Gold Trade Plan 02/05/2025-05/05/2025Dear Traders,
The descending channel is working precisely. After hitting the middle of the channel, the price started to drop. I expect another low below 3200, followed by a rise toward around $3400.
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Chart Patterns
Bitcoin (BTC): Buyers Overtaking Zones | Break of StructureBuyers have formed a break of structure where sideways movement resulted in a breakout. Now price needs to re-test the broken zone or form another BOS to confirm the upside movement but we have to be careful as we are entering the weekend markets.
During weekends we are forming the CME gaps, which act as magnets so ideally we should see not another BOS but the re-test of the previously broken zone so eyes on $95,700.
Swallow Academy
ETHBTC - it's readyhi traders,
Let's have a look at ETHBTC chart on the weekly time frame
ETHBTC has been in a downtrend for almost 3 years.
The price came back into the support area that hasn't been tested since 2019.
Last time when RSI was at 24, ETHBTC bottomed out.
I can't see the price going much lower.
In my opinion, it's a great spot to buy ETH and just hold it for the next few months.
Do you agree? Feel free to share your thoughts in the comment section.
UBER: Looking for the next breakoutUBER quarterly earnings may be the catalyst we need to register a new 52wk High, and breakout to a new price range
if the breakout happens, most traders will be looking at a TP target of around ~$100 to $105 , with SL $75 for a conservative 2:1 R/R.
However, broader market conditions are not that encouraging so that move may take longer to happen, if it doesn't breakdown on some bad news
GOLD - reached at resistance zone ? What's next??#GOLD.. market perfectly bounced back from our supporting area as we discussed in our last idea.
Now market just reached at his r distance region.
From 3262 to 3269-70
Keep close the area and if market holds that in that case we can expect a drop from here.
Good luck
Trade wisely
EURO - Price can drop to support level and then start to move upHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently, price started to decline inside falling channel, where it reached support line firslty and then bounced up.
Price grew to the resistance line of the channel, which coincided with $1.0950 level, and then in a short time fell back to support line.
Next, Euro made an upward impulse, thereby exiting from channel, and also soon broke $1.0950 level.
After this, price rose a little and then made correction, after which coincided to move up inside pennant.
In the pennant pattern, the price broke $1.1320 level and later reached the resistance line, after which corrected.
Now, I think that the Euro can exit from pennant, fall to the support level, and then bounce up to $1.1510
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EURTRY Rejected at 44 – Time to Drop? 📉 EURTRY Hits 43 – Time to Drop? 🧭💥
The EURTRY has just reached 43, completing a multi-year journey that began with our pinpoint entries from as low as 15.7. The rejection at 44.2, just beneath the technical resistance at 45.5 , signals a likely pause—and possibly a sharp reversal.
🧠 Trade History Recap:
• Rejection at 10 ➝ Support at 8 ➝ Target 15.7 hit
• Entry at 20 ➝ Target 26.5 ➝ Final Target 43 ✅
• Now, we’re setting sights on a retracement to 33 based on Fibonacci levels.
🔽 Short-Term View:
With the upside target hit, we're now anticipating a short-term pullback to 40 , and possibly deeper toward 33 , as seen in the newly drawn projections. The rejection candle confirms bearish pressure.
📰 Macroeconomic Backdrop:
• April 2025: Turkey’s central bank raised rates to 46% to contain inflation and stabilize the Lira.
• Despite rate hikes, TRY remains under pressure, with over $25 billion in reserves used to defend it.
• Inflation expectations have surged to 29.75% by year-end, reflecting economic instability.
💬 Takeaway:
We may be entering a new chapter. The beast (inflation) is being fought hard, but fundamentals still point to continued volatility . This is a spot to consider profit-taking or even short setups .
🛍️ Bonus thought: This may also be a great time for a visit to Istanbul while the Lira remains weak.
🌍 To our Turkish friends: Peace, stability, and stronger days ahead. Our charts are technical, but our message is human.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Current Technical Analysis and Operational Suggestions for BTCCurrently, the price of BTC has established a strong support level around 96,000. This level precisely represents the cost line for short - term holders (STH), and its supporting effectiveness has been verified multiple times in past market trends. If the price stabilizes at this crucial level, a technical rebound is highly likely to be triggered.
From the perspective of the hourly chart, the consecutive six or seven bearish candlesticks reflect the concentrated release of bearish forces. However, it is necessary to closely monitor for the emergence of a "bullish divergence" signal, that is, when the price hits a new low for the period, but the MACD indicator does not reach a new low simultaneously. When the DIF line in the MACD indicator crosses the DEA line near the zero - axis to form a golden cross, and is accompanied by an increase in trading volume, it is generally regarded as a valid bullish signal.
Currently, if the green bars of the MACD indicator continue to shorten and the fast and slow lines tend to converge, this may be an omen of an impending short - term rebound. The long lower shadow on the candlestick chart demonstrates strong buying pressure at the low level, but this still needs to be verified in combination with the trading volume. If subsequent candlesticks can firmly stay above the high point of the long lower shadow, the effectiveness of the 96,000 support level can be confirmed. Once the price successfully stabilizes at 96,000 and the MACD golden cross is confirmed, the bullish signal will be further strengthened.
BTCUSD
buy@96000
tp:97000-97500
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NZDCAD – 1H Bullish Divergence Building the Case for a BounceNZDCAD – 1H Bullish Divergence Building the Case for a Bounce 🔁📈
What’s up traders 👋
Eyes on NZDCAD 1H — things are getting interesting. While price has been sliding lower, momentum is quietly painting a different story. That’s right: we’ve got a bullish divergence on the radar.
🔎 Lower Lows in Price, Higher Lows in RSI
Let’s keep it simple. Price has been pushing into new lows, but RSI is doing its own thing — making higher lows in the same zone. That’s a bullish divergence, and it often signals that the downtrend is running out of gas.
The sellers are pressing, but they’re not getting the same power behind their moves. Meanwhile, buyers are starting to show up — quietly, but with intent.
This is not just noise, this is accumulation behavior.
🧠 What to Watch For
A bullish divergence on the 1H doesn't guarantee an immediate reversal, but it definitely sets the stage. Here's how this could play out:
A double bottom, higher low, or trendline break could act as the trigger.
Volume increasing on green candles? Even better.
Watch for price reclaiming key levels or flipping recent resistance into support — that’s confirmation.
💡 Potential Setup Brewing
If you’re a scalper or short-term swing trader, this could be a great spot to start planning. Not every divergence plays out, but when they do — the risk-to-reward is often skewed in your favor, especially if you catch it before the crowd sees it.
📌 Momentum Is Whispering – Are You Listening?
What’s your take on NZDCAD right now? Are you preparing for the bounce or waiting for more proof?
#NZDCAD #BullishDivergence #1HChart #ForexTrading #MomentumShift #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #RSI #SmartTrading
AI16Z Forming Cup and Handle Pattern🚨 $AI16Z Forming Cup and Handle Pattern 🚨
$AI16Z is forming a cup and handle pattern and is currently waiting for a breakout above the red resistance zone. If the breakout is confirmed, the target will be the green line level.
📈 Technical Overview:
Pattern: Cup and Handle
Resistance Zone: Red area currently being tested.
🎯 Breakout Target: Green line level upon confirmation.
Ethereum: Time for the ALT COIN KING to reclaim its throne Who wants Ethereum? Nobody! But that's when the best investment opportunities present themselves. Over the past few weeks Ethereum has seen a sizeable bounce off the 0.618 fib, and the 2017 Bull Market Top at $1,420.
The trade idea is that Ethereum never finished its bear market correction, and still needs Orange Wave D & E to complete the bear market correction (Yellow Wave 4). Additionally, on the monthly time frame, Ethereum has printed a bullish monthly dragonfly doji. In my opinion, this has reduced the probability of Ethereum crashing into the abyss. Targeting at least $7,290.50 for a potential bull market top.
In the short term, Ethereum must reclaim the resistance level at $2,112 as support ASAP. Additionally, Ethereum Dominance is trading in Wyckoff Accumulation on lower time frames.
IMXUSDT Forming Inverse Head and Shoulder
IMXUSDT is currently showcasing one of the most reliable bullish reversal patterns on the charts – the inverse head and shoulders. This formation typically signals a shift from a bearish to a bullish trend, and with the neckline nearing a potential breakout point, this setup is becoming increasingly attractive. The current price action reflects a strong bounce from a key support level, aligning perfectly with the right shoulder of the pattern.
Volume has started to rise significantly during this bounce, which further validates the possibility of a confirmed breakout once the neckline is breached. Such volume activity typically precedes large price movements, especially when it coincides with technical patterns like this. Traders and investors are beginning to recognize this potential and are showing renewed interest in IMX.
With an expected gain of 150% to 160% from current levels, this setup could be one of the most explosive moves in the altcoin space. The pattern targets suggest a move toward previous highs, making IMXUSDT a strong candidate for mid-term bullish trades. The broader market sentiment also supports altcoin rallies, adding fuel to the bullish thesis for this coin.
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Summary of the Gold Market This WeekThis week, the gold market showed a clear downward trend, with spot gold accumulating a 2.43% decline.👉👉👉
The economic data had a significant impact on the gold market this week. Data released by the US Department of Labor on the 2nd showed that the non - farm payroll employment in the US increased by 177,000 in April, much better than the expected 138,000, and the growth data for the previous two months were revised downwards. The US unemployment rate was 4.2% in April, in line with market expectations. The strong non - farm payroll data reduced the possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in June. Under normal circumstances, the reduction in the interest rate hike expectation should be bullish for gold. However, the gold market did not rise sharply this time, mainly because the gold price had risen significantly in the early stage and the long - term investors had a strong sentiment of taking profits. At the same time, the relatively good employment data also reflected the resilience of the US economy to a certain extent, weakening the appeal of gold as a safe - haven asset. As a result, the gold price did not show an obvious upward trend immediately after the data was released. Instead, it remained volatile in the short term.
From a technical perspective, although the gold price has declined this week, the futures price still has certain technical advantages in the near term. On the daily chart, although a negative candlestick was recorded this week, the previous upward trend has made the moving average system still show a long - term arrangement. From the perspective of the RSI, the current value is hovering around 50, indicating that the market's long and short forces are temporarily relatively balanced, and neither side has an obvious advantage. Therefore, the gold price has entered a consolidation stage.
With the economic development in Asia and the changes in consumers' demand for gold investment and jewelry, Asia's influence in the global gold market has become increasingly prominent. If the demand in Asia remains strong in the future, it will provide strong support for the gold price. On the contrary, if the demand weakens, it may increase the downward pressure on the gold price.
Looking ahead to next week, the gold market still faces many uncertainties. On the one hand, the continuous changes in economic data and the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy remain key factors. If the subsequently released data continue to show the resilience of the US economy, it may further reduce the market's expectation of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve, thereby suppressing the gold price. On the other hand, any new development in the international trade situation may trigger fluctuations in the market's risk - averse sentiment, thus affecting the supply - demand relationship and price trend of gold.
EURUSD | Head‑&‑Shoulders on the Brink – Bears Eye 1.1250📉 Trade Thesis
A textbook Head‑and‑Shoulders has completed on the 30‑min EURUSD chart. Price is now testing the rising neckline drawn from mid‑April swing lows. A clean close and retest beneath that trendline opens room toward the next demand shelf and the lower boundary of the broader ascending channel.
🎯 Execution Plan
Entry: wait for a decisive candle close below the neckline, then look to short on a minor pull‑back into that broken support.
Stop: just above the right‑shoulder high to keep risk tight.
Target: the measured‑move objective sits near the channel median/support cluster highlighted on the chart; scale out as price approaches that zone.
🧩 Confluence Factors
Momentum loss: RSI made a lower peak on the “head” versus the prior thrust, signalling fading upside energy.
Event risk: upcoming NFP/ISM releases may fuel USD volatility, providing the catalyst for a break.
Structure: the right shoulder’s supply shelf has capped every rally since late April, reinforcing bearish pressure.
⚠️ Risk Management
Macro data can produce whipsaws—size positions accordingly and stick to the plan. Move stops to breakeven once price pushes convincingly away from the neckline.
For educational purposes only. Trade your own strategy & manage risk.
XAU/USD (Gold) Analysis 2/5/20251. XAU/USD recently recorded an all-time high (ATH) at the 3150 level.
2. Following a healthy retracement, we are now eyeing potential long opportunities near the 3100 zone.
3. The 3100 level presents a favorable risk-reward entry point, aligned with historical support.
4. Market sentiment remains bullish, supported by strong fundamentals and ongoing geopolitical tensions.
5. A breakout above the previous ATH could open the door for a continued rally toward higher resistance levels.
6. Our upside targets for this move are in the range of 3450 to 3500, offering considerable profit potential.
7. Price consolidation near 3100 indicates accumulation, reinforcing the long bias.
8. We anticipate renewed buying pressure as the market tests key psychological and technical levels.
9. Risk management will be crucial, with stops ideally placed just below the 3050 support region.
10. Overall, this setup offers a compelling long trade backed by technical structure and market momentum.
Analysis of the Price Trend of BitcoinAnalysis of the Bitcoin Price Trend: The upward trend is derived from the Weekly Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator. When the yellow and white lines of the MACD return to the zero axis and simultaneously touch the 52-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA52) line, there is a high probability that there will be no problem for the price to reach 100,000 (currency unit).
BITCOIN Is Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 96,975.97.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 99,781.42 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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GBPUSDGBP/USD Interest Rate Differential and Trade Directional Bias for May 2025
Bank of England (BoE): Expected to cut rates by 25 bps to 4.25% on May 8, with further cuts forecasted (Barclays: 3.5% by September; Morgan Stanley: 2.75% by mid-2026).
Federal Reserve (Fed): Maintained rates at 4.25–4.50% in March 2025, projecting two cuts (50 bps total) in 2025.
Current Differential: ~0.75–1.00 percentage points in favor of the USD, widening as BoE eases faster than the Fed.
Trade Directional Bias
Short-Term Outlook (May): Bearish for GBP/USD due to BoE’s dovish trajectory vs. Fed’s cautious stance.
Key Upcoming Fundamental Data (May 2025)
Date Event Expected Impact on GBP/USD
May 2 US NFP (April) Weak data (<130K jobs) could pressure USD, boosting GBP. Strong data (>150K) may delay Fed cuts, strengthening USD.
May 8 BoE Rate Decision A 25 bps cut (priced in) may cause GBP selling; hawkish hold unlikely but would spike GBP.
May 15 UK CPI (April) Services inflation above 3.5% could limit BoE cuts, supporting GBP. Below 3.0% would reinforce bearish bias.
May 30 US Core PCE Inflation Sticky inflation (>2.7%) may delay Fed cuts, boosting USD. Sub-2.5% could revive rate-cut bets, weakening USD.
Factors That Could Shift Directional Bias
Bullish GBP/USD Scenarios
BoE Surprise Hold: Unlikely, but no cut on May 8 would trigger a sharp GBP rally.
UK CPI Surprise: Services inflation above 3.8% or headline CPI >3.0% could reduce BoE cut expectations.
Weak US Data: NFP <100K or Core PCE <2.5% would pressure USD via accelerated Fed cut bets.
Bearish GBP/USD Scenarios
BoE Dovish Guidance: Signals for consecutive cuts (e.g., June + August) would extend GBP weakness.
Strong US Data: NFP >150K or Core PCE >2.8% reinforces Fed’s "higher for longer" stance, lifting USD.
Trade War Escalation: Renewed US-China/EU tariffs would strengthen USD as a safe haven.
Conclusion:
GBP/USD is poised for downside pressure in May, driven by BoE rate cuts and a resilient USD. . Upcoming US jobs data (May 2) and UK inflation (May 15) are critical for near-term volatility. A hawkish BoE surprise or weak US data could temporarily reverse the bearish trend, but the interest rate differential favors USD strength.
BITCOINSeveral factors could cap Bitcoin’s (BTC) upside this month (May 2025) despite its strong momentum near $97,000:
Volume Decline and Depleting Buying Momentum
Recent trading volume has been declining, suggesting weakening buying pressure. Without strong volume to confirm a breakout, rallies may stall or reverse, attracting bearish activity and limiting upward moves.
Profit-Taking After Sharp Rally
After surging roughly 24% from April lows , some investors may lock in profits, creating short-term selling pressure that caps gains.
Macroeconomic and Geopolitical Risks
Mixed economic data and ongoing macro jitters-such as trade tensions and tariff uncertainties-could trigger risk-off sentiment, reducing appetite for risk assets like Bitcoin and strengthening the US dollar, which often moves inversely to BTC.
ETF Inflows and Market Sentiment Volatility
While institutional inflows via Bitcoin ETFs have been strong, sudden shifts in sentiment or regulatory concerns around crypto products could cause volatility and limit sustained rallies.
Technical Indicators
Although technicals remain broadly bullish, Bitcoin must decisively break and hold above $96,230 with volume confirmation to sustain an upswing. Failure to do so could result in consolidation or pullbacks to support zones near $90,237 or lower