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EUR/USD Surges: Trade, Fed ImpactDuring the North American session on Wednesday, the exchange rate of EUR/USD climbed and broke through the 1.1050 level, which was jointly driven by the weakening of the US dollar and the strengthening of the euro. The trade frictions between the United States and other major economies have escalated, and the market is worried that Trump's tariff policies may push the US economy into a recession. As a result, traders' expectations for the Federal Reserve to resume the loose monetary policy cycle have increased. The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in May has risen from 10.6% a week ago to 52.5%, and traders are convinced that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at the June meeting. Investors are waiting for the minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in March to obtain new clues about the prospects of monetary policy. In March, Federal Reserve officials stated that interest rates should remain in the current range of 4.25% - 4.50% until they clearly understand how the president's policies will affect monetary policy and the economic outlook. The US March Consumer Price Index (CPI) data will be released on Thursday, and investors are paying attention to it. The inflation report is expected to show that the overall CPI and core CPI will increase moderately by 2.6% and 3% respectively. On the daily chart, EUR/USD is in an upward channel pattern. Currently, it is near the middle of the channel. It has broken through the short-term resistance at 1.1050 and is approaching the key resistance level of 1.1150. The lower track of the channel and the 200-day moving average (MA200) at 1.0738 form a strong support area. Although there are signs of a bearish divergence in the daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator, the difference between the DIFF line and the DEA line is still positive (0.0085), indicating that the medium-term upward trend remains intact. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 66.94, showing strong upward momentum. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is at 138.82, which has entered the overbought area, suggesting that there may be adjustment pressure in the short term. If EUR/USD can hold the support level of 1.1050, the upward trend will continue. If it breaks through the 1.1150 level, it is expected to further test the psychological barrier of 1.1200. The trading volume has increased when breaking through the key resistance level, indicating that the bulls are dominating the market, which provides the necessary conditions for the subsequent upward movement. Considering the rising expectations of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut, the US dollar index is likely to continue to be under pressure, which will provide more support for the upward movement of EUR/USD. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Long
by JohnGonzalez1
1
Bitcoin - Bears are winning: is $72k next?After holding strong above $81,000 for a while, Bitcoin has finally broken its critical support zone, diving as low as the $74,000 region. This move signals a clear shift in short-term momentum and brings us closer to a significant imbalance zone that has yet to be tested or filled. The drop wasn’t exactly unexpected, especially with the growing macroeconomic pressure weighing on all markets right now. Last week’s tariff announcement triggered a wave of uncertainty, and we’re now seeing that impact ripple across crypto, equities, and commodities alike. Risk-on assets are feeling the heat, and BTC is no exception. Why $72K Is So Important Right Now Looking at the chart, there’s a large imbalance zone sitting just below current price, right around the $72,000 level. This is an area where price previously moved up very aggressively, leaving a gap in the market structure that now needs to be filled for a healthier market. Markets tend to come back to these areas to rebalance before making the next major move. What makes this zone even more interesting is the fact that it aligns perfectly with the 0.618 Fibonacci level also known as the golden pocket. This confluence makes $72K a very strong support zone, and a likely area where buyers could start stepping back in. Because of this, I’m expecting another short-term bearish leg into this zone to complete the imbalance fill and tap into the golden pocket. From there, if we see strong reaction and volume kicking in, this could mark the beginning of a new bullish wave. But What If $72K Doesn’t Hold? Of course, no level is guaranteed to hold especially in shaky market conditions. If Bitcoin fails to defend the $72K area and breaks down with conviction, the next major target to watch will be the lower imbalance zone at $64K. That would be a deeper correction, but still within the broader context of a bullish cycle rebalancing phase. A drop to GETTEX:64K would likely shake out more weak hands and allow for a stronger, healthier base to form before BTC attempts to reclaim higher levels. It’s not the primary scenario, but it’s one we need to keep on the radar if things escalate further. What Comes Next? In the short term, eyes are on that $72K zone. If BTC finds support there and gives us bullish confirmation such as higher lows, increasing volume, or a strong engulfing candle we could see a swift move back toward the $85K-$95K range. But with macro uncertainty still looming, caution is key. Monitor how price reacts at support, keep risk in check, and be prepared for both scenarios a bounce from $72K or a continuation to fill the imbalance at $64K. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Short
by TehThomas
62
Is the stock market about to crash? I track the SPX Cash Market and its corresponding futures contract, the ES for a living. At times this can be daunting a task, but mostly, I love seeing price subdivide in a manner that is mostly predictable. It never gets old seeing price come right to an area where you forecasted it to go, stop, and reverse (higher or lower). However lately, I’m seeing something in the pattern that typically I would never share publicly. What is that? A stock market crash. I tell my members at EWTDaily.com all the time, that there is no mechanism to predict a market crash. In the abstract, they’re the by-product of traders reacting quickly to unforeseen negative market or economic news…but in reality, there are areas in the Elliott Wave pattern in which if one was to occur, it will likely occur in these areas…and we are approaching soon. The past week of tariff related declines in the market was a result of a (c) wave of Minor A (in red on the above chart). That decline would be a (c) wave on a lesser degree we will see after our minor B higher concludes. We should be in a (c) of C down. In my opinion, this will feel like a stock market crash to conclude blue intermediate wave (A). Please protect holdings once we get a minor B wave completion. Best to all. Chris
CBOE:SPX
by maikisch
DeGRAM | GOLD broke the upward structureGOLD is in an ascending channel between trend lines. The price has already reached the lower boundary of the channel, the lower trend line and the support level, which has already acted as a rebound point. The chart has broken the ascending structure, but a descending top must now be formed to continue the decline. On the 1H Timeframe, the indicators are forming a bullish convergence. We expect XAUUSD to rebound after consolidating above the important psychological level of $3000. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DeGRAM
1
GOLD → Rising economic risks could push the price upwardFX:XAUUSD closed inside the range 2970 - 3060 and has all chances to strengthen as the situation between the USA and China is only getting hotter, which creates additional risks. Gold continues to rally from its recent low of $2,957, back above the $3,000 level amid a weaker dollar and a pause in rising US bond yields. The market is reacting to escalating trade tensions between the US and China, including the threat of new 50% tariffs and possible countermeasures by Beijing. Strengthening expectations of Fed rate cuts and recovering risk appetite also support gold's growth, but the instability of global trade policy keeps investors uncertain. At the moment the price is testing resistance at 3013 and after a small correction the assault may continue, and a break and consolidation above 3013 will open the way to 3033 - 3057. Resistance levels: 3013, 3033, 3057 Support levels: 2996, 2981 The trade war and the complex, politician-dependent fundamental backdrop allows us to strategize relative to economic risk. Technically, we are pushing off the strong levels I have outlined for you. The overall situation hints that China will not just give up and Trump will not lose face. An escalation of the conflict could send gold higher. The price may strengthen from 0.5 fibo, or from 3013 Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
17
The Flag Chart Pattern ExplainedHello, traders! 👋🏻 If price action had a way of saying, “HOLD MY BEER, I’M NOT DONE YET,”— it would be through a flag pattern. This classic continuation setup is where strong trends take a breather before launching their next move. Whether you're seeing a bullish flag chart pattern or a bearish flag pattern, you’re looking at a market that’s just catching its breath before running again. Let’s break down how this works and what to watch for! What Is a Flag Pattern? A flag pattern forms when the market makes a strong move (called the “flagpole”), then consolidates in a narrow, counter-trend range that looks like a flag. Eventually, the price breaks out in the direction of the original trend. Think of it like a runner sprinting, slowing down to recover, and then taking off again. That pause? That’s your flag. There Are Two Main Types: 🟢 Bull Flag Pattern (Bullish Flag Pattern) It appears after a sharp upward move. The flag part slopes downward or moves sideways. It also might signal a continuation of the bullish trend. This is the kind of setup that gets traders excited — it’s all about momentum. 🔴 Bear Flag Pattern (Bearish Flag Pattern) It appears after a sharp downward move. The flag part slopes upward or consolidates sideways. It also might signal a continuation of the bearish trend. When the market pauses in a falling trend, the bear flag pattern warns that sellers are just regrouping before the next drop. How to Recognize a Flag Chart Pattern Spotting a Flag Trading Pattern Is Fairly Straightforward — Just Look For: ✔ A Strong Price Move (the Flagpole) ✔ A Tight Consolidation That Slopes Opposite the Trend ✔ Lower Volume During Consolidation ✔ A Breakout in the Direction of the Original Trend 📊 Real Example: BTC Flag Pattern in 2024 Take a look at the chart above. From October to March 2024, Bitcoin made a massive upward move from around $40,000 to $72,000+ — this was the flagpole. Then, from March through November 2024, BTC entered a long, downward-sloping consolidation channel, forming the flag itself. Despite the lower highs and lower lows, the pullback was contained within parallel trend lines — a classic setup. Once the price broke above the top of the flag, it kicked off a second leg, surging to a new all-time high above $108,000. That breakout confirmed the bullish flag pattern and rewarded traders who recognized the structure early. This BTC move is a textbook example of how a bull flag chart pattern plays out in real markets — offering clean entry signals and strong momentum if the pattern completes. There are variations, too — like the rising flag pattern, which can appear in both bullish and bearish conditions, depending on the context. Some traders even debate whether a flag pattern is a continuation or a subtle reversal flag pattern — so CONTEXT MATTERS. Final Thoughts: Trust the Flag, Not the Noise The flag chart pattern is a reminder that not every pullback means the trend is over. Sometimes, it’s just the market catching its breath. Whether you’re spotting a bull flag pattern in a crypto rally or a bear flag pattern in a downtrend, learning to trade these setups can possibly add precision to your strategy. So, next time you see a price taking a nap in a narrow channel, ask yourself: Is this a bullish flag chart pattern gearing up for another leg up? Or is it a bearish flag pattern just waiting to drop the floor out? Let the structure tell the story and the trend do the rest. This analysis is performed on historical data, does not relate to current market conditions, is for educational purposes only, and is not a trading recommendation.
Education
by WhiteBIT
XRP: XRP following Chainlink 2024 PlaybookI'm seeing a lot of Bearish Head and Shoulders XRP "iT's aLL oVeR" posts/videos. It should be noted that XRP is following the same Head and Shoulders Fake Out Chainlink went through in 2024. A stab down below the head and shoulders neckline into the white trend based fib extension support area before going to new bull market highs. Base Case: $8 Bull Case: $26 It also should be noted that Chainlink in 2024 spent 94 days trading sideways before breaking out to the upside.
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDLong
by StockScaper
Ethereum Surges Past Resistance as Trump Halts Tariff Plans..!🚨 **Market Update** 🚨 President Donald Trump has announced a 90-day pause on the full effect of new tariffs for certain countries, and the markets are reacting strongly! 📈 Both the stock and crypto markets are surging as a result. Right now, Ethereum is testing the $1600 resistance level on the 1-hour timeframe. 💥 Our trading strategy is to let it break the resistance and sustain above it, then look for a solid entry on the pullback. Stay tuned and trade wisely! 🚀💰
Long
by Kartik_Elkunchwar
EUR/USD Clears Resistance, Eyes 1.1200 RetestThe euro jumped +1.66% on the day, decisively clearing the key 1.0940 resistance level with a powerful bullish candle that now opens the door to a retest of the August 2024 high near 1.1200. 🔹 MACD remains in bullish territory, reaffirming upward momentum 🔹 RSI is climbing near 69, approaching overbought but not flashing reversal yet 🔹 Price now trades well above the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, both rising Momentum is clearly in the bulls' favor. As long as EUR/USD holds above 1.0940, pullbacks may be seen as buying opportunities ahead of a potential break toward 1.1200. Trend shift confirmed. Bulls back in charge. -MW
by FOREXcom
USDJPY Will Go Lower! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 146.054. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 144.526 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
USDJPY UPDATESHello folks, this might be trend for next week. see chart above, might make a new low? This is only my view, we still have PPI tomorrow friday. The idea is LONGS. This is not a financial advice or trade signals. Trade wisely base on your own understanding. Good luck. SEE you next week for new charts on new pair of shoes, joke. new pair of forex market or indices or crypto. pewwpeww. SEE the description not the chart, I totally base on my idea on weekly to this USDJPY. are we going down?
Long
by D1GITALTRADES
BTC dominance hinting at one last push?Hello everyone We all are looking for a way how the BTC dominance can go down to 40% area. If we somehow can predict it correctly then we can make some money in the process. Here is a (maybe not so) wild idea for medium term. We are on a weekly chart. Let's check some facts first: - Stoch RSI is currently high (near 100). - RSI is at 68 - Chart is making a new higher high - keep in mind previous dominance high (Feb 3rd) was a result of a flash crash of the market so I am referring to previous high as Nov 18th So we are witnessing a bearish divergence (RSI making lower highs while chart is making higher highs). Hence drop in BTC dominance should just be a matter of time. What if the universe aligns and following happens: We are in economically unstable times. Markets are volatile, politicians are unpredictable so further drop in Crypto space is not impossible. BTC drops less then ALTs, BTC dominance reaches top somewhere between now and 67-68% area. In the meantime traditional markets also crash some more. After that the economic situation stabilises, we get Quantitative Easing and this drives price of ETH up, followed by other ALTs. For reference: ETHBTC has reached strong support between 0.002300 and 0.001700 Satoshi, RSI is at 24 (same level as Sept 2019 when ETHBTC was at a longterm low). This scenario would ignite Altseason, bringing BTC dominance down for a reset and start of a new cycle. There are other bearish scenarios as well, keep that in mind. So trade safe and smart. I am not predicting any of this, I am not even mentioning any possibilities for this to happen. I am just giving you some food for thought. Good luck!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by carefulCheese32259
Falling Wedge Trading Pattern: Unique Features and Trading RulesFalling Wedge Trading Pattern: Unique Features and Trading Rules Various chart patterns give an indication of possible market direction. A falling wedge is one such formation that indicates a possible bullish reversal. This FXOpen article will help you understand whether the falling wedge pattern is bullish or bearish, what its formation signifies about the market direction, and how it can be used to spot trading opportunities. What Is a Falling Wedge Pattern? Also known as the descending wedge, the falling wedge technical analysis chart pattern is a bullish formation that typically occurs in the downtrend and signals a trend reversal. It forms when an asset's price drops, but the range of price movements starts to get narrower. As the formation contracts towards the end, the buyers completely absorb the selling pressure and consolidate their energy before beginning to push the market higher. A falling wedge pattern means the end of a market correction and an upside reversal. How Can You Spot a Falling Wedge on a Price Chart? This pattern is usually spotted in a downtrend, which would indicate a possible bullish reversal. However, it may appear in an uptrend and signal a trend continuation after a market correction. Either way, the falling wedge provides bullish signals. The descending formation generally has the following features. - Price Action. The price trades lower, forming lower highs and lower lows. - Trendlines. Traders draw two trendlines. One connects the lower highs, and the other connects the lower lows. Finally, they intersect towards a convergence point. Each line should connect at least two points. However, the greater the number, the higher the chance of the market reversal. - Contraction. The contraction in the price range signals decreasing volatility in the market. As the formation matures, new lows contract as the selling pressure decreases. Thus, the lower trendline acts as support, and the price consolidating within the narrowing range creates a coiled spring effect, finally leading to a sharp move on the upside. The price breaks through the upper trendline resistance, indicating that sellers are losing control and buyers are gaining momentum, resulting in an upward move. - Volume. The trading volume ideally decreases as the pattern forms, and the buying volume increases with the breakout above the upper trendline, reflecting a shift in momentum towards the buyers. Falling and Rising Wedge: Differences There are two types of wedge formation – rising (ascending) and falling (descending). An ascending wedge occurs when the highs and lows rise, while a descending wedge pattern has lower highs and lows. In an ascending formation, the slope of the lows is steeper and converges with the upper trendline at some point, while in a descending formation, the slope of the highs is steeper and converges with the support trendline at some point. Usually, a rising wedge indicates that sellers are taking control, resulting in a downside breakdown. Conversely, a descending wedge pattern indicates that buyers are gaining momentum after consolidation, generally resulting in an upside breakout. The Falling Wedge: Trading Rules Trading the falling wedge involves waiting for the price to break above the upper line, typically considered a bullish reversal. The pattern’s conformity increases when it is combined with other technical indicators. - Entry According to theory, the ideal entry point is after the price has broken above the wedge’s upper boundary, indicating a potential upside reversal. Furthermore, this descending wedge breakout should be accompanied by an increase in trading volume to confirm the validity of the signal. The price may retest the resistance level before continuing its upward movement, providing another opportunity to enter a long position. However, the entry point should be based on the traders' risk management plan and trading strategy. - Take Profit It is essential to determine an appropriate target level. Traders typically set a profit target by measuring the height of the widest part of the formation and adding it to the breakout point. Another approach some traders use is to look for significant resistance levels above the breakout point, such as previous swing highs. - Stop Loss Traders typically place their stop-loss orders just below the lower boundary of the wedge. Also, the stop-loss level can be based on technical or psychological support levels, such as previous swing lows. In addition, the stop-loss level should be set according to the trader's risk tolerance and overall trading strategy. Trading Example In the chart above, there is a falling wedge. A trader opened a buy position on the close of the breakout candlestick. A stop loss was placed below the wedge’s lower boundary, while the take-profit target was equal to the pattern’s widest part. Falling Wedge and Other Patterns Here are chart patterns that can be confused with a falling wedge. Falling Wedge vs Bullish Flag These are two distinct chart formations used to identify potential buying opportunities in the market, but there are some differences between the two. A descending wedge is a bullish setup, forming in a downtrend. It is characterised by two converging trendlines that slope downward, signalling decreasing selling pressure. A breakout above the upper trendline suggests a bullish move. A bullish flag appears after a strong upward movement and forms a rectangular shape with parallel trendlines that slope slightly downward or move sideways. This formation represents a brief consolidation before the market resumes its upward trajectory. While the falling wedge indicates a potential shift in a downtrend, the bullish flag suggests a continuation of an uptrend. Falling Wedge vs Bearish Pennant ​​The falling wedge features two converging trendlines that slope downward, indicating decreasing selling pressure and often signalling a bullish reversal when the price breaks above the upper trendline. Conversely, the bearish pennant forms after a significant downward movement and is characterised by converging trendlines that create a small symmetrical triangle. This pattern represents a consolidation phase before the market continues its downward trend upon breaking below the lower trendline. While the falling wedge suggests a potential bullish move, the bearish pennant indicates a continuation of the bearish trend. Falling Wedge vs Descending Triangle The falling wedge consists of two downward-sloping converging trendlines, indicating decreasing selling pressure and often signalling a bullish reversal when the price breaks above the upper trendline. In contrast, the descending triangle features a flat lower trendline and a downward-sloping upper trendline, suggesting a buildup of selling pressure and typically signalling a bearish continuation when the price breaks below the flat lower trendline. While the falling wedge is associated with a potential bullish move, the descending triangle generally indicates a bearish trend. Falling Wedge: Advantages and Limitations Like any technical pattern, the falling wedge has both limitations and advantages. Advantages - High Probability of a Reversal. The falling wedge is often seen as a strong, bullish signal, especially when it occurs after a downtrend. It suggests that selling pressure is subsiding, and a reversal to the upside may be imminent. - Clear Entry and Exit Points. The pattern provides clear points for entering and exiting trades. Traders often enter when the price breaks out above the upper trendline and set stop-loss orders below a recent low within the formation. - Versatility. The wedge can be used in various market conditions. It is effective in both continuation and reversal scenarios, though it is more commonly associated with bullish reversals. - Widely Recognised. Since the falling wedge is a well-known formation, it is often self-fulfilling to some extent, as many traders recognise and act on it, further driving the market. Limitations - False Breakouts. Like many chart patterns, the falling wedge is prone to false breakouts. Prices may briefly move above the resistance line but then fall back below, trapping traders. - Dependence on Market Context. The effectiveness of the falling wedge can vary depending on broader market conditions. In a strong downtrend, it might fail to result in a significant reversal. - Requires Confirmation. The wedge should be confirmed with other technical indicators or analysis tools, such as volumes or moving averages, to increase the likelihood of an effective trade. Relying solely on the falling wedge can be risky. - Limited Use in Low-Volatility Markets. In markets with low volatility, the falling wedge may not be as reliable, as price movements might not be strong enough to confirm the falling wedge's breakout. The Bottom Line The falling wedge is a powerful chart pattern that can offer valuable insights into potential trend reversals or continuations, depending on its context within the broader market. By understanding and effectively utilising the falling wedge in your strategy, you can enhance your ability to identify many trading opportunities. As with all trading tools, combining it with a comprehensive trading plan and proper risk management is crucial. FAQ Is a Falling Wedge Bullish? Yes, the falling wedge is a bullish continuation pattern in an uptrend, and it acts as a bullish reversal formation in a bearish market. What Does a Falling Wedge Pattern Indicate? It indicates that the buyers are absorbing the selling pressure, which is reflected in the narrower price range and finally results in an upside breakout. What Is the Falling Wedge Pattern Rule? The falling wedge is a technical analysis formation that occurs when the price forms lower highs and lower lows within converging trendlines, sloping downward. Its rule is that a breakout above the upper trendline signals a potential reversal to the upside, often indicating the end of a downtrend or the continuation of a strong uptrend. How to Trade Descending Wedge Patterns? To trade descending wedges, traders first identify them by ensuring that the price is making lower highs and lows within converging trendlines. Then, they wait for the price to break out above the upper trendline, ideally accompanied by increased trading volume, which confirms the breakout. After the breakout, a common approach is to enter a long position, aiming to take advantage of the anticipated upward movement. What Is the Target of the Descending Wedge Pattern? The target for a descending wedge is typically set by measuring the maximum width of the wedge at its widest part and projecting that distance upwards from the breakout point. This projection gives a potential price target. What Is the Entry Point for a Falling Wedge? The entry point for a falling wedge is ideally just after the breakout above the upper trendline. Some traders prefer to wait for a retest of the broken trendline, which may act as a new support level, before entering a trade to confirm the breakout. *Important: At FXOpen UK, Cryptocurrency trading via CFDs is only available to our Professional clients. They are not available for trading by Retail clients. To find out more information about how this may affect you, please get in touch with our team. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen