Chart Patterns
QQQ: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
QQQ
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell QQQ
Entry - 488.86
Stop - 505.90
Take - 457.49
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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SPY A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear friends,
SPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 566.62 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 542.79
Recommended Stop Loss - 579.54
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD My Opinion! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
EURUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.1298 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.1348
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD Will Go Lower! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.137.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.129.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
EUR/GBP Breakout and Fibonacci Retest: Bullish Setup in PlayEUR/GBP has broken its strong weekly bearish trendline and the last lower high. The previously observed bullish divergence was hinting at this bullish momentum. Currently, the pair is testing the golden ratio of the Fibonacci retracement. A buy position can be considered at this level, targeting the recent highs.
XAGUSD (Silver/US Dollar) trading idea for Monday, May 5, 2025 Trading Plan (Scenario-Based):
📌 Plan A: Bullish Breakout Play
Entry: Buy on breakout above $26.70 with strong volume confirmation.
SL: $26.20
TP1: $27.10
TP2: $27.50
RRR: ~2.5:1
📌 Plan B: Range Bounce
Entry: Buy near $25.80–26.00 support zone if price retraces.
SL: $25.50
TP1: $26.50
TP2: $26.90
Gold Trade Plan 30/04/2025Dear Traders,
Gold has once again entered the 3275 support zone. Given that this is the fifth time it has tested this support, I expect the price to break below it. Additionally, the dollar index has entered a reversal phase. Good buying zones are around 3200–3220.
if you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza!
Don't let the Recession paralysed you !!!!Read these few articles here , here and here
If you buy into any of the above articles as the gospel truth, you may freak out and starts to sell your holdings in US as some gurus advised you to do so. Take a step back and asked - WHY ?
Is the content creator saying this out of your interests or his ? Remember, positive news seldom receive likes and sharing but negative on the other hand will receive more. That is why it is easier to spell doom, gloom and boom and have lots of people liking it !
Of the 3 main indices, the Tech stocks have already gotten out of the woods as it has been up more than 20% from the bottom. SPX and DJA are still playing catch up. Due to the tariffs, many goods produced in US and are sold in China are now seeing dwindling sales. Patriotism or "guo chao" in Chinese is the anti-US sentiments that is now hot in China. That means the locals will rather buy Anta or Li Ning sports shoes over Nike or Adidas. Same for cosmetics!
There are some technical chartists or analysts saying this is a dead cat bounce and once the price hit the support line (in purple), it will continue to sell down. Yes, it is possible though I think it is less probable.
6 months down the road when we look back and IF I am lucky and predicted correctly, there will be many people who will kick themselves for missing a nice bottom buy on 9th April (thanks to Donald Trump who tweeted it).
Timing the market is TOUGH as I had learnt my lessons . WB , the legendary guru is right - be in the market meaning invest in the market for the long haul in fundamentally strong companies with economic moat and strong cash flows, etc will reap better returns.
As usual, please DYODD
USDTRY Cooling After Spike – Where to Next? The Turkish Lira story continues—this time through the lens of USDTRY , which has been rising relentlessly and just recently showed signs of exhaustion after tagging highs near 38.95 .
🧭 As seen on the chart, after months of controlled climbing within a broad ascending channel, the pair is now pausing. We may finally be witnessing the beginning of a retracement. Key downside targets have now emerged:
• 33.77 – First area of interest
• 27.99 – Mid-level retracement
• 22.65 – Deep support within the channel
These aren't random numbers—they align beautifully with the multi-year channel and prior volatility zones.
📌 Let's not forget, this journey began with a “New Volatility Alert” back in late 2021, and ever since, the USDTRY has mostly respected structural moves. With the Euro pair also showing signs of topping , this could be the dollar’s turn to cool off against the Lira.
📰 Contextual Fuel:
• Turkey’s central bank raised rates to 46% in April—one of the most aggressive tightening moves globally.
• Over $25B in FX reserves have been used to stabilize the Lira, as inflation forecasts surge past 29.75% for year-end 2025.
• Political volatility and macro risks remain, but short-term speculative flows could now reverse.
🚨 Takeaway:
Just like EURTRY, the USDTRY may have finally found its ceiling for now. Traders should monitor price action near 38–39 for possible bearish continuation signs.
There’s a decent chance that the Lira gains ground in the short to medium term—technical and macro forces now point to consolidation or reversal.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
EURTRY Chart:
US10YA bond is essentially a loan made by an investor to a borrower, which can be a government or a corporation. It is a fixed-income financial instrument where the borrower agrees to pay back the principal amount (face value) on a specified maturity date and usually makes periodic interest payments called coupons to the bondholder.
What Is a Government Bond?
A government bond is a type of bond issued by a national government to raise funds. When you buy a government bond, you are lending money to the government in exchange for regular interest payments and the return of the bond’s face value at maturity. These bonds are often considered low-risk because they are backed by the government’s credit and taxing power.
Why Do Governments Offer Bonds?
Governments issue bonds primarily to:
Finance Fiscal Deficits: Bonds help cover budget shortfalls without immediately raising taxes or cutting spending.
Fund Public Projects: Money raised can be used for infrastructure, schools, hospitals, and other public services.
Manage Debt: Governments use bonds to refinance maturing debt or restructure their debt profile.
Control Monetary Policy: Central banks may buy or sell government bonds to influence money supply and interest rates.
Develop Financial Markets: Issuing bonds establishes benchmark yields that help price other financial instruments and deepen capital markets
Provide Investment Opportunities: Bonds offer a relatively safe investment option, encouraging savings and investment within the economy.
Summary
Aspect Explanation
Bond A loan from an investor to a borrower with interest payments
Government Bond Debt security issued by a government to fund spending
Why Issued To finance deficits, fund projects, manage debt, and control monetary policy
Risk Level Generally low risk due to government backing
Investor Benefit Periodic interest (coupon) and principal repayment at maturity
In short, government bonds are a crucial tool for governments to raise capital sustainably while providing investors with a relatively safe income stream.
Difference Between Bond Yield and Bond Price and Their Effect on the US Dollar
Bond Price vs. Bond Yield: The Inverse Relationship
Bond Price is the current market value or price investors pay to buy a bond. It can be above (premium), below (discount), or equal to the bond’s face (par) value.
Bond Yield is the return an investor earns on a bond, expressed as a percentage. It reflects the income from coupon payments relative to the bond’s current price, and can be calculated as the current yield or yield to maturity.
Key point: Bond price and bond yield move in opposite directions.
When bond prices rise, yields fall because the fixed coupon payments represent a smaller return relative to the higher price paid.
When bond prices fall, yields rise to compensate investors for the lower price paid for the same fixed coupon payments.
Why This Happens
If interest rates in the market increase, new bonds offer higher coupon rates. Existing bonds with lower coupons become less attractive, so their prices drop to increase their effective yield to match market rates. Conversely, if interest rates fall, existing bonds with higher coupons become more valuable, pushing their prices up and yields down.
How Bond Yields and Prices Affect the US Dollar
Higher US Treasury Yields (rising yields due to falling bond prices) tend to strengthen the US dollar. This is because higher yields attract foreign investors seeking better returns on US debt, increasing demand for USD to buy Treasuries.
Conversely, falling yields (rising bond prices) make US assets less attractive, potentially weakening the USD as capital flows out or seek higher returns elsewhere.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) often moves in tandem with US Treasury yields because both reflect investor sentiment about US economic strength, inflation expectations, and Federal Reserve policy.
When the Fed raises interest rates, bond yields typically rise, boosting the USD. When the Fed cuts rates, yields fall, putting downward pressure on the USD.
In essence: When bond prices fall and yields rise, the US dollar tends to strengthen due to increased demand for higher-yielding US assets. Conversely, rising bond prices and falling yields usually weaken the dollar.
Link Analysis (12H)Chainlink (LINK) Technical Outlook – Elliott Wave Perspective
After applying Elliott Wave Theory, the chart appears to speak for itself — the downward corrective phase seems to have concluded.
Zooming into lower timeframes, there are several bullish signs suggesting that LINK is primed for an upward move.
Key Technical Reasons Supporting Upside Potential:
Bullish Flag Formation: A clear flag pattern has formed in lower time frames, and LINK is currently testing its resistance level.
Elliott Wave Count: Based on wave structure, Wave 3 appears to be nearing completion. Should we see a short-term pullback, it would likely be Wave 4, offering a strong buy opportunity around the support zone of the flag.
Fib Confluence: The potential retracement aligns perfectly with the 50% Fibonacci level — a typical target area for Wave 4 corrections.
Two Possible Scenarios:
Immediate Breakout: With support from Bitcoin’s continued momentum, LINK could extend its current Wave 3 and break out from the flag without any significant pullback.
Healthy Correction: Alternatively, LINK could retrace to the 50% Fib level before initiating the final leg of Wave 5 — providing a textbook buying opportunity.
Target:
In both scenarios, the upside target remains the same: $18.00 to $18.40 range.
— Thanks for reading.
EURUSD Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD .
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.132.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.129 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
US100US100 has shown great strength after terrif news.
If we look at the bigger picture, recent bullish rally looks like a pull back. Currently it is heading towards very important region , 20500 which is also the 61% retracement level.
If the price close above 20500 then we can consider it a new bullish rally.
EUR-CAD Will Keep Falling! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-CAD is going down
Now and the pair broke
The rising support line
Made a retest and is going
Down again now so we are
Bearish biased and we will
Be expecting a further
Bearish move down
Sell!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Filecoin (FIL): Possible Further Push From Here Towards $3.20Filecoin is following an interesting pattern of uptrend here where we had a nice upward movement, which then was followed by a correctional movement and another wave of upward movement.
Recently we had another breakdown where now we expect to see another BOS, which would lead to further movement to upper zones so let's wait out and see if it plays out as we see it.
Swallow Academy
BITCOINBitcoin (BTC) and US Dollar (DXY) Differential: Correlation and Trends
Key Relationship: Inverse Correlation
Bitcoin has historically exhibited an inverse correlation with the US Dollar Index (DXY), a measure of the dollar’s strength against a basket of major currencies. This relationship stems from Bitcoin’s role as a speculative, risk-sensitive asset and the dollar’s status as a safe-haven currency.
Factor Impact on BTC/USD
Stronger USD (DXY ↑) Typically bearish for Bitcoin (BTC ↓)
Weaker USD (DXY ↓) Typically bullish for Bitcoin (BTC ↑)
Fed Rate Hikes Strengthens USD, pressuring BTC
Risk-On Sentiment Weakens USD demand, supports BTC
Recent Trends in 2025
Decoupling from Historical Patterns:
Despite the DXY falling 9% year-to-date (YTD) in 2025, Bitcoin has declined 6%, diverging from its typical inverse relationship.
This anomaly reflects Bitcoin’s growing correlation with equities (e.g., Nasdaq) amid global trade war tensions and its reduced linkage to gold.
Monetary Policy Impact:
The Federal Reserve’s restrictive policy (4.50% rate) has bolstered the USD, limiting BTC’s upside despite easing trade tensions.
Bitcoin’s fixed supply and speculative nature amplify sensitivity to liquidity shifts.
Correlation Metrics:
2024 Q1: BTC/DXY correlation coefficient of -0.65, indicating a strong inverse relationship.
2025: Correlation weakened due to macroeconomic uncertainties (e.g., U.S.-China tariffs) and BTC’s shifting market role.
Critical Factors Influencing BTC/USD Dynamics
Fed Policy Signals: Delayed rate cuts (priced for June 2025) sustain USD strength, capping BTC rallies.
Risk Sentiment: Safe-haven USD demand spikes during geopolitical crises (e.g., trade wars), pressuring BTC.
Institutional Adoption: Growing BTC integration into traditional finance may reduce volatility and alter its correlation profile.
2025 Outlook
Short-Term: BTC faces headwinds from USD resilience and equity market volatility but could rebound if Fed cuts materialize.
Long-Term: Structural drivers (halving, institutional demand) may restore BTC’s inverse correlation with the USD as macro conditions stabilize.
In summary, while Bitcoin and the dollar often move inversely, 2025 has seen this relationship tested by shifting market dynamics. Traders should monitor Fed policy, risk appetite, and BTC’s evolving role in portfolios for directional cues.