July 10th Market Outlook –Charted Waters & Uncertain Momentum🗓️📊 July 10th Market Outlook – Charted Waters & Uncertain Momentum 🌊⚠️
Today’s breakdown is a reality check for traders navigating a market full of setups but short on clarity. Resistance is stacking across the board, but that doesn’t mean we can’t break through — it just means we need to stay sharp and keep our charts close.
🔎 Highlights from the 19-minute video:
Bitcoin is approaching a third and crucial resistance test. A breakout could trigger ultra-FOMO, but failure here could send us lower.
Ethereum is in a pressure zone — the "Symplegades" setup from Greek mythology reflects today’s narrow trading path.
Bitcoin Dominance is clinging to support — if it breaks, altseason could be on. If it holds, alts may stay sidelined.
NASDAQ & Nvidia have delivered massive runs, but signs of exhaustion and reversal risk are showing.
Dollar Index (DXY) showing a Golden Cross, but unresolved rate expectations could catch markets off guard.
💬 I also speak candidly about market manipulation, being someone else’s exit liquidity, and why we might be heading toward a formative trap before any true breakout.
🎥 Watch the full video to catch all the details — from long-term setups to real-time chart reactions.
📌 Stay tuned for detailed updates today on Bitcoin, Ethereum, Bitcoin Dominance, NASDAQ and more.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
Chart Patterns
GBP/JPY At Selling Area , Can We Sell It Now To Get 150 Pips ?Here is my opinion on GBP/JPY , The price at daily res area that forced the price to go down very hard last time and now the price retesting it , i want to see a good bearish price action on 4H T.F To get A Confirmation to can sell and i feel safe , we can enter now a sell trade with small lot size and when we have a good confirmation on bigger T.F We can add another entry , if we have a daily closure above my daily res then this idea will not be valid .
XRP $1.95DISCLAIMER:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. I am not a licensed financial advisor or professional trader. Always do your own research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any trading decisions.
XRP is showing clear signs of weakness as price approaches the long-term descending trendline. Back on May 14th, we saw a strong bearish reaction — a thick-bodied candle rejecting directly off the trendline. Since then, price has struggled to revisit the trendline, failing to even tap it again.
Most recently, XRP has been leaving repeated upside wicks, suggesting aggressive sell orders are filling around the 1.27 extension, which I believe is being defended by a hidden bearish order block. Price action confirms that buyers are being absorbed before a full retest of the trendline.
This reinforces the short bias with a setup targeting a break below $1.95.
• Entry: Below $2.22
• Stop Loss: $2.2675
• Take Profit: $1.95
EURUSD Looking for a retest of potential SupportWe have seen more USD weakness since the ceasefire in the MIddle East as the threat of Global inflation caused by higher Oil prices lowers, raising hopes of future rate cutes by the FED
EURUSD has broken out cleanly from a previous resistance zone, and can act as support on any retests of the 1.1616-1.1636 zone
Stops would need to be below 1.1611
Targets to be around 1.1670-1.1685
#Nifty directions and levels for July 10th:Good morning, Friends! 🌞
Here are the market directions and levels for July 10th:
The global market has a moderately bearish sentiment, while our local market is showing a moderately bullish sentiment.
Meanwhile, Gift Nifty is indicating a neutral to slightly gap-down start.
So, what can we expect today?
Structurally, we are still in a range with a moderately bullish bias. So, until the range is broken, we may not get any clear direction.
However, my expectation is that if the market initially pulls back, it could continue the rally with some consolidation.
In this case, if a solid structure forms, we can expect a longer rally.
On the other hand, if the market declines and finds support around the immediate support level, it may continue to stay in the range.
Or, if a solid structure forms on the downside, then the correction is likely to continue.
Bearish Rejection from SupplyDuring the NY session open, Gold (GC1!) broke above the 30-min ORB high at 3335.8, briefly entering a known supply zone (3342–3345). The move lacked follow-through and immediately reversed — signalling a liquidity sweep and classic NY session trap setup.
This invalidates the bullish breakout and supports a short-biased play back toward the ORB low and into deeper demand.
Trade Details:
Entry: 3336.0 (short after failed breakout + rejection candle)
Stop Loss: 3342.0 (above the supply zone high)
Take Profit 1: 3327.1 (ORB low)
Take Profit 2: 3320.0 (prior demand zone)
Take Profit 3 (optional): 3315.0 (liquidity void fill)
Risk:Reward: ~1:1.3 to TP1, ~1:2.2 to TP2
Position Type: Short
Execution Time Frame: 5-min/15-min
Model Tags: Liquidity Sweep, NY Session Fade, Supply Rejection
🔍 Quant Notes:
Price action exhibited a false breakout — NY session opened with an expansion move above ORB high, which was immediately rejected.
Re-entry into the ORB range confirms buyer exhaustion and makes a move back to the ORB low highly probable.
Bearish bias is reinforced by multiple upper wicks, supply zone rejection, and failed structure reclaim.
Key Confirmation:
Bearish engulfing or strong close back below 3335
Failure to reclaim EMAs or trend line
Momentum shift on 5-min with volume divergence
Closing Thoughts:
A failed ORB breakout into supply during NY open is a classic trap — and today’s price action on GC1! fits the model. This short setup targets the full ORB range retrace with potential continuation if sellers hold control.
EURUSD - Compression Before Expansion? Key Reversal ZoneEURUSD is currently trading within a clear descending channel after rejecting a key resistance area. This move signals a shift in short-term sentiment, with bearish momentum guiding price action lower. The channel structure is intact, and as long as price respects this slope, lower levels remain in play.
Rejection From Resistance
After tapping into the major resistance zone, price failed to break higher and began forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming seller control. The rejection was clean and initiated the current bearish structure, which now serves as a roadmap for potential continuation lower.
Imbalance and Downside Targets
Below current price, there’s a visible imbalance that remains unfilled within the highlighted purple zone. This area acts as a magnet for price, especially if the bearish structure continues. A drop into this zone would align with a textbook move to fill inefficiency before a potential reversal can occur.
Support Structure and Liquidity Zone
There’s a strong support level marked just above the imbalance, which may offer a temporary reaction or even serve as a springboard for a reversal. This is also a likely liquidity pool, and a sweep of these lows could generate the fuel needed for a bullish move back toward mid-channel or even higher.
Projection and Scenarios
Price may either continue respecting the channel boundaries with stair-step retracements down into the imbalance, or break structure early with a more aggressive reversal once the inefficiency is filled. A deeper move into the purple zone followed by a reaction would suggest a potential shift in momentum.
Conclusion
The pair remains in a bearish corrective phase for now, with room to dip further into the unmitigated imbalance. Watch for how price reacts at support and whether a clean sweep and reversal setup presents itself. Until then, the channel remains the dominant structure guiding this move.
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BTC – Bullish Continuation Ahead ?Bitcoin has been trading within a well-defined rising channel since mid-2023, respecting both upper and lower bounds beautifully.
After each impulsive move, we’ve seen healthy corrections followed by bullish continuations — a classic market structure in play.
🟦 Accumulation Zone: After a long accumulation phase, BTC kicked off a strong bullish cycle.
🟥 Correction Phases: Each major move was followed by a red correction zone before resuming the uptrend.
🟧 Current Phase: BTC is consolidating just below the upper channel boundary. A breakout above this zone could confirm the next bullish wave toward $140K+.
🔵 Key Observations:
Structure remains intact within the channel
Previous breakout zones now acting as support (blue arrows)
Continuation patterns are forming, signaling potential upside
🏹As long as the orange zone holds, BTC remains in a bullish structure, and a breakout would likely push us to new highs.
📍Will history repeat and BTC continue its journey toward the upper channel boundary? Let’s wait for confirmation!
💬 What’s your bias here? Are you bullish or waiting for a deeper pullback?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
#EURNZD: Price Is Almost At The Buying Area! The EURNZD approaching buying zone will determine the future trend of the pair. We recommend waiting for the price to reach this area for strong confirmation. Using a smaller timeframe can provide a secondary perspective.
Good luck and trade safely!
Team Setupsfx_
AUDCAD Eyes Key Resistance: Will It Break or Bounce?AUDCAD Eyes Key Resistance: Will It Break or Bounce?
AUDCAD is approaching a significant resistance zone near 0.8980—the same level that capped price action in early July.
While the pair is showing signs of hesitation with small candles, this indecision may be tied to broader market uncertainty, including renewed concerns over Trump-era tariffs.
If we monitor for potential reversal signals around this level, it could present a solid trading opportunity.
🎯 My targets: 0.8930; 0.8905 ; 0.8870
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
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The Final Parabola: What History Says About Bitcoin’s July MovesIf you’ve been following here for a while, you know we’ve been nearly pinpoint in calling all the moves for Bitcoin. The altcoin market, not so much, but check out previous TAs to catch up on my perspective.
The two wave counts you see on the main chart have been in place for many months, I believe since around October 2024. As you can see, things have been playing out perfectly so far. The four year cycle continues to follow its path.
If the same thing happens this cycle like the last two, we should see a top sometime between October and December 2025, anywhere from 185K to 225K, followed by a cycle low somewhere around 48K in October 2026.
Bitcoin’s Julys
Every July during the 4th cycle year, Bitcoin begins its final parabolic run. This has happened without fail since the beginning of the Bitcoin Index chart. July consistently marks a major bottom, and then it's off to the races. The “only up” period that follows typically lasts 4 to 6 months and happens just once every four years like clockwork.
Here we are once again, the 4th year of the cycle, in July. Bitcoin has just hit all time highs and we've had a Hash Ribbon buy signal.
The perfect storm is brewing. Like always, the stars align in the second half of the 4th year of the Bitcoin cycle.
Time Cycles and Fibs
Looking at this time wave chart, we can see that every two waves like clockwork have marked a top. The next major wave appears to land in December 2025.
If we zoom into this smaller time wave, it has pinpointed the bottom of every small wave so far. The fact that we are once again at a bottom in July during the 4th year of the Bitcoin cycle is just another sign of the magical stars aligning.
This smaller Fibonacci sequence I’ve been tracking has already hit twice and predicted two major moves. The next dates to watch are August 2025 and January 2026.
There’s plenty of talk about an extended cycle. But during the last bull run, many traders and analysts said the same thing. In the end, Bitcoin topped out at exactly the same timeframe as the previous cycles.
If we reach the top of this model in Q4 2025, and we see a Pi Cycle Top signal along with a Mayer Multiple over 2.0, that will be our trigger.
If you've been sidelined this entire time, it's now or never. You don’t want to be the one buying in at 185K in Q4 2025 when everyone is calling for a million dollars. The time to act is now.
Setupsfx_ | XRPUSDT: Time For Strong Bullish Price Distribution!As previously described, the price bullish reversal did exactly that. The price has moved nicely, and this may be just the beginning of a bigger move. Long-term, we believe XRP will hit a record high, possibly even surpassing $4.
Please use accurate risk management while trading XRP.
Good luck and trade safely!
BULLISH H4 MOMENTUM ACTIVATED...?📊 Pattern & Structure:
The chart shows a downward channel (falling wedge) pattern that has recently been broken to the upside, indicating a bullish breakout.
The breakout is clean, with a sharp upward move, confirming the reversal from the bearish trend.
🔍 Key Levels Identified:
Support Zone:
142.284 – 141.790 (marked with an orange box)
This zone acted as a strong demand/support area.
Price bounced strongly after reaching this zone.
Immediate Resistance Levels:
145.799 – Near-term resistance.
147.000 – 147.629 – Key resistance zone (highlighted with a red horizontal line).
148.725 – Final bullish target/resistance on the chart.
📈 Bullish Scenario (highlighted with arrows and wave projection):
Price has broken out of the falling wedge, retested, and is pushing higher.
Target zone: 147.000–148.725.
The chart suggests a bullish projection, with further gains expected if the price sustains above 145.47.
GOLD: Long Trade with Entry/SL/TP
GOLD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry - 3315.7
Sl - 3312.0
Tp - 3322.6
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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GOLD - Price can bounce down from resistance line of channelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Gold broke out of its long-term rising channel and hit $3390 resistance level before momentum definitively stalled.
That failure marked a shift in control, as sellers forced price into a falling channel, establishing lower highs and lower lows.
Price fell to support level, after whcih it turned around and bounced up to resistance line of falling channel.
Now, Gold tests the upper boundary of the falling channel near $3318, where each bounce has been capped by declining volume.
Key support lies in the $3250 - $3235 area, aligned with multiple prior demand tests and the former rising-channel floor.
I expect Gold to reverse from the channel resistance and slide toward $3235, decisively breaking below the $3250 level.
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Classic Breakout Trading📈GOLD has surpassed and closed above a significant intraday resistance level.
After retesting this level, the price created a small ascending triangle on the hourly chart, and we've observed a confirmed breakout of its neckline.
I plan to go long on the pair during the retest, anticipating further growth, with the next resistance target at 3327.
TRADING IDEA - ETHUSD SHORT
ETHUSD rose towards 2,700.00 level and reached the take profit. And even went further towards 2,800.00 resistance level despite my 2,700.00 retest predict! (pic 1)
So, congrats to everyone, who stayed long here, we took the cash!💵
I am preparing for the next trade. Here is the plan: if the price rises once again towards 2,800.0 resistance level and retests it, I will open the short position with
🔽 a pending sell stop order at 2796.84 with
❌a stop loss at 2818.86 and
🤑a take profit at 2740.05
Additionally, the RSI shows divergence on 30-m timeframe.
I suppose this to be quick trade. Will see how it will work out.
USD/CHF Breakout Done , Long Setup Valid To Get 100 Pips !Here is my opinion on USD/CHF , We have a clear breakout and the price now above my support area , i`m waiting the price to go back to retest it and then give me any bullish price action and i will enter a buy trade , the reason for cancel this idea , if we have a daily closure again below my area.
Bitcoin's Next Target Based on a 210 Days Long ConsolidationAfter each 210 days long consolidation phase Bitcoin advanced 137% on average, from bottom to top, since the November 2022 bear market low. Such an advance would put Bitcoin at a price of $170,000 next.
Now, the 137% is just the average. In one occasion Bitcoin rose 83% while in another occasion total growth amounted to more than 200%. We are counting the rise from the consolidation phase lowest point.
Let's look at some numbers:
» An 83% rise would put Bitcoin just above $135,000.
» A 128% rise would put Bitcoin right at $170,000.
» A 202% rise would put Bitcoin at a price of around $225,000.
~200% is how much Bitcoin grew between late 2023 and early 2024.
How much will Bitcoin grow exactly? We don't know. What we can know for sure is that there is plenty of room available for growth.
We are aiming for at least 100% growth starting from 100K, that is, a target of $200,000. Can be $180,000 just as it can be $220,000. That's the cycle top.
Do you agree with this target?
Leave a comment with your number.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
MarketBreakdown | EURUSD, DOLLAR INDEX, BITCOIN, SILVER
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #EURUSD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇺🇸
The price started a correctional movement after it updated
a high the first of July.
The market formed a bullish flag pattern.
Your next trend-following bullish signal will be a breakout and a daily
candle close above its resistance.
2️⃣ Dollar Index #DXY daily time frame 💵
The market corrects in a bearish flag pattern.
I see a test of a significant horizontal resistance cluster now.
Your signal to see will be a bearish violation of a support
of the flag and a daily candle close below.
3️⃣ #BITCOIN #BTCUSD daily time frame
Though the price managed to update the All-Time High
yesterday, the market did not manage to close above
a current major resistance.
I believe that we will see another attempt of the market to breakthrough.
Your bullish confirmation will be a daily candle close above the underlined resistance.
4️⃣ #SILVER #XAGUSD daily time frame 🪙
The price reached an important confluence demand zone
based on a rising trend line and a horizontal key structures support.
Probabilities will be high to see a bullish movement from that.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
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USDJPY 30Min Engaged (Bearish Reversal Entry Detected )➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Bearish Reversal From : 146.400
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.