ETH long term outlook 2025-2028 (crystal ball version)Based on time fibs and fib projections.
No financial advice.
If ETH pushes up, looking at a pull back starting early to mid september, then retrace to 0.5 fib and push up into dec. After which possibly come back and test the 4k area where price broke out from. Next push up with a top in Mar/April.
The next is purely speculative (as is this whole post).
Deep retrace after local top in April26, to the 3k level.
If price finds support at 3k, then the next leg up has a chance at 9k end of 2027, Jan 2028.
Otherwise, if support doesn't hold, continuation down into bear market.
Chart Patterns
ASAHI INDIA GLASS- Bullish Flag & Pole Breakout (Daily T/F)Trade Setup
📌 Stock: ASAHI INDIA GLASS ( NSE:ASAHIINDIA )
📌 Trend: Strong Bullish Momentum
📌 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 (Favorable)
🎯 Entry Zone: ₹851.00 (Breakout Confirmation)
🛑 Stop Loss: ₹809.00 (Daily Closing Basis) (-5 % Risk)
🎯 Target Levels:
₹875.10
₹897.85
₹920.90
₹945.65
₹969.00.00 (Final Target)
Technical Rationale
✅ Bullish Flag & Pole Breakout - Classic bullish pattern confirming uptrend continuation
✅ Strong Momentum - Daily RSI > 60, Weekly RSI >60 Monthly rsi >60
✅ Volume Confirmation - Breakout volume 121.30K vs previous day's 1.63M
✅ Multi-Timeframe Alignment - Daily and weekly charts showing strength
Key Observations
• The breakout comes with significantly higher volume, validating strength
• Well-defined pattern with clear price & volume breakout
• Conservative stop loss at recent swing low
Trade Management Strategy
• Consider partial profit booking at each target level
• Move stop loss to breakeven after Target 1 is achieved
• Trail stop loss to protect profits as price progresses
Disclaimer ⚠️
This analysis is strictly for educational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice. Trading in equities involves substantial risk of capital loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research, consider your risk appetite, and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author assumes no responsibility for any trading outcomes based on this information.
What do you think? Are you watching NSE:ASAHIINDIA for this breakout opportunity? Share your views in the comments!
Ethereum (ETH): Strong Breakout Happened | Targeting $3200-3300 Ethereum had a strong breakout, and we are getting closer and closer to our major target of $3200-3300.
A smaller target of $3000 has been reached and we see that after smaller rejections, buyers still keep the pressure, so our major target remains the same
Swallow Academy
CANADIAN GOVERNMENT 10 YEAR BOND YIELD CA10YCanada 10-Year Bond Yield CA10Y
The Canadian 10-year government bond yield is 3.43-3.419%% as of July 10, 2025, slightly up from the previous session and close to its level a year ago.
Trend: The yield has edged up by about 0.06 percentage points over the past month, but remains below its long-term average of 4.25%.
Economic Outlook
Growth Forecast: GDP growth for 2025 is now expected at 1.0%–1.25%, revised down from earlier forecasts due to trade tensions and a cooling labor market.
Risks: The outlook is tilted to the downside, with rising unemployment (7% in May, projected to reach 7.5% by year-end) and weakened consumer/business sentiment.
Monetary Policy: The Bank of Canada has held its policy rate at 2.75%, with expectations of a rate cut to 2.25% by year-end as growth headwinds persist.
Regional Performance: Some provinces, like Newfoundland and Labrador, are seeing upgrades due to resource production, but overall national performance is subdued.
Upcoming Economic News
July 15: New Motor Vehicle Sales (May data) and Monthly Survey of Manufacturing.
July 16: 30-Year Bond Auction.
July 17: CFIB Business Barometer, Foreign Securities Purchases.
July 21: Producer Price Index (PPI) MoM release.
Ongoing: Industrial production and retail sales data will provide further insight into growth trends.
US Tariff Effect
New Tariffs: The US announced a 35% tariff on Canadian imports effective August 1, 2025, escalating trade tensions.
Economic Impact:
These tariffs are expected to weigh heavily on Canadian exports, business investment, and employment, given Canada’s high trade exposure to the US.
The Canadian dollar fell in response to the tariff announcement, reflecting market concern over the impact on Canada’s export-dependent economy.
Sectoral Risks: Manufacturing and auto sectors are particularly vulnerable, with job losses already concentrated in trade-exposed regions.
Policy Response: The Bank of Canada has cited trade uncertainty as a key reason for maintaining a cautious monetary stance, with further easing likely if conditions deteriorate.
Summary Table
Indicator Latest Value / Outlook Notes
10-Year Bond Yield 3.43% Slightly up, below long-term average
GDP Growth (2025) 1.0%–1.25% Downgraded due to trade/labor headwinds
Unemployment Rate 7% (May), 7.5% (year-end est.) Rising, especially in trade-exposed sectors
BoC Policy Rate 2.75% (cut to 2.25% expected) Cautious, possible further easing
US Tariffs 35% from Aug 1, 2025 Significant downside risk
Key Economic News July 15–21: Sales, PPI, auctions Manufacturing, trade, and price data
In summary:
Canada’s 10-year bond yield remains stable but below historical averages. The economic outlook is subdued, with downside risks from rising US tariffs, a softening labor market, and weak business sentiment. Upcoming economic releases will be closely watched for further signs of stress, especially as new US tariffs threaten to further dampen growth and confidence.
#CA10Y #BOND #BONDYIELD
AUD/CHF BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
AUD/CHF SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.524
Target Level: 0.520
Stop Loss: 0.526
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 3h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
The gold bull-bear game intensifiesThe gold bull-bear game intensifies: a breakthrough opportunity is hidden in the short-term shock
The gold market experienced violent fluctuations this week, and the core contradiction came from contradictory employment signals:
ADP cooling: The number of private sector jobs in the United States unexpectedly decreased in June, which once strengthened the expectation of a rate cut in September and pushed the gold price up
Non-farm counterattack: The subsequent non-farm employment announced exceeded expectations (206,000), which quickly extinguished the enthusiasm for rate cuts and gold prices gave up gains
Central bank support: Global central banks continue to buy gold (China increased its gold reserves in June), building a safety cushion for long-term prices
The essence of the "data fight" reflects that the resilience of the US economy remains, but cracks have appeared. The Federal Reserve dares neither cut interest rates too early (inflation risk) nor over-tighten (loosening of the employment market). This swing state will prolong the volatility cycle of gold, but every sharp drop is an opportunity for central banks and long-term investors to enter the market.
Technical aspect: Breakthrough signal of the four-hour chart
Current market characteristics:
Key position: 3344-3346 area has become the watershed between long and short positions. After three unsuccessful tests, the probability of this breakthrough has increased
Morphological structure: Breakthrough of the downward trend line of the four-hour chart + MACD golden cross, long arrangement of hourly moving average
Volume coordination: After yesterday's retracement to 3330 support, the volume rebounded, showing strong low-level support
Operation strategy:
Bull defense line: 3330-3325 (if broken, it will turn into shock)
Upward target:
▶ The first target is 3360 (previous high psychological position)
▶ The second target is 3380 (Fibonacci extension position)
▶ Ultimate target 3400 (option barrier)
Specific plan:
Conservatives:
Light long position at 3333-3335 (stop loss 3323)
After breaking through 3347, add more positions (stop loss 3335)
Radicals:
Batch layout above the current price of 3340, with 3325 as the ultimate defense
Risk warning:
⚠️ Beware of the volatility caused by Powell's speech on Friday night
⚠️ If 3320 is lost, beware of a deep correction to the 3300 mark
Currently, gold is in the "accumulation breakthrough" stage, with a bullish technical side but requiring fundamentals to cooperate. It is recommended to use the "small stop loss breakthrough" strategy, and it is better to miss it than to go against the trend. If it can stand firm at 3350 this week, it will no longer be a fantasy to look at 3400 in the third quarter.
Gold Market Rebounds to 3330 – Eyes on Unemployment ClaimsGold market respawns to the 3330's in reaction to the 3285 mitigation, signaling a potential market correction ahead. With unemployment claims on the radar, traders anticipate more volatility and key sentiment shifts as the data unfolds. follow for more insights , comment and boost idea
GBPCAD LONG FORECAST Q3 D11 W28 Y25GBPCAD LONG FORECAST Q3 D11 W28 Y25
It’s Fun Coupon Friday! 💸🔥
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USD/CHF H4 | Bearish reversal off a multi-swing-high resistance?USD/CHF is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.7986 which is a multi-swing-high resistance that aligns closely with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.8090 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 0.7871 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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EURGBP SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D11 W28 Y25EURGBP SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D11 W28 Y25
It’s Fun Coupon Friday! 💸🔥
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USDCAD LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D11 W28 Y25USDCAD LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D11 W28 Y25
It’s Fun Coupon Friday! 💸🔥
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Final call before take offLook at the monthly chart of Silver (CFDs in USD/OZ), the longterm trend is clearly bullish. After spending over a decade consolidating below the $30–35 zone, The breakout above this historical resistance is significant and shows strong momentum, especially with price holding well above the 10-month EMA. We’re currently testing the $37.31 level, and if that gets taken out cleanly, the next major target is the all-time high at $49.83 from 2011. The recent structure even resembles a cup-and-handle or ascending triangle pattern, adding more weight to the bullish case. Support zones are now layered at $35, $33.06, and $32.51—key levels that were previous resistances. If there's any dip back to those zones, it may offer a solid buy-on-dips opportunity. As long as Silver holds above $35 on the monthly chart, I stay bullish with eyes on a move toward the $49.83 zone.
Eurousd techinical analysis.This EUR/USD chart (1-hour timeframe) presents a technical analysis setup involving key levels, trendlines, and a forecasted bearish move. Here's a breakdown:
Key Observations:
1. Descending Triangle Formation:
The chart shows a descending triangle pattern formed by a downward-sloping resistance trendline (blue) and a horizontal support zone around 1.1670 (purple box).
This is typically a bearish continuation pattern.
2. Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance is near 1.1700, followed by a stronger resistance at around 1.1745–1.1755.
These are previous support zones turned resistance after the breakdown.
3. Support Zone:
Strong support around 1.1670 has been tested multiple times, indicated by the purple rectangle at the bottom.
4. Projected Move:
The blue squiggly arrows suggest a potential pullback or consolidation, followed by a rejection at the descending trendline, leading to a downward breakout below the support zone.
5. Market Sentiment:
The momentum is currently bearish, with recent lower highs and lower lows.
The price action is respecting the trendline resistance, which strengthens the case for a downward breakout.
---
Possible Scenarios:
Bearish (Likely) Scenario:
Break below 1.1670 → Target zones could be 1.1650 or lower, depending on volume and market reaction.
Could trigger stop-losses below the consolidation zone and fuel further selling.
Bullish (Invalidation) Scenario:
Break above descending trendline and 1.1700 → Could challenge 1.1745–1.1755 resistance.
Would invalidate the bearish triangle and suggest potential reversal.
---
Conclusion:
This chart suggests a bearish bias, with traders potentially looking for a short entry on a rejection from the descending trendline or a confirmed break of the 1.1670 support zone. Watch for volume confirmation and price reaction around these levels.
XAUUSD - 4H Bearish Rejection from Supply Zone | SMC AnalysisGold is showing signs of weakness after reacting strongly from a 4H Supply Zone around the 3331.72 level. Price tapped into the red supply zone, failed to break above, and is now forming lower highs — suggesting bearish momentum is building.
🔍 Key SMC Observations:
Supply Zone: Price rejected the 3331.72 level, which acted as a clear supply area based on past liquidity grabs and bearish institutional moves.
Change of Character (CHoCH): We saw a CHoCH around July 5th–6th, indicating a shift from bullish to bearish order flow.
Lower High Formation: Price failed to make a new high after tapping supply, showing signs of distribution.
Imbalance + Target Zone: Clean imbalance exists down to 3288.73 and potentially to the green demand zone around 3260–3270.
📍Trade Setup Idea:
Sell Opportunity: If price continues to reject the supply zone, look for bearish confirmation on the lower timeframes (e.g., 1H) to enter.
Target 1 (TP1): 3288.73 (near-term liquidity level)
Target 2 (TP2): 3260–3270 demand zone
Invalidation: A break and close above 3331.72 would invalidate the short-term bearish bias.
🔴 Watch for reaction around 3288.73 – if it holds, expect a possible bounce. If broken, further downside is likely.
XLM - Stellar - Possible Short coming up - This is Why?Reading the chart (annotations in sync with chart):
1. Location: Fib over-shoot - possible sellers
2. Largest up volume - possible sellers in there
3. Mountain shape PVR - increasing volume as wave progress
4. Abnormal SIs at top (could be closing positions but it also could be sellers absorbing buy orders.
Risky Entry but with better RR enter now. stop above tops, target blue AVWAP
Conservative Entry with worse RR: wait for the break downwards of red AVWAP, target blue AVWAP.
Enjoy, wave and speed index reading!
Descending Channel Pattern Forming in EUR/USDThe EUR/USD pair is currently trading within a well-defined descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe, as shown in the chart. The pair has been making consistent lower highs and lower lows, indicating a bearish trend. The red downward-sloping resistance line has been respected multiple times, while the green support line continues to act as a buying zone for bulls.
The resistance trendline has been tested five times (marked with red arrows), confirming strong selling pressure.
The support line has held three key touches (green arrows), suggesting buyers are still defending this level.
A breakout below the support zone could lead to further downside, while a reversal or breakout above resistance may trigger bullish momentum.
Traders should watch for volume confirmation and breakout direction before entering new positions.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Bearish drop?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.6007
1st Support: 0.5946
1st Resistance: 0.6037
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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