MSFT – A correction brewing? zero day CRWD-like scenario?In July 2025, a critical vulnerability in Microsoft SharePoint (CVE-2025-53770) was exploited by threat actors globally. Although the issue was first reported during the Pwn2Own Berlin competition back in May, Microsoft delayed the patch — allowing attackers a significant head start. Over 400 servers and dozens of organizations were breached, including U.S. and European government entities.
💬 On July 18, Reddit users began discussing the flaw’s severity, comparing it to past vulnerabilities like Log4j. Interestingly, this coincided with the first significant technical deviation from the bullish trend — marking a potential beginning of downside momentum.
🔍 In the chart above:
Strong bullish run until the Zero-Day disclosure
Clear gap beneath current price action
TARGET 1 reflects a natural technical retracement toward EMA 50–100 and the mid-term trendline
TARGET 2 is conditional – it only applies if a massive event occurs, similar to what we saw with CRWD
⚠️ Key distinction:
CrowdStrike: A software update bug caused a global Windows crash — no cyberattack, but massive operational impact
Microsoft: A real, actively exploited security vulnerability — with long-tail risk for data leaks, ransomware, and regulatory backlash
🎯 Conclusion:
If the SharePoint exploit escalates in visibility or consequences, and Microsoft fails to contain the damage — we could see extended downside pressure. TARGET 2 remains valid only under a high-severity scenario, like CRWD’s global meltdown.
