TELL Possible Head and Shoulder Continuation PatternWatching the $9.31 area for a bounce at or before to help validate a H&S continuation pattern. Could still hit $8.92 on the downswing, this would also keep our H&S pattern alive, anything below will invalidate. If we break that and go lower I am bearish. RSI approaching oversold conditions, as well. This tells me we have a good possibility to bounce at the neckline.
Charting
Quarkchain Overnight (8-10 hour buy)Closing triangle pattern could indicate a breakout shortly. Currently the ROC & MACD Oscillators are indicating the same pattern as the price trend (upwards), therefore convergence...a buy signal. MACD line cross above the Signal line as well as the ROC point upward are both buy signals. Let's see how this over night trade would play out. This is just charting practice for me. I'm not in this trade nor do I recommend it. Just want to see how it plays out.
$SPY - Daily Chart Extreme Overbought & Parabolic Snapback Setup$SPY - our $283 level of resistance finally broke over with the market busting over and gapping up this week. Spy currently sitting at $288.26 at time of post. Highs of market are at $293.85. 7th green day in a row, constant gap ups making it hard to get day trades with market breadth sucked out before market opens. In individual names, I have been take about 30% less trades than normal. Longs my hold time is about 1/2 of what it was a few months ago. Always have to adapt and find the trend with market conditions.
$SPY - expecting a pullback sooner than later with stochastics now at 90.17. Market is due for a breather and pullback to at least 9ema, otherwise other notable level is $283 area again (for tap off support).
Have a great weekend coming up!
GBP/CAD - ShortI am new to trading and recently started to publish my analysis. Any advice or feedback is welcome via comments or in the chat. Looking for opportunities to learn new information & techniques.
I have done some analysis on the GBP/CAD . The analysis has been done on the 1 hour candlestick chart with the trendline being drawn on the 4hr and I will be keeping an eye on this pair.
There is a strong resistance line 1.777 which has been tested around 5/6 times. This is where you can also see a triple top forming. Which is a signal for the price to start to go down.
It has touched the trendline three times over the past week and also the resistance line.
I would place my:
SL @ 1.782
TP @ 1.760
lets see how this plays out
USDJPY [1-3 days view]Long USDJPY
Entry: 110.655
SL: 110.33
TP: 111.42
After the crazy impulsive move down, market actually rebounded. Price is now testing ascending trendline support.
Market is also holding above EMA (17). MACD is now testing 0% level and has moved up into bullish territory.
This is a short term play with a simple risk reward of 1:2
Market pulled back and triggered my buy order.
GBPJPY [1-3 days view]Short GBPJPY:
ntry: 147.105
SL: 147.85
TP1: 144.850
TP2: 143.5
After a strong rally upwards, we see a divergence between momentum and price. RSI (21) has also crossed into the bearish territory below the 50% level.
Shortly after which, market broke below the ascending trendline support (now resistance).
Price has also closed below EMA (34) which has acted as a pretty solid support/resistance for GBPJPY
EURUSD [1-3 days view]This trade was triggered earlier this week. However, I chose not to publish it as it was a low probability trade for me at that time for the following reasons:
Market was only testing the ascending trendline support (now resistance)
Normally I would wait for a pullback to retest the trendline before entering to short
Market was also forming a Head & Shoulders reversal pattern however at trade time, it was still not confirmed.
I choose to publish this trade now because I believe it presents a very strong case of how a trade can really move in your direction when multiple technical elements show confluence to provide that confirmation despite the low conviction I had.
1. Market was forming a Head & Shoulders reversal pattern
2. Market broke below the ascending trendline support (now resistance).
3. At the same time, market also had one candle close just below the EMA (13). This EMA as noted in the past provided quite a good support/resistance where price reacted above and below it.
4. MACD momentum indicator at trade execution crossed below 0% and entered bearish territory. The MACD and signal line also showed strong downwards momentum.
5. Everytime price broke below an ascending trendline support (turned resistance), market will make a strong and sustained downwards push. This happened at the 2nd week of Jan 2019 and once more at the start of Feb 2019. Now at the start of March 2019, we see this pattern repeated again.
This is a quite a beautiful example of how technical analysis can be a very powerful skill to have for any market participant. Reach out to me to find out more!
AUDUSD [1-3 days view]Entry: 0.71465
SL: 0.7185
TP: 0.705
This trade was knocked in this wed (27th Feb 2019). The reasons why I went short is listed below:
Whilst market reacted above the ascending trendine support (in red), it failed to surpass resistance at 0.72100
Market then broke below ascending trendline support and also spiked below 55 period EMA
At the same time, MACD showed a 'death cross' and also broke below '0' meaning it has entered bearish territory.
This week has not been an easy week! But still keeping my eyes peeled open for more opportunities!
EURUSD [1-3 days view]This was quite a simple set up though admittedly, the risk reward wasn't great. However, when presented with an opportunity, I will grab it.
Here i saw market reacting above ascending trendline and also holding above EMA34. MACD was also in a bullish environment. Market was also testing a very key long term trend level at 1.135.
I set my entry at 1.13525 and waited for the 2nd pullback and retest of the trendline. Pullback happened exactly as expected and knocked my position in.
1.14 price target is actually based on fibo retracement at the 61.8% of the previous downswing.
Market hit target exactly and closed this position with a profit of 47 pips. With this much confluences, wouldn't you take the trade too?
AUDUSD [1-3days view]1st Short AUDUSD
Entry: 0.71635
SL: 0.7215
TP: 0.7020
Short order was triggered yesterday after market pulled back to the descending trendline resistance (dotted line).
Market however surpassed this line and seemed to be heading for a bullish breakout... However, it reacted just nicely below the resistance at 0.71852 (thick neon blue line) to form the right shoulder... despite the spike, my position was not taken out and I held onto it.
Here we see that a head and shoulders patterned has formed. The right shoulder being classically lower than the left shoulder.
Market is also now below 55 period EMA.
Market then puked further making my position extremely profitable after one whole day of waiting. I moved my trailing stop lower to protect profits. My trade is now risk free and profitable. Will look to scale in to this trade when possible.
GBPNZD [1-3 days view]Short GBPNZD
Entry: 1.90535
SL: 1.91
TP: 1.855
Entry was triggered overnight due to the spike, which also coincided with the pullback towards the descending trendline resistance.
Now market reacting below the descending trendline.
Bearish divergence noted on 21 period RSI
RSI also reacting below descending trendline resistance where market reacted in the past.
Because of the quick move in my favour, i moved my trailing stop lower to protect profits and this trade is now risk free.
EURAUD [1-3 days view]Short EURAUD
Entry: 1.558845
SL: 1.593
TP: 1.578
Market initially spiked up and triggered my entry position before making a pullback below descending trendline resistance.
Market also holding below 55 period EMA
MACD below 0 level showing that we are still in a bearish configuration. This is a short term trade.
This is a follow up from my previous trade...
EURAUD [1-3 days view]Short EURAUD
Entry: 1.558845
SL: 1.593
TP: 1.578
Market initially spiked up and triggered my entry position before making a pullback below descending trendline resistance.
Market also holding below 55 period EMA
MACD below 0 level showing that we are still in a bearish configuration. This is a short term trade.
This is a follow up from my previous trade... I waited for the pullback to re-enter the short....
AudChfA potential short opportunity on AudChf. Price has been sold off on the Daily time frame and hitting the next key support zone. What I will be looking for is some deceleration and slow down on the Daily chart along with the 4 hour. I would like to see a double bottom pattern form on the 4 hour chart for conformation of a reversal, along with a break and re-test of the 1 hour chart. Before looking to go long I would also like to see it line up with any fib zones for extra confirmation of a trend change. The more confluences the better!
Cinnamon Toast Crunch - S&P 500?I come from a strict crypto technical analysis background but it doesn't take much to accept that this trend is TOAST.
1W cloud wasn't able to hold, so what are you waiting for? this is not a dip, this is a dump. I believe the crypto space will follow s&p's next move as well.
*not financial advice