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Crude oil under pressure after OPEC+WTI Crude oil had rejected the 20-moving average area, having reversed off the $68 price area after the OPEC+ announcement about the upcoming production increase. The short-term energy outlook forecast from eia.org had lowered the expected fair price for CL futures based on supply and demand estimation for 2025 - the average price is projected around $60 with a possibility to drive lower. COT reports show the increasing short position for commercial traders, which had almost reached the new bottom - a potential short signal for the oil. Given the weak sentiment (we’ve seen the massive drop of oil futures after the resolution of Israel-Iran situation) and overall downtrend, we can project the downside move as shown at the chart. Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own reserch and never forget to manage your risk!
TVC:USOILShort
by Stanislav_Bernukhov_Exness
S&P 500 (SPX) – Gann & Market Timing Outlook!We're currently leaning towards a bullish melt-up scenario into August 2025, supported by both price structure and Gann time analysis. 🔹 Key Gann Time Clusters: 11th July 2025 14th July 2025 These dates may act as pivotal turning points. The ideal scenario for bulls would be a short-term pullback into the 15th–16th July window, which could then confirm the next major leg up. 📈 Price action is riding strongly above the 1/1 and 2/1 Gann angles – a clear sign of accumulation and strength. The setup aligns well with a continued rally targeting August 2025 as a significant cycle top before any serious correction unfolds. 🎯 Watch the coming days closely. If we get a healthy dip, it may be your best buy-the-dip opportunity ahead of a major move.
SP:SPX
by VitalDirection
Gold Trading Strategy | July 10-11✅ Technical Analysis: 🔸 Confirmed Resistance at High Levels: Gold was rejected around the 3328–3330 area, which aligns with our previous assessment of the upper boundary of the descending trend channel. This zone has acted as a key resistance area during multiple past rebounds and is once again proving to be a valid pressure point. 🔸 Consolidation Between 3310 and 3320 After Pullback: Although gold has pulled back, it has not broken below 3310 decisively, indicating that while bears hold the advantage, there is still buying interest below. Structurally, the overall movement is still a "pullback–rebound–correction" pattern within a broader downtrend. 🔸 Bearish Alignment in the 1-Hour Moving Averages: Short-term moving averages (MA10/20/60) are still aligned in a bearish formation, with lower highs in each rebound and no clear reversal signal from the candlesticks. The short-term trend remains tilted to the downside, with a higher probability of further pullback if the price fails to break resistance. 🔴 Key Resistance Levels: 3330 / 3345 / 3365 🟢 Key Support Levels: 3307 / 3300 / 3282 ✅ Trading Strategy Reference: 🔰 If gold fails to break above the 3328–3330 resistance area, the strategy remains to sell on rallies. 🔰 First support to watch is 3307 / 3300. If 3300 is broken, downside could extend toward the 3282–3275 zone. 🔰 If gold later breaks and closes firmly above 3330 (with a strong bullish candlestick), then a short-term trend reversal is possible, and the next upside targets would be 3345–3365. 🔥 Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive and should be adjusted in real time based on market conditions, especially after key support or resistance levels are broken. If you need more accurate and timely trading signals, feel free to reach out to me directly!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingMasterHub
XAUUSD - Intraday SMC Bearish Setup | 15m ChartGold is currently reacting to a visible 15m supply zone after a bullish retracement. Price failed to break above the short-term supply (highlighted in red), showing signs of potential short-term reversal. 🔍 Key SMC Insights: Supply Zone at 3318.47 – 3320 area is holding firm, with price showing clear rejection and lower highs forming. Internal CHoCH already confirmed — suggesting short-term bearish order flow is active. Liquidity Grab and rejection around the supply confirms smart money may be offloading positions. Imbalance Below near 3303.96, with further inefficiency down to 3272.64. 📍Trade Idea: Sell Entry: After a retest or failure to break above the 3318.47 zone. Target 1: 3303.96 (near-term support and minor liquidity) Target 2: 3272.64 (major liquidity zone + possible demand area) Invalidation: Bullish break and close above 3320 would shift intraday bias. ⚠️ Monitor lower timeframes (1m–5m) for confirmation before executing trades. This setup aligns with the 4H bearish structure, enhancing confluence.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by FrankFx14
$GA (GBPAUD) 1HIf price holds and reacts from the OB, expect a short-term bullish leg toward: Internal liquidity first (2.07400), Then external buy-side liquidity above 2.08000. Price has been in a clear bearish structure, printing lower highs and lower lows. Recently, price swept multiple layers of internal liquidity (marked as $$$) before tapping into a key Order Block (OB) just above the 2.06500 zone. The OB zone aligns with a higher timeframe demand area, suggesting this could be a reaccumulation phase. The OB zone has previously led to strong expansions, making it a valid area for institutional re-entry. The current liquidity grab beneath the previous lows appears intentional — a trap for breakout sellers. Smart money often waits for such sweeps to absorb sell-side liquidity before shifting the structure.
Long
by TopGBanks
Congress passes H.R 1 into law. About the new bill.🔵 In what's been an eventful last few weeks congress passed H.R 1 which is essentially Trump's 900 page mega bill Act. Both Democrats and Republicans ultimately united against each other over the bill with Vice President Vance casing the tiebreaking vote giving Senate Republican's the large legislative victory. 🔵 To note is that independent-minded Republican Lisa Murkowski, senator of Alaska had some concerns with the bill before GOP negotiators we're able to acquire her vote for the 50-50 votes. Murkowski's primary issue was with the legislation's changes to Medicaid and federal food assistance funding which she was concerned would hurt her home state understandably. Republican's originally tried to sway her vote by adding language to shield Alaska from the full effect of the legislation's Medicaid and SNAP cuts. 🔵 Parliament opposed that as it violated the Byrd Rule which is there to determine the legislation that can go into a budget reconciliation package as well as passing with only GOP votes. Least to say the amendment was reworked many times in order for the waivers for the SNAP funding cuts to apply more broadly than just Alaska and Hawaii. Parliament rejected the prior amendment and language which targeted just the two states understandably. 🔵 With the rework the new SNAP provisions are planned to reduce food assistance funding more slowly in about 10 states with the number ultimately being decided by a formula and based on the error rate in delivering food assistance benefits in a year. After an arduous process the amendment was passed and Republican's secured the vote with Murkowski saying it was an agonizing process. 🔵 When speaking with reporters afterwards Murkowski noted that the process was stressful with them operating under an artificial timeline in reference to the pressure Trump put on the Senate to pass the bill. 🔵 Her concern was as follows: “Rather than taking the deliberative approach to good legislating, we rushed to get a product out. This is important. I want to make sure that we’re able to keep in place the tax cuts from the 2017 Jobs Act,” said Murkowski when asked about her support for the bill and why it was hard for her to come around to giving her vote. 🔵 “I struggled mightily with the impact on the most vulnerable in this country when you look to the Medicaid and the SNAP provisions,” said Murkowski. This point highlights just how the effort to push the bill through was met with haste and pressure notably. 🔵 The bill itself is projected to add $2.8 trillion to the federal deficit by 2034. Main reason for that would be thanks to a reduction in revenues as well as interest cost which could have the deficit rise by a potential $5 trillion if some temporary provisions become permanent. Interest payments on the national debt are also expected to increase significantly by 2034. 🔵It should be noted that these numbers and estimates are based on a "current law" baseline and are largely thanks to tax cuts in the bill with Economist having differing opinions on the economic impact of the bill. Time will tell us how estimates go but least to say this is a large turnaround from what many we're expecting with even DOGE's Elon Musk opposing the Bill and forming a new party in strong opposition. 🔵 The tax and spending bill will see spending increase and phase in a cut to Medicaid of an estimated $1 trillion over the next decade with the CBO projecting roughly 11.8 million more American's t hat would become uninsured within the next 10 years compared to the current law. This could lead to many losing healthcare services due to medical cost with states as well likely needing to adjust their own programs and having to take on a larger share of the cost whether that means reducing services or even closing some facilities. 🔵 The bill has many key changes but in summary it solidifies many tax breaks from Trump's first term with an estimated $4.5 trillion in tax cuts alongside tax deductions on tips, overtime and auto loans with deductions for adults that make under $75,000 and a boost to the child tax credit from $2,000 to $2,200 though millions of families at lower income levels would still not receive the full credit as one of the credit's, requirements is a minimum earned income of $2,500. In 2022 alone an estimated 18 million children under age 17 (26 of all children) were ineligible for the full child Tax credit because the family income was not high enough as reported by Columbia University's Center on Poverty and Social Policy. 🔵 To say in the least the new bill has many implications for the country and the next few months and years will definitely represent those changes and how the country shifts and adjusts to this with many having differing opinions understandably. I'll definitely keep you guys posted through it all but definitely a lot to see so much happen so quick and only time will tell and show us just how things play out simply put. The market itself is still continuing within this ascending channel, especially since we got that convergence with the 200 EMA and broke that $6,130 resistance. $6,300 is what I'm expecting resistance to hit the strongest so definitely gonna keep an eye there as traders process the news and changes. 🔵 Have to go but grateful as always for the support, definitely a long idea here but wanted to focus on some important points though the bill itself has so many changes it's hard to go over every one but you get the point. This is a big changes and we'll definitely see things shift a lot over the next few months and years and as always we'll keep posted with things. Thanks as always and all the best. Best regards, ~ Rock'
SP:SPX
by Rocksorgate
1
Bitcoin at Triple Resistance – Will the Third Time Break It?BTC/USD is pressing against a key resistance zone near $112,500 for the third time in recent months. This time, the breakout attempt is backed by a clear ascending trendline, showing sustained bullish pressure from the lows. Highlights: Triple top formation? Or ascending triangle breakout? $112.5K has rejected BTC twice already Higher lows = buyers stepping in more aggressively Watch for volume surge and daily close confirmation Break above = $118K–$120K likely in play. Reject = revisit of trendline support near $106K.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Quant_Trading_Pro
BTC Multi-TF Analysis: Bull Bias Holds, All Eyes on Resistance__________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points __________________________________________________________________________________ Momentum: Very strong bullish bias across all major timeframes. No selling signal detected; slight micro-pause on 15min. Key Supports / Resistances: Immediate resistance at 111,000–112,500. Critical supports: 108,000–109,000, then 105,000. Any lasting break below 107,500 is a key alert. Volume: Healthy, balanced volumes. Some moderate surges on 1H/2H, but no climax. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Strong Buy across all TFs except 15min (partial pause). Multi-TF behavior: Complete convergence. No sign of distribution. ISPD DIV neutral overall. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Dominant bias: Bullish, confirmed by both technical and on-chain context. Opportunities: Add on retracements to major supports (108k–109k, potentially 105k). Target breakout >112.5k for extension or further swing adds. Risk/Alert Zones: Breakdown <107.5k (especially with high volume/macro event). Congestion zone at 111–112.5k: monitor reactions and volumes closely. Macro catalysts: FOMC, Jobless Claims, Bond Auction (see economic calendar). Adjust sizing before and after. Action plan: Gradual buys on major supports; heightened monitoring pre-US announcements (avoid overexposure during high-volatility). Structural stop below 107.5k; for swing, <105k ideal. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ 1D: Structurally solid market above key supports. No divergence or selling signals. Resistances: 111,500–112,500. Main support: 105,050. 12H: Dominant buyer pressure. Key support at 107,500–108,000. No speculative excess. 6H: Marked accumulation. Multi-TF resistance at 111,000–111,500. 4H: All trends aligned; focus on resistance 111–112k. 2H: Ongoing momentum. Moderate volume. Watch 107,400–108,000 for dips. 1H: Reinforced bullish bias; no short-term weakness. 30min: Opportunities on any pullback to supports (110,400, 109,000). 15min: Micro-pause on sector momentum. Potential consolidation below 111k–111,500. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Strong Buy on all TFs except 15min (neutral, no sell). ISPD DIV: Neutral across the curve, no behavioral excess detected. __________________________________________________________________________________ Cross Analysis & Executive Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Confluences: Major bullish bias. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator in Strong Buy (except 15min). Balanced volumes. ISPD DIV neutral. Dissonances: Micro-pause on 15min momentum under resistance (possible very short-term consolidation). Opportunities: Pullbacks to 108k–109k or even 105k, clear breakout above 112.5k. Risks: Break below 107,500 (key alert), high volume+rejection under 111–112.5k (possible profit-taking). __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro & On-chain Focus __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro: Awaiting FOMC (late July), key US macro data (Jobless Claims, 30Y Bond Auction). Neutral to potentially high volatility environment around economic catalysts. On-chain: Long-term holder supply at ATH. US ETF inflows positive. Healthy on-chain: little short-term top risk. Key on-chain threshold at 98.3k (Short-Term Holder Cost Basis). Institutional: No panic, ongoing “disciplined accumulation”, no excess euphoria. __________________________________________________________________________________ Operational Action Plan __________________________________________________________________________________ Closely monitor 111–112.5k resistance: reactively adapt based on price/volume. Gradual re-entries on major supports if no behavioral anomaly or excessive selling volume. Structural stop <107.5k, swing invalidation <105k. Swing opportunity window post-FOMC if dovish or calm. Adjust exposure and risk management around key macro dates. __________________________________________________________________________________
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Ox_kali
#APT/USDT#APT The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it. We have a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel. This support is at 4.43. We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upside. There is a major support area in green at 4.35, which represents a strong basis for the upside. Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital. When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order. For inquiries, please leave a comment. We have a trend to hold above the 100 Moving Average. Entry price: 4.47 First target: 4.50 Second target: 4.54 Third target: 4.60 Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital. When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order. For inquiries, please leave a comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
#DOGS/USDT Long ?#DOGS The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it. We have a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel. This support is at 0.0001192. We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upward trend. There is a key support area (in green) at 0.0001180, which represents a strong basis for the upward trend. Don't forget one simple thing: ease and capital. When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order. For inquiries, please leave a comment. We have a trend of stability above the moving average of 100. Entry price: 0.0001250 First target: 0.0001276 Second target: 0.0001314 Third target: 0.0001355 Don't forget one simple thing: ease and capital. When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order. For inquiries, please leave a comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
DXY 1D – Tipping Point: News or Price Action?Hey Guys, The DXY index is currently moving within a downtrend. This trend is unlikely to reverse unless it breaks above the 98.950 level. Sure, key fundamental data could shift the trend, but without those news catalysts, a reversal at this point doesn’t seem realistic. Don’t forget—98.950 is a critical threshold for the DXY. I meticulously prepare these analyses for you, and I sincerely appreciate your support through likes. Every like from you is my biggest motivation to continue sharing my analyses. I’m truly grateful for each of you—love to all my followers💙💙💙
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by TraderTilki
8
#BTC Rising Wedge📊#BTC Rising Wedge📉 🧠From a structural point of view, we are trading sideways above the support-resistance conversion zone, and the bullish force is gradually weakening. Only if we break through the blue turning point 109669, will new bullish expectations appear, otherwise we need to be alert to the correction at the daily level. ➡️From a graphical point of view, a rising wedge is formed here, and we usually fall according to this model. At present, it has fallen below the lower edge of the wedge and rebounded to the lower edge and was blocked. I expect a further decline. Let's see👀 🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Short
by wolf_king888