EURUSD: Awaiting Confirmation to Continue the UptrendThe EUR/USD pair closed yesterday at 1.1550, moving within the 1.1526–1.1558 range. The euro continues its bullish trend, driven by U.S. inflation data coming in lower than expected, which increases expectations of an upcoming rate cut by the Fed. In addition, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East—particularly between Israel and Iran—have slightly weakened the U.S. dollar, providing additional support to the euro.
From a technical perspective, the price is currently correcting toward the 1.1480 area, where the ascending trendline converges with the exponential moving average. This is a key support zone. If it holds and a clear bullish signal emerges, EURUSD could rebound and move toward the 1.1610 resistance level.
Main scenario: look for buying opportunities around 1.1480 if a bullish confirmation appears, targeting 1.1610.
Alternative scenario: if the 1.1480 level is broken, the short-term uptrend could be at risk.
Chart Patterns
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) 4-Hour Chart4-hour candlestick chart displays the price movement of Gold Spot (XAU) against the U.S. Dollar (USD) from late June to mid-July 2025. The current price is $3,385.30, with a slight increase of $0.66 (+0.02%). The chart highlights a recent upward trend, with a resistance level around $3,420.58 and a support level near $3,370.10, as indicated by the shaded zones.
XAUUSD Buy ForecastXAUUSD New Forecast👨💻👨💻
This is my personal trade and not in anyway a mandatory setup.
Note:
Follow proper risk management rules. Never risk more then 2% of your total capital. Money management is the key of success in this business...... Set your own SL & TP.
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Bullish FlagHello traders! 👋
We've just spotted a classic Bullish Flag breakout on USDJPY (30m chart) — one of the cleanest continuation patterns in price action trading.
After a strong impulse leg to the upside, price formed a downward-sloping flag — a textbook consolidation pattern. The breakout above 144.749 confirms buyer control and sets the stage for continuation toward 145.42, the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
📌 Pattern: Bullish Flag
📌 Breakout Level: 144.749
📌 Target: 145.42
📌 Stop: Below 143.60 (flag low / invalidation zone)
🧠 Structure Note:
The symmetry of the flag is clean, with measured move projection aligning with the extension target. This setup shows clear impulsive energy, consolidation, and breakout — ideal continuation behavior.
🎯 Trading Plan:
If price holds above 144.75, we’re looking at a move toward 145.00 first, with extended continuation to 145.42. If price fails and drops back below the flag, the setup is invalidated — as always, risk management first.
Let the structure guide you, not your emotions. Stay disciplined.
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📈 Trade Chart Patterns Like The Pros
GBP/USD trade idea.This is a 1-hour chart of GBP/USD (British Pound vs US Dollar), with a clear bearish setup. Here's the breakdown:
Chart Analysis:
Channel Structure:
The price is moving inside an ascending channel with clear upper and lower trendlines.
Liquidity Sweep ($$$):
Two areas marked as “$$$” indicate liquidity grab (stop-hunt zones) below equal lows — classic signs of engineered liquidity.
Resistance Zone (Supply):
A key supply zone is highlighted between 1.36045 and slightly below it, where price previously reacted. This zone is expected to act as a strong resistance.
Current Price:
Price is currently at 1.35844 and appears to be heading up toward the supply zone again.
Trade Idea (Bearish Setup):
Entry:
Wait for the price to enter the supply zone (around 1.36045), possibly wick above it slightly to trap buyers.
Sell Trigger:
Look for bearish confirmation (like bearish engulfing or market structure shift) inside the supply zone.
Stop Loss:
Placed just above the supply zone and the channel resistance — around 1.36464.
Take Profit:
Target is set near the channel support, around 1.34799.
Risk:Reward Ratio:
Favorable setup — risk is smaller compared to the large potential reward.
Summary (in short):
A short-term bullish move to trap liquidity into the supply zone.
A rejection from the supply zone.
A bearish drop toward the channel’s lower boundary.
Support and Boost for appreciate.
The Calm Before the Storm: All Eyes on UK CPI & Central BanksGBPUSD 17/06 – The Calm Before the Storm: All Eyes on UK CPI & Central Banks
The GBPUSD pair is coiling in a tight range near the mid-1.3500s as traders brace for two high-impact events: UK CPI data on Wednesday and interest rate decisions from both the Fed and BoE this week. Price remains supported above the 200 EMA and is compressing within a symmetrical triangle – typically a precursor to a major breakout.
📊 Macro & Fundamental Outlook
🔹 Federal Reserve (FOMC): Expected to hold rates steady, but growing anticipation of a dovish tilt toward September is weighing slightly on the USD.
🔹 Bank of England (BoE): Markets are pricing in deeper rate cuts following recent UK GDP weakness, pressuring the GBP in the short term.
🔹 Geopolitical Risks: Rising Middle East tensions are fuelling demand for USD as a safe haven, reinforcing its strength ahead of data events.
📝 Bottom Line: The CPI release could be the first trigger to shift GBPUSD’s current consolidation. A hot inflation print might push GBP higher; a miss could fuel further downside.
🔧 Technical Analysis (H1 Chart)
Price is ranging between 1.3535 (support) and 1.3609 (resistance)
EMAs 13/34 crossing below EMA 89 → signal of potential bearish continuation
Uptrend line from 1.3467 is still intact and acting as dynamic support
Break below 1.3559 may lead to a move toward 1.3495 and 1.3467
A confirmed breakout above 1.3609 opens the door to 1.3630+
🎯 Trade Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy from Trendline Support
Buy Zone: 1.3495 – 1.3467
Stop Loss: 1.3440
Targets: 1.3535 → 1.3559 → 1.3596 → 1.3630
🟢 Best setup if price prints a bullish engulfing or hammer candle on key support + UK CPI surprise.
Scenario 2 – Sell on Resistance Rejection
Sell Zone: 1.3609 – 1.3630
Stop Loss: 1.3660
Targets: 1.3590 → 1.3559 → 1.3535 → 1.3495
🔴 Only valid with strong rejection signals + softer UK data or hawkish Fed tone.
💡 Market Sentiment
Retail traders are trapped in a waiting zone – expecting a breakout
Institutions may push price into one direction pre-data to collect liquidity
Risk appetite is fragile, and traders are cautious ahead of back-to-back central bank announcements
📌 Final Thoughts
GBPUSD is preparing for volatility. Instead of chasing moves, let the market come to your key zones and react with discipline. The 1.3467–1.3495 support area could be crucial for the next directional move.
Stay patient. Wait for confirmation. Respect your risk.
EURUSD – Healthy pullback within a strong uptrendEURUSD is undergoing a temporary correction after a strong bullish move, but the pair remains above key technical support levels such as the EMA34 and the ascending trendline. The 1.15070 zone now acts as a potential buy area—where demand may return if confirmation signals appear.
Market sentiment is leaning toward the expectation that the Fed may cut interest rates soon due to weaker-than-expected U.S. retail sales data, which has weighed on the USD and indirectly supported the euro. Meanwhile, the ECB continues to maintain a stable policy stance, further reinforcing the current bullish trend.
If the price holds above the green support zone, the next target could be around 1.15940. If this support breaks, traders should watch price behavior at the trendline before making the next trading decision.
Price has shown reactions here both as support and resistance. Chart Analysis Summary:
Timeframe: 1H (1 Hour)
Instrument: GBP/JPY (OANDA broker)
Analysis Type: Price Action / Supply & Demand Zones
🔍 Key Observations:
Supply Zone (Resistance Area):
The top green box (around 196.500 - 196.800) represents a supply zone.
Price is projected to reach this zone before reversing.
This area has historically rejected price, suggesting strong seller presence.
Bearish Projection:
A bearish arrow shows the expectation that price will reverse from the supply zone.
The chartist anticipates a drop after hitting this resistance.
Demand Zone (Support Area):
The bottom green box (around 194.300 - 194.600) marks a demand zone.
It’s the potential target area where price might find support and possibly bounce again.
Market Structure:
The chart indicates a potential lower high formation after price hits resistance.
This structure supports a bearish scenario toward the demand zone.
📉 Trade Idea (Implied):
Sell setup near the 196.600 - 196.800 resistance zone.
Take profit around the 194.400 demand zone.
Risk: Price might break above the supply zone, invalidating the bearish scenario.
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EUR-CHF Resistance Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-CHF keeps growing
But a strong horizontal
Resistance of 0.9445
Is ahead so after the
Retest we will be expecting
A local bearish move down
Sell!
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CHFJPY Daily Analysis – Potential Rounded Top Reversal🧠 Key Insights:
Price is approaching strong resistance near 180.355, aligning with historical highs.
A rounded top formation is visible, signaling potential bearish reversal.
A break above 180.355 would invalidate the bearish setup (marked “Invalid” on chart).
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🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If rejection occurs at resistance:
✅ TP1: 170.145
↪ Horizontal support; prior consolidation zone.
✅ TP2: 160.352
↪ Major demand area; long-term support.
Entry can be considered on confirmation signals (e.g. bearish engulfing, divergence, or rejection wicks).
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❌ Invalidation:
A daily candle close above 180.355 invalidates this setup and may signal continued bullish momentum.
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✅ Summary:
CHFJPY is at a key resistance zone and showing signs of a possible top. If bearish confirmation forms, targets lie at 170.145 and 160.352. Use proper risk management and wait for confirmation before entering.
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⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
An update on my NAS100 trade idea I shared over the weekend.I analyzed over the weekend and ended up breaking down a weak high, my mistake was not considering some of the information the chart was communicating at that time.
I ended up not getting any entry opportunity on the POI I was targeting. As I was waiting, I noticed I was looking for entry on the push of a weak high which was now acting as an inducement then reevaluated my analysis and noticed price was going to look for liquidity above that weak high.