EURAUD – Watching for Rejection Near Key ResistancePrice is testing a major resistance level at 1.741 after a strong rally. This zone has held before, and we’re looking for signs of exhaustion.
🔽 Plan:
Sell near 1.741 with stops above 1.745
Targeting the prior demand zone around 1.729
The trend is still mixed, so if momentum stays strong, we’ll step back. But for now, we like the risk-to-reward on a short setup at this key level.
Chart Patterns
EUR/USD | Major Shift – Is the Euro Reclaiming Strength?A major shift may be underway in the EUR/USD pair, potentially signaling the euro’s resurgence after a prolonged period of dollar dominance. Historical patterns suggest that the EUR/USD cycle closely mirrors the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) cycle in inverse correlation. Given the recent inflection points, we may be entering a phase where the dollar weakens while the euro strengthens.
Historical Cycles & The DXY Correlation
Examining past EUR/USD bottoms, we see a recurring pattern roughly every 15–20 years, aligning inversely with DXY peaks:
1971: EUR/USD bottomed as the dollar peaked before entering a long decline.
1985: The Plaza Accord led to a major DXY peak, followed by a strong euro uptrend.
2000: The dollar peaked again, marking another significant euro rally.
2022: The most recent DXY peak (~114), coinciding with an EUR/USD low.
Each of these key reversals reflects a broad shift in global monetary policy, trade balances, and economic cycles. If history is repeating, the 2022 dollar peak may have set the stage for a multi-year euro recovery, just as previous DXY tops did.
Key Drivers to Watch
Monetary Policy Divergence: The Fed's tightening cycle may be nearing its end, while the ECB remains cautious on rate cuts.
Economic Momentum: If the U.S. economy slows while the Eurozone stabilizes, capital flows may shift towards the euro.
Investor Sentiment: As DXY trends lower, it could accelerate EUR/USD bullish momentum, as seen in previous cycles.
What’s Next?
With the euro holding above historically significant lows and the DXY showing signs of cyclical weakening, traders should watch for confirmations of this potential long-term reversal. If past trends hold, we could be witnessing the early stages of another major EUR/USD bull cycle.
Adani Enterprises - Breakout in Progress?The stock has been consolidating below a resistance level for several weeks. Today, it has given a breakout above the trendline resistance with good volume. This breakout could trigger a potential uptrend.
🔹 Target & Resistance:
Target: ₹2,654.70 (+13.49%)
Resistance Level: ₹2,654.70 (marked in purple)
🔹 Volume Confirmation:
The breakout is supported by increasing volume, indicating strong buying interest. If the stock sustains above the breakout level, we might see a strong upward move.
🔹 Trading Plan:
✅ Entry: On breakout retest or sustained move above resistance
🎯 Target: ₹2,654.70
🛑 Stop Loss: Below breakout zone
📢 Conclusion:
A successful breakout and close above this level could confirm bullish momentum. However, traders should watch for retest and price action confirmation before entering.
Bullish bounce?NZD/CAD has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.81458
1st Support: 0.81095
1st Resistance: 0.82317
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Bearish drop?COPPER is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 5.0325
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 5.1220
Why we lik eit:
There is a pullback resistance levle that line sup with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 4.8933
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Could the Kiwi reverse from here?The price is risng towards the resistance level which is aa pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5760
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.5810
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.5689
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
XAUUSD H1 | Bearish fall in the short termBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 3150.56, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit will be at 3132.63, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 3168, which is a swing high resistance level.
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Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDCHF H4 | Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 0.8698, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 0.8799, a pullback resistance.
The stoploss is placed at 0.8609 , a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 03/04/2025Gap down opening expected in nifty. After opening if nifty starts trading below 23200 level then possible sharp downside rally upto 23000 level. Any bullish side rally can face resistance at 23450 level. Expected reversal from this level. Major upside movement only expected if nifty starts trading and sustain above 23500 level.
ETHEREUM Huge bullish divergence targets $4000Ethereum / ETHUSD formed a Double Bottom while the 1day RSI was on a Rising Support.
This is a similar bottom formation like the September 6th 2024 Double Bottom.
Technically once the Falling Resistance breaks, the new bullish wave begins.
Target the bottom of the Resistance Zone at $4000.
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GBPAUD analysis elliot. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
Alphabet ($GOOGL) Nearing Completion of 5-Wave DeclineIn our latest Elliott Wave analysis of Alphabet ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ) on the 30 minute chart, we observe a clear 5-wave impulse structure unfolding to the downside, originating from the February 5, 2025 peak. This decline aligns with the broader corrective pattern, and we believe NASDAQ:GOOGL is now in the final stages of this bearish move before a larger recovery takes shape. Let’s break down the structure and what to expect next.
Wave Structure Breakdown
The chart below illustrates that NASDAQ:GOOGL reached a significant high on February 5, 2025, at 209.51.
From this peak, the stock initiated a 5-wave impulse decline:
- Wave ((1)): The first leg down concluded at 156.72, marking a sharp initial decline from the February 5 high.
- Wave ((2)): A corrective rally followed, retracing part of the decline and peaking at 171.28, completing wave ((2)) as the 30 minute chart below shows.
- Wave ((3)): The decline resumed with wave ((3)), which extended lower to 150.66.
- Wave ((4)): A counter-trend rally unfolded in a 3-wave structure, labeled (W)-(X)-(Y) on the chart, reaching a high of 159.23 on April 3, 2025, as indicated on the chart. This peak marked the completion of wave ((4)).
- Wave ((5)): The current leg lower began after the April 3 peak at 159.23. As of the latest data on April 3, 2025, NASDAQ:GOOGL has reached 152.76, as shown on the chart, and appears to be in the final stages of wave ((5)).
Current Position and Invalidation Level
The chart highlights an invalidation level at 171.34 (the “RIGHT SIDE+” line in red). As long as NASDAQ:GOOGL remains below this level, the bearish outlook for wave ((5)) remains valid. With the current price at 152.76, wave ((5)) is likely approaching its conclusion soon. It should not go below 138.7, otherwise wave ((3)) will be the shortest wave. Alphabet (GOOGL) 30 Minutes Elliott Wave Chart
What’s Next: A Larger 3-Wave Rally
Upon the completion of wave ((5)), we expect NASDAQ:GOOGL to initiate a larger 3-wave corrective rally. This should be end a higher-degree wave b. The rally should unfold in a 3-wave pattern (A-B-C) and could target a retracement toward the 170.6 area, where prior wave ((2)) levels may act as resistance.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(03/04/2025)Today will be gap down opening expected in index. Expected opening near 51000 level. After opening if banknifty sustain above 51050 level then possible upside movement upto 51450 in opening session. But in case banknifty starts trading below 50950 level then expected sharp downside movement upto 400-500+ points and this can extend further upto 50050 in case it gives breakdown of 50450 level.
SPX developing a wedge similar to 2022As I write this futures are sharply down to 5440 and ViX is at 40. I expect to see a short technical bounce to about 5550, being at major trendline. The wedge formation is similar to 2022. A breakout from Wedge would be sharp either way. If it holds at this level for a couple of weeks then I expect to see a bounce to 5775.I had said earlier in my vix analysis we are in 2022 mode.
Market could see a relief rally only to realise that there are still many unknowns.
The impact on labour market due to immigration policies, retaliation of other countries and negotiation results thereof, impact on consumer sentiments and extent of inflations due to tariff. Weakening of US dollar will only add to inflation pressure. Trump has only accelerated BRICS agenda of moving away from USD
Citadel,Millennium and many other hedge fund are having liquidity problems and FED is been asked to setup a bailout fund for these crooks. They are the highest leveraged entities. A weaker market will precipitate another financial crisis. So far the financial sector hasn't been devalued liketh tech and semi's. I think their turn will come once the market have finished dealing with tech valuations. Once market gets this, it will see a sharp selloff, which is better than slow grind down over months as far as I am concerned
When trump says, he doesn't care about the stock market, I think he knows it is overvalued, just like Warren Buffet did last year and sold off most his positions and now sitting on largest cash in history, waiting for it to come to his level of expectation which to to my mind cant be just 10%
bat rather like 30% write off in the en, to entice savvy investors like Buffet and Michael Burry to re-enter and clean out the garbage investors like the hedge funds
#SUSDT.P -A New Upside Opportunity with the Cup and Handle Hey everyone,
Today’s analysis is for #SUSDT.P. We’ve got a solid Cup and Handle formation here, and I believe it’s set to play out well. The ideal long entry zone is between 0.53-0.56, with short-term targets at 0.60 and longer-term targets at 0.66.
Just like our BINANCE:REDUSDT.P analysis from yesterday, I’m rooting for this one to hit its targets quickly. Wishing you all a green-filled day ahead!
What do you think of my analysis? Let’s meet in the comments and discuss!
Manage your risk, stay in the game! 🎯🔥
#AlyAnaliz #TradeSmart #CryptoVision #SUSDT
Trading Strategy (XAUUSD) April 3, 2025On Wednesday, Trump announced he would impose a 10% base tariff on all imports into the United States and higher tariffs on dozens of other countries, including some of America's largest trading partners, deepening a trade war that has shaken global markets and rattled U.S. allies. The Trump administration also confirmed that his 25% global auto and truck tariffs will take effect as scheduled on April 3, and tariffs on imported auto parts will be imposed on May 3.
XAUUSD trading strategy around the price zone:
SELL XAUUSD around 3175-3177
Stoploss: 3182
Take Profit 1: 3168
Take Profit 2: 3162
Take Profit 3: 3157
BUY XAUUSD around 3128-3130
Stoploss: 3123
Take Profit 1: 3135
Take Profit 2: 3141
Take Profit 3: 3148
Note: Always set Stoploss in all cases to be safe
EOS/USDT Technical Analysis (4H Timeframe)EOS is currently showing strong bullish momentum on the 4-hour timeframe, breaking past critical resistance zones clearly highlighted by the blue lines. The immediate support level is now established around the $0.67 region, previously a significant resistance point, indicating a successful breakout and potential for further upside.
The next significant resistance to watch is around the psychological $1.00 mark, which aligns closely with the upper horizontal blue line, indicating a substantial profit-taking zone or potential reversal point if bulls lose strength.
Indicators:
Price is trading well above the 200-period SMA, indicating bullish bias.
The CM_Ult_MacD_MTF indicator shows strong upward momentum, further supporting the bullish continuation scenario.
Trade Idea:
Bullish Scenario: Maintain bullish positions targeting near-term resistance at around $1.00. Tight stops recommended below $0.67.
Bearish Scenario: If price rejection occurs strongly at the $1.00 zone, expect a potential retest of the new support near $0.67. Watch for bearish signals around the resistance.
Stay cautious at resistance levels and manage risks accordingly.
Happy trading!
GOLD - where is current support ? What's next??#GOLD... perfect move as per our discussion and now market again at his current support (that was our resistance )
Keep close the supporting region and if market holds then we can expect a further rise towarss next resistance areas.
Good luck
Trade wisely