wines in response to the EU’s tax on American whiskey. On geopolitics, Trump called his talks with Putin on Ukraine “very good,” expressing optimism for a resolution.
Key resistance is at 1.0950, followed by 1.1000 and 1.1050. Support stands at 1.0800, with further levels at 1.0730 and 1.0650.
Yen Gains on Rate Hike ExpectationsThe Japanese yen traded around 148.6 per dollar on Monday, near a five-month high, as expectations for BOJ rate hikes remained strong. However, the central bank is expected to keep its policy unchanged in this week’s meeting.
Major Japanese firms approved wage hikes for the third year, boosting consumer spending and inflation, and potentially allowing future rate increases. The yen also gained from dollar weakness as US economic concerns and trade policies pushed investors toward safe-haven currencies like the yen and Swiss franc.
Key resistance is at 149.20, with further levels at 152.00 and 154.90. Support stands at 147.00, followed by 145.80 and 143.00.
Is Shell Ready to Break Through Key Resistance on Its 5th Try..?🚨 Shell's 5th Attempt to Break Resistance at 0.3380 🚨
Shell is currently testing the key resistance level of 0.3380 for the 5th time. 🔥 Here's what to watch for:
📈 Strategy:
Wait for a breakout on the 4-hour timeframe. If Shell sustains above **0.3380**, we could enter a long position on the retest.
🎯 Targets:
First target: 0.4000
Second target: 0.4500
Keep an eye on this level—could be a big move ahead! 🚀
Gold (XAU/USD) – Head & Shoulders Pattern Analysis**📈 Gold (XAU/USD) – Head & Shoulders Pattern Analysis**
This chart represents the **Gold Spot (XAU/USD) 1-hour timeframe** and shows a potential **Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern**, which is a bearish reversal signal. Let's break it down:
**🛠 Key Elements of the Chart:**
1. **📉 Head & Shoulders Formation (Bearish Sign)**
- **Left Shoulder**: Price makes a peak, then retraces.
- **Head (ATH – All-Time High at ~$3,005)**: The highest point before pulling back.
- **Right Shoulder**: Another peak, lower than the head, indicating weakness.
- **Neckline (Support Zone)**: Marked in red. A breakdown below this level confirms the pattern.
2. **📊 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)**
- **EMA50 (Black Line)**: Indicates medium-term trend support.
- Price is testing this moving average, which acts as a dynamic support level.
3. **🔴 Resistance & Support Zones**
- **Resistance (Green Box near ATH)**: Selling pressure is strong at these levels.
- **Support (Red Zones)**: Price could test these areas if the H&S pattern plays out.
4. **📉 Bearish Projection (Blue Arrow)**
- If price **breaks below the neckline (~$2,974)**, it could drop to the next major support at **$2,940–$2,920**.
5. **📈 Bullish Scenario (Gray Arrow)**
- If price **rebounds from EMA50 and the support zone**, it could attempt another rally towards **$3,005 and beyond**.
### **📌 Trading Implications:**
✅ **Bearish Breakdown:**
- Sell below **$2,974** with targets at **$2,950–$2,920**.
- Confirmation comes from increased volume on breakdown.
✅ **Bullish Reversal:**
- If price holds above EMA50 and **breaks $2,990**, it could **retest ATH at $3,005+**.
- Strong buying interest could push gold to **$3,020–$3,050** in a risk-off environment.
### **🔎 Conclusion:**
📊 **Gold is at a critical level**—watch for a **breakout or breakdown** confirmation. A confirmed **H&S breakdown** could signal a retracement, while a **bounce above EMA50** keeps the **bullish trend intact**. 🚀💰 #XAUUSD
GBPJPY Trade Analysis**GBP/JPY 15-minute chart**
**Trade Analysis & Idea:**
📉 **Previous Downtrend**: The pair experienced a strong drop before finding support around **191.400**.
📈 **Current Recovery**: Price is now rebounding and trading above short-term moving averages (blue & red EMA).
🔄 **Resistance Zone**: The **192.000 - 192.200** area may act as resistance for further upside.
### **Potential Trade Setups:**
1️⃣ **Bullish Continuation**:
- If price **breaks & closes above 192.000**, we could see further upside towards **192.400 - 192.600**.
- A strong candle close above resistance would confirm bullish momentum.
2️⃣ **Rejection & Pullback**:
- If price struggles to hold above 192.000, a pullback toward **191.700 - 191.500** is possible.
- Look for **bearish candlestick patterns** (e.g., rejection wicks, engulfing candles) to confirm a short opportunity.
### **Risk Management:**
✅ Secure partial profits at key levels.
✅ Use **tight stop-loss** below **191.700** for longs or above **192.200** for shorts.
ETH/USDT – Ascending channel. Breakdown below support?Ethereum - is a smart contract platform that allows developers to build decentralized applications (DApps) on its blockchain.
CoinMarketCap : #2
↗️ Ethereum is moving within an ascending channel, and the bullish trend remains intact.
Inside the channel, there are two triangles.
The first triangle, with a base of 88%, has played out—its third wave broke through the triangle.
Liquidity grabs and shakeouts before the growth in the inner channel zones are marked with yellow circles.
Currently, we see a mirrored situation with a new triangle, this time with a 156% base. However, if this pattern plays out, it will break the ascending channel.
At the moment, the price has been dragged below the channel support, and there is a lot of negative sentiment in the news and opinions. Few believe in an upward move, and many have been liquidated. To me, this looks like a strong trigger.
⤵️The bearish scenario implies a -61% drop. (A less likely scenario.)
I've marked everything on the chart—consider this in your trading strategy. Remember, there's a lot of negativity around Ethereum, just like with all altcoins...
I also believe that on the monthly chart, it will end up being just a wick of the candle.
SCRT/USDT – Testing support. Will the scenario repeat?Secret - is a privacy-focused blockchain built on Cosmos. Its smart contracts, called Secret Contracts, enable DApps to utilize private data on Secret, similar to how smart contracts function on other blockchains. However, Secret Contracts transmit encrypted data through encrypted channels without exposing it. This is made possible by encrypting the contract state during execution.
All the charts are cropped, so I found a more complete historical chart of the coin and overlaid it to the left.
This coin has dropped by approximately -98% since its distribution. To put it in perspective, if you had invested $1,000 , you would now have only $20 …
We observe a formation resembling an internal channel (120%) and an external channel (280%) . The price is once again being squeezed near support at the lowest price zones available on Binance (where the main liquidity is).
My previous trading idea played out successfully in three zones .
Profit from the time of publication to the squeeze: +270%.
The price is moving within a descending channel , but at the same time, the sideways range I previously anticipated is also forming. Here, it’s crucial to adapt to the situation.
Right now, the entire market is experiencing a pullback toward support levels .
I've marked potential final liquidity grab zones on the chart—consider these in your trading strategy.
Also, I want to highlight how negative the news sentiment is at the moment. No one believes in a rally. But that's exactly how it always looks in similar price reversal zones !)))
CVX/USDT – Is the scenario repeating? Continuing to work.The previous trading idea has played out with 3 out of 4 marked zones reached.
We saw a false breakout from the descending channel, followed by a pullback in line with the overall market—returning to the channel’s support zone.
I’ve noticed a potential formation of either a diamond pattern or an expanding triangle, but we’ll see how it plays out further.
Regarding declines and support zones:
-10.71% drop to the support of the descending channel.
-26.27% drop to the anticipated support of the expanding triangle.
-50% drop, likely as a squeeze under extremely negative news.
Regarding growth and resistance zones:
+65% rise to the resistance of the internal channel.
+110% rise to the resistance of the external channel (and if a diamond pattern forms, then its boundary).
+246% rise as a second attempt to break out of the descending channel.
+440% rise as a potential realization of diamond pattern pricing (if it forms).
All of this should be factored into your trading strategy, even the less likely scenarios.
I'll share the execution of the previous trading idea in my TG. I've also marked it on the chart.
#WUSDT is setting up for a breakout📉 Long BYBIT:WUSDT.P from $0,08897
🛡 Stop loss $0,1985
1h Timeframe
⚡ Plan:
➡️ Waiting for consolidation near resistance and increased buying activity before the breakout.
➡️ Expecting an impulsive upward move as buy orders accumulate.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP 1: $0,09275
💎 TP 2: $0,09465
💎 TP 3: $0,09566
🚀 BYBIT:WUSDT.P is setting up for a breakout—preparing for an upward move!
BTC/USDT Trade Setup & Analysis – Key Support Bounce & TargetsSupport: The lower purple zone indicates a strong support level where the price has bounced.
Resistance: The upper purple zone marks a resistance area where price has been rejected multiple times.
2. Moving Averages:
200 EMA (Blue): At 82,800.42, acting as dynamic resistance.
30 EMA (Red): At 82,090.72, indicating short-term trend direction.
3. Trade Setup:
A long position is planned from the current support level.
Entry: Around 80,026.98 (near support).
Stop Loss: Around 76,980.09 (below support).
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 81,636.34
TP2: 82,800.42 (near 200 EMA)
TP3: 84,481.83
TP4: 86,260.26
Final Target: 88,297.36
4. Conclusion:
The setup expects a bounce from support with a target back towards resistance levels.
Breaking 82,800 (200 EMA) is crucial for further bullish momentum.
If the price falls below 80,000, the setup might get invalidated.
Would you like a deeper breakdown on any part? 🚀
Solana: Precision Landing?!Solana extended its sell-off and reached our blue long Target Zone between $117.73 and $40.43. The price then reacted right at the $109.89 support level, indicating that the low of the green wave 2 has been settled. Thus, the next step should involve a strong rally driven by the green wave 3, ultimately pushing SOL well beyond the $295.31 resistance and past its current all-time high. However, our Target Zone remains active, as there is a 40% chance that the price could revisit this range to complete the blue alternative wave (ii) below the $109.89 mark.
GOLD ROAD MAP 3000 TO WATERFALL ALERT!🔥 Attention Traders! 🔥
XAUUSD is on fire! 🔥 Here's the latest update:
🔻 Bearish Outlook: Watch out for a potential drop if price falls below 2979. Targets: 2940 & 2960.
🔺 Bullish Outlook: A breakout above 2989 could lead to buying opportunities! Watch for targets: 3000 & 3020.
📈 Stay Tuned: Share your thoughts and strategies as we navigate this golden market! Let's hit new highs! 💰🚀
Bullish Pullback (Bullish Flag) or Trend Reversal**EUR/CAD (4H) Chart Pattern Analysis** 📊
Based on the **4-hour chart**, here’s a breakdown of the **current market structure and potential trade setups**:
**🔍 Chart Pattern: Bullish Pullback or Trend Reversal?**
- **Trend:** The market has been in a **strong uptrend**, with price consistently trading above the **50 EMA (yellow line)**.
- **Recent Pullback:** The price has retraced slightly after making a **higher high**, but it is still respecting the **21 EMA (purple line)** and **50 EMA (yellow line)**.
- **Possible Pattern Formation:**
- **Bullish Flag:** If the price consolidates and breaks above **1.5700**, we could see **continuation to new highs**.
- **Double Top Reversal:** If the price fails to break above resistance and drops below **1.5525**, the trend might reverse.
**📈 Bullish Scenario (Trend Continuation)**
✅ **Entry:** Buy on break and close above **1.5700**
✅ **Stop Loss (SL):** Below **1.5620** (recent support)
✅ **Take Profit (TP):**
- **TP1:** 1.5750
- **TP2:** 1.5800
- **TP3:** 1.5850 (extended target)
📌 **Confirmation Needed:**
- Strong bullish candle closing above **7 EMA & 21 EMA**
- Volume increase on breakout
---
**📉 Bearish Scenario (Trend Reversal)**
❌ **Entry:** Sell if price drops below **1.5525**
❌ **Stop Loss (SL):** Above **1.5650**
❌ **Take Profit (TP):**
- **TP1:** 1.5480
- **TP2:** 1.5400
- **TP3:** 1.5350 (major demand zone)
📌 **Confirmation Needed:**
- **Break of 50 EMA** with strong bearish momentum
- Increased selling volume
---
**📊 Summary**
🔹 **Trend is still bullish**, but price needs to hold above 21 & 50 EMA for continuation.
🔹 **Key Level:** **1.5700 for bullish breakout** OR **1.5525 for bearish reversal**.
🔹 **Wait for confirmation before entering a trade!**
Gold Rallies Past $2,980 as Trade and Inflation Risks MountGold surged above $2,980 per ounce on Friday, hitting a record high and poised for a 2% weekly gain amid risk aversion and rising Fed rate cut expectations. Trump escalated trade tensions, threatening a 200% tariff on European wines after the EU imposed a 50% tax on U.S. whiskey. February's PPI and CPI data signaled easing inflation, increasing Fed flexibility for rate cuts and boosting gold’s appeal. Strong ETF inflows and continued central bank purchases, with China extending its buying for a fourth month, further supported prices.
Key resistance stands at $2,985, with further levels at $3000 and $3,050. Support is at $2,930, followed by $2,900 and $2,860.
Sterling Struggles Amid Risk Aversion and US Tariff ThreatsGBP/USD extends its decline for the second consecutive session, hovering around 1.2940 during Friday's Asian trading hours. The currency pair faces difficulties as the Pound Sterling (GBP) weakens due to a negative risk sentiment, which has been further worsened by worries over global trade following US President Donald Trump's threat to impose a 200% tariff on European wines and champagne, creating market instability.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.2980, the next resistance levels are 1.3050 and 1.3100. On the downside, support stands at 1.2860, with further levels at 1.2760 and 1.2660 if selling pressure increases.
NEWS MOVE ALERT PPI AND UNEMPLOYEEMENT CLAIM.🚨 Gold Trading Update 🚨
Hey Traders! 👋
Here's the current scenario: Gold is heading towards the 2950-2955 level. Expect a possible fake-out, followed by a sharp drop. 📉
🔍 Key Insight: There’s an FVG on the H1 chart, signaling a potential sell-off before we see another GOLD rally. 🚀
Today’s News: PPI report 📊 drops, so expect a significant market move! Gold might respect the FVG and target these levels for a potential buy:
👉 2970
👉 2980
👉 3000
⚠️ Tip: Follow my strategy and always use proper risk management with a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio. 💡
Happy Trading! 💰📈