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BTCUSD HTF cycle analysis Hi, I’m from Phoenix FX, and today I’ll be sharing my perspective on Bitcoin (BTC) price action based on the higher timeframes. I’ll also give you my outlook on potential trade setups for today and tomorrow. Please remember that this is not financial advice—use this information as a guide only. If you find it helpful, don’t forget to like and share it with your like-minded communities. Higher Timeframe Analysis In my view, BTC tends to follow clear bullish and bearish cycle zones. Typically, we see a pump to new all-time highs (ATH), followed by the formation of resistance and a retracement down to a key support level. Our trading approach focuses on identifying those critical support and resistance levels, with some interim trades based on shorter-term analysis—occasionally even counter-trend, depending on the day’s market bias. Over the past eight years, BTC has respected a major trend resistance line. The most recent ATH, around $112K, reconfirmed the relevance of this trendline. This makes it a valuable tool for projecting future ATH levels. Looking ahead, I expect a move towards the $115K level in the coming weeks. This would likely act as a point of resistance, at which stage we might see a reversal and a drop back down to a key support zone. Trade Setup The chart I'm referencing highlights what I would consider the first premium buy zone, identified using a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG). The 50% level of this zone sits at $99,450. If this zone fails to hold, we may drop further to the secondary premium buy zone, which aligns with our higher timeframe (HTF) trend support and a weekly FVG. The 50% level of this deeper zone is around $89,150. A potential long entry at $92,550, with a stop loss around $88,000, offers an excellent risk-to-reward (RR) ratio, targeting a move up to the $115K level. Intraday Outlook For today, I see bearish price action, with potential rejection around the $104,300–$105,000 range. Go short around the $104,750 to $105,000 zone This could lead to a move down toward the lower key zones highlighted in the HTF analysis. I recommend taking partial profits (TP) at every $1,000 increment and setting your stop loss to breakeven (BE) after hitting the first target. Final Thoughts Price action analysis is always subjective, so I’d love to hear your thoughts and ideas in the comments—each one, teach one. Thanks for giving me some of your time. From the Phoenix FX team, have a great weekend!
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by PFXteam
1
Tesla: Completed!TSLA has moved somewhat closer to the resistance at $373.04 since our last update, but these gains have now been tempered. We now consider the turquoise wave 4 as finished and anticipate imminent sell-offs during wave 5. These should eventually complete the magenta wave (3) of a larger downward impulse below the support at $215.01. However, due to recent upward momentum, we have increased the relevance of our alternative scenario. We now consider it 38% likely that the stock has already completed the large correction of the blue wave alt.(II) with the last significant low and will continue to rise directly during wave alt.(III). In this case, the price would next not only rise above the nearby resistance at $373.04 but also overcome the higher levels at $405.54 and $488.50. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by MarketIntel
PepsiCo: In the Target ZonePepsiCo is currently trading in the middle of our active Long Target Zone (coordinates: $133.53 – $125.10). Although all technical requirements for the correction of wave a in beige have already been met here, we still see some remaining downward potential for the subordinate wave 5 in turquoise within our Target Zone. There's even a 36% chance that the price will fall below our Target Zone as part of the beige wave alt.a , which is relevant for any stop-loss orders and could potentially cause a significant short-term drop. In both our scenarios, however, we expect significant increases after the wave a low. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
NASDAQ:PEP
by MarketIntel
BEST XAUUSD M30 BUY & SELL SETUP FOR TODAY 📉📊 Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Outlook – Key Decision Zone Incoming! ⚠️📈 Gold prices are currently testing a crucial support zone around 3,251, following a strong bearish momentum. As shown on the M30 chart, the market is now at a make-or-break level, where two potential scenarios could unfold: either a bullish reversal toward the 3,280–3,300 area if price holds and confirms support ✅, or a bearish continuation if the level breaks, pushing price lower toward 3,220 or beyond ❌. Traders should watch for price action signals and wait for a clear breakout or strong bounce confirmation before entering any trades 🧠🔍. This is a high-volatility reaction zone — trade smart! 🎯📉📈
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldenTradeInsights
2
BEST GOLD M30 BUY SETUP FOR TODAY📉 Gold is currently showing signs of a potential pullback towards the key demand zone around 3,290–3,285 marked in purple. This area has previously acted as a strong support and could trigger a bullish reversal if price reacts positively here. 🟪 Once the price enters this zone and forms a bullish confirmation (like a rejection wick or bullish engulfing candle), we could see a strong upward move targeting 3,320+ 📈. Traders should stay alert for buying opportunities from this zone and avoid chasing the price before a clear confirmation! 🎯⚡
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldenTradeInsights
Fed Minutes and Tariff Delay Support SilverSilver traded near $33.15 on Thursday, steady after Fed minutes showed a cautious rate stance amid economic uncertainty and trade tensions. The Fed held rates at 4.25%–4.5%, awaiting clearer data. Bond market volatility and questions about the dollar’s role weighed on sentiment. Silver remains under pressure from trade risks but gains support from being undervalued versus gold and a fifth year of global supply deficits. Markets now await US GDP and PCE data. Trump’s delay of the EU tariff and Brussels’ pledge to speed talks slightly increased risk sentiment. The first critical support for gold is seen at 33.80 and the first resistance is located at 32.30.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by ChartMage
Sterling Holds Ahead of U.S. GDPGBP/USD trades near 1.3435 on Thursday, pressured by a stronger US Dollar after a court blocked Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs, ruling he lacked authority to impose them. Markets now await preliminary US Q1 GDP data. Fed minutes showed rising uncertainty, with policymakers favoring a cautious, steady rate path. In the UK, food inflation rose for a fourth month, prompting Barclays to delay its rate cut forecast to February 2026, which may support the Pound. The first critical support for gold is seen at 1.3425 and the first resistance is located at 1.3600.
by ChartMage
Gold: Primarily HigherIn our primary scenario, we expect gold to set a new all-time high as part of the ongoing beige wave I. To achieve this, the price should soon generate more upward momentum during the subordinate light green wave 5 and surpass the current all-time high from April 22. Once the wave I cycle has concluded at higher levels, we anticipate the start of a new bearish phase. However, there remains a 40% chance that the precious metal has already completed the beige wave alt.I and is now entering a fresh downward cycle. Under this alternative scenario, the price would break directly below the supports at $3,123 and $2,970. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
COMEX:GC1!
by MarketIntel
3
S&P500: Top Within ReachThe S&P has recently continued its upward movement, climbing higher into the magenta-colored Short Target Zone between 5,880 and 6,166 points. Primarily, we expect the top of the current wave (X) in magenta within this price range, after which a downtrend should follow with wave (Y). This final phase of the magenta three-part movement should lead the index into the green Long Target Zone between 4,988 and 4,763 points, completing the overarching green wave there. A rise above the upper boundary of the Target Zone and a breach of resistance at 6,675 points would trigger our alternative scenario. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by MarketIntel
BEST XAUUSD M3 BUY AND SELL SETUP FOR TODAY 📊✨ Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Outlook – 30-Min Chart ✨📉 Price is currently trading within a rising channel after a bounce from the marked reversal zone 💜, suggesting a short-term bullish trend 📈. However, the chart outlines two key scenarios: if price breaks out upward, we may see a move towards the 3,366 resistance zone 🔼. Conversely, if the channel fails and price breaks downward, a retest of the reversal zone could trigger a deeper bearish move 📉, potentially targeting the 3,300 area or lower. Traders should watch for confirmation at key levels and react accordingly — not predict impulsively. 🧠⚖️📍
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldenTradeInsights
Polygon: More (short-term) Upward PotentialFor Polygon’s POL, we primarily expect further corrective rises during the blue wave (iv), but below the $0.51 mark, renewed sell-offs should take over. These declines should then drive the price down below the support at $0.15, allowing the large wave to reach its conclusion there. Our alternative scenario – where the low of wave alt. in green would be already behind us (probability: 33%) – is still relevant. This scenario would be reinforced with a jump above the resistance at $0.51 but only finally confirmed with increases above the next higher level at $0.76. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
CRYPTOCOM:POLUSD
by MarketIntel
IBM: Bullish AttemptsIBM has made progress in our scenario: Currently, the price is rising above the crucial resistance at $265.72; clearly surpassing this mark is important in the ongoing wave (3) in magenta. While we cannot entirely remove our alternative scenario with a new low for wave alt. in green, it still holds a 33% probability. We primarily expect that the regular wave in green was already completed at $211.52 and are therefore preparing for a direct continuation of the increases in the broader wave in green. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
NYSE:IBMLong
by MarketIntel
EUR/CAD Bearish Flag Breakdown Toward Fibonacci SuppAnalysis 1. **Trend Breakdown:** * The chart shows a clear **bearish structure** developing after a strong rally to the 1.58800 area (Fibonacci 1.618 extension level). * Two upward trendlines were broken successively, confirming bearish momentum. 2. **Fibonacci Levels:** * The retracement from 1.58800 down to the 0.382 level (1.54586) has held significant importance. * Price action is respecting the **Fibonacci retracement zones**, with rejection near the 0.786 and 1.0 levels (1.56915 - 1.57109). 3. **Bearish Flag Pattern:** * A small **bearish flag/pennant** formed after a strong drop, which has now broken downward. * This confirms the **continuation of the bearish move**. 4. **Volume Confirmation:** * Volume spikes during the initial sell-off and again on recent bearish candles suggest **strong selling interest**. 5. **Trade Setup (Marked on Chart):** * **Entry:** Near 1.56443 * **Stop-Loss:** Around 1.57109 (just above recent highs) * **Target:** Around 1.54848–1.54500 zone, aligning with prior demand and 0.382 Fib level --- **Conclusion:** The chart signals a high-probability **short setup**, backed by a break of structure, Fibonacci confluence, bearish flag breakdown, and volume. A continued decline toward the 1.54500–1.54800 region is likely, provided the price stays below 1.57100.
Short
by KingProTrader
NetEase: Upward Surge!NTES generated a strong upward impulse, surging nearly 15% higher, including a gap-up. This brought the stock noticeably closer to the high of the green wave , which should ideally form just below the resistance at $134.44. After this peak, we anticipate significant sell-offs down to the $53.09 support level, where the beige wave II should conclude. Since a sustainable uptrend should follow this low, we have highlighted a magenta Target Zone (coordinates: $59.67 – $27.95), which is suitable for long entries. Once the zone is completed, the price should reach levels above the resistance at $134.44 during the subordinate green wave . This mark also plays a role in our alternative scenario (probability: 38%). If the price rises above the $134.44 resistance without previously reaching the Target Zone, we will have to consider an alternative corrective wave structure, with the price currently in the green wave alt. . 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
NASDAQ:NTES
by MarketIntel
Apple: Wave [2] Correction We now consider the dark green wave to be complete and thus place AAPL in the intermediate corrective movement of wave , which can be further subdivided into waves (A), (B), and (C) in magenta. Currently, only the last part of this (C) wave should be missing before the next impulsive uptrend unfolds towards the previous all-time high. We must still weigh our alternative scenario with a 34% probability: If the price falls below support at $168, this scenario with a new low for the blue wave alt.(IV) would be confirmed, although in this case, the price should not fall significantly below our previous Target Zone. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by MarketIntel