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Is gold (XAUUSD) building up for a possible push higher?With the economic data sets, which we are getting and will be getting this week, all eyes on gold, and its possible move to the all-time high. Apart from this, the geopolitical tensions are also something that is fueling gold demand. But what are the technical saying? Let's take a look. TVC:GOLD FX_IDC:XAUUSD Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:GOLD
by Marketscom
GBPUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my GBPUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
2
DAX INTRADAY resistance retest at 23690Trend Overview: The DAX equity index remains in a bearish trend, with recent price action forming a corrective pullback within that prevailing structure. Key Resistance Level: 23690: This level marks a significant previous intraday consolidation zone and acts as a key resistance barrier. A rally into this zone is likely to face selling pressure unless buyers gain decisive control. Bearish Scenario (Primary Bias): A rejection from 23690, particularly if supported by bearish candlestick patterns or volume confirmation, would align with the broader downtrend. This would set up potential downside targets at: 23200 – Initial support level. 23035 – Intermediate support. 22860 – Long-term support zone. Bullish Scenario (Invalidation): A confirmed breakout and daily close above 23690 would invalidate the current bearish bias. This would open the path for a retest of: 23900 – Short-term resistance. 24080 – Higher resistance zone and potential trend reversal confirmation. Conclusion: The DAX is currently in a corrective phase within a bearish trend. A failure to break above 23690 would reinforce the downside setup toward 23200 and beyond. However, a daily close above 23690 would shift the technical outlook to bullish in the short term, with scope for a continuation higher toward 24080. Traders should monitor price behavior at 23690 closely for directional confirmation. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:DE40
by TradeNation
AUDJPYAUDJPY: 10-Year Bond Yields, Interest Rates, Bank Lending Rates, and Carry Trade Advantage (June 2025) 1. 10-Year Government Bond Yields Australia (AUD): The 10-year Australian government bond yield is currently around 4.48%–4.53%. Japan (JPY): The 10-year Japanese government bond yield is about 1.48% as of June 16, 2025. 2. Central Bank Interest Rate Decisions Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA): The RBA cut its cash rate by 25 basis points to 3.85% in May 2025, citing progress in reducing inflation and global uncertainties. Bank of Japan (BOJ): The BOJ held its key short-term policy interest rate steady at 0.5% at its June 2025 meeting, maintaining the highest level since 2008. 3. Bank Lending Rates Australia: The average overdraft bank lending rate is 10.51% as of April 2025. Japan: The long-term prime bank lending rate is 2.05% (April 2025), while the average commercial bank lending rate is reported at 1.625% as of February 2025. 4. Interest Rate Differential Policy Rate Differential:3.85%3.85% (RBA) − 0.5%0.5% (BOJ) = 3.35%. 10-Year Bond Yield Differential:4.48%4.48% (Australia) − 1.48%1.48% (Japan) = 3.00%. 5. Carry Trade Advantage Mechanism: Investors borrow in the low-yielding Japanese yen (JPY) and invest in higher-yielding Australian dollar (AUD) assets, profiting from the interest rate differential. Current Advantage: The wide gap in both policy rates and bond yields makes AUDJPY one of the most attractive carry trade pairs in 2025. The 3.35%–3.00% differential offers steady potential returns, especially in a stable or risk-on market environment. Risks: If global risk sentiment deteriorates, the yen can strengthen rapidly as a safe haven, unwinding carry trades. Sudden shifts in RBA or BOJ policy could narrow the differential and reduce the carry trade's appeal. 6. Summary Table Factor Australia (AUD) Japan (JPY) Differential / Impact 10Y Bond Yield 4.48–4.53% 1.48% 3.00% (AUD advantage) Policy Rate 3.85% 0.5% 3.35% (AUD advantage) Bank Lending Rate 10.51% 1.625–2.05% AUD much higher Carry Trade Outlook High yield, attractive Low yield, funding Strong incentive for AUDJPY long Conclusion The AUDJPY pair is strongly supported by a wide interest rate and bond yield differential, making it a favored target for carry trade strategies in 2025. The RBA’s relatively high rates and the BOJ’s ultra-low rates, combined with stable economic conditions, provide a consistent yield advantage for investors holding long AUDJPY positions. However, traders should monitor global risk sentiment and central bank policy shifts, as these can quickly change the carry trade landscape
Long
by Shavyfxhub
GBP/USD Hits June LowGBP/USD Hits June Low As the GBP/USD chart shows, the pair dropped sharply last night, falling below the 1.34170 level. This move marked the lowest point for the pound against the dollar since the beginning of June. One of the main drivers behind this decline is the strengthening of the US dollar, which is attracting market participants amid heightened geopolitical tensions and a potential escalation of military conflict between Iran and Israel, involving US armed forces. According to the latest reports, Donald Trump has warned Tehran that US patience is wearing thin. Today, however, the pound has seen a slight rebound, supported by the release of the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI). While the data confirmed that inflation is easing, the pace of decline is slower than expected. This may reduce the likelihood of interest rate cuts by the Bank of England – which in turn has boosted the pound’s value. What could happen next? Technical Analysis of the GBP/USD Chart Since the end of May, price fluctuations have formed an ascending channel (shown in blue), with bulls making several attempts to break the resistance level at 1.3600 – so far, without much success. The sharp decline from point A to B suggests that the bears have seized the initiative, with the pair rebounding from the lower boundary of the blue channel. GBP/USD traders may: → interpret the bounce from the lower blue boundary as an upward correction following a sharp fall; → use Fibonacci retracement levels to estimate potential upside. In such cases, particular attention is typically given to the 0.5–0.618 zone (highlighted in orange). Here, it aligns with the 1.3526 level, which acted as support on 12–13 June, but may now serve as resistance after being breached. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
Daily EMA 55 needs to move above EMA 200!! My general bias for Solana is bullish.  However, the current setup is very similar to the setup in Feb-Apr 2022 before Solana started a macro bear trend.  (see blue rectangular box) I am still waiting for a long trade opportunity. I am not looking for a short trade. I just need to sit tight and see how the price is going to unfold in the next few months in the daily chart. The 2022 setup (see blue rectangular box in the chart): 1) EMA55 crossed below EMA 200 on 16th Feb 2022.   (red vertical line in the chart) 2)The price found the temporary floor around $80 and sharply moved above both EMA55 and 200.   (see light blue rectangular box) 3) It was the dead cat bounce. It was the beginning of the macro down trend.   4)The price spent months and months under $40 in 22 and 23, however, the price eventually broke above both EMA 55 and 200 and when EMA55 crossed above EMA 200 in Oct 2023 (red vertical line in the chart), the macro bull trend started.   The current setup (see orange rectangular box in the chart): 1) EMA 55 crossed below EMA 200 on the 4th March 2025. 2) The price moved down to $95 area and sharply moved above both EMA 55 and EMA200.  However, it failed to stay above them.    3) The price has been oscillating between $140 and  $18. The price is still below EMA55 and EMA200.  (see orange rectangular block) In order to start a strong bull trend,  1) the price needs to close and stay above EMA 55 and EMA200. 2) EMA 55 needs to cross and stay above EMA 200.    EMA55>EMA200 3) MACD and RSI need to enter the bull zone.   EMA55 and EMA200 do not cross easily (I mean decisively cross). It only happened three times since 2022, however, when they cross, the price moves very aggressively in one direction.    I think Solana is bullish fundamentally. I am not suggesting it is going to start the macro bear cycle. I am pointing out the price is still not showing a clear direction. From a technical analysis point of view, it might take some time before the trend forms. For now, it is only testing my patience!
COINBASE:SOLUSDLong
by EbonyFalcon
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Faces RejectionMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Faces Rejection EUR/USD declined from the 1.1640 resistance and traded below 1.1550. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today - The Euro started a fresh decline after a strong surge above the 1.1600 zone. - There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.1545 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen. EUR/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair rallied above the 1.1600 resistance zone before the bears appeared, as discussed in the previous analysis. The Euro started a fresh decline and traded below the 1.1550 support zone against the US Dollar. The pair declined below 1.1520 and tested the 1.1475 zone. A low was formed near 1.1475 and the pair started a consolidation phase. There was a minor recovery wave above the 1.1495 level. The pair tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1614 swing high to the 1.1475 low. EUR/USD is now trading below 1.1550 and the 50-hour simple moving average. On the upside, the pair is now facing resistance near the 1.1505 level. The next key resistance is at 1.1545 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1614 swing high to the 1.1475 low. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.1545. The main resistance is near the 1.1580 level. A clear move above the 1.1580 level could send the pair toward the 1.1615 resistance. An upside break above 1.1615 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.1650. If not, the pair might resume its decline. The first major support on the EUR/USD chart is near 1.1475. The next key support is at 1.1450. If there is a downside break below 1.1450, the pair could drop toward 1.1400. The next support is near 1.1350, below which the pair could start a major decline. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
The Fundamental Truths About a Trending MarketBefore you can trade successfully, you must first understand what defines a market trend. 🔼 What is an Uptrend? An uptrend is characterised by a series of Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL). This signals that buyers are in control and price is climbing steadily. 🔽 What is a Downtrend? A downtrend is identified by a series of Lower Lows (LL) and Lower Highs (LH). This indicates that sellers are dominant and price is consistently falling. 📌 Important Facts About a Trending Market Trends don’t change easily. Once a trend is established, it tends to persist. A trend reversal takes time and effort. It doesn't happen abruptly — the market needs a strong reason to change direction. There are always warning signs. Before a trend changes, there’s usually a pattern or shift in behaviour that acts as a clue. The bigger the trend, the longer it takes to reverse. A well-established trend will require more time and evidence before it breaks. 🎯 Keys to Trading Any Market Successfully Identify the market condition. Is the market trending upwards, downwards, or moving sideways (consolidating)? Study price behaviour at key levels. Understand how price reacts at significant highs and lows. Learn the anatomy of price waves. Recognise wave structure — how price expands and contracts in trends. Align your trades with the market condition. Your entry and exit strategies should fit the current phase of the market. 🔚 Summary Mastering trends is one of the most important skills in trading. When you understand what defines an uptrend or downtrend, recognise when a trend may be ending, and align your strategy with the market condition, you set yourself up for consistent success. Patience, observation, and timing are key — because the market always leaves clues, but only for those who are prepared to see them.
Education
by Charts247TradingAcademy
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W25 D18 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W25 D18 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block ✅15' order block ✅Intraday 15' break of structure ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
$TLT Rising Channel or Bear Flag?Is it time to invest in NASDAQ:TLT ? It looks positive to me. With inflation cooling down it looks like bond prices could increase, which means rates are lower. We do have a Fed Meeting coming up so there could be more volatility depending on the “Feds” messaging. I am taking this long today with a ½ size position. I will place my stop just “below” yesterdays low of $85.46. I am going long because I see a series of higher lows and higher highs. And I have a well-defined risk level of about 1% to know if I am wrong. If you like this idea, please make it your own. Make sure you follow your trading plan.
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by jaxdog