GLOW and my lesson for charting stocksI start by finding a point in the past, unless it's retail, I usually go back about 10 months roughly. Ideally, it's a point in time where the stock hit its lowest price. Retail is such a seasonal driven market that their corresponding stocks behave accordingly; spring time products' stocks, clothing and the Holidays, etc.
I like to draw a Begin Watch Vertical Line Marker - let's me know where in time I started watching the stock
From there, i'll use the Horizontal Ray tool and mark my lowest stock price and start "telling the story" of its ups and downs. I started my first Begin Watch Vertical Line Marker on 11/28/2016 and drew the red bottom price on that day. That is called the Support Line. Then the stock went up to $0.32 Resistance Line. All stocks want to break the resistance line (go past it) and then have that line be the new Support Line. This stock hovered between these two lines until 01/27 where it broke the resistance line. Once the stock settled and hit its high point, $0.35, that becomes the new resistance line. Five of the next 6 days the price was exactly $0.35!!! And, the stock bounced off $0.32 for those couple days, retesting!
***This becomes the importance of charting your stock***
***IMPORTANT Remember, investors will always look to the past to determine the price they are willing to pay!!! IMPORTANT***
Between $0.25 and $0.32 the stock hovered and the disparity in price needed a Mid Value Common Line at $0.28, started on 3/20; this is a great line that shows, through many many days, where the mid price of this stock stayed. Over and over again, the $0.28 Mid Line price became the Support Line and held true to this day. Then on 06/01, the $0.28 Support Line was tested again by touching it on the LOW of that day and off it went reaching up to $0.61, before settling with a new resistance level at $0.37! Thus, my Horizontal Arrow was drawn there in green, signifying the money potential. (I did not draw my line on the following day's bear candle because it opened there and did not hold.) 06/14 then saw a virtual repeat of 06/01 and a new resistance level! Plus, it retested the $0.28 price again!
From here, you can see where the stock wants to go because your drawn support and resistance lines paint the chart to help determine future price. Add the volume equation; is the volume overwhelmingly bear or bull? This aids in determining the bear or bull trend. What will the stock price be for a possible buy once the bear volume subsides? Never buy until there is a trend reversal with a confirmation Buying Signal.
Buying Signal - green bull candle, followed by another green bull candle with higher close + Increasing bull volume
***IMPORTANT Remember, investors will always look to the past to determine the price they are willing to pay!!! IMPORTANT***
REGARDING the RSI - I will defer to a more knowledgeable investor to help explain/understand the RSI indicator (Relative Strength Indicator)
If you've read this far, I really appreciate your time and I really hope you find this useful as you navigate through your own stocks. This stuff is fun, and serious money is made utilizing these tools! Major investors follow charts and make their plays accordingly!
Charting
GRASSHOPPER's HANDGOODDAY BLESSED PEOPLE !!!
Here is my ART about NZDUSD.
NZDUSD SHORT
ENTRY : 0.69250
SL : 0.70400
TP : 0.67200
RISK & REWARD : 1.73 : 2.90
NOTE:
1. I'm a SWING TRADER so for all the analysis I made, took more time for the result.
2. Trade safe, u dont need to follow my TP, take ur profit as long as u want.
3. Always move your SL above profit, there is no reason to risk capital.
Disclaimer : this is my trading anlysis, it is not an invite or recommendation to trade.
The Rolling ball and LBC/BTCBITTREX:LBCBTC
The Rolling ball theory. This illustrates a perfect example of the theory. The white ball has to be stopped before it can go up. LBC wants to break out but it has to stop that ball from rolling over it. If the 231 MA crosses the 77 MA than we are in for a long and probably lost book return. My analogies keep getting worst. LOL
Rett SLoat
-RSS-Legacy
-Wolfy
Potential 2X trade on PayBTCHigh risk trade idea here.
In my last post, we entered at .006. Target was .001 (23.60% Fib). We reached that target and closed. But because we broke the ascending triangle, a breakout even higher than our target occurred. We closed several daily candles above .001 and are now sitting on that support. If we bounce here, we'll go to .0019 and almost double our current entry price. On the other hand, if we collapse, we'll lose nearly half. Maybe more.
Warning! This is a high risk trade. Enter at your own risk. The signs are there but as always, we look to our leader, Bitcoin.
Be careful. Don't throw more money at this than your tolerance level will allow. And you may want to wait and watch what Bitcoin does first. Follow my indicators posted in the chart above.
Happy trading all!
If Bitcoin does this, we'll go to $4800+Let's play a game. Count the ascending triangles. Do you see them? There are 3. The first two are history. We obviously broke out. We are working on the the third and final. If we break above and close higher than this last triangle, we'll go to $4800.
The second ramification of this potential breakout would be the formation of a new BULL channel. I've outlined it in BLUE. This is obviously a steeper and much faster paced upward slope.
Confirmation of this final target before consolidation is a close above the third ascending triangle. Watch closely. I will put nothing past these BULLS.
...But then consolidation. Caution is advised. It's coming.
Happy trading all!
Litecoin move up happened. $57 target. But when?The move up happened as anticipated hours after my last post on Litecoin. We recently hit $50 resistance and ran out of steam. You could've sold there if you were watching or had your trade triggers placed. We have and are now consolidating a bit and will continue to follow BTC before pushing higher.
Over the next day or two I expect more sideways movement and possibly down to the $46 support. Be ready to buy here. I doubt we go lower.
As a swing trader, my current target is the last ATH of 57.75. I will put in my trade triggers for this target price, however long that takes. I will then sell, wait for consolidation back down to around $52.50 and start my buy back for my long term target of around $75. More analysis will come when the $57 target has been reached.
Happy Trades y'all!
ETC suggests entry point for longing, beware breakout though !At the bottom of a clean ascending canal, one can only be tempted to go long, especially considering that 0.618 were reached, which indicates profits were taken.
The presence of a Shoulder-Head-Shoulder, might result on a severe breakout though.
The strategy would be to go long and stop loss at breakout, and possibly go short.
Good fortune :)
Which one is the right channel? Red or Yellow?How do we determinate which one is the correct channel?
Is it the red or the yellow one?
If the correct one is yellow, then the channel has been broken, a signal that we should start considering a short position, meanwhile if the right one is the red one, we could conclude that we are still going up at a steady pace and we would go long.
Trying to learn! Please comment below with your opinion!
EURGBP Brexit?200 Ma is holding as good price support hence, expecting price to pull back and test daily resistance @ 0.78019 zone before continuation of downtrend and break of trend line for short positions for a lower low to be formed.
If we fail to see a break of the ascending trend line and resistance @ 0.78019 zone is broken we may see upside movements towards 0.79000.
Chart Request : Twitter - A Longer Term ViewThis is a monthly chart of TWTR . The last candle on this chart is the January candle. January is only half way over so this candle will change from here. This idea is based on the candle that exists on this chart. I have no way of knowing what the January candle will look like at the end of January 2016...
TWTR saw its highest stock price in December of 2013, just after its IPO. TWTR is now experiencing it lowest stock price. If you ever bought TWTR stock and are still holding it, you are losing money.
The first thing I will point out about this chart is there is no green uptrend line. Which means there is no uptrend over the long term... You should not invest in stocks that have a chart with no uptrend lines. If you can draw an uptrend line, you should only stay in the stock if the price stays above that uptrend line.
Some say TWTR and FB are "similar" companies. Weather you believe that statement or not isn't important. But lets remember that FB also had a tough time beginning its green uptrend line. In fact it took about 13 months after the IPO for a long term uptrend line to begin. Looking back, it wasn't hard to see. But I will admit that I too missed the beginning of the uptrend and lost out on some profits. Which just confirms the reality that catching a turn around is pretty difficult.
In order to catch a turn around in a stock you have to take chances and you have to be nimble. You have to be willing to get out of the stock if it doesn't react the way you want it to. For instance, if you bought TWTR on Tuesday with the expectation it will not drop below this month's low of $17.27, then you are agreeing to sell if you are wrong. If you are that nimble (most people are not) then give it a shot whenever you think the time is right.
Personally, I will not try to catch TWTR at its low, I will wait to see if there are ever two candles in a row with higher highs and higher lows. I would not worry about catching the bottom. I would worry about catching the uptrend when it shows itself.
If TWTR is going to go higher in the long term, it has to get above DT 2. After DT 2, it will have to get above any horizontal "Resistance becomes Support" lines and DT 1. You just have to watch the chart and see where the candles are going. At the moment, I don't see any reason for a long term investor to be invested in TWTR.
Thanks for the chart request. I hope this chart and explanation helps.