Ethereum (ETH): Strong Breakout Happened | Targeting $3200-3300 Ethereum had a strong breakout, and we are getting closer and closer to our major target of $3200-3300.
A smaller target of $3000 has been reached and we see that after smaller rejections, buyers still keep the pressure, so our major target remains the same
Swallow Academy
Chart Patterns
AUD/CHF BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
AUD/CHF SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.524
Target Level: 0.520
Stop Loss: 0.526
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 3h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
SOL Breakdown: Short Opportunity Before the Next Bull RunSOL is approaching resistance and has broken the rising wedge on the 15-minute timeframe. A significant dip is likely before the actual bull run begins.
Short entry: Around $164.50
Stop-loss: $166 – $166.50
Take-profit targets: $160 and $156
This setup offers a good scalping opportunity in the short term.
The gold bull-bear game intensifiesThe gold bull-bear game intensifies: a breakthrough opportunity is hidden in the short-term shock
The gold market experienced violent fluctuations this week, and the core contradiction came from contradictory employment signals:
ADP cooling: The number of private sector jobs in the United States unexpectedly decreased in June, which once strengthened the expectation of a rate cut in September and pushed the gold price up
Non-farm counterattack: The subsequent non-farm employment announced exceeded expectations (206,000), which quickly extinguished the enthusiasm for rate cuts and gold prices gave up gains
Central bank support: Global central banks continue to buy gold (China increased its gold reserves in June), building a safety cushion for long-term prices
The essence of the "data fight" reflects that the resilience of the US economy remains, but cracks have appeared. The Federal Reserve dares neither cut interest rates too early (inflation risk) nor over-tighten (loosening of the employment market). This swing state will prolong the volatility cycle of gold, but every sharp drop is an opportunity for central banks and long-term investors to enter the market.
Technical aspect: Breakthrough signal of the four-hour chart
Current market characteristics:
Key position: 3344-3346 area has become the watershed between long and short positions. After three unsuccessful tests, the probability of this breakthrough has increased
Morphological structure: Breakthrough of the downward trend line of the four-hour chart + MACD golden cross, long arrangement of hourly moving average
Volume coordination: After yesterday's retracement to 3330 support, the volume rebounded, showing strong low-level support
Operation strategy:
Bull defense line: 3330-3325 (if broken, it will turn into shock)
Upward target:
▶ The first target is 3360 (previous high psychological position)
▶ The second target is 3380 (Fibonacci extension position)
▶ Ultimate target 3400 (option barrier)
Specific plan:
Conservatives:
Light long position at 3333-3335 (stop loss 3323)
After breaking through 3347, add more positions (stop loss 3335)
Radicals:
Batch layout above the current price of 3340, with 3325 as the ultimate defense
Risk warning:
⚠️ Beware of the volatility caused by Powell's speech on Friday night
⚠️ If 3320 is lost, beware of a deep correction to the 3300 mark
Currently, gold is in the "accumulation breakthrough" stage, with a bullish technical side but requiring fundamentals to cooperate. It is recommended to use the "small stop loss breakthrough" strategy, and it is better to miss it than to go against the trend. If it can stand firm at 3350 this week, it will no longer be a fantasy to look at 3400 in the third quarter.
Gold Market Rebounds to 3330 – Eyes on Unemployment ClaimsGold market respawns to the 3330's in reaction to the 3285 mitigation, signaling a potential market correction ahead. With unemployment claims on the radar, traders anticipate more volatility and key sentiment shifts as the data unfolds. follow for more insights , comment and boost idea
GBPCAD LONG FORECAST Q3 D11 W28 Y25GBPCAD LONG FORECAST Q3 D11 W28 Y25
It’s Fun Coupon Friday! 💸🔥
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USD/CHF H4 | Bearish reversal off a multi-swing-high resistance?USD/CHF is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.7986 which is a multi-swing-high resistance that aligns closely with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.8090 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 0.7871 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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EURGBP SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D11 W28 Y25EURGBP SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D11 W28 Y25
It’s Fun Coupon Friday! 💸🔥
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USDCAD LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D11 W28 Y25USDCAD LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D11 W28 Y25
It’s Fun Coupon Friday! 💸🔥
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Final call before take offLook at the monthly chart of Silver (CFDs in USD/OZ), the longterm trend is clearly bullish. After spending over a decade consolidating below the $30–35 zone, The breakout above this historical resistance is significant and shows strong momentum, especially with price holding well above the 10-month EMA. We’re currently testing the $37.31 level, and if that gets taken out cleanly, the next major target is the all-time high at $49.83 from 2011. The recent structure even resembles a cup-and-handle or ascending triangle pattern, adding more weight to the bullish case. Support zones are now layered at $35, $33.06, and $32.51—key levels that were previous resistances. If there's any dip back to those zones, it may offer a solid buy-on-dips opportunity. As long as Silver holds above $35 on the monthly chart, I stay bullish with eyes on a move toward the $49.83 zone.
Eurousd techinical analysis.This EUR/USD chart (1-hour timeframe) presents a technical analysis setup involving key levels, trendlines, and a forecasted bearish move. Here's a breakdown:
Key Observations:
1. Descending Triangle Formation:
The chart shows a descending triangle pattern formed by a downward-sloping resistance trendline (blue) and a horizontal support zone around 1.1670 (purple box).
This is typically a bearish continuation pattern.
2. Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance is near 1.1700, followed by a stronger resistance at around 1.1745–1.1755.
These are previous support zones turned resistance after the breakdown.
3. Support Zone:
Strong support around 1.1670 has been tested multiple times, indicated by the purple rectangle at the bottom.
4. Projected Move:
The blue squiggly arrows suggest a potential pullback or consolidation, followed by a rejection at the descending trendline, leading to a downward breakout below the support zone.
5. Market Sentiment:
The momentum is currently bearish, with recent lower highs and lower lows.
The price action is respecting the trendline resistance, which strengthens the case for a downward breakout.
---
Possible Scenarios:
Bearish (Likely) Scenario:
Break below 1.1670 → Target zones could be 1.1650 or lower, depending on volume and market reaction.
Could trigger stop-losses below the consolidation zone and fuel further selling.
Bullish (Invalidation) Scenario:
Break above descending trendline and 1.1700 → Could challenge 1.1745–1.1755 resistance.
Would invalidate the bearish triangle and suggest potential reversal.
---
Conclusion:
This chart suggests a bearish bias, with traders potentially looking for a short entry on a rejection from the descending trendline or a confirmed break of the 1.1670 support zone. Watch for volume confirmation and price reaction around these levels.
XAUUSD - 4H Bearish Rejection from Supply Zone | SMC AnalysisGold is showing signs of weakness after reacting strongly from a 4H Supply Zone around the 3331.72 level. Price tapped into the red supply zone, failed to break above, and is now forming lower highs — suggesting bearish momentum is building.
🔍 Key SMC Observations:
Supply Zone: Price rejected the 3331.72 level, which acted as a clear supply area based on past liquidity grabs and bearish institutional moves.
Change of Character (CHoCH): We saw a CHoCH around July 5th–6th, indicating a shift from bullish to bearish order flow.
Lower High Formation: Price failed to make a new high after tapping supply, showing signs of distribution.
Imbalance + Target Zone: Clean imbalance exists down to 3288.73 and potentially to the green demand zone around 3260–3270.
📍Trade Setup Idea:
Sell Opportunity: If price continues to reject the supply zone, look for bearish confirmation on the lower timeframes (e.g., 1H) to enter.
Target 1 (TP1): 3288.73 (near-term liquidity level)
Target 2 (TP2): 3260–3270 demand zone
Invalidation: A break and close above 3331.72 would invalidate the short-term bearish bias.
🔴 Watch for reaction around 3288.73 – if it holds, expect a possible bounce. If broken, further downside is likely.
NASDAQ – Decision Point is Now: Breakout or Breakdown?📈🔍 NASDAQ at Key Inflection – Momentum or Meltdown? ⚠️💥
Hey Traders,
The NASDAQ 100 is now standing right at the make-or-break zone: 22,655. This level marks a critical retest of the recent breakout, and what happens here could define the next major move.
🔵 The Setup:
After a strong bounce and sharp rally from below 18K, we've climbed back into the tight ascending structure. But momentum is slowing…
This zone could produce either a bullish continuation to new highs — or a brutal rejection that unwinds the entire move.
📍 Structure Speaks:
Holding above 22,655 = likely continuation
Breakdown = deeper pullback toward 20,000 and lower channel support
Momentum names like NVIDIA are doing the heavy lifting again — but can they sustain the market alone?
📊 What I'm Watching:
Bullish path = measured target ~25,000+
Bearish path = test of the broader trendline near 20,000 or even the 18,200 region
Macro signals still mixed — stay nimble, not married to one bias
⚠️ Stay Sharp:
Just like in crypto, the Nasdaq can punish both bulls and bears when it enters chop mode. Structure and discipline remain your best defense.
I’ve updated the chart — fresh out the oven 🍞 — and more market ideas are following, including BTC, ETH, and BTC Dominance.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
Bitcoin's Consolidation Almost Over —200-220 DaysBitcoin's consolidation period before a bullish breakout tends to last some 200-220 days on average. We have four instances of this pattern since the 2022 bear market counting 2025. Let's look at those. This proves that Bitcoin is set to grow in a matter of days. Continue reading below and make sure to boost. When you reach the end of the article leave a comment with your opinion about this issue. Do you agree? Do you disagree? Can you see what I mean?
» Back in 2022 Bitcoin consolidated for 203 days before a bullish breakout.
» Back in 2023 Bitcoin consolidated for 203 days before a bullish breakout.
» Back in 2024, last year, Bitcoin consolidated for 217 days before a bullish breakout.
It really depends on where you start counting for the total days but it all adds up to 200-220 days. With 220 being the maximum.
» Currently, in 2025, Bitcoin has been consolidating for 210 days. Looking at previous patterns, this means that only a few days are left before Bitcoin produces a bullish continuation.
We also saw that once Bitcoin breaks out of a this long-term consolidation range/period/phase, it never moves back to the lows of the consolidation range. That is, Bitcoin will never trade below 80K nor 90K once it resumes growing.
I am estimating that the next jump can start as early as next week. The entire move can take months to develop. After a peak is reached, Bitcoin will then start a new consolidation phase with a bearish bias first. This bearish bias produces a low after several months yet a strong higher low compared to the previous consolidation period which is current prices. After this low, more consolidation and then a new bullish jump.
If we take into consideration a bear market, then the dynamics can be different. Bear markets only happen once every four years. Seeing how different market conditions are now, the next bear market will be interesting because it won't be anything like the bear markets of the past. Bitcoin will remain much stronger but that is an analysis for another time.
Summary
Bitcoin is going up. It is very close now. When Bitcoin breaks up and hits a new all-time high, just to continue growing, the altcoins market will explode. You've been warned.
Now you can leave your comment.
Share your opinion on the comments section below. I know you have something to say. You've been trading Cryptocurrencies for years, buying and selling, making profits so... Are you ready for the 2025 bull market?
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
BTC Multi-TF Analysis: Bull Bias Holds, All Eyes on Resistance__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
__________________________________________________________________________________
Momentum: Very strong bullish bias across all major timeframes. No selling signal detected; slight micro-pause on 15min.
Key Supports / Resistances: Immediate resistance at 111,000–112,500. Critical supports: 108,000–109,000, then 105,000. Any lasting break below 107,500 is a key alert.
Volume: Healthy, balanced volumes. Some moderate surges on 1H/2H, but no climax.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Strong Buy across all TFs except 15min (partial pause).
Multi-TF behavior: Complete convergence. No sign of distribution. ISPD DIV neutral overall.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic Summary
__________________________________________________________________________________
Dominant bias: Bullish, confirmed by both technical and on-chain context.
Opportunities: Add on retracements to major supports (108k–109k, potentially 105k). Target breakout >112.5k for extension or further swing adds.
Risk/Alert Zones: Breakdown <107.5k (especially with high volume/macro event). Congestion zone at 111–112.5k: monitor reactions and volumes closely.
Macro catalysts: FOMC, Jobless Claims, Bond Auction (see economic calendar). Adjust sizing before and after.
Action plan: Gradual buys on major supports; heightened monitoring pre-US announcements (avoid overexposure during high-volatility). Structural stop below 107.5k; for swing, <105k ideal.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
__________________________________________________________________________________
1D: Structurally solid market above key supports. No divergence or selling signals. Resistances: 111,500–112,500. Main support: 105,050.
12H: Dominant buyer pressure. Key support at 107,500–108,000. No speculative excess.
6H: Marked accumulation. Multi-TF resistance at 111,000–111,500.
4H: All trends aligned; focus on resistance 111–112k.
2H: Ongoing momentum. Moderate volume. Watch 107,400–108,000 for dips.
1H: Reinforced bullish bias; no short-term weakness.
30min: Opportunities on any pullback to supports (110,400, 109,000).
15min: Micro-pause on sector momentum. Potential consolidation below 111k–111,500.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Strong Buy on all TFs except 15min (neutral, no sell).
ISPD DIV: Neutral across the curve, no behavioral excess detected.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Cross Analysis & Executive Summary
__________________________________________________________________________________
Confluences: Major bullish bias. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator in Strong Buy (except 15min). Balanced volumes. ISPD DIV neutral.
Dissonances: Micro-pause on 15min momentum under resistance (possible very short-term consolidation).
Opportunities: Pullbacks to 108k–109k or even 105k, clear breakout above 112.5k.
Risks: Break below 107,500 (key alert), high volume+rejection under 111–112.5k (possible profit-taking).
__________________________________________________________________________________
Macro & On-chain Focus
__________________________________________________________________________________
Macro: Awaiting FOMC (late July), key US macro data (Jobless Claims, 30Y Bond Auction). Neutral to potentially high volatility environment around economic catalysts.
On-chain: Long-term holder supply at ATH. US ETF inflows positive. Healthy on-chain: little short-term top risk. Key on-chain threshold at 98.3k (Short-Term Holder Cost Basis).
Institutional: No panic, ongoing “disciplined accumulation”, no excess euphoria.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Operational Action Plan
__________________________________________________________________________________
Closely monitor 111–112.5k resistance: reactively adapt based on price/volume.
Gradual re-entries on major supports if no behavioral anomaly or excessive selling volume.
Structural stop <107.5k, swing invalidation <105k.
Swing opportunity window post-FOMC if dovish or calm.
Adjust exposure and risk management around key macro dates.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Congress passes H.R 1 into law. About the new bill.🔵 In what's been an eventful last few weeks congress passed H.R 1 which is essentially Trump's 900 page mega bill Act. Both Democrats and Republicans ultimately united against each other over the bill with Vice President Vance casing the tiebreaking vote giving Senate Republican's the large legislative victory.
🔵 To note is that independent-minded Republican Lisa Murkowski, senator of Alaska had some concerns with the bill before GOP negotiators we're able to acquire her vote for the 50-50 votes. Murkowski's primary issue was with the legislation's changes to Medicaid and federal food assistance funding which she was concerned would hurt her home state understandably. Republican's originally tried to sway her vote by adding language to shield Alaska from the full effect of the legislation's Medicaid and SNAP cuts.
🔵 Parliament opposed that as it violated the Byrd Rule which is there to determine the legislation that can go into a budget reconciliation package as well as passing with only GOP votes. Least to say the amendment was reworked many times in order for the waivers for the SNAP funding cuts to apply more broadly than just Alaska and Hawaii. Parliament rejected the prior amendment and language which targeted just the two states understandably.
🔵 With the rework the new SNAP provisions are planned to reduce food assistance funding more slowly in about 10 states with the number ultimately being decided by a formula and based on the error rate in delivering food assistance benefits in a year. After an arduous process the amendment was passed and Republican's secured the vote with Murkowski saying it was an agonizing process.
🔵 When speaking with reporters afterwards Murkowski noted that the process was stressful with them operating under an artificial timeline in reference to the pressure Trump put on the Senate to pass the bill.
🔵 Her concern was as follows: “Rather than taking the deliberative approach to good legislating, we rushed to get a product out. This is important. I want to make sure that we’re able to keep in place the tax cuts from the 2017 Jobs Act,” said Murkowski when asked about her support for the bill and why it was hard for her to come around to giving her vote.
🔵 “I struggled mightily with the impact on the most vulnerable in this country when you look to the Medicaid and the SNAP provisions,” said Murkowski. This point highlights just how the effort to push the bill through was met with haste and pressure notably.
🔵 The bill itself is projected to add $2.8 trillion to the federal deficit by 2034. Main reason for that would be thanks to a reduction in revenues as well as interest cost which could have the deficit rise by a potential $5 trillion if some temporary provisions become permanent. Interest payments on the national debt are also expected to increase significantly by 2034.
🔵It should be noted that these numbers and estimates are based on a "current law" baseline and are largely thanks to tax cuts in the bill with Economist having differing opinions on the economic impact of the bill. Time will tell us how estimates go but least to say this is a large turnaround from what many we're expecting with even DOGE's Elon Musk opposing the Bill and forming a new party in strong opposition.
🔵 The tax and spending bill will see spending increase and phase in a cut to Medicaid of an estimated $1 trillion over the next decade with the CBO projecting roughly 11.8 million more American's t hat would become uninsured within the next 10 years compared to the current law. This could lead to many losing healthcare services due to medical cost with states as well likely needing to adjust their own programs and having to take on a larger share of the cost whether that means reducing services or even closing some facilities.
🔵 The bill has many key changes but in summary it solidifies many tax breaks from Trump's first term with an estimated $4.5 trillion in tax cuts alongside tax deductions on tips, overtime and auto loans with deductions for adults that make under $75,000 and a boost to the child tax credit from $2,000 to $2,200 though millions of families at lower income levels would still not receive the full credit as one of the credit's, requirements is a minimum earned income of $2,500. In 2022 alone an estimated 18 million children under age 17 (26 of all children) were ineligible for the full child Tax credit because the family income was not high enough as reported by Columbia University's Center on Poverty and Social Policy.
🔵 To say in the least the new bill has many implications for the country and the next few months and years will definitely represent those changes and how the country shifts and adjusts to this with many having differing opinions understandably. I'll definitely keep you guys posted through it all but definitely a lot to see so much happen so quick and only time will tell and show us just how things play out simply put. The market itself is still continuing within this ascending channel, especially since we got that convergence with the 200 EMA and broke that $6,130 resistance. $6,300 is what I'm expecting resistance to hit the strongest so definitely gonna keep an eye there as traders process the news and changes.
🔵 Have to go but grateful as always for the support, definitely a long idea here but wanted to focus on some important points though the bill itself has so many changes it's hard to go over every one but you get the point. This is a big changes and we'll definitely see things shift a lot over the next few months and years and as always we'll keep posted with things. Thanks as always and all the best.
Best regards,
~ Rock'