SUI 8H – Trendline Break, BOS Retest, and SR FlipSUI is at a pivotal level after cleanly breaking its 2025 downtrend and flipping prior supply into potential support. The current zone ($3.48–$3.60) marks a textbook BOS retest, aligning with the broken trendline and a clear structure shift.
Price has already printed a higher high, and if this zone holds, it could establish a higher low — a key confirmation for bullish continuation. Momentum traders may watch for reclaim of $3.70 for confluence, while invalidation sits below $3.32.
A break lower opens the door to deeper retracement targets around the 0.618 zone ($3.32–$3.38), but structure remains intact until then. Clean price action, strong confluence, and a clear invalidation level make this an actionable zone to watch.
📊 Structure: BOS → Retest
🧠 Bias: Bullish if $3.48–$3.60 holds
📉 Invalidation: 8H close below $3.32
🔔 Next key levels: $3.90, $4.10, $4.45
Chart Patterns
XAUUSD – Downtrend Confirmed, Bears in ControlOn the H4 timeframe, gold has completely broken its short-term uptrend structure and formed a series of lower highs and lower lows. Every bounce is rejected at the strong resistance zone of 3,326 – 3,333 USD, confirming the clear downtrend.
Although the recently released Core PCE index was lower than expected, this is not enough to drive a recovery as other data, such as the Employment Cost Index and statements from the Fed, still show persistent inflationary pressure. Therefore, the monetary policy remains hawkish, causing money to flow out of gold.
Currently, the price is approaching the critical support zone of 3,247. If this level is broken, the scenario of further declines to 3,192 is entirely possible.
BTC Exhaustion Zone Update: The Bulls Charged… But the Zone HeldExhaustion Zone Update: 2025–208
📉 Exhaustion Zone Update: The Bulls Charged… But the Zone Held
On Friday, BTC dipped to 114,700, printing a fresh Daily Swing Low — a classic liquidity grab. The bulls stormed in for reinforcements, pushed price back up late in the day…
but once again, the Exhaustion Zone stood its ground.
BTC closed lower than Thursday, and since then? Pure chop.
Feels like both bulls and bears took the weekend off to watch Netflix.
—
🔻 The Downward Trendline Still Rules
Today, it’s simple: Bulls must close above 118,477.
That’s the trendline test — hesitation here, and the bears come clawing.
Usually I’d say, "give the bulls until Monday"...
but this year has shown us one thing:
🐋 The Whales Hunt on Sundays.
If the bulls don’t step up today, we might learn the hard way why it’s called the Exhaustion Zone.
—
📉 The Risk if Bulls Fail
BTC already gathered all the bulls it could down at the Daily Swing Low — and they’re tired.
If they can’t break out, the High-Powered Short Zone (dashed red lines) will take over.
The bears? Heavy. Angry. Overdue for a window jump.
🎯 Next floors down:
• May ATH → 111,965
• January ATH → 109,354
That’s the Take Profit$ Zone 👇
And honestly? I’m letting a small short position ride in case the evil whales take us all the way to the 50% level (98,811).
—
📌 The Alpha View
To the bulls: It’s showtime.
Either close above 118,477 today…
or the All-Time High Parade might just reroute — straight down the fire escape. 🐻🔥
Oil Price Pulls Back to Keep RSI Out of Overbought ZoneThe recent rally in oil appears to have stalled as it struggles to extend the bullish price series from earlier this week, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) pulling back ahead of overbought territory.
Lack of momentum to hold above the $67.60 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) to $69.10 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement) zone may push the price of oil toward $65.30 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement), with a breach of the monthly low ($63.36) bringing $61.50 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) on the radar.
At the same time, the price of oil may defend the advance from earlier this week should it hold above the $67.60 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) to $69.10 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement) zone, with a move/close above the $73.90 (23.6% Fibonacci retracement) to $74.50 (50% Fibonacci retracement) region bringing the June high ($77.09) on the radar.
--- Written by David Song, Senior Strategist at FOREX.com
The Loudmouth Pattern: It Yells, We Trade!
On the 30-minute chart, ETH is forming a classic Broadening Formation – or as some traders like to call it, “The Big Mouth Pattern” 😄. It’s noisy, unpredictable at first glance, but when it speaks, you’d better listen.
Right now, price is moving through the bullish leg of this setup, and if momentum holds, we’re eyeing the $4,000 psychological level, followed by the $4,120 – $4,170 supply zone.
🔹 Bullish Scenario (our expected outlook):
🎯 Target 1: $4,000
🟩 Main Resistance: $4,120 – $4,170
❌ Invalidation: Confirmed close below $2,946
If price breaks and holds below that red support zone, this setup gets thrown out the window.
📊 Risk Management:
Scale in on pullbacks – if structure remains valid
No chasing without confirmation
Keep risk under 1% of total capital
📈 The market’s big mouth is open – and until it closes below $2,946, we’re listening for bullish signals. 🤑
XAUUSD – Strong Bullish Reversal from Key Support XAUUSD – Strong Bullish Reversal from Key Support
Chart Summary:
Gold (XAUUSD) has shown a clear reaction from a strong support zone near 3260, suggesting bullish momentum is gaining strength. The chart highlights multiple key market structure elements and confirms the potential for a bullish move.
Technical Highlights:
🔻 Strong Support Zone (3260–3280):
Price tapped into a well-defined demand zone with historical significance, initiating a bullish response.
🔺 Resistance Zone (3460+):
A strong resistance level lies ahead. This area may act as a potential target for bulls.
🔁 Break of Structure (BOS):
Multiple BOS marks on the chart indicate trend shifts and liquidity grabs. Most recent BOS aligns with potential reversal.
💹 Bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG):
A bullish FVG near mid-structure confirms institutional interest and adds confluence to the upside move.
📈 Target: 3,366.984 USD
Marked as the next probable short-term liquidity target. If momentum sustains, price may approach resistance above this.
Price Expectation:
If the current bullish momentum holds above the strong support zone, we may see a rally towards 3,366–3,400 USD.
This move could be driven by:
Buy-side liquidity grab above prior highs
Breakout traders entering above BOS
Reaction to macroeconomic calendar (highlighted on the chart)
✅ Educational Takeaway:
This is a textbook example of:
Support-resistance flip
Liquidity concepts (Buy-Side Liquidity)
Fair Value Gaps usage
Volume Profile confluence
XAUUSD Smart Money Technical Analysis – Bullish Potential XAUUSD Smart Money Technical Analysis – Bullish Potential from Strong Support
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around $3,291.780, showing a potential bullish reversal setup from the strong support zone after a clear liquidity sweep and market structure shifts.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
✅ Strong Support Zone (Demand)
Price is reacting from a major demand zone (Strong Low) between $3,275 – $3,225, a level that previously triggered bullish rallies.
Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) and CHoCH indicate previous bullish control and a possible re-accumulation phase.
✅ CHoCH Near Support
A recent Change of Character (CHoCH) around the support area shows the first signs of smart money accumulation.
Liquidity below recent lows has been swept, triggering possible bullish intent.
✅ Bullish FVG (Fair Value Gap)
A clear Bullish FVG remains unmitigated around the mid-range, offering target confluence at $3,349.560.
Price may aim to rebalance inefficiency and fill the FVG as part of the bullish move.
✅ Resistance Zone Above
The resistance area near $3,325 – $3,350 acts as a short-term target for long positions.
Further resistance lies at the Buy-Side Liquidity & Weak High zone around $3,450 if momentum sustains.
🧠 Smart Money Concept Interpretation:
Liquidity Grab: Price dipped into strong demand to collect sell-side liquidity before potential reversal.
CHoCH + BOS Alignment: Indicates the market may now transition into a bullish phase.
FVG as Magnet: Price is drawn toward unfilled value zones—ideal for bullish target projection.
🎯 Trade Idea (Educational Purposes Only):
Bias: Bullish
Entry: Around current zone ($3,290)
Target: $3,349.560 (FVG zone)
Invalidation/SL: Below strong low (~$3,225)
Gold Market Rejected at 3310 as Bearish Channel HoldsGold market faced rejection at 3310, failing to break above the bearish channel, as DXY strength continues to weigh on price action. The inability to sustain above key levels reflects ongoing bearish pressure, unless a clear break occurs.
🔍 Key Insight:
3310 acts as a short-term ceiling
DXY strength supports the bearish stance, follow for more insights coment and boost idea .
Moodeng Liquidity Grab + ReversalStrategy: Liquidity Grab + Reversal
Entry: $0.15350-$0.15000
Stop Loss: $0.14490
Take Profits: $0.17600, $0.19500
📊 Rationale:
– HTF trend: Range-bound with engineered downside inducement
– LTF structure: Watching for bullish CHoCH after sweep below local support
– Liquidity targeting: Price is likely to run sell-side stops below $0.16000–$0.15000 and reverse from unmitigated demand
🧠 Volume remains calm, OI is stable, and market is setting up for a clean liquidity sweep into a prior reaction zone. Confirmation will follow from M5–M15 CHoCH after the sweep.
⸻
🧠 Stay sharp. Trade smart. Let the market come to us.
GOLD: Short Trading Opportunity
GOLD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects fall
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GOLD
Entry Level - 3299.9
Sl - 3304.2
Tp - 3291.3
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Will gold prices continue to fall on August 1st?
Core Logic Analysis
Negative factors dominate
The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance: keeping interest rates unchanged and Powell suppressing expectations of a rate cut have weakened gold's safe-haven appeal.
Strong economic data: ADP employment data exceeded expectations, and coupled with the upcoming PCE and non-farm payroll data, market expectations of an early Fed rate cut have cooled.
Technical Breakdown: Gold prices fell below the key support level of $3,300, hitting a new monthly low. A large weekly bearish candlestick chart indicates bearish dominance.
Key Support and Resistance
Resistance: 3315 (hourly rebound resistance), 3333 (previous high and daily resistance).
Support: 3280-3290 (short-term), 3250-3245 (strong monthly support).
Potential Risks
Unexpectedly weak non-farm payroll data or escalating geopolitical tensions could trigger a short-term rebound, but a break above 3330 is required to reverse the downward trend.
Today's Trading Strategy
Short-Term Trading
Primarily short at highs: Short lightly on a rebound to 3310-3315, stop loss at 3325, target 3290-3280.
Aggressive Short: Add to short positions if the price reaches 3330-3333, stop loss at 3340, target 3280.
Cautious Long: Try a long position on the first touch of 3250-3245, stop loss at 3235, target 3270-3280 (quick in and out).
Mid-term Strategy
If the monthly line closes below 3250, shorting at high levels can be continued in August, targeting the 3150-3100 range.
If the gold price rebounds above 3350 after the non-farm payrolls, the trend needs to be reassessed.
Events to Watch
Data:
Non-farm payroll report on Friday (if the data exceeds expectations, gold prices may fall further).
US June PCE Price Index (Federal Reserve inflation indicator).
Technical Signal:
A daily close below 3250 would confirm a medium-term downtrend.
Observe the recapture of the 3300 level, which serves as a dividing line between bulls and bears.
Summary
Gold is currently in a bearish phase. Prioritize shorting on rallies, but be wary of unexpected data fluctuations. If the mid-line breaks below 3250, the market could target the 3000-3100 range. Conversely, if it holds above 3330, strategy adjustments will be necessary. Strictly stop loss and control risks.
USDZAR-BUY strategy 2-weekly chart Reg. ChannelThe pair is overall on negative mode long-term basis. However, judging the bottom of the channel 17.3700 area or slightly below, BUY entry might look interesting for a recovery medium-term.
Gold is under pressure4 again and medium-term is is overbought, considering that, the pair may find benefit moving back towards 18.1000 area again.
Strategy BUY into 17.35-17.45 region for profit target 18.0975.
**"Gold Price Rebounding from Support:Potential Move Toward 3436This chart shows the **price movement of Gold (XAU/USD)** on a **daily timeframe**.
### Key Points:
* **Support Zone** : Around **\$3,266**, this is the area where price has bounced up multiple times, meaning buyers step in here.
* **Resistance Line**: Around **\$3,436**, this is the level where price has been rejected before, meaning sellers are strong here.
* **Current Price**: Around **\$3,293**.
### What the Chart Suggests:
* Price is near the **support** zone again.
* If the support holds, the green arrow shows a possible move **upward**.
* Price may first move up slightly, pull back, and then try to **break above resistance** at \$3,436.
Gold is in a sideways range. It's near a strong support level and might go up from here toward the resistance level, as shown by the green line.
Dow Jones US30 Trend Analysis and Trade Plan Breakdown📈 US30 (Dow Jones) is currently in a strong bullish trend 🔥. This is clearly visible on the 4H chart, where we’re seeing a consistent pattern of higher highs and higher lows 🔼🔼.
👀 I’m watching for a potential long opportunity, especially since the higher timeframes remain firmly bullish 🟢.
🎥 In the video, we break it down:
A quick overview of the 4-hour structure
Then dive into a potential trade setup on the 30-minute chart ⏱️🔍
🧠 This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice ⚠️📚
$BTCUSDT: Fictitious Fractal 136KSo. I see we are having a relatively difficult time.
My expectations are in this range for the next appx. 125 days - 365 days.
Downside: 68.6k-69.9k
Topside: 100k to 136k (round to 150k)
I drew this fractal by hand and I want to watch it closely.
I expect in the next few weeks we hit 100k and then do a nice rug to 69k range.
This is probably wrong.
I pretty much extrapolated the red brush circle into a weeks long fractal.
I am longing all the dips to 68k.
Enjoy.
Mr. Storm.
Bearish Retest Setup After BreakdownPrice broke down from the recent bounce and lost the 0.098–0.101 zone, which lined up with the 23.6–38.2 fibs. That area is now likely to act as resistance. Momentum is still bearish. MACD histogram is red and expanding, and no signs of reversal yet. On the daily timeframe, MACD has just started to cross bearish, which adds weight to the downside bias.
If price retests that 0.098–0.101 area and shows weakness (like rejection wicks or small-bodied candles), it’s a clean short opportunity. First target would be the recent low around 0.092, and if that breaks, the next key level is 0.077.
Any push above 0.102 would invalidate the setup for me.
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 8/1/2025Although yesterday's retracement is a bit too deep, I am still bearish in gold in medium term as long as 3333 resistance is not broken. Therefore, I will still look for selling opportunities today.
Currently daily is in green bar while smaller timeframe shows bearish signs. If there is a double top formed near 3300, I will sell toward my weekly target at 3255.