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Gold Bulls Back in Control as Trump Pressures Fed for Rate CutsHey Realistic Traders! President Trump is ramping up pressure on the Fed to cut interest rates , saying the U.S. is falling behind countries with looser policies. As several Fed officials begin to shift their stance, expectations for rate cuts are growing. That’s putting pressure on the dollar and giving gold a fresh boost. We’ll take a closer look at what this means for OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold) through technical analysis and explore its upside potential. Technical Analysis On the 4-hour chart, Gold has moved above the EMA-200, signaling a shift in momentum to the upside. Price has also broken out of a Descending Broadening Wedge (DBW) pattern, which often indicates the start of a bullish trend. The breakout was confirmed by a Bullish Marubozu candle, reflecting strong buying pressure. To add further confirmation, the MACD has formed a bullish crossover, reinforcing the upward momentum. Looking ahead, the first target is seen at 3417. If reached, a minor pullback toward the historical resistance zone (green area) may occur, with a potential continuation toward the second target at 3500. This bullish outlook remains valid as long as the price stays above the stop-loss level at 3271 . A break below this level would invalidate the setup and shift the outlook back to neutral. Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on XAUUSD.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by financialfreedomgoals101
USDJPY 4-Hour Technical Analysis (Smart Money Concept Breakdown)📈 Overall Market Structure Overview: The chart reflects a multi-phase Smart Money playbook, consisting of: Bullish channel structure Breakout followed by liquidity sweep Supply zone flip to demand Price mitigation and structure shift Anticipated reaction zone for upcoming move 🔎 Phase-by-Phase Analysis: 🧱 1. Ascending Channel Formation Price was moving upward in a controlled bullish ascending channel, suggesting institutional accumulation with planned distribution above highs. The channel breakout was the first significant liquidity event, where early breakout traders were baited. 💧 2. Fakeout and Supply Interchange into Demand (Ellipse Zone) Once the channel broke, price sharply reversed, retracing into a previous supply zone. However, institutions defended this zone, flipping it into a demand area. This behavior, marked with the blue ellipse, signals “Supply Interchange in Demand” – a core SMC concept. Here, orders were absorbed Liquidity was trapped below A bullish push confirmed institutional intent 🎯 3. Previous Target Hit – Completion of Bullish Leg Price made a strong rally from the demand zone, hitting the previous target near 147–148 zone. This bullish leg created a Major Break of Structure (BOS) confirming bullish dominance at that phase. ⚠️ 4. Distribution Begins: Shift in Momentum After reaching the Major BOS area, price failed to hold higher levels. A decline followed, indicating distribution by smart money. The reaction was sharp and consistent, creating lower highs, signaling weakness. 🔄 5. Minor CHoCH Formation – Early Reversal Signal A Minor Change of Character (CHoCH) occurred around the 144.000–143.000 area. This is a key transition, where smart money transitions from bullish intent to potential bearish delivery. 📦 6. Next Target Zone – Bullish POI (Point of Interest) The chart identifies a next target demand zone around 141.800–141.200, marked in green. This zone: Holds unmitigated demand Sits below a recent liquidity pool Aligns with past support This is where Smart Money could re-enter, offering a long opportunity if a bullish CHoCH or BOS forms from that zone. 📊 Trade Scenarios & Forecast: 🔻 Bearish Short-Term Play (Sell Setup): If price respects current resistance (144.500–145), and a lower high forms: Short entry opportunity Target: 142.000–141.200 demand zone Confirmation: Strong bearish candle, CHoCH below minor support 🔺 Bullish Reversal Play (Buy Setup): At the demand zone: Look for bullish reaction + CHoCH or BOS Long entry potential Target: Retest of 144.000 or even 147.000 if liquidity allows 🔐 Smart Money Tactics in Play: Liquidity Engineering: Price trapped both bulls (at highs) and bears (below ellipse zone) Supply into Demand Flip: A classic trap where supply becomes a launchpad for bullish delivery Minor CHoCH: Early signal of intent change Next POI (Point of Interest): Potential reaccumulation zone below major liquidity grab 🧠 Educational Takeaway: This analysis illustrates: Why breakouts are often traps without confirmation How to identify real institutional zones The role of CHoCH/BOS in planning ahead Importance of waiting for price to come to your levels, not chasing ⚠️ Risk & Caution: News catalysts can cause deviation from technical levels Always use stop loss and proper risk management SMC is about patience and precision, not prediction ✅ Summary: USDJPY is showing early signs of a smart money distribution and a potential pullback toward demand. Watch closely for confirmation at the key zone (141.800–141.200) before engaging long. Until then, short setups on rallies may be favorable.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
1
DeGRAM | EURUSD downturn in the channel📊 Technical Analysis ● Price is capped by a confluence of the June-July down-sloping channel roof and the former median resistance line at 1.1780; the last three candles form lower highs inside a micro bear-flag. ● Intraday structure now leans on the 1.1745–1.1750 support cluster: a break beneath this shelf completes the flag and exposes the channel floor/June pivot at 1.1690. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Pre-NFP dollar demand is rebuilding as ADP and ISM-services beat consensus, while French election uncertainty revives euro risk premium. ✨ Summary Sell 1.1775 ± 5 pips; sustained trade below 1.1745 targets 1.1690. Short thesis void if 30-min candle closes above 1.1800. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
1
GOLD 1H – Breakout Retest or a Fragile Bullish Hope?👆🚀Boost it if you like it... (Thank you) 🚀👆 Gold has finally broken out above the descending trendline that has capped price for weeks. We’ve already seen Leg 1, an impulsive rally from the strong support zone, and a textbook retest of the broken trendline. If bulls hold this level, a Leg 2 continuation could unfold. Key Factors to Watch: ✅ Strong demand zone fueling the first leg up ✅ Clean breakout and retest of descending resistance ✅ Price still hovering around EMAs (15/60) ⚠️ However, the structure is fragile – lack of follow-through could trap late buyers ⚠️ If price loses the retest area decisively, sellers may reclaim control Trading Insight: This is a fascinating setup for bulls—but don’t fall in love with it. Stay adaptive. The market doesn’t owe us a second leg higher. Manage risk carefully and remember: probabilities, not certainties. Trade Safely... #MJTrading #Gold #XAUUSD #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutTrading #SupportResistance #PriceAction
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by MJElahifx
1
Momentum Reload: Next Scale-InHello traders, First position still floating. The scale-in has been executed. The structure is clear, and the positioning, sequence, and entry are all solid. I'm comfortable taking a potential loss on this position. Stops from the previous trade have been moved to the current stop-loss level, making the overall position risk-free. I'll release a video soon to walk you through the details. Stay safe chads! Peace MEXC:ETHUSDT.P BINANCE:ETHBTC CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
Long
by FlappenmanFX
1
Cup & HandleI'm tracking a weekly chart that shows signs of a potential cup and handle pattern. While the structure is broadly intact, it's not a textbook formation. Recent market action has been noisy, and that’s reflected in the price and volume behavior. The cup is well-formed: a rounded bottom following a downtrend and a steady climb back to previous highs. The handle is messier than ideal – high volume and increased volatility suggest a false breakout attempt, likely driven by early positioning, profit taking, and possibly broader geopolitical or macro-driven factors. This kind of “imperfect” handle isn't uncommon in real markets but does require more caution. Breakout zone: Around ~6 Cup bottom: ~2.75 Depth: 6 – 2.75 = 3.25 Measured move target: ~9.25 This is a potential target, not a certainty — confirmation is key.
NYSE:EVTLLong
by lil_Buuck
1
XAGUSD Analysis : Consolidation & FMFR Setup + Target🧭 Technical Overview: Silver has had a strong bullish rally that started after the breakout of a long-term symmetrical triangle pattern. This breakout marked a Major Break of Structure (BOS) and shifted the overall market sentiment toward the bulls. Since then, price has been consolidating under a major resistance zone, forming a compression range, which is now shown as a blue elliptical zone in the chart. This ellipse is not just a consolidation area — it represents a neutral compression zone where price can explode in either direction. The price action inside this area has been choppy and manipulative, sweeping both local highs and lows without real follow-through — a perfect environment for a Fake Move – then Reversal (FMFR) strategy. 🔍 Key Chart Components: 🔹 1. Ellipse (Dual Directional Zone) This region shows indecision. Price is coiling inside, creating higher lows and lower highs — a volatility squeeze. A breakout from this ellipse is likely, but the first breakout move may be fake, followed by a quick reversal. 🔹 2. Major BOS (Break of Structure) Price broke out of a long-term descending structure and pushed strongly upward, which marked a significant bullish shift. The pullback after that BOS was shallow — a sign of continued strength — but now we’re at a decision point. 🔹 3. Resistance Zone (Previous Target Area) The price is now retesting a strong historical resistance around $37.00–$38.00, where we’ve seen rejections before. This is the liquidity zone where breakout traders enter long, but institutions may sweep them for liquidity before reversing. 🔹 4. Minor and Major CHoCH Levels Minor CHoCH: Around $35.00–$35.50 Major CHoCH: Near $33.80–$34.00 These are reversal zones to watch if a fake move to the upside occurs and price rolls over. 📉 FMFR Setup Explained: FMFR (First Move Fake Reversal) is a market behavior pattern where: Price fakes a breakout in one direction (e.g., above resistance). Attracts liquidity (traders’ orders). Reverses rapidly in the opposite direction, trapping those who entered late. In your chart, the blue notes say: “In This Case, XAGUSD Have to Gave FMFR From Anyside” “First Move Fake Then Reversal” This highlights that no matter which direction the market initially breaks, it’s likely to reverse shortly afterward. This pattern is often seen before major moves when the market seeks to clear liquidity. 🔄 Scenarios to Watch: 🅰️ Bull Trap (Fake Breakout) Price spikes above $37.80–$38.00. Sweeps the highs and rejects sharply. Reversal triggers below the ellipse, heading toward minor/major CHoCH. 🅱️ Bear Trap (Fake Breakdown) Price dips below $35.00 (minor CHoCH). Triggers panic sells. Then rebounds quickly into the previous high zone or beyond. ⚙️ Trading Strategy Ideas: Wait for Confirmation: Enter only after a confirmed breakout and retest OR a fakeout with reversal candles (e.g., engulfing, pin bar). Use Tight Risk Management: Place stops outside sweep zones. This setup is volatile and can trap undisciplined trades. Watch Volume & Wicks: Spikes with wicks and no close beyond the level usually confirm FMFR setups. 🔐 Key Levels to Watch: Zone Price Level Action Major Resistance $37.00–$38.00 Watch for fakeouts Minor CHoCH ~$35.00–$35.50 Reversal entry zone Major CHoCH ~$33.80 Last line of bullish defense 📝 Final Thoughts: This is a textbook FMFR compression setup, where volatility is building inside a symmetrical price zone. The first aggressive move from this region is likely to be deceptive. Smart money traders look for trap setups, not the obvious direction. Silver is approaching a high-risk, high-reward decision zone, and staying patient will be key. 📊 Wait. Observe. React — don’t predict blindly.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
GBPJPY H1 I Bullish RiseBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling toward our buy entry at 196.80, which is a pullback support that aligns closely with the 50% Fib retracement. Our take profit will be at 198.09, an overlap resistance level. The stop loss will be placed at 195.39, a swing low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
USDCAD LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D4 W27 Y25USDCAD LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D4 W27 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Daily Order block identified ✅4H Order Block identified ✅1H Order Block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Long
by JCFRGNT
1
GBP/USD Bearish Trend Analysis GBP/USD Bearish Trend Analysis The GBP/USD pair is currently exhibiting a bearish trend on the 1-hour chart, with the market forming lower lows, a clear indication of sustained selling pressure. This downward momentum suggests that traders are favoring short positions, and the bearish sentiment may continue in the upcoming trading sessions. Bearish Flag Pattern Suggests Further Downside Adding to the bearish outlook, the price action is forming a bearish flag pattern, which is typically a continuation signal in a downtrend. This pattern consists of a sharp decline (the flagpole) followed by a slight upward or sideways consolidation (the flag). A breakdown below the flag’s support could trigger another wave of selling, reinforcing the bearish bias. Key Support Levels to Watch If the downtrend continues, the market could target the following support levels: - 1.35850 – The initial downside target, likely to act as a short-term support zone. - 1.35100 – A deeper support level that may come into play if selling pressure intensifies. A break below these levels could open the door for further declines, potentially extending toward 1.34500 or lower, depending on market momentum. Resistance Level as a Key Barrier On the upside, the 1.37900 level serves as a critical resistance. If the price retraces higher, this zone could act as a strong barrier where sellers might re-enter. A sustained break above this resistance could invalidate the bearish outlook, signaling a potential trend reversal or consolidation phase. Trading Strategy Considerations - Bearish Scenario: Traders may look for short opportunities near resistance levels or upon a confirmed breakdown below the bearish flag. - Risk Management: A stop-loss above 1.37900 (or a recent swing high) could help mitigate risk if the market reverses unexpectedly. - Bullish Caution: If GBP/USD breaks above 1.37900 with strong momentum, the bearish thesis may need reevaluation. Conclusion The GBP/USD pair remains bearish in the short term, supported by the lower lows and the bearish flag pattern. Traders should monitor the 1.35850 and 1.35100 support levels for potential downside targets, while keeping an eye on 1.37900 as a key resistance that could determine whether the downtrend continues or reverses. Proper risk management remains essential in navigating this market structure.
Short
by Brillant_Capital
BTC? and It's alliance.. I have this knowledge will like to share: Use it caveat emptor Okay. US30 and BTC correlate 1:2 approximately. If US30 moved 10% BTC will move 20% I will plot from the bottom till now (example) and get the % for US30 Then will double that % from bottom for BTC This is no mean a crystal ball, but it gives a sense of confidence. You will then be on a lookout in BTC for?? Whatever you like / preference on BULLISH SIDE; fav pattern bla bla.. All the best. Do your own research. I am not guru. NB/ May you will bless with abundance
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by reazosman