Chart Patterns
next week or two weeks NQ vision as u see in the chart nothing special we need to reach the first high Buyside LQ
then pull back to the last low as second target sellside LQ
note that
any question feel free
Next 3 sessions for XAUAfter we had a small run-up, we will start testing 3267 again, but this time as resistance.
We will probably se the start of next leg down during NY session, that will continue during next week, with start at Sunday night in next Asia session.
GOLD NEXT MOVE NEXT WEEK GOLD BIG DOWN GOLD SELL NOW 3230- LIMIT 3240=3250 FIRST TARGET 3200 NEXT TARGET 3180 LONG TARGET 3150 Counter-Analysis to the Bearish Bias
1. Volume Analysis Suggests Demand at Lows
The highlighted "Strong Support" zone around 3,156 shows high buying volume—evidenced by the tall green bars on the volume histogram.
This may indicate accumulation, not preparation for breakdown, contrary to the red arrows implying a strong downward continuation.
2. Oversold Market Conditions
Given the repeated tests of lower support zones without major follow-through, there's a risk of bearish exhaustion.
A reversal pattern (e.g., double bottom or inverse head and shoulders) could form near 3,215 or 3,187.
3. Failed Breakdown Possibility
Price rebounded sharply from the support zone below 3,220, which could be interpreted as a bear trap.
If price closes above the 3,248 resistance level, the market may target the 3,294 and even higher levels, invalidating the bearish roadmap.
4. Ignored Higher Timeframe Context
This chart is on a 1H timeframe, but without a higher timeframe reference (e.g., 4H or Daily), the bias may be misleading.
If the daily chart is bullish or consolidating, this 1H downtrend could just be a retracement.
5. No Confirmation of Breakdown Yet
None of the major support levels (e.g., 3,215 or 3,187) have been broken with high volume and strong candles.
Until a confirmed lower low below 3,156 is printed, this remains a range or consolidation, not a breakdown.
Alternative Bullish Scenario
If price holds above 3,215 and breaks 3,248 with volume, the next target could be:
3,293 (Resistance)
Possibly 3,320 and above (double top region
NZDJPY 39-Year Trap – 5149 Pips Short Setup!This chart showcases a massive 39-year consolidation range in NZDJPY, spanning from 1986 to 2025, with no confirmed breakout or breakdown throughout this entire period. The pair remains range-bound, signaling long-term indecision.
Currently, we are preparing for short-side trades based on a key technical clue:
The latest monthly candle wicked above resistance, sweeping liquidity before closing lower — a classic liquidity grab or false breakout setup, indicating a potential reversal within the range.
Trade Plan:
Entry 1: 89.364
Entry 2 (Add more lots if price rises): 93.351
Stop Loss for both entries: 95.967
Our targets remain:
Take Profit 1: 70.220
Take Profit 2: 42.516
This setup is aiming for a 5,149 pip move (~55% drop), aligned with the historical range-bound behavior.
DeGRAM | BTCUSD 📊 Technical Analysis
● Price exited a 3-month descending channel and is climbing inside a new rising channel; $91 500 support keeps bulls in control.
● Price just under the $95k supply zone; a break unlocks the upper rail near GETTEX:98K and the next objective at $106k.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Spot-BTC ETFs hauled in ≈ $3.4 B last week, underscoring persistent institutional demand.
● US JOLTS openings fell to a four-year low, boosting Fed rate-cut odds and softening the USD—both tail-winds for Bitcoin.
✨ Summary
Rising-channel structure, hefty ETF inflows, and softer U.S. data favor a push above $95 K toward $98 K–106 K; bias invalidated below $91 500.
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BITCOIN FALLING WEDGE BREAKOUT Bitcoin just popped out of a textbook bullish continuation pattern, 3+ touches on each trend line + Breakout candle confirmed. Pro traders now watch for confirmation to manage risk.
Will BTC follow through?
🚀If your bullish!!
📝If your watching closely!!
XAUUSD Analysis🟡 XAUUSD Analysis – May 2, 2025
Chart Overview:
Price is reacting near the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone (~3262–3275), a key supply area.
A bearish rejection candle is forming at 3264.51, showing resistance.
The projection curve on the chart suggests a potential pullback to the 0.236 (3232.76) or even 0 (3206.26) level.
🧠 Fundamental Catalyst (Today’s NFP):
If the NFP comes out weak (138K or lower) as expected:
USD may weaken → gold could break above 3275 and aim for 3294 or higher.
If NFP beats expectations significantly (e.g., above 200K):
Strong USD → This bearish setup could play out → Gold may drop toward 3232 or 3206.
📉 Signal (Short-term idea):
Bias: Bearish below 3275
Entry: Sell near 3265–3275 (supply zone)
TP1: 3232
TP2: 3206
CHF/JPY BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
CHF/JPY is making a bullish rebound on the 2H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 174.161 level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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DeGRAM | GOLD Broke the Rising Channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Break below the rising channel and $3 290 support; failed retest inside the $3 320-3 260 supply creates a descending structure—targets sit at $3 200, then $3 000.
● 4-hour RSI bearish divergence and a sequence of lower highs confirm momentum has flipped to the downside.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Dollar Index rebounds (+0.27 %) on auto-tariff-relief headlines, boosting risk appetite and trimming haven demand.
● Yahoo Finance reports gold sliding as a stronger USD and tariff reprieve trigger profit-taking.
✨ Summary
Channel break + USD strength favour a short XAU/USD view: objectives $3 200 → $3 000; invalidation above $3 360.
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Market Analysis – Labor Day Sell-Off & Key Levels [4h]TFMarket Analysis – Labor Day Sell-Off & Key Levels
Labor Day kicked off with a major sell-off during the Asian session, breaking structure as price plummeted from 3292.88 to 3221.40 before the EU session’s opening bell (2025-05-01). Whether this shocked traders or not, one thing became evident—3292 is a critical level, coinciding with the monthly Fibonacci level.
An overstretched price rise inevitably needs correction, and that confirmation has arrived. For a meaningful bull run, price must breach 3292 with strong momentum to signal recovery. Failure to reclaim this level will keep bearish sentiment alive for a while longer.
Key Levels to Monitor – 4H Timeframe
Bullish Signals
Watch for 4H candle closes at:
🔹 Above 3243 → Potential short-term bullish opportunity, range 3243-3263.
🔹 Above 3263 → Swing opportunity toward 3322, though consolidation may still form as bulls resist further decline.
🔹 Recovery attempt? Key bullish ranges to monitor: 3322 / 3332 / 3339 / 3342 / 3356 / 3363 / 3403. Stay tuned.
🔹 Major upside continuation → If price holds above 3403, broader global economic conditions may not be in great shape, potentially contradicting gold’s safe-haven narrative.
Bearish Signals
On the downside, bears haven’t shown full conviction yet—but keep an eye on:
🔻 Immediate important levels: 3200 / 3167 / 3134 / 3080 / 3057 / 3030 / 3005 / 2999 / 2966 / 2961 / 2952
🔻 Short-term bearish opportunities: 3253 / 3242 / 3232 / 3227 / 3211 / 3209 / 3200 / 3195 / 3185 / 3181 / 3178 / 3169.
🔻 While many traders favor these ranges, personally, I prefer locking in on key levels.
Final Thoughts
Markets tell a story—we just need to show up early to catch the best opportunities.
✅ Be independent. Be smart. Be confident.
✅ Trade with clarity—no rush, no noise, no distractions.
✅ Wait for confirmations. Then act.
Silver H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 32.73, which is a pullback resistance aligning with the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 31.90, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 33.62, an overlap resistance level.
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IPUSDT | Long | Technical Rebound from Demand Zone | (May 2025)IPUSDT | Long | Technical Rebound from Demand Zone | (May 2025)
1️⃣ Quick Insight:
IPUSDT has been trending down, but it's still respecting technical levels well. I'm watching for a potential long setup as it corrects back into a key demand zone.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Long
Entry: Around $3.75 (waiting for a corrective move into this area)
Stop Loss: $3.26
TP1: $4.36
TP2: $5.43
TP3: $6.12
Partial Exits: I may take most of the position off by TP2 (~15% move), then let the rest run toward TP3 if the market allows.
3️⃣ Key Notes:
Right now, there's not much fundamental backing—volume and interest seem low—but technically, the asset is still respecting structure. I’m not expecting a major macro reversal, just a technical bounce. Market-wide liquidations seem to have cleared out weak hands, so this could be a cleaner move if it plays out. Risk management is key here. Don't overleverage, especially in uncertain conditions.
4️⃣ Follow-up:
I’ll keep an eye on the price action and may update this idea if conditions change. Entry only triggers if we see a correction into the $3.75 zone.
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Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
Adobe: Keep It Up!Adobe has steadily advanced upward within our beige Target Zone between $331.93 and $449.61, moving away from the low of the beige wave x, which thus gained further confirmation. The stock should soon fight its way out of this zone and head for the resistance at $640. The ongoing wave y should eventually extend significantly above this mark to complete the corrective upward movement of the blue wave (b) there.
NAS100 Breakdown Watch: Bearish Structure Forms Below Key Highs1. Key Levels
Yesterday’s High: 20,037.0
Yesterday’s Low: 19,658.8
Today’s High (so far): 19,912.4
Current Price: 19,844.4
Price is currently trading below today’s high and below yesterday’s high, but still well above yesterday’s low.
2. Structure & Market Flow
The BoS/ChoCh (Break of Structure / Change of Character) indicator marks:
Multiple BoS (green) up to the April 30th peak, showing bullish structure.
A ChoCh (red) occurred just after the top on April 30, followed by more ChoCh signals, indicating potential short-term bearish momentum.
Most recent price action shows consolidation between 19,840–19,912, forming a range after rejecting near today's high.
3. Moving Averages (3EMA)
Blue Line (Short EMA - 20): 19,843.0
Purple Line (Mid EMA - 50): 19,840.3
Price is slightly above both the 20 and 50 EMA, which are now flattening — suggesting neutral momentum with no strong trend currently in place.
4. Market Context / Price Action
The sharp rejection at 20,037 (yesterday's high) indicates supply pressure.
Price wicked above today’s high before dropping below both EMAs.
Price bounced around the 50 EMA and appears to be forming lower highs, showing bearish microstructure.
Current structure looks like a potential distribution pattern.
5. Trade Ideas (Scenarios)
A. Bearish Bias (High Probability if 19,840 breaks cleanly)
Entry: Break and close below 19,840 with volume confirmation.
TP1: 19,700 (just above yesterday’s low)
TP2: 19,658.8 (yesterday’s low)
SL: Above 19,912 (today’s high)
This setup capitalizes on a rejection of key highs, a ChoCh confirmation, and fading bullish momentum.
B. Bullish Scenario (Only if we reclaim today’s high)
Entry: Strong 15-min candle close above 19,912, targeting 20,037 and beyond.
TP1: 20,037 (yesterday’s high)
TP2: 20,100–20,150 (psychological and recent rejection zone)
SL: Below 19,840
This would be a breakout-retest continuation trade, but less favorable given current structure.
6. Bias & Recommendation
Short Bias is currently favored due to:
Repeated ChoCh signals
Price trading below today's high and rejecting yesterday’s high
Weak upside follow-through despite attempts to push higher
Tight consolidation and lower highs forming near resistance
14-04-2025 _ Short Term Bullish Idea _ AUDJPY H11- Double Bottom coupled with Divergence and followed by Convergence.
2- Correction happened in the form of Bullish Flag.
3- After correction strong Bullish Impulse.
4- AB = CD pattern anticipated.
5- Therefore, one can expect a push to the upside.
6- Look for BUY Entry after correction, not (when price action is) on the way down.
FTTUSDT 1D AnalysisFTT ~ 1D Analysis
#FTT Buy gradually from here if you still have a Conviction on this coin with a short -term target of at least 15%+ from here.
SPY - support & resistant areas for today May 2 2025These are Support and Resistance lines for today, May 2nd, 2025, and will not be valid for the next day. Mark these in your chart by clicking grab this below.
Yellow Lines: Heavily S/R areas, price action will start when closing in on these.
White Lines: Are SL, TP or Mid Level Support and Resistance Areas, these are traded if consolidation take place on them.
Silver Lines: An Area where price action could happen and do work on a choppy day.
Sell in May and go away, but when? 🧭 Current Situation:
📈 Market remains bullish, but I anticipate possibility for S&P500 to drop on US open. If that happens, BTC can also make a dip, but since it looks much stronger than stocks, that drop might not be a big one. Nevertheless area around 95k looks very attractive.
⚠️ Price will need to show stronger bearish pressure to trigger any real panic or sell-off. Until then, this looks more like healthy volatility within trend continuation.
🧱 The breakout level at 95770 was already re-tested, so it’s now off my watchlist. The next meaningful support is around 95K flat.
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🔥 CME Gap Update:
4H CME gap has expanded — now stretching from 95280 to 96560
This zone will act as a magnet in the coming sessions until it gets filled.
Just a quick reminder — 4H CME gaps are not as strong or reliable as Daily gaps. They don’t carry the same close rate or magnetism.
However, they can still offer directional hints and serve as target zones, especially in short- to mid-term setups. Use them as guidance — but don’t treat them like guaranteed gravity wells.
🎯 Key Levels to Watch
• Bullish Targets: 97666 / 98500 / 99431
• Bearish Targets: 94971 / 94125 / 93550
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🔥 BTC Liquidation Heatmap
Above: 97530 / 98191 / 98998 / 100100
Below: 96063 / 95623 / 94670 / 93715
Potential Pullback and ContinuationBitcoin has entered a pullback phase within the current uptrend, and the continuation of the trend is expected following this correction
NFP market, looking for opportunities to short goldFundamentals:
Mainly focus on today's NFP market;
Technical aspects:
Gold rebounded near 3200 and has gradually rebounded to around 3265. This wave of rebound is not surprising. After all, I have been insisting on short-term long gold since yesterday, and I have also gained a good profit. As gold falls and breaks through many key supports, my expectations for the magnitude of this rebound are not high. In the short term, it will first face resistance in the 3270-3275 area, and secondly, it will face resistance in the 3285-3295 area.
Moreover, the rebound and rise of gold before the NFP market is very confusing in itself. It is not ruled out that it is to pave the way for the sharp drop in the NFP market. Once gold falls again, it is likely to fall below 3200 and continue to around 3180.
Trading strategy:
1. Consider shorting gold when it rebounds to 3270-3280, TP: 3240-3230;
2. Consider continuing to short gold when it rebounds to 3280-3290, TP is the same as above.
USDZAR-BUY stragegy 3 hourly Regression channelThe push lower was slightly more than expected, but the 18.7400 refusal and GOLD stabilizing caused the sharper down turn. From here, and current pricing we are oversold, and we should see a pullback to 18.4850-18.5200 again, is my viewpoint.
Strategy BUY @ 18.3500-18.3950 and take profit near 18.5025 for now.
