BTUSDT Analysis 01.04.2025, W- pattern HI,
W- pattern formed in 30 min Time frame ,
Do not ask for Buy or Sell tips .
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Chartanalysis
#TRUMPUSDT — Breakdown or Reversal Confirmation🚀 BYBIT:TRUMPUSDT.P — Breakdown or Reversal Confirmation? Full Breakdown on 1H & 4H!
Let’s start by analyzing the charts on different timeframes:
✅ On the 1H chart , we clearly see a reversal pattern — Inverted Head & Shoulders — and the neckline breakout has already occurred. The volume on the breakout is high, which confirms the strength of the signal.
➡️ The target for this pattern is around $10.75–$10.80, which also aligns with the upper VPOC level from the previous range.
➡️ The POC level for BYBIT:TRUMPUSDT.P is $10.159, which may now act as support — this can be a potential entry zone.
➡️ Nearest resistance is at $10.40. A breakout above this level could trigger an impulse move towards $10.75–$10.80.
✅ On the 4H chart , a bearish flag is forming, which could potentially push the price lower — but this scenario hasn't played out yet.
➡️ There's also a local double bottom, confirmed by a price bounce. A retest of the flag’s lower boundary will be a key moment.
Let’s break down the patterns:
✅ 1. Inverted Head & Shoulders (1H) – A classic bottom reversal formation.
➡️ The neckline breakout occurred on increased volume — a key confirmation for a long setup.
✅ 2. Volume (Volume Profile & Bars) – Strong volume spike during the breakout confirms buyer interest.
✅ 3. Price broke out of consolidation – We’ve seen an impulsive breakout and the price is holding above the neckline.
✅ 4. Local Market Structure Break (MSB) – A shift from local downtrend to an emerging uptrend.
📍 Key Point: If the price holds above $10.40, this confirms a breakout from the descending channel, increasing the chance of reaching $10.75–$11.00.
📍 Price must also stay above $10.15 and not fall back into the previous range. A retest and bounce from this level would serve as further confirmation.
📢 If the price drops back below $10.15 and breaks $9.87, the “Inverted Head & Shoulders” pattern will be invalidated. In that case, a bearish trend will likely resume and a short toward $9.50–$9.00 could be considered.
📢 On the 4H chart, the risk of the bearish flag playing out still remains. We are monitoring the structure closely — a sharp pullback is possible.
📢 The volume zone around $10.15–$10.20 is key. As long as the price stays above it — the long scenario remains dominant.
🚀 As of now, BYBIT:TRUMPUSDT.P has strong technical reasons to support a long bias, especially if it holds above $10.40 — that would open the door to $10.75–$11.00.
Risks remain — particularly around the 4H bearish flag — but for now, bullish momentum prevails.
🚀 BYBIT:TRUMPUSDT.P still holds upside reversal potential — LONG scenario remains the priority!
Triangle Breakout in JPY/USD – Bullish Move Ahead?This TradingView chart represents a detailed technical analysis setup for the Japanese Yen (JPY) against the U.S. Dollar (USD). The main focus of the chart is a symmetrical triangle pattern breakout, a common formation that signals potential price movement.
In this detailed breakdown, we will analyze the following aspects:
Technical Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle Formation
Support and Resistance Levels
Breakout Confirmation
Trading Setup Explanation
Risk Management Strategy
Market Expectations (Bullish & Bearish Scenarios)
Conclusion & Trading Plan
1. Technical Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle Formation
The chart showcases a symmetrical triangle, which is a continuation pattern that typically occurs in trending markets. It indicates a period of consolidation where buyers and sellers struggle for dominance, leading to an eventual breakout.
Characteristics of the Symmetrical Triangle in This Chart:
Converging Trendlines:
The upper trendline (resistance) is sloping downward, showing lower highs.
The lower trendline (support) is sloping upward, showing higher lows.
Apex Formation:
As the price moves closer to the triangle's apex, volatility decreases, creating a squeeze effect.
Breakout Possibility:
Once price reaches a critical point, a breakout is expected in either direction.
Why is This Pattern Important?
Symmetrical triangles suggest that the market is indecisive, but once a breakout occurs, it can trigger a strong price movement.
Traders wait for the breakout direction to confirm the trade before entering a position.
2. Key Support and Resistance Levels
Support and resistance levels are crucial for identifying potential entry, stop-loss, and target areas.
Resistance Level:
A horizontal resistance zone (highlighted in beige) is drawn at the top.
This zone represents historical price rejection levels, where sellers have previously stepped in.
A confirmed breakout above this level would indicate strong bullish momentum.
Support Level:
The lower support zone (marked in blue) acts as a buying interest area.
Price has bounced off this zone multiple times, confirming it as a strong support level.
A break below this zone would signal a bearish reversal.
Trendline Support:
The lower boundary of the symmetrical triangle also acts as dynamic support.
If price respects this trendline, it suggests bullish strength leading to a breakout.
3. Breakout Confirmation & Market Reaction
The most important part of the setup is the breakout, which occurs when the price successfully moves beyond the triangle's trendline resistance.
Key Observations from the Chart:
Breakout Zone:
The breakout occurs near the right edge of the triangle (circled in red).
The price breaks above the upper trendline, confirming a bullish breakout.
Confirmation Candle:
A bullish candle follows the breakout, confirming buying pressure.
Traders should wait for a retest of the trendline before entering.
Volume Consideration:
Strong breakout moves are typically accompanied by a rise in volume, increasing the likelihood of follow-through.
4. Trading Setup Explanation
This trade follows a trend-following breakout strategy, where traders capitalize on price momentum after confirmation.
Entry Point:
The ideal entry is just above the breakout candle.
Traders can also wait for a retest of the broken trendline before entering.
Stop Loss Placement:
The stop loss is placed slightly below the previous swing low at 0.006652.
This prevents excessive drawdowns in case of a false breakout.
Profit Target Calculation:
The profit target is set at 0.006795, which is calculated based on:
The height of the triangle formation projected from the breakout point.
The next major resistance level, aligning with historical price action.
5. Risk Management Strategy
Risk management is a critical component of any trading strategy. Here’s how it is applied in this setup:
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR):
A good trade setup maintains an RRR of at least 2:1.
If the stop loss is 33 pips (0.000033) and the target is 112 pips (0.000112), the RRR is 3:1, making this a high-probability trade.
Position Sizing Consideration:
Risk per trade should be limited to 1-2% of the total account balance.
Leverage should be used cautiously, as breakouts can sometimes retest the breakout zone before continuing.
6. Market Expectations (Bullish & Bearish Scenarios)
Bullish Scenario (Successful Breakout):
✅ If price sustains above the breakout level, it will likely continue to rally toward the target at 0.006795.
✅ A strong bullish momentum candle would confirm further buying pressure.
✅ If volume supports the breakout, trend continuation is highly probable.
Bearish Scenario (False Breakout or Reversal):
❌ If price falls back inside the triangle, it indicates a false breakout.
❌ If price closes below 0.006652, bears take control, and price may drop further.
❌ A breakdown below the support level would shift the market sentiment bearish.
7. Conclusion & Trading Plan
This chart presents a classic symmetrical triangle breakout trade with a clear entry, stop-loss, and target strategy.
Summary of Trading Plan:
Component Details
Pattern Symmetrical Triangle
Breakout Direction Bullish
Entry Point Above the breakout confirmation candle
Stop Loss 0.006652 (below support)
Take Profit (Target) 0.006795
Risk-to-Reward Ratio Favorable (3:1)
Market Bias Bullish (if price sustains above breakout)
Final Considerations:
Always wait for confirmation before entering.
Monitor volume and price action for additional validation.
Stick to the risk management plan to minimize losses.
If executed correctly, this setup offers a high-probability trade with a strong risk-to-reward ratio, making it a profitable trading opportunity in the JPY/USD market.
Aurora: Bottom FormationThe Aurora stock continues to trade within the orange Target Zone (coordinates: C$6.84 – C$5.51) and should soon reach the low of the ongoing wave ii in orange. With the completion of this corrective movement, the foundation should be set for a sustainable rise in the corresponding wave iii. However, there is still a 38% probability that the stock will head for a new low below the support level at C$3.84 in the green wave alt. .
AUD/PLN Technical Analysis – Reversal Opportunity AUD/PLN Chart Analysis (1H) on TradingView 📊 🔴 Overall Trend: ➡️ The price is following a bearish trend 📉, trading below the 200 EMA (🔵 2.45308) and the 30 EMA (🔴 2.43309). ➡️ The market is showing selling pressure, but the price has reached a key support zone 🟣. 🟣 Support Zone (Possible Reversal) 🔵 Potential Entry: 📍 2.41633 (inside the support zone) 🔵 Stop Loss: ❌ 2.40157 (below support) 🔵 Take Profit: ✅ 2.46072 (near resistance and the 200 EMA) 📈 Movement Projection: 🔹 An upward movement of 1.82% 🚀 (0.04389 points) is expected. 🔹 To confirm the uptrend, the price must break above the 30 EMA 🔴 and the 200 EMA 🔵. 💡 Conclusion: 🔸 The chart suggests a buy strategy in the support zone with a target at the resistance. 🔸 If the price breaks the support, it could continue its decline 🚨.
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical AnalysisGold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis
#### **Current Market Overview**
- **Price:** $3,092
- **Support Level:** $3,087 - $3,083
- **Resistance Level:** $3,095 - $3,100
- **Trend:** Uptrend continuation, with price holding above key EMAs
---
### **📈 Bullish Scenario**
- If the price **breaks above $3,095 - $3,100** resistance, expect further upside movement towards **$3,110 - $3,120**.
- The **rising trendline and EMA support** suggest buyers are in control.
- A strong close above resistance could trigger **momentum buying** and fuel a rally.
---
### **📉 Bearish Scenario**
- A **failure to break $3,100** may lead to a pullback towards **$3,087 - $3,083** support.
- If sellers push below this support zone, further downside towards **$3,076 and $3,065** is possible.
- Increased selling pressure may shift sentiment, leading to a correction.
---
### **Conclusion**
- **Above $3,095:** Bullish continuation toward higher levels.
- **Below $3,087:** Potential bearish correction before another leg up.
XAUUSD Breaking Records: Bull & Bear Setups for the New Month 🔥 Attention all traders!🔥
XAUUSD is on fire, breaking records with power! Here’s the latest update:
🔻 Bearish Outlook: Watch for a potential dip below the 3076-3078 range. If it falls, targets like 3050 and 3030 could be in play. Keep an eye on these support zones! 👀
🔺 Bullish Outlook: A breakout above this range could open up buying opportunities! Look for price action above 3084 with targets at 3097 and 3110. 🚀
New Month Open Candle: As we step into a new month, keep a close watch on the market open candle 📅. This could set the tone for the next move!
💡 Risk Management** is key! Always trade smart and protect your capital! 💰
Join the discussion and share your thoughts! Let's ride this golden wave together! 🌟
Gold (XAU/USD) Trading Strategy Gold (XAU/USD) Trading Strategy
**📈 Bullish Strategy (Long Trade)**
**Entry:**
- Look for a **bounce** from the **$3,071 - $3,072 support zone** or **$3,063 S2 support level**.
- Confirmation signals:
- A **bullish candlestick pattern** (e.g., engulfing or pin bar) near support.
- Price holds above **7 EMA ($3,071)** and **21 EMA ($3,063)**.
**Stop-Loss (SL):**
- Below the **S2 support zone at $3,060** (to avoid fake breakouts).
**Take-Profit (TP) Levels:**
1. **First Target:** $3,080 (recent high)
2. **Second Target:** $3,090
3. **Extended Target:** $3,100+ if momentum continues
**Risk-Reward Ratio:**
- Aim for a **1:2 or 1:3** ratio, risking 10-15 points for 20-30 points profit.
---
**📉 Bearish Strategy (Short Trade)**
**Entry:**
- If gold **breaks below $3,063 (S2)** with strong bearish momentum and volume.
- Confirmation signals:
- A **break and retest** of $3,063 as new resistance.
- Price trading below **50 EMA ($3,052)**.
**Stop-Loss (SL):**
- Above the $3,072 level (previous support turned resistance).
**Take-Profit (TP) Levels:**
1. **First Target:** $3,052 (50 EMA)
2. **Second Target:** $3,040
3. **Extended Target:** $3,020 (key psychological level)
**Risk-Reward Ratio:**
- Ensure at least a **1:2 ratio**, risking 10-15 points for 20-30 points profit.
Additional Trading Tips
- **Wait for confirmation**: Don't enter trades too early—wait for candlestick confirmation at key levels.
- **Watch volume:** Higher volume increases trade reliability.
- **Monitor news & fundamentals:** Major US economic data and Fed speeches can impact gold prices.
- **Adjust SL & TP dynamically**: Use trailing stops if the trade moves in your favor.
BTC - Is BTC going lower?Since the end of January 2025, BTC has been in a downtrend. However, over the last couple of weeks, BTC has been following an upward trend (rising wedge). This rising wedge has now been broken, as it tested the downward sloping trendline that has been in place since the end of January.
On the daily timeframe, the Stochastic RSI is crossing down from the overbought zone, indicating that the momentum is shifting to the downside. This suggests that bearish pressure could persist in the coming days or even weeks.
While it is possible that BTC could recover from this level and target higher prices. however, my base case is that BTC will continue to form a bearish structure over the next few days or weeks, potentially making a higher low or even a lower low. Time will reveal how the price action unfolds. Until then, the bias remains bearish unless proven otherwise.
It is important to be aware of your risk management when opening positions at this moment, as market conditions can be volatile and unpredictable.
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USD/CAD Bearish Trade Setup – Resistance Rejection & Target ProjUSD/CAD Bearish Trade Setup – Key Resistance & Target Projection
Analysis:
Timeframe: 30-minute chart
Current Price: 1.43248
Indicators:
EMA (200, Blue): 1.43024 (Key Dynamic Support)
EMA (30, Red): 1.43142 (Short-term trend)
Resistance Zone (Supply Area): 1.43300 - 1.43450
Support Level (Rejection Zone): 1.43085 - 1.43024
Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: Around the rejection level near 1.43142
Stop Loss: 1.43435 (Above the resistance zone)
Take Profit Target: 1.42355 (EA Target Point)
Projection:
Price is expected to reject the resistance zone, drop below the 200 EMA, and test the lower target at 1.42355.
If price confirms rejection at resistance, a short (sell) opportunity is valid.
A break above the stop-loss level could invalidate the bearish bias.
Conclusion:
Bearish momentum is anticipated if price respects the resistance zone.
Confirmation from price action (candlestick patterns) will strengthen the trade setup.
Render: Running on Empty?Render has climbed nearly 50% since the low in the second week of March but lost notable ground recently. The price remains within our magenta Target Zone between $5.43 and $1.81 and could still dip toward the lower boundary as it works toward completing the turquoise wave 2. Once a sustainable bullish reversal takes hold, we expect a strong rally in the turquoise impulse wave 3, which should target new all-time highs. The resistance at $11.88, which marks the top of the magenta wave from early December, should be surpassed decisively as momentum builds.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Trade Setup: Potential Reversal & Target Proje200 EMA (Blue): 86,960.21
30 EMA (Red): 86,149.39
The price is currently below both EMAs, indicating a short-term bearish trend.
Key Levels:
Stop Loss: 83,954.20 (marked in blue at the bottom)
Re-entry Level: 86,198.54 (near the 30 EMA)
Target Price: 89,056.91
Support & Resistance Zones:
Strong Support Zone: Around 83,954.20
Intermediate Resistance: Near 86,198.54
Major Resistance Zone: Close to 89,056.91
Trade Setup & Projection:
The chart suggests a potential reversal from the support zone.
The expected price movement shows a bounce from support, a breakthrough of the intermediate resistance, and a push toward the target price (89,056.91).
The expected gain is 4,509.86 points (5.34%).
Conclusion:
If BTC holds the support zone, an upside move is likely.
Breaking above 86,198.54 would confirm a bullish reversal.
Failing to hold support at 83,954.20 could lead to further downside.
Platinum Portfolios: A Bullish Signal for Future Gains!Yesterday, as markets slept, a shadow flickered across Platinum’s charts. Portfolios materialized like cryptic clues—hours before prices erupted in a 3% vertical rally. But here’s the twist: the official CME report won’t land until tomorrow. By the time most traders react, the first wave will already be history.
The Setup: Why This Move Matters
1️⃣ "The Insiders Always Whisper First"
Last times, a similar pattern in Platinum’s options market foreshadowed a 150$ surge. History doesn’t repeat, but it rhymes.
These portfolios? They’re not random. They’re telegraphs from players who trade with one eye on the horizon.
The Bottom Line
This isn’t just about Platinum. It’s about trade pattern recognition. The market rewards those who connect dots before they’re obvious.
So, ask yourself:
Are you watching the right data?
Will you be ready when the next domino falls?
Stay sharp. Stay curious. And never underestimate the whispers. 🧠💥
Bullish winds are blowing. Will you sail with them? 🌪️🚀
Do your own research or follow along with us! Two minds are preferable to one!
Gold has tapped into the 3084-3094 premium rejection zone⚡ Market Overview:
Gold continues its bullish momentum, testing premium supply zones. Liquidity grabs and order flow shifts indicate potential reversals or continuation setups. Key imbalances and institutional levels are in focus.
🔴 Sell Setup (Short)
Entry Zone: $3,085 - $3,090
Stop Loss (SL): Above $3,097
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP1: $3,067 (First reaction level)
TP2: $3,050 (Liquidity sweep target)
TP3: $3,032 (Deeper profit zone)
📌 Reasoning:
Price has reached a premium supply area, with exhaustion signs at the highs.
Strong imbalance below $3,067 suggests potential retracement.
Confluence with 1H bearish rejection wicks.
🟢 Buy Setup (Long)
Entry Zone: $3,066 - $3,070
Stop Loss (SL): Below $3,060
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP1: $3,080 (First reaction level)
TP2: $3,089 (Supply imbalance zone)
TP3: $3,097 (Full retrace target)
📌 Reasoning:
Strong imbalance at $3,066, a level gold tends to respect.
Previous demand zone aligns with institutional orders.
Potential for liquidity grab and continuation if order flow remains bullish.
21 EMA confluence supports a bounce.
⚡ Execution Plan
Monitor price action at entry zones for confirmation (rejection wicks, engulfing candles).
Be cautious of high-impact news events that could create volatility.
Adjust SL & TP levels dynamically based on price behavior.
📌 Important Notice:
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your own plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
Good luck on the market today.
GOLD 4H ROUTE MAP TRADING PLAN / READ CAPTION CAREFULLYGOLD 4H Chart Analysis – 12th Feb 2025
Dear Traders,
Here’s the latest update on our 4H chart. It’s been a productive week! If you reviewed our previous chart on the 11th of February, today’s analysis should help guide your trading plan for the week.
Chart Color Codes:
* Red boxes (right): Support levels labeled as GOLDTURN LEVELS. A small red circle marks activation after short reversals.
* White GOLDTURN LEVELS (top): Not yet activated.
* Green boxes on the top(left): New Take Profit Targets.
* Green boxes with red outlines: Achieved targets.
* Grey button: Entry point from the 11th of February.
Review of Previous Chart:
Entry Level: 2814
Take Profit 1: 2850.15 ✅ (Hit)
Take Profit 2: 2876.95 ✅ (Hit)
Take Profit 3: 2903.76 ✅ (Hit)
Take Profit 4: 2925.85 ✅ (Hit)
We observed three reversals of 20–40 pips, highlighted with red circles.
New Take Profit Levels Added: TP5, TP6, TP7, and TP8
Key Focus Areas:
Identify Key Levels, Resistance, Support, and watch EMA5 closely. EMA5 behavior will determine the next price direction.
Key Levels:
Key Level: 2900
Resistance Levels: 2925, 2952, 2984, 3017, 3052
Support Levels: 2876, 2852, 2828, 2803, 2776, 2747
EMA5 Status:
Current EMA5: 2898.14
Bullish Targets
EMA5 cross and hold above 2900, will open the following bullish target 2925 again
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2925, will open the following bullish target 2952
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2952, will open the following bullish target 2984
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2984, will open the following bullish target 3017
EMA5 cross and lock Above 3017, will open the following bullish target 3052
Bearish Targets
EMA5 hold and cross Below 2900: will open the following bearish target 2876
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2876: will open the following bearish target 2852
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2852: will open the following bearish target 2828
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2828: will open the following bearish target 2803(Retracement Range)
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2803: will open the following bearish target 2747 (Swing Range)
Trading Plan:
* Stay bullish and buy pullbacks from key levels.
* Avoid chasing tops—focus on buying dips.
* Use smaller timeframes for entries at Goldturn levels.
* Aim for 30–40 pips per trade for optimal risk management.
* Each level can yield 20–40+ pips reversals.
Trade with confidence and discipline. Stay tuned for our daily updates! Please support us with likes, comments, and follows to keep these insights coming.
📉💰 The Quantum Trading Mastery
Starbucks (SBUX) Brewing a Breakout? Don’t Miss This $100 BattleStarbucks (SBUX) 2-Hour Chart Breakdown
Hey traders, let’s dive into Starbucks (SBUX) on the 2-hour chart and see what’s cooking. The price is sitting at $99.65 right now, up a tiny 0.01%, but don’t let that small move fool you—this chart has been a wild ride lately, and I think we’re at a really interesting spot for a potential trade.
What’s Been Happening with the Price?
If you look at the chart, you’ll see Starbucks hit a high of $112.38 back on March 17th. That was the peak, and man, did it come crashing down after that! The price tanked all the way to $97.34 by early April, a pretty steep drop. Since then, though, things have calmed down a bit, and we’ve been stuck in this tight range between $97.34 and $100.00. Lately, the price has been pushing toward the upper end of that range, and it’s got my attention.
Let’s Talk Trends
From mid-March to early April, we were in a clear downtrend. You can see it on the chart—lower highs, lower lows, and a descending trendline that kept the price in check as it slid down. It was a bear’s paradise, and there’s even a sell signal marked on the chart from that $112.38 peak that caught a massive 27.96% profit on the way down. Not bad at all!
But now, things are starting to shift. After hitting that $97.34 low, the price has been consolidating, and just recently, it broke above that descending trendline. That’s a big deal because it tells me the bears might be losing their grip. We’re not in a full-on uptrend yet, but the momentum feels like it’s tilting toward the bulls, especially with the price testing that $100.00 level.
Key Levels to Watch
Let’s zoom in on the levels that matter here. On the downside, $97.34 has been a rock-solid support. The price has bounced off that level a couple of times in early April, so it’s a spot I’m keeping an eye on. If we drop back down, that’s where I’d expect buyers to step in again.
On the upside, $100.00 is the big resistance we’re testing right now. The price has struggled to break through here before, so it’s a critical level. If we can get a clean break above it, I think we could see a nice move higher. The next big resistance after that would be around $107.00, which was a swing high from late March, and then up toward $111.00 or even that $112.38 peak if things really get going.
What the Past Signals Tell Us
The chart has a couple of trade signals marked, which give us some context. That sell signal at $112.38 was a home run, as I mentioned—27.96% profit as the price collapsed. Then there’s a buy signal at the $97.34 low on April 5th, but that one only managed a peak profit of 0.27%. Not exactly a big win, and it makes sense because the price has been stuck in this range since then. It’s like the market’s been taking a breather, trying to figure out its next move.
Digging into the Technicals
Alright, let’s get into the nitty-gritty of what’s happening on the chart. That break above the descending trendline is a bullish sign for me. It’s like the price is saying, “I’m done with this downtrend, let’s try something new.” We’re also in this consolidation range between $97.34 and $100.00, and when I see a range like that, I know a breakout is usually coming. The question is, which way?
One thing that’s catching my eye is the potential for a double bottom pattern. We’ve got two tests of that $97.34 support, and if we can break above $100.00, that would confirm the pattern. If that happens, I’d measure the height of the pattern and project it upward, which could take us toward $107.00 as a first target. That’s something to watch for.
I’d love to see volume on this chart to confirm the breakout, but from the price action alone, it feels like there’s some buying interest building as we push toward $100.00. If we get a strong candle closing above that level, I’ll be a lot more confident in the bulls.
How I’d Trade This Setup
So, what’s the play here? I see a few ways to approach this, depending on what the price does next.
First, let’s talk about the bullish case. If we get a solid break above $100.00—ideally with a strong 2-hour candle and some good volume—I’d be looking to go long. My first target would be $107.00, and if we get some momentum, maybe even $111.00 or $112.38. I’d set my stop loss just below the recent swing low around $98.00 to protect myself in case this breakout fails. That trendline break and the potential double bottom make me think the bulls have a shot here.
On the flip side, if the price gets rejected at $100.00—and I’ll be watching for something like a shooting star or a bearish engulfing candle—I’d consider a short. If we drop back down, $97.34 is the first target, and if that support breaks, we could even see $94.00, which is a psychological level and a spot where I’d expect some buyers to show up. For a short, I’d set my stop loss just above $100.65 to give it a little room.
If you’re more of a scalper, you could play the range while we’re stuck in it. Buy near $97.34, sell near $100.00, and use tight stops outside the range—say, below $97.00 for longs and above $100.65 for shorts. It’s a decent way to grab some quick profits while we wait for the bigger move.
A Word on Risk
One thing I always remind myself is to keep risk in check. Starbucks has been volatile—look at that 27.96% drop from the peak! So, I’d be careful with my position size and aim for at least a 1:2 risk-reward ratio on any breakout trade. Also, keep an eye out for any news that might shake things up, like earnings reports or big economic data releases. Starbucks is in the consumer discretionary sector, so things like consumer spending trends or even coffee prices could move the stock.
The Bigger Picture
Speaking of the broader market, Starbucks can be influenced by how the NASDAQ 100 is doing, since it’s listed there. If the overall market is feeling optimistic, that could help push SBUX higher. On the other hand, if there’s a risk-off vibe, we might see that $100.00 resistance hold strong. It’s always good to check the bigger picture before jumping into a trade.
Wrapping It Up
So, where does that leave us? Starbucks is at a really interesting spot right now, testing that $100.00 resistance after breaking above the descending trendline. I’m leaning toward a bullish breakout, especially with that potential double bottom pattern, but I’ll be watching closely to see if we get confirmation above $100.00. If we do, I think $107.00 is a realistic target, with $111.00 or higher in play if the bulls really take control. But if we get rejected here, $97.34 is the level to watch on the downside.
For now, I’d say be patient and wait for the price to show its hand. Whether you’re looking for a breakout or playing the range, there’s definitely an opportunity here. Just make sure to manage your risk and stay on top of any news that might move the stock. Let’s see how this plays out I’ll be watching this one closely!
Cardano: New Low or Off We Go?In line with our primary scenario, Cardano’s ADA should develop a new low as part of the blue wave (ii). However, this corrective move should conclude with sufficient distance from the $0.31 support so that the blue wave (iii) can take over afterward and drive the price decisively above the $1.32 resistance. That said, our 40% likely alternative scenario suggests that the low of wave alt.(ii) in blue may have already been settled back in February. Confirmation of this alternative trajectory would arise with a clear breakout above $1.32.
$PEP $150 retest Hi, liking NASDAQ:PEP here for a retest of mental price $150. NASDAQ:PEP is at 4 year lows, was at four year lows and bounced twice off $141 zone. Short term $150c could be a play here for April expiration but also could be patient and see if it retests the supply zone of $140. This is on watch. Just acquired Poppi brand as well. Overall it could be forming a rising wedge, not definitive on that thesis just yet, though.
NFA
WSL
Silver Insights: Aggressive Strategies and Bullish SentimentHello, friends! I’m excited to share some observations on Silver.
Yesterday, I came across a couple of intriguing portfolios focused on this metal.
The first one is an aggressive call spread at $40-$40.25, while the second portfolio is a "butterfly" spread, positioned slightly lower.
Both portfolios are designed to capitalize on price movement, but the first one could yield a threefold profit with just a little push in its direction. The second one, however, will require some time and ideally needs to reach around $38 by the end of April.
From a technical standpoint, the chart shows a "spring compression", which often leads to the emergence of such portfolios. While I don’t place too much weight on predictive elements, the sentiment remains bullish.
Stay tuned, plan your trades and let’s see how this unfolds!
Always do your own research but do no hesistate visit us to leverage the comprehensive analysis from our team to enhance your trading advantage! 💪💼
Gold (XAU/EUR) – Potential Sell Setup from Rising Wedge📉 Market Structure & Pattern:
The chart shows a broadening wedge pattern followed by a rising wedge formation.
Price has reached the upper boundary of the descending channel, where a potential sell-off could begin.
📉 Bearish Outlook:
The sell signal is indicated near 2,811 EUR, suggesting a possible reversal.
The target area is around 2,769 - 2,700 EUR, aligning with previous support zones.
If the price breaks below the wedge structure, further downside momentum is expected.
📌 Trading Plan:
Bears may look for short opportunities around resistance.
A break below 2,794 EUR could confirm further downside.
Bulls should monitor price action for any rejection near support zones for potential buying opportunities.
⚠️ Risk Management:
A break above 2,815 EUR could invalidate the bearish setup.
Stop-loss placement above resistance is advisable to minimize risk.
Palantir: Successful!PLTR effectively initiated a directional change within our now-gray Target Zone, and potential long trades opened within this range should already be significantly in the black. We locate the price in the corrective movement of the green wave , which should develop through the magenta waves (A) to (E) within a pink triangle formation. Ideally, the stock should remain above the low of wave (A), which has just been settled in our Target Zone. Only after the corrective movement has concluded do we expect the transition into the green wave , which should lead the stock to new highs. A premature breakout above the $125.40 mark is possible in our alternative scenario, but it is only rated with a 33% probability.