XAUUSD 08.04.2025-Formation of the market:
After the release of the announcement of the introduction of new trade duties in the U.S. and a number of positive economic activity indicators, the dollar is strongly strengthening, thus bringing the price of gold back to the imbalance level of the past growth of 2955, and in general setting a new downtrend, which reduced the position of gold by 5%.
From the imbalance level a pin-bar was formed, which has already recovered its movement to the 3000 level, another test of the 2950 level is possible, followed by a rise.
-Forecast:
On the background of general uncertainty, it is likely that the price may go for a long consolidation, as the past fall may also indicate a capital outflow, which will lead to a new period of accumulation of positions.
Possible return to the level of 3050, but the main movement is likely to occur in the range of 2950-3050
- News background:
The main expectations after the Fed speech are still in favor of strengthening the dollar, even despite the call of the U.S. President to reduce the key rate, most analysts still believe that the May meeting will end with an unchanged decision or increase.
Chart Patterns
Analyzing SPY's Current Technical SetupAfter a strong downward momentum observed on the daily timeframe, SPY has shown signs of a potential reversal on the lower timeframe (65-minute chart).
Here's the breakdown:
SPY has seen a significant bearish move recently, breaking through key support levels and establishing a new recent low around the critical Half 2 Short target at $486.41. This sharp bearish action indicates strong selling pressure, as evidenced by high volume spikes accompanying the down move. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily has reached oversold territory (around 20), suggesting potential for a short-term bounce or consolidation.
65-Minute Chart Analysis:
On the shorter timeframe, SPY is showing a recovery phase, with the price reclaiming the Half 1 Short level at $508.91. The upward price action is supported by rising RSI, now trending upward above the mid-level (50), signaling short-term bullish momentum. Volume is moderately strong, suggesting buyer participation.
Trade Idea and Levels:
- Bullish Scenario:
- Entry: I deally, an entry would be considered on a confirmed hold above $508.91.
- Profit Targets:
- First target: Weeks High Short at approximately $520.16.
- Second target: High Sell Target around $531.41 (more optimistic scenario if bullish momentum strengthens).
- Stop Loss: Clearly set a stop below the recent pivot low at approximately $497.50 for risk management.
- Bearish Scenario:
- If price fails to sustain above $508.91 and reverses downwards:
- Entry: Consider short entry upon confirmed rejection below $508.91.
- Profit Targets:
- First target: Recent pivot low at $497.50.
- Second target: Half 2 Short at $486.41.
- Stop Loss: S et stop above $513, allowing for minor volatility without compromising risk control.
Final Thoughts:
Given the current oversold conditions on the daily timeframe and emerging bullish signs on the shorter timeframe, cautious bullish entries with tight stops could present favorable risk-to-reward setups. However, remain flexible to shift to a bearish stance if the price action fails to sustain the critical $508.91 level. Always manage risk accordingly and adjust positions based on ongoing market confirmation.
Can Gold still break upward?- Gold prices just hit a record high, soaring past $3,085 per ounce in March 2025. That’s not just a number—it’s a warning sign. Investors aren’t piling into gold for no reason. They’re reacting to a world that feels more uncertain by the day.
- The U.S. has imposed heavy tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, triggering trade tensions that are shaking global markets. Inflation is still higher than expected, climbing to 2.8% in February, making traditional investments riskier. At the same time, the U.S. dollar is weakening, and Treasury yields are dropping, pushing investors toward gold as a safe bet. Add to that ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine, and it’s no surprise that gold is surging. Every new crisis just makes it more attractive.
This isn’t just a temporary spike. Experts warn that the worst effects of these trade policies haven’t even hit yet, and if inflation keeps climbing, the global economy could be in for a rough ride. Gold isn’t just going up—it’s flashing a warning. It’s telling us that investors don’t trust what’s coming next. And if history is any guide, they might be right.
Gold Rally Pauses, But Bullish Trend HoldsOngoing Risks Support Gold’s Long-Term Bullish Outlook
Despite recent market volatility, the drivers behind gold’s rally remain intact. Mohamed El-Erian raised U.S. recession odds to 50%, while Goldman Sachs raised theirs to 35%. The Fed has warned of slower growth and higher inflation due to tariffs, and gold's role as a hedge against these risks is vital.
Focus on Upcoming Data
Next week, key data will be in focus: the FOMC minutes on Wednesday, CPI report on Thursday, and consumer sentiment data on Friday. If CPI surprises to the upside or the FOMC minutes reveal a more dovish stance, gold could see renewed buying interest. Traders should view pullbacks as buying opportunities, as inflation, trade tensions, and recession risks continue to support gold.
Technical Outlook
If gold tests support at $3,000.28 and holds, it may attract new buyers. A break below could bring the $2,852.34 level into play. Shorting is risky, but if pursued, exit over $3,167.84 with objectives at $3,000.28, $2,852.34, and the 52-week moving average at $2,601.40.
EURUSD Likely to Trend LowerPotential head and shoulders build up for EURUSD with the latest sentiment from Trump and is continuation pattern with the tariffs. This Friday earning season kicks off which may soften EURUSD from dropping off a cliff. Also talks of 1.25% cuts from the Fed by year end may add some additional cushion for this pair. For this reason, my downside target remains on the ascending trendline.
Trade Safe - Trade Well
Can Dogecoin hold or is a $0.14 retest coming?Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌
All previous targets were nailed ✅! Now, let’s dive into a full analysis of the upcoming price potential for Dogecoin 🔍📈.
Dogecoin is currently trading within a descending channel and has reached its upper resistance level. Based on technical analysis, a potential 17% decline is anticipated, bringing the price toward the mid-range of the channel. Following this movement, a retest of the $0.14 level—our primary target—remains a key scenario to watch.📚🙌
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
Dogecoin is at the top of a falling channel, and a 17% drop to the mid-level, with a retest of $0.14 as the main target, seems likely.📚🎇
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest hours crafting valuable ideas, and your support means everything—feel free to ask questions in the comments! 😊💬
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
USDJPY in Trend ReversalAfter making a Bullish Divergence on the 15 min chart, and taking the sell side liquidity I expect the trend to change and we are targeting the next two areas of liquidity on the up side.
Buy Limit
Entry Price 146.22
Stop Loss 145.78
Risk 1%
Lot Size 0.85
TP1 146.66
TP2 147.10
XAU/USD: Profitable AgainToday's strategy of shorting gold at 3020 has once again reaped huge profits, and the buying signal at 2980 has also started to generate profits. I will keep sending out accurate signals.
Currently, an account with an initial capital of 10K has already made a profit of 240K, and the accuracy rate of the signals is as high as 95%. If you also want to receive accurate signals every day, you can click on the link below the article to obtain them.
BTCUSDChart Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – April 08, 2025 – 4-Hour Timeframe
Key Observations:
1. Trend and Price Action:
- The price of Bitcoin (BTC) has been trading within a descending channel as shown by the blue trendlines. This indicates a bearish market structure. The price has recently broken below previous levels of support and continues to decline, confirming ongoing bearish momentum.
2. Resistance and Order Block:
- The resistance level at 81,071 has been a significant barrier. The price struggled to push above this level, signaling strong selling pressure. This is also where the order block at 84,923 is identified, which acted as an area of supply where sellers took control.
- The order block at 84,923 likely triggered the sharp price drop after the market failed to breach this level, reinforcing the bearish bias.
3. Support Levels:
- 74,755 is a key support level for Bitcoin. This level has previously acted as a region where buyers could step in. The price is now approaching this area after facing resistance at 81,071 and 84,923. A test of this support level will be crucial to determine whether Bitcoin will continue to fall or whether buyers will take control and reverse the trend.4. Bearish Continuation:
- The price is trading below the resistance and in a descending trend, confirming a bearish market phase. The price is also showing lower highs and lower lows, which indicates the strength of the downward move. Given that the price is near support, a breakdown below the 74,755 level would lead to further downside movement.
5. Volume:
- The volume analysis shows increased selling pressure on the downside, especially during the breakdown around the 7th of April. This confirms that sellers are dominating the market and that the current trend is bearish.
Price Target and Potential Scenarios:
1. Bearish Continuation (Target: 74,755):
- The target for this bearish move is 74,755, which aligns with the previous support level. If the price fails to hold at this level, further downside could be expected. A break below this level would likely lead to new lows.
2. Range-Bound Movement:
- The price might find support at 74,755, leading to sideways price action between the support and resistance levels. In this case, the market might consolidate within the channel, and traders could watch for a breakout from either side for the next direction.
3. Bullish Reversal (Bounce at Support):
$AMD $75 support targetHi, NASDAQ:AMD short may be activated here looking at the daily and weekly. I personally think we are in a bearish trend market wide with the uncertainty and unknowing's of global economics and policies. I believe NASDAQ:AMD will tap into my support zone, in my opinion we have a local resistance of $88-$90.
WSL.
NZDJPY The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on NZDJPY and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 82.050 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 83.982
Safe Stop Loss - 81.284
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
$2.94 to $16.24 in 3 hours up to 452% on the day $NAOVBANG! 💣 $2.94 to $16.24 in 3 hours up to +452% on the day NASDAQ:NAOV
Shared it in chat for everyone premarket while it was still +170% on the day, a few dollars per share profit keeps the job away, great way to start the day comfortably, life is good 🤑
Another day another strong vertical, told you it never stops no matter what's up with overall market, no matter what Trump says
BTCUSD capped by resistance at 84,600Recent price action in Bitcoin (BTCUSD) suggests an oversold bounce, with resistance capping gains at the 88,000 level. The continuation of selling pressure could extend the downside move, with key support levels at 76,144, followed by 74,420 and 73,283.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 84,600, accompanied by a daily close higher, would invalidate the bearish outlook. In this scenario, Bitcoin could target 88,000, with further resistance at 91,890.
Conclusion:
The price remains below pivotal level, with 88,000 acting as a key resistance. Failure to break above this level could reinforce downside risks, while a breakout could shift momentum back in favor of bulls. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Ethereum - Expecting Retraces Before Prior Continuation LowerH1 - Bearish trend pattern in the form of lower highs, lower lows structure.
Strong bearish momentum
Lower lows on the moving averages of the MACD indicator.
Expecting retraces and further continuation lower until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDJPY: Accumulation Zone - Waiting for CPI MomentumUSDJPY is currently oscillating within the accumulation zone from 145.169 to 148.282, like a fighter "waiting" for the next move. After a strong bounce to fill the GAP, the price failed to maintain its upward momentum, reverting to a sideways state, swaying between the EMA 34 and 89 lines.
The H3 chart shows that both EMAs are gradually flattening out, confirming a short-term sideways trend. Notably, the RSI hovers around the 50 level, indicating market indecision and a lack of clear momentum.
With the upcoming core CPI release, if the data exceeds expectations, USDJPY could break higher, retesting the 148.282 zone. Conversely, if the CPI is weaker, the likelihood of the price breaking down to the 145.169 area increases significantly.
Suggested strategy:
Sell around the 148.0 - 148.2 zone, target 145.2, stop loss above 148.8.
Buy when the price rebounds from 145.2, target 147.5, stop loss below 145.0.
ETHEREUM (ETHUSD): Strong Bullish Move Ahead?!
It looks like we have a valid liquidity grab after a test
of a key weekly structure on Ethereum.
After a false violation of the underlined area,
the price formed a cup and handle pattern
and violated its neckline with a bullish imbalance on an hourly chart.
I think that the market can remain bullish and reach at least 1700 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Xauusd Chart M30 Timeframe XAUUSD GOLD update | M30 Timeframe 🙌
- This Analysis is based on educational purposes using Technical aspect ❗️
- By Using Technical Analysis we are observing that market is in bearish ways after a massive drop market able to retrace 500+ Pips
- We are expecting that potential bearish momentum is at 3025 - 3030.00 area and the region above which is showing as a Resistance level at 3041.00
Targets are shown in charts at 2994.64 if break that point further 2970.00 so on at 2940.00
#XAUUSD
GOLD BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 3,008.04
Target Level: 3,136.65
Stop Loss: 2,921.80
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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ETH ANALYSIS🔮 #ETH Analysis :: Support & Resistance Trading
💲💲 #ETH is trading between support and resistance area. If #ETH sustains above major support area then we will a bullish move and if not then we will see more bearish move in #ETH then could expect a pullback.
💸Current Price -- $1564
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀💸
#ETH #Cryptocurrency #DYOR
Are we done with the slide, or not? US indices are suffering right now, but is there light at the end of the tunnel?
Let's dig in!
MARKETSCOM:US500
MARKETSCOM:US100
MARKETSCOM:US30
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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EURUSD Technical and COT AnalysisOur analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis.
Based on our view the price will fall to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you.
Please support our analysis with a like or comment!
USOIL Today's strategyYesterday, the crude oil market showed an overall slow upward trend. Although the oil price once surged higher in the evening, unfortunately, it failed to firmly hold above the high level. However, this upward surge still sent out a positive signal. At least, judging from the current situation, the price of crude oil shows signs of stopping its decline. In view of this, our subsequent trading strategy can continue to be to go long first and then short, flexibly grasping the market rhythm and seizing potential profit opportunities.
USOIL Today's strategy
buy@60.2-60.7
tp:62-63
We share various trading signals every day with over 90% accuracy
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4.8 Interpretation of gold short-term operation ideasGold price has fallen below the previous row support band in the daily trend. The K-line continues to be under pressure from the short-term moving average and maintains a weaker trend of shock. In the short term, pay attention to the pressure band around 3030. In the 4-hour level trend, the K-line is currently under pressure from the short-term moving average and is maintaining a low-level shock repair. The strength and continuation of the intraday rebound are not too large. Pay attention to the continued downward trend after a small break in the 4-hour level trend. At present, after continuous shocks in the small-level cycle trend, the technical pattern has begun to gradually adjust. The K-line has begun to slowly stand on the short-term moving average and tends to have a certain rebound space in the short-term trend. Pay attention to the short-term adjustment.
Operational suggestions:
Short near 3017-8, stop loss 3023.9, or long near 2945-6, stop loss 2939.1.
Real-time market intraday guidance.
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