XAG/USD...4h pairMY analysis presents a solid trade plan for XAGUSD based on technical indicators. A few additional considerations:
1️⃣ For the short setup:
A break below 33.85 aligns with momentum weakening, but watch for fakeouts, especially if volume is low.
The 32.00 target is ambitious, so partial profits around 33.00 could be wise.
2️⃣ For the long setup:
If price rebounds from 34.60, confirmation with bullish candlesticks or an RSI divergence could strengthen the trade.
Watch for resistance near 34.80–35.00 before fully committing.
Would you like to add risk management tips or additional confluences?
Chart Patterns
Bitcoin Descending Channel - $65,500 Support Retest?Hello traders, in today’s Bitcoin analysis, we are going to look at recent price action developments and the rejection that occurred in the past 12 hours.
Bitcoin remains within a descending triangle, printing consecutive lower lows and lower highs. The latest move saw an impulse pump into the 0.618 Fibonacci level, aligning perfectly with the descending channel range high. This resulted in a rejection, reinforcing the probability of a move lower.
Key Points:
• BTC is trading within a descending triangle with a clear lower high and lower low structure.
• The recent rejection occurred at the 0.618 Fibonacci level, aligning with the channel range high.
• The next key support is at the lower channel boundary around $65,500.
Bitcoin’s price action has solidified this descending trading channel, and until a breakout occurs, the market will likely continue to respect this structure. If sellers maintain control, a move toward the channel low remains the most probable scenario.
However, BTC can still range within this formation until a decisive break occurs. Traders should keep an eye on key support and resistance levels, as any strong reaction at these areas could indicate the next major move
Gold Futures: Flight of the PhoenixCOMEX:GC1!
Gold Futures Analysis:
Gold futures are currently presenting a clearer picture compared to equity index futures. Crude oil futures, on the other hand, have already priced in much of the recent tariff news, with a reversal observed from the 2025 mid-range back towards $65. Despite heightened volatility, the WTI crude oil market remains relatively balanced, with bearish sentiment materializing, if prices drop below and stay below the $65 mark.
Gold futures, however, are offering more defined risk-reward opportunities at the moment. Our analysis shows a macro bullish trend in gold, along with price discovery and market auction trends visible on lower timeframes.
On the 4-hour chart below, we observe a rising upward channel, with key levels identified and reasoning for these levels labeled on the chart.
Key Levels:
• ATH: 3201.6
• HVN (High Volume Node) for long entry: 3115
• LVN (Low Volume Node)/LIS for short entry: 3095.1
• Key LVN Support: 3003.7-3018
Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation
If Gold futures stay below the trend line that defines both our long and short trade ideas, the bearish scenario could materialize. For a short trade to be viable, we would look for a close below the LVN/LIS level (3095.1) and enter on a pullback, targeting the major LVN support zone around 3018.0.
Example trade parameters for Scenario 1:
• Entry: 3095.1
• Stop: 3125
• Target: 3018
• Risk: 29.9 points
• Reward : 77.1 points
• Risk to Reward Ratio: RRR=77.1/29.9 ≈2.58
Scenario 2: Bullish Reversal
In the event that Gold futures push back towards all-time highs due to heightened uncertainty and a flight to safety, we expect initial profit-taking by shorter timeframe traders to provide a pullback. This could present a long opportunity towards the all-time highs.
Example trade parameters for Scenario 2:
• Entry: 3115
• Stop: 3095
• Target: 3200
• Risk : 20 points
• Reward : 85 points
• Risk-to-Reward Ratio: RRR= 85/20 = 4.25
Important Notes:
• These are example trade ideas, and traders are encouraged to do their own analysis and preparation before entering any positions.
• Stop losses are not guaranteed to trigger at specified levels, and actual losses may exceed predetermined stop levels.
GBPJPY INTRADAY support retest at 191.70The GBP/JPY pair is in an overall uptrend, though currently experiencing a short-term pullback.
• Key Support: 191.70 – A bounce from this level could push prices higher.
• Upside Targets: 194.00, 195.50, and 195.70 if the bullish trend continues.
• Bearish Scenario: A break below 191.70 could lead to further declines toward 190.90, 190.00, and 189.00.
Conclusion: The trend remains bullish unless GBP/JPY drops below 191.70, which would signal further downside risk.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
COPPER The 1D MA50 is the key.Last time we looked at Copper (HG1!) was on January 24 (see chart below) giving a buy signal that easily hit our 4.6550 Target:
This time the market is in front of a critical moment. The 2025 pattern has been a Channel Up, which last Wednesday reached the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 1-year Channel Up. As long as the 2025 pattern holds, the recent pull-back is a buy opportunity targeting 5.3745.
If the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) breaks however, we expect a quick dive, rebound re-test and rejection, similar to July 05 2024. In that case, we will target the bottom of the 1-year Channel Up at 4.150.
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USOIL: Key Levels and Bullish Prospects Amid Trade War ConcernsGood morning Traders,
Trust you are doing great.
Kindly go through my analysis of USOIL.
USOIL is currently experiencing market imbalance due to the nature of its opening range, following a gap-down decline last night in response to trade war concerns that have fueled recession fears. The price dropped from its weekly high of 72.22 to a key support zone at 69.00, which is near the week's low. As we anticipate the release of the ISM Services PMI at 3 PM GMT+1, I expect the demand zone to hold, driving the price higher—initially to fill the gap and subsequently toward the 71.35 region. Furthermore, this outlook is strengthened by the formation of a bullish Bat pattern on the M30 chart.
The key levels I will be monitoring for potential price action include the previous week's high at 70.10, the five-week high at 70.62, and the 71.35 region. These areas represent significant resistance levels that could be tested as price moves upward. A break below 68.80 will invalidate this outlook.
Cheers and Happy trading.
EURAUD Short Term Buy Idea Update!!!Hi Traders, on March 18th I shared this "EURAUD Short Term Buy Idea Follow Up"
I expected pullbacks towards the marked key support zones and then a potential continuation higher. You can read the full post using the link above.
Price reached the first key support zone, respected it and bounced higher as expected!!!
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BTC update 28.03.2025The zone of interest I have outlined, when internal liquidity is achieved. In the same zone we have horizontal volumes.
So I'm waiting for a reaction from this zone
We are still continuing to form the bottom of the correction.
The next 4 days will be a struggle to close the monthly candle, it should close green.
Bets Regards, EXCAVO
USOIL 1HR // 03 April 2025 AnalysisWe can see a small uptrend forming on the 1 hour timeframe.
Let's see how the price reacts around the trendline and the marked are of support and resistance.
Potential buys if we get a rejection from both the trendline and marked area of support/resistance.
Alternatively, if the price breaks through the area of support and resistance and the trendline, we can wait for a break and retest for potential sells.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is purely for personal reference and record keeping and should be taken as educational material only, NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE. I will not be responsible for profits or loses due to this analysis.
1-week US30: Could the Dow Jones Drop another 2000 PointsWe’re analyzing the weekly chart to grasp the broader market trend. Over the past three years, the US30 index has surged by 17,000 points, often resembling a nearly straight upward trajectory. However, multiple technical and fundamental factors now suggest a potential downward correction.
From a fundamental standpoint, increasing tariffs imposed by the U.S. administration are fueling investor uncertainty, prompting a market sell-off. The prevailing risk-off sentiment is pushing investors away from stocks and into traditional safe-haven assets like the Japanese Yen and Gold.
From a technical perspective, the US30 has formed a double top pattern, a classic bearish signal. Additionally, the 23% Fibonacci retracement level, which initially acted as support, has failed, with prices now breaking below.
Given this setup, we are initiating a direct sell order at 41,000, with a stop-loss (SL) 2% above this level. Our take-profit (TP) target is set at 39,000, aligning with the 38% Fibonacci retracement level, which historically serves as strong support.
This strategic positioning reflects the heightened volatility and the likelihood of a further market decline in the short to mid-term.
DeGRAM | DXY dollar in the turbulence zoneDXY is in a descending channel under the trend lines.
The price is moving from the upper boundary of the channel.
After breaking the trend line, the chart went sharply lower amid the announcement of trade duties, after which it formed a gap.
On the main timeframes indicators have gone into the oversold zone.
We expect that the index will seek to close the gap after testing the lower boundary of the channel.
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NZDJPY: Pullback From Support 🇳🇿🇯🇵
There is a high chance that NZDJPY will pull back from support.
As a confirmation, I see a double bottom pattern on an hourly time frame
and a breakout of its neckline.
Goals: 85.30 / 85.58
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euraud sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
GBP-USD Risky Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD is growing now
But a horizontal resistance
Level of 1.3000 from where
We will be expecting a local
Pullback and a local move down
Sell!
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EURUSD Is Very Bullish! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.101.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.123 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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