$BABA Massive Support BounceAlibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) presents a compelling investment opportunity for 2025, supported by several key factors:
Analyst Projections: Analysts maintain a "Strong Buy" consensus for Alibaba, with an average 12-month price target of $125.40, indicating a potential upside of approximately 55.72% from the current price.
Strategic Investments and AI Integration: Alibaba's strategic investments, particularly in artificial intelligence (AI), are expected to drive growth in its e-commerce and cloud computing segments. The integration of AI-powered tools and services positions the company to capitalize on emerging technological trends.
International Expansion: The company's international and logistics segments have experienced revenue growth, reflecting Alibaba's efforts to expand its global footprint. This diversification enhances its revenue streams and reduces dependence on the domestic market.
Valuation and Market Position: Despite recent stock performance, Alibaba is considered undervalued compared to its peers, trading at conservative multiples. Its dominant position in e-commerce and cloud services, coupled with substantial cash reserves, underscores its potential for a market rebound.
In summary, Alibaba's favorable analyst outlook, strategic investments in AI, international expansion, and attractive valuation suggest that BABA is a promising investment for 2025.
Chart Patterns
Potential bearish reversal?GBP/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2793
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 1.2863
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 1.2674
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop?XAU/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,925.63
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,953.39
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance level.
Take profit: 2,880.98
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Crude Oil / WTI short cheap and good time to bounceVolatility on WTI has been very strong on past years but is narrowing. Especially in past months we can see a seemingly tightening volatility in prices. And we all know what that means right ?!
Correct, a breakout will follow. The questions is only in which direction. A good risk ration is achievable since we are very close to a bounce level / support (green line) and far away from the next resistance (red line). Commodity markets tend to be mean reverting and whenever commodities are cheap it makes sense to but them. Boom and bust cycles. But this is rather a long term strategy.
In any case, breakdown as below:
Entry:
Ideally we would average down the long position down to 67.28 and potentially below, in case price tests areas below.
Exit:
Ideally we would exit at TP slightly before 80 USD to avoid the resistance and the magical strength of full numbers. Something like 79.4 USD should work.
If price moves against us close at SL or once daily candle break below the support and closes.
In such case we could even consider a short position but with tight TP as fundamental dont point towards much lower prices.
Conclusion:
An easy trade can be entered with good risk reward ratio if executed correctly.
Disclaimer: This is non financial advice
let me know if any question.
S&P 500: Short-Term Rebound Before a Deeper Drop?Expecting a rebound for the SP500 from current levels until mid-March (around the 13th). We anticipate a strong sell-off after that, lasting until late March or early April, potentially bottoming between $5,100 and $5,400. Afterward, a massive bottom followed by a strong upward move for both the S&P 500 and the broader U.S. stock market, including crypto.
USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the ˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗USD/JPY "The Gopher"˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗ Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (148.000) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
📌I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (150.000) swing Trade Basis Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 145.000 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook:
USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend in short term, driven by several key factors.
💡Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis evaluates the economic indicators of the United States and Japan, which directly influence the USD/JPY pair.
💡United States Economic Indicators:
GDP growth is forecasted at around 2.0% to 2.5% for 2025, reflecting steady expansion Economic Forecast for the US Economy.
Inflation rate is expected to be around 2.5% to 3.0%, with recent data showing stability United States Inflation Rate.
Interest rates are at 4.50%, with expectations of cuts to around 4.0% to 4.25% by the end of 2025, reflecting a dovish shift United States Fed Funds Interest Rate.
Trade balance shows a deficit of $50 billion in January 2025, a persistent challenge but manageable with strong growth United States Balance of Trade.
💡Japan Economic Indicators:
GDP growth is projected at 1.1% for 2025, with recent Q4 2024 data showing 2.8% annualised growth, indicating recovery Japan's GDP beats forecasts.
Inflation is expected at around 2%, with core inflation robust, driven by wage gains Japan Economic Outlook.
Interest rates are at 0.5%, with expectations to reach 1.0% by the end of 2025, reflecting policy normalization Japan Outlook.
Trade balance shows a deficit, with recent figures at -2759 JPY Billion in January 2025, impacted by import costs Japan Balance of Trade.
The narrowing interest rate differential, with US rates expected to cut and Japan's rates rising, could support JPY strength, though US economic resilience remains a counterforce.
💡Macroeconomics
Macroeconomics encompasses broader economic factors influencing the pair:
Global GDP growth is projected at 3.0% to 3.3% for 2025, according to recent forecasts, with mixed regional performances World Economic Outlook Update.
Commodity prices are expected to decline by 5% in 2025, with energy prices leading the drop, impacting JPY due to Japan's import reliance Commodity Markets Outlook.
Stock markets show mixed performance, with US indices up 5% YTD and Japanese indices showing recovery, supporting risk-sensitive currencies Global Stock Market Performance.
Bond yields are expected to be range-bound, with the US 10-year Treasury yield possibly around 3.5% to 4.5%, suggesting lower USD appeal 2025 Bond Market Outlook.
💡Global Market Analysis
Global economic conditions play a significant role in currency movements:
Geopolitical events, such as potential tensions, could boost JPY as a safe-haven currency, though no major events are currently noted.
Central bank policies are diverging, with the Fed expected to cut rates and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) raising rates, narrowing the interest rate differential Central Bank Policies.
Commodity trends, with declining prices, have a muted direct impact, though energy costs affect Japan's inflation.
Stock market performance, with global indices up, suggests risk-on sentiment, potentially supporting USD over JPY Market Performance Analysis.
💡COT Data and Positioning
COT data provides insights into large trader positions, with recent reports showing:
For USD/JPY futures, large speculators are likely net long, driven by the interest rate differential and stronger US economic outlook JPY Commitments of Traders.
Positioning shows that institutional traders are cautiously optimistic, with some covering shorts as the price approaches support levels.
Key Insight: Long positions in USD/JPY align with economic fundamentals, suggesting bullish sentiment among speculators.
💡Intermarket Analysis
Intermarket relationships influence currency valuation:
USD/JPY is positively correlated with US stock markets; with strong US indices, the USD could benefit from risk-on sentiment Intermarket Analysis.
Gold, trading at $1900 per ounce, slightly up, suggests a weaker USD, supporting JPY strength as a safe-haven Gold Price Trends.
Bond yields, with declining US yields, indicate lower USD appeal, potentially boosting JPY/USD Bond Market Insights.
Key Insight: Positive correlations with US stocks suggest USD strength, while gold and bond yields support JPY, creating a mixed dynamic.
💡Quantitative Analysis
Technical analysis provides insights into price trends:
At 149.000, USD/JPY is near key support at 148.43 (Classic S3), with resistance at 149.02 (Classic R2), based on recent charts USD/JPY Technical Analysis.
Moving averages show a mixed picture, with shorter-term (MA5, MA10) suggesting buy and longer-term (MA50, MA100, MA200) suggesting sell TradingView Analysis.
RSI (Relative Strength Index) is at 45.418, neutral, suggesting potential for a bounce if support holds Technical Indicators Guide.
Key Insight: Technicals suggest a possible downward trend, with sell signals dominating, though support levels could trigger a reversal.
💡Market Sentimental Analysis
Market sentiment reflects trader positioning and expectations:
Recent data shows 62% of forex traders long on USD/JPY, with an average price of 154.6568, contrasting with a downward price movement, creating a bearish indicator Forex Sentiment USDJPY.
Bank forecasts predict USD/JPY dropping to 145.00 by year-end, citing Japan's recovery and expected Fed rate cuts Currency Forecasts.
Key Insight: Mixed sentiment, with retail traders long but institutional forecasts bearish, supporting a downward outlook.
💡Next Trend Move
Combining all factors, the next trend move for USD/JPY is likely downward:
The pair is at a key support level (148.43), and if it breaks, could drop to test lower levels around 145.00.
Potential catalysts include Fed rate cuts and BoJ rate hikes, narrowing the interest rate differential, supporting JPY strength.
Key Insight: The next move favors a downward continuation, with risks of an upward bounce if support holds.
💡Overall Summary Outlook
The USD/JPY pair, at 149.000 on March 4, 2025, exhibits a bearish outlook. Key drivers include the narrowing US-Japan interest rate differential, with US rates expected to cut to 4.0%-4.25% and Japan's rates rising to 1.0% by year-end, alongside Japan's economic recovery (1.1% GDP growth in 2025). Technical indicators suggest sell signals, supported by mixed market sentiment and declining commodity prices. Risks include strong US economic data maintaining USD dominance or global risk-off sentiment boosting USD. However, the prevailing trend points to potential JPY appreciation in the near term.
💡Future Prediction
Trend: Bearish
Details: The pair is likely to see a downward move, testing support at 148.43 and potentially dropping to 145.00 in the next few months, driven by narrowing interest rate differentials and technical sell signals. Risks include stronger-than-expected US data maintaining USD strength, but current indicators suggest a reversal is imminent.
💡Summary of Key Economic Indicators
Indicator United States (2025 Forecast) Japan (2025 Forecast)
GDP Growth 2.0%-2.5% 1.1%
Inflation Rate 2.5%-3.0% ~2%
Interest Rate 4.0%-4.25% (end of year) 1.0% (end of year)
Trade Balance Deficit ($50 billion, Jan 2025) Deficit (-2759 JPY Billion, Jan 2025)
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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BTC LONG TP:86,000 04-03-2025I foresee a potential manipulation that could drive Bitcoin down to the 81,000 - 82,000 range before we witness a significant rebound pushing the price up to 86,000. This movement is anticipated within a 1-hour timeframe, meaning we should expect this to unfold in the next 10 to 14 hours. If the expected price action does not materialize within that period, the trade will unfortunately be deemed invalid.
Make sure to follow me for the latest updates and insights, so you can continue to seize profitable opportunities!
$NVDA to $130, then a crucial decision.Sure, NASDAQ:NVDA is in a downtrend, but the $114 bottom has been confirmed, which should lead to $130. After reaching $130, we'll see if the king is back.
A double bottom pattern is a classic technical analysis formation indicating a significant trend change and momentum reversal from a previous downtrend. It involves a security or index dropping, rebounding, dropping again to a similar level, and then rebounding once more (potentially starting a new uptrend). This pattern resembles the letter "W." The twice-touched low is now seen as a crucial support level. As long as these two lows hold, there is new potential for an upside.
BUY $130 NOW and enjoy the ride
BITCOIN WILL BE AT 50-60K THIS YEARMake it simple, BTC need to relax a little this year before going much higher. If BTC goes around 100k would be nice to take profits and wait for new lows... USA stock market is having alot of volatility with Trump, I wouldn't be surprised if we see a -20% drawdown in S&P 500!!
$TSLA Technical Analysis... 2/28/2025!
After reaching the expected target for wave (c), which was predicted to match wave (a), the current decline likely represents wave (d). This decline could continue to 61.8% of wave (a) at $262. If a rebound occurs at this level, it may signal the beginning of a new upward trend, with wave (e) potentially equaling wave (a) at $539
Let's see how it plays out!
NASDAQ:TSLA #TSLA
BITCOIN Halving cycles and Pump %Monthly #Bitcoin chart with Halving dates
what is notable is how much the % increase in PA has been dropping each halving.
2012 Halving 10K% rise after
2016 Halving 3,5K% rise after
2020 Halving 700 % rise after
Projected PA below would also be 700%
BUT, Bitcoin is far more public now and the Halving Pumps will be talked about aLot. Could the Next halving actually be pumped a Lot earlier than previous dates
May well be a great idea to grab your NOW..because the price WILL go mental as the world sees the TradFi recession also.
2024 is going to be an interesting year to say the least