Trading EURUSD AUDUSD NZDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 22/04/2025We've executed 4 trades so far this week using the Judas Swing Strategy and in this write up, we're breaking down exactly how each one played out. We didn't get any trading opportunities on Monday but Tuesday gave us textbook setups on both FX:EURUSD and OANDA:AUDUSD , and if you’ve been following this series, you know the Judas Swing Strategy thrives where liquidity lies and manipulation gives way to opportunity.
Tuesday’s price action on FX:EURUSD opened with familiar signs: ranging structure and liquidity building on both sides. By 09:05 EST, price made the typical fakeout a sharp move to the downside that swept the lows and trapped breakout sellers.
This gave us confirmation to look for the real move, the reversal.
Price broke structure to the upside, creating a Fair Value Gap. As expected, price retraced into that imbalance, and we executed the buy.
Entry: 1.14677
SL: 1.14559
TP: 1.14913
Take profit was cleanly hit with minimal drawdown. No stress. No second-guessing
OANDA:AUDUSD printed a similar setup. The fake move to the downside swept liquidity below an earlier low and shifted structure to the upside. We entered buy once price returned to fill the Fair Value Gap
The trade nearly hit TP but reversed just shy of it, eventually stopping us out.
Entry: 0.63868
SL: 0.63770
TP: 0.64064
It stung a little, but here's where our data-driven edge comes in. We follow a set-and-forget execution model because our backtesting shows that this approach works more in our favor than not. Situations like this will happen. Sometimes price dances around your TP before flipping. It’s part of trading
The next day was a solid one using the Judas Swing strategy, this time across both OANDA:AUDUSD and $NZDUSD. Let’s walk through how the setups unfolded on Wednesday and why both trades played out almost identically in terms of narrative and structure.
The session kicked off with a consolidation forming, setting up a clean range to be targeted. Liquidity had built up nicely above the highs and lows of the pre-market structure. Classic.
As expected, once our session started, price punched higher, sweeping the buy-side liquidity above the early session range. This was our Judas move a strategic fakeout to trigger breakout longs and inject liquidity.
But the key here is what came next.
Price immediately stalled after the sweep and printed a clean break of structure to the downside. That shift was our clue that the buy-side move was done and the real selloff was likely on deck for OANDA:AUDUSD and $NZDUSD.
Price pulled back into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) formed during displacement, giving us a clean entry setup:
Entry: 0.64130
SL: 0.64360
TP: 0.63669
As soon as we entered, the trade moved with conviction minimal drawdown and a smooth ride into target but the OANDA:NZDUSD couldn't hit TP and the trade is still running
Chart Patterns
BTC Bitcoin Trade plan 24/4/2025BTC/USD Trading Outlook:
Key Resistance Levels: $95,000 and $97,000
Channel Support Level: $92,000
Support Zone: $86,000
Market Scenarios:
Bearish Scenario:
If BTC fails to break above the resistance at $95,000–$97,000 and drops below the $92,000 channel support, it could trigger a sell-off.
Sell Targets:
Target 1: $90,000
Target 2: $88,000
Watch for further support around $86,000.
Bullish Scenario:
If BTC holds above $92,000 and breaks through the $95,000–$97,000 resistance zone, it may resume its upward trend.
Buy Target: $97,000 (with potential to extend higher if momentum continues)
Breaking: $DOGS Gearing For A 60% Breakout Amidst Falling Wedge The price of the first dog-theme memecoin on Telegram ecosystem (TON) Dogs ( SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST1:DOGS ), is gearing up for a 60% breakout amidst breaking out of a bullish pennant.
Since listing, SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST1:DOGS has delivered a 230% gain and has seen a rapid plunge losing about 94% of market value. But present market metrics hints at an impending 64% surge as the memecoin on The Open Network (TON) is brewing with momentum.
With its RSI at 65, SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST1:DOGS is well ready to capitalize on the dip to make a comeback. Tokens on the TON ecosystem have been mute lately with the advent of the Telegram clicker games, so many tokens on TON blockchain has been created and have all falling down the drain with the exception of SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST1:DOGS , $HMSTR and ECONOMICS:CATI of which all were listed on top tier exchanges like Binance and Bybit.
A break above the $0.000178 resistant point will clear the coast for the 66% breakout. However, should SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST1:DOGS fade the move, the $0.000099 support lies in wait.
Since March high, SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST1:DOGS has loss about 49% of market value placing the asset on the cusp of a bullish reversal. SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST1:DOGS might just be the coin that will change the tide for the TON ecosystem.
DOGS Price Data
The SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST1:DOGS price today is $0.000143 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $38,940,072 USD. SEED_ALEXDRAYM_SHORTINTEREST1:DOGS is up 0.73% in the last 24 hours. The current CoinMarketCap ranking is #402, with a market cap of $73,674,374 USD. It has a circulating supply of 516,750,000,000 DOGS coins and a max. supply of 550,000,000,000 DOGS coins.
DeGRAM | GOLD Reached the Support📊 Technical Analysis
Gold’s false pop above $3 500 reversed into a falling wedge; price slipped through $3 430 and is now testing the support level at $3 315 (channel base + trend-line). Holding this pivot preserves the rising channel and favors a rebound toward $3 500 – 3 520.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
Central-bank demand stays brisk (333 t Q4-24; PBoC buying streak now 5 mths). Fed pause, softer real yields and a 3-yr-low USD cut carry costs. IMF warns tariff risks could chill growth, boosting hedge bids.
✨ Summary
A hold above $3 315 could launch XAU/USD back to $3 500+, with $3 520 on a clean breakout.
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Gold market trend analysisTechnically, the gold 1-hour moving average dead cross pattern has not been reversed, and the bearish momentum has not been exhausted; but the 4-hour KDJ indicator has shown signs of oversold repair, which may trigger a technical rebound. The upper resistance is currently at 3365-3370, and the lower support is at 3306-3300. In terms of operation, it is recommended to rebound high and go long as the main, and pullback as the auxiliary.
Ethereum (ETH): Golden Zone for Short | Sellers Took OverWe reached our golden zone on Ethereum and had a nice rejection from here, as we had been waiting for.
Now we are aiming to see the price test the $1,666 zone as a first target and from there we will see if we break this zone; then lower support zones are our targets but if we see an MSB form there, then we will be looking for an upward retest of the golden zone.
Swallow Academy
Spy Road To $500 or $481📉 The Road Below $500? Here's the Case.
While bulls are still buying dips, several key signals suggest a deeper correction may be brewing — possibly below the critical $500 psychological support zone in the coming weeks.
Technical Breakdown
Rising Wedge Breakdown on the 4H and Daily charts has triggered.
Diverging RSI — lower highs on RSI while price pushed higher = bearish divergence.
MACD Bearish Crossover confirmed on both 1D and 4H = momentum shift.
Volume Analysis shows increased selling on red candles = institutional distribution.
SMA50 Breach likely — and SMA200 sits just under $500, a magnet if fear accelerates.
🧠 Market Sentiment
Put/Call Ratio has spiked to 1.20+, suggesting rising hedging activity.
CNN Fear & Greed Index is shifting toward Fear.
Social media chatter (Twitter/X & Reddit) has turned skeptical — fewer breakout calls, more risk-off talk.
📰 Macro Headlines Fuel the Case
Powell’s latest "higher for longer" interest rate remarks = bearish for growth names.
Earnings misses from key megacaps (GOOGL, AAPL) = cracks in the leaders.
Geopolitical tension in the Middle East and China trade fears = added volatility.
Key Levels to Watch:
$507–$510 = current distribution zone (supply).
$500 = major psychological & technical level.
$491 = unfilled liquidity gap (volume imbalance) — very likely magnet.
Final Thought:
This isn't fear — it's data-backed caution. Until we reclaim $510 with volume and conviction, a retest of $500 and possibly a sweep below is the more probable path.
Stay smart. Stay hedged. As Always Safe Trades I will guide the way.
EURGBP INTRADAY energy build up? EUR/GBP maintains a bullish bias, supported by the prevailing upward trend. Recent intraday movement indicates a corrective pullback toward a key consolidation zone, offering a potential setup for trend continuation.
Key Support Level: 0.8450 – previous consolidation range and pivotal support
Upside Targets:
0.8736 – initial resistance
0.8787 and 0.8900 – extended bullish targets on higher timeframes
A bullish reversal from 0.8500 would suggest continuation of the uptrend, confirming buying momentum.
However, a decisive break and daily close below 0.8500 would invalidate the bullish structure, opening the door for further retracement toward 0.8450, with additional support at 0.8370 and 0.8300.
Conclusion
EUR/GBP remains bullish above 0.8500. A bounce from this level supports further gains. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Strong Bullish Signs?!
Gold strongly corrected from 3500 psychological level.
After a test of the underlined intraday support cluster,
the market started to leave strong bullish clues.
After a false violation of the support, the price accumulated a bit
and broke a resistance line of a falling wedge pattern on an hourly time frame.
With that move, Gold also managed to confirm a local Change of Character CHoCH.
All these bullish signals indicate a highly probable continuation of a growth.
The price may move up at least to 3377 level easily.
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Micron Technology - The Chart Is Still Perfect!Micron Technology ( NASDAQ:MU ) will reverse right here:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
If you actually want to explain technical analysis to somebody, just show them the chart of Micron Technology. Almost every structure makes perfect sense, with this stock respecting all major trendlines and horizontal levels and with the current support area, the bottom is now in.
Levels to watch: $70, $210
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Gold prediction 24.04.2025🟢 Gold Price Action Analysis (XAU/USD)
Date: April 24, 2025
Time Frame: Short-Term Intraday
Market Context:
Gold is currently respecting a key trendline support zone between 3326 and 3332. This area has acted as a strong demand zone recently and price is showing signs of bullish interest around this level.
Bullish Scenario (Primary Bias):
If the trendline holds around 3326–3332, we anticipate a bullish move targeting the previous swing high at 3388.
Confirmation would be bullish candlestick formation or volume buildup near the trendline zone.
📈 Buy Signal:
Buy between 3326–3332 (only on confirmation as cired above)
🎯 Target: 3388
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 3320 (trendline invalidation)
Bearish Scenario (Alternative Plan):
If price breaks below the trendline and retests the 3326–3332 zone as resistance (confirmation on m1 or m5, we’ll look to short.
This would indicate a trendline breakdown and potential bearish momentum towards the previous low.
📉 Sell Signal (on Break and Retest):
Sell near 3326–3332 (after breakdown and bearish retest)
🎯 Target: 3261
🛑 Stop Loss: Above 3335
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Gold rebounds weakly and returns to a downtrendGold trend analysis: The current gold price is in a stalemate stage of long-short game. On the one hand, the path of the Fed's easing policy has been basically clear, and the US dollar is facing correction pressure; on the other hand, the stable global risk sentiment and the strong performance of the stock market have weakened the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven tool. The repeated signals of global trade negotiations have also made the market direction unclear. From a technical point of view, gold has received support after the correction to the 26.3% Fibonacci retracement level of 3317 this week, and has returned to above $3,300 in the short term. The upper resistance focuses on the 3380 position. Once it breaks through, it will open up space to the 3400 mark.
From the daily gold chart, yesterday's gold price fell sharply and recorded a large real body negative candlestick pattern. The previous price peaked at a relatively obvious high, suggesting that the upper pressure effect is strong. The MACD indicator double line began to turn downward, increasing the risk of further short-term correction. However, the MA5 and MA10 moving averages have not turned downward yet, so you can pay attention to the support and defense of the moving averages. From the 4-hour gold chart, the gold price has maintained a volatile decline since it came under pressure at the 3500 line. The current price has fallen back to the 3260 line, with a short-term decline of US$240. Although there has been a rebound during the day, the upward trend has been destroyed. The MACD indicator double line has issued a dead cross reversal signal, suggesting that the correction trend may have started.
After the rise, gold fell back and fell below the support levels of 3351 and 3330. Now the market rebounded near 3314, which is also in line with our analysis of the long and short trend. In the big trend, the gold rally did not cross 3380, so there is still downward demand, that is to say, it can only be regarded as a rebound during the decline. In the short term, this wave of gains stopped at 3367, and now it broke through 3351 and pierced 3316 to rebound. The main focus on the upper support conversion resistance level of 51, followed by 3342. Specifically, you can wait for 42 to be touched and use 51 as protection to go short to see the gold price break the previous rebound low of 3314 to 3300. If it breaks down effectively, you can move the protection loss down to see the position of the rebound turning point of 3283 and 3260.
EURCHF: Watch for Price Reaction Near Support ZoneEURCHF: Watch for Price Reaction Near Support Zone
The EURCHF pair has tested a major support zone for the fourth time since December 2023.
This level also marks the lowest price, but rather than reflecting CHF strength, the movement seems to be driven by intervention from the Swiss National Bank (SNB).
While some analysts suggest a safe-haven shift to CHF due to the Trade War, the sharp drop in GBPCHF—despite GBP's overall strength—raises doubts about this theory.
If this support holds, EURCHF could rebound towards key resistance levels: 0.9355, 0.9425, 0.9485, 0.9545, and 0.9600.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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