Bitcoin Or Gold? Real Safe Haven In Middle East tension When the world shakes, where does money go— Bitcoin or gold ?
You may think crypto is the ultimate safe haven… but data tells a different story.
This breakdown compares digital dreams vs. physical trust —with charts, tools, and the psychology behind every move.
Hello✌
Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material.
🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin:
Contrary to common expectations, Bitcoin has shown relative resilience amid recent geopolitical tensions, refraining from a sharp sell-off.
This price behavior signals a potential shift in market psychology—something I’ll explore further in an upcoming educational post.
Based on my previous analyses, I continue to anticipate an upward breakout above the $110K resistance zone in the current structure.
Now , let's dive into the educational section,
📌 Gold: The Legacy of Trust
For thousands of years, gold has been the go-to safe asset. In wars, inflation, sanctions, and crashes—it remains the mental anchor of value. Tangible, historic, and out of government control.
🪙 Bitcoin: Revolutionary but Unstable
Bitcoin promises freedom, decentralization, and anti-inflation. But during actual crises, trust wavers. High volatility, regulatory risk, and lack of a long history make investors hesitate when fear hits hard.
🛠️ TradingView Tools That Reveal Where Smart Money Flows
One reason TradingView stands out is its wide set of tools that help you track market psychology—not just price action. When it comes to analyzing the Bitcoin-vs-Gold battle during global crises (like the Iran-Israel war), these tools are essential:
Correlation Coefficient: This shows how closely BTC and gold move together. In panic moments, it helps reveal where the real trust is flowing.
On-Balance Volume (OBV): Key for spotting where big money is headed. If OBV on gold rises while BTC’s falls, smart money isn’t betting on crypto just yet.
Fear & Greed Index Logic (DIY): While not a native TradingView tool, you can mimic it by combining volatility and volume indicators to reflect market emotion.
Overlay XAUUSD and BTCUSD: Place both on a single chart with “percentage scale” enabled. You’ll see exactly which one holds up better during chaos.
Marking Geo-Political Events: Tag key events (like missile strikes or sanctions) on your charts. Track how Bitcoin and gold react immediately after.
📊 How Investors React in Crisis
During events like an Iran-Israel war, data shows money often flows into gold—not BTC. When panic peaks, people run toward the “known,” not the “new.”
🧠 The Illusion of Crypto as Safe Haven
We want to believe BTC is the new gold. But the human mind—under threat—defaults to ancient instincts. Fear doesn’t innovate. It runs to what it knows: shiny, physical, historical gold.
💡 When Will Bitcoin Truly Compete?
When the next generation fully embraces digital assets. When institutions store BTC alongside gold. When BTC no longer crashes on scary headlines—that’s when the shift becomes real.
⚠️ Lessons from War
Wars reveal that markets don’t behave rationally in fear. Even if Bitcoin makes sense on paper, emotion drives flows. Right now, that flow still favors gold.
🔍 What to Watch Next
If, during a future conflict, Bitcoin drops less—or even rises while gold does—you may be witnessing a turning point. Until then, keep tracking both with your TradingView setups.
🧭 Final Takeaway
Gold still owns the trust game in a crisis. Bitcoin is on its way but hasn’t crossed that psychological line. If you’re a smart trader, know how to read both—and move before the herd does.
✨ Need a little love!
We put so much love and time into bringing you useful content & your support truly keeps us going. don’t be shy—drop a comment below. We’d love to hear from you! 💛
Big thanks,
Mad Whale 🐋
📜Please remember to do your own research before making any investment decisions. Also, don’t forget to check the disclaimer at the bottom of each post for more details.
Chart Patterns
GOLD → Hunting for liquidity before continued growthFX:XAUUSD has been correcting since the start of the session. The fundamental background is complicated due to the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East.
The price of gold briefly retreated from a two-month high above $3,450 amid a recovery in the dollar and investor caution. Escalating tensions between Israel and Iran are dampening risk appetite, while markets await decisions from the Fed and the Bank of Japan. Expectations of a dovish Fed continue to support interest in gold, but fresh impetus is needed for further gains.
Technically, the market is bullish. Gold is forming a correction to the key support and liquidity zone amid an uptrend. The price is within the range, and a retest of 3400 could trigger growth.
Support levels: 3408, 3400
Resistance levels: 3446, 3500
A retest of support and liquidity capture amid the current challenging situation (high interest in the metal) and a bullish trend could support the price, allowing gold to continue its growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Major resistance ahead?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.6512
1st Support: 0.6466
1st Resistance: 0.6545
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TSLA: Triangle PatternResearching the market through structural lens, particularly the topology of trapped liquidity buildup and compression of volatility, that leads to a proportionally heavier move once a breakout occurs.
Raw compression area derived from waves of higher degrees (2nd, 3rd)
The longer price consolidates within boundaries of a triangular formation, the more significant the breakout tends to be.
GBPAUD → Countertrend liquidity captureFX:GBPAUD is forming a countertrend correction within a global uptrend and testing the support level with W1-D1, forming a false breakdown...
Against the backdrop of the dollar's correction, GBP/XXX pairs are strengthening. On the weekly timeframe, GBPAUD is forming a retest of support at 1.067 (false breakdown) within an upward bullish trend.
Unable to continue falling, the price returns above 1.0673 and consolidates in the buying zone. A breakdown of the structure will confirm the bullish sentiment.
Support levels: 2.0673
Resistance levels: 2.0785, 2.0852
If the bulls manage to hold their ground above the 2.067 support level within the current structure, the currency pair will have a good chance of returning to the bullish trend.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Theta Fuel Whale Mistake Bullish Signal RevealedLook at this... The charts reveal everything always before the event takes place.
This happened yesterday on KuCoin, TFUELUSDT grew 185% but all the gains were removed.
The peak happened at 0.09500. This means one thing and one thing only, there is no longer any resistance all the way up to that price. All the sell orders that were placed have been filled. This means that once the market turns bullish, this pair will move straight up. That's the proof, right there, yesterday's candle.
This signal can be read in many different ways but they are all bullish, so, what will you do?
Theta Fuel is going up. You read about it here first.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
I am keeping it simple; simple is best.
Namaste.
EURUSD trades turn their eyes towards upcoming Fed Interest rateEUR/USD has been trading sideways after peaking above 1.1600 last week, as traders adopt a wait and see approach ahead of the Fed's interest rate decision due tomorrow morning (AEST). The pair is consolidating within a tight range, with the top end of the recent rally now being questioned amid growing uncertainty.
While the Fed is widely expected to leave its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%, market participants will be closely watching for any revisions to the dot plot, as well as updates to the central bank's growth and inflation forecasts. The current projections suggest two rate cuts in 2025, but any deviation from that could trigger significant dollar volatility.
On the technical side, multi-year support near 1.1215 remains a critical level to watch on the downside. A break below could signal deeper bearish momentum.
Adding complexity to the EUR side of the equation are two key factors:
The ECB’s rate path, with the central bank seen approaching the end of its monetary easing cycle. Elevated geopolitical tensions, especially as Israel prepares further action against Tehran and the US weighs deeper involvement.
Any escalation in Middle East tensions could boost demand for safe-haven assets like the US dollar, potentially pressuring the euro further.
In the near term, EUR/USD remains in a holding pattern, with the Fed's tone and geopolitical developments likely to determine the next directional move.
"The forecasts provided herein are intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as guarantees of future performance. This is an example only to enhance a consumer's understanding of the strategy being described above and is not to be taken as Blueberry Markets providing personal advice."
Missiles in the Middle East, Headwinds on Nasdaq: NAS100 onHey There;
The trend line on the NAS100 has been broken to the downside. My target level after this breakout is 21,299.47. If the price moves towards this level, I think it will reach my target in line with fundamental analysis due to the broken trend line and Iran-Israel war tensions.
I meticulously prepare these analyses for you, and I sincerely appreciate your support through likes. Every like from you is my biggest motivation to continue sharing my analyses.
I’m truly grateful for each of you—love to all my followers💙💙💙
EURUSD price Bullish moment The Euro continues to gain strength against the US Dollar within a clearly defined ascending parallel channel. After a period of consolidation between June 6–10, price broke out with strong bullish momentum and is now respecting the channel's structure.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
🔺 Resistance Zone: 1.16083 – 1.16419
🔺 Upper Target: 1.16832 – 1.17000
🔻 Immediate Support: 1.15256
🔻 Strong Support: 1.14949
📈 Bullish Scenario : If price holds above 1.15256, we may see a move toward 1.16083 and potentially a breakout to test 1.16419 and 1.16832.
📉 Bearish Scenario: A drop below 1.15256 and a break of the ascending trendline may expose 1.14949 as the next key support.
🧠 Market Insight: This setup favors a bullish continuation while within the channel, supported by recent strong upside moves. Traders should look for confirmation around 1.16083 before expecting a breakout.
✅ Plan your entries wisely. Trade what you see, not what you feel.
Ampleforth 200%+ Bullish Breakout Explained & 267% TargetIn April, FORTHUSDT produced a 200%+ bullish breakout in just three days. The market has been sideways since, consolidating and this consolidation means preparation before the next move which can be something similar. The market is clearly bullish because of the higher low.
The major burst upward in early April confirms the bottom is in. A confirmed bottom once more simply means that Ampleforth is bullish; bullish means that the next major move is not a breakdown (drop) but a bullish jump. This is all confirmed based on the action from the past two months.
Knowing this, we can take action with a simple strategy of buy and hold. We buy waiting for the next market move to develop. When the market turns green, we collect profits and move on. Repeat the same process over and over, and watch your capital grow.
It doesn't matter how long it takes, patience is key; what matters is to be prepared to wait for as long as it takes. If you can wait 2 weeks, 3 weeks or 6 months, you can end up with a win. Some pairs will move in a matter of days, others in a matter of months. If you can't predict which one will move next, you can use a diversification strategy.
Just be prepare to win some, lose some. Not all trades can be won. But if wait for the winners to become big and keeping the losers small, that's a recipe for success.
Plan ahead of time.
There are countless ways to approach the market. It all depends on your trading style, your trading goals, your capital and risk tolerance... The only way to lose is to give up.
Perseverance is key.
Comeback for more.
Namaste.
ETH | BULLISH Pattern | $3K NEXT ??Ethereum has established a clear bullish pattern in the daily as we're seeing an inverse H&S:
The war issues across the globe must also be considered. So far, it's been bullish for crypto but this can also change overnight since it's a very volatile situation - and crypto being a very volatile asset.
For the near term, I believe ETH is due for another increase - at least beyond the current shoulder. This is IF we hold the current support zone:
It seems to be a bit of a slow burn with ETH for this season's ATH. In the ideal world, we'd either:
📢 consolidate under resistance (bullish)
📢make a flag (bullish)
📢OR smash right through the resistance.
But there's likely going to be heavy selling pressure around that zone.
__________________________
BINANCE:ETHUSDT
Btcusd is about to be bullishbtcusd is getting ready for tomorrow's FOMC news and we are expecting a massive bullish break out to the moon.
Reasons
1, descending triangle pattern
2, in the bigger picture of the chart, we can see a bullish flag pattern.
3, in weekly timeframe, we can see the chart is a support zone
BNB/USDT: Poised for a Bullish Rebound?BNB/USDT: Poised for a Bullish Rebound?
BNB has tested the 640 support zone for the third time in recent days, signaling potential strength in this area.
This level may mark the bottom of the ongoing bearish correction, with signs pointing to a possible upward movement in the coming days, as reflected in the chart.
Key upside targets to watch: 661.50, 670.50, and 678.50.
BNB has demonstrated resilience over an extended period, and the likelihood of further gains is increasing, especially with BTC maintaining strength amid rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
$FET 4Hr Time frame DUMP before PUMP? $1 Recovery!FET/USDT – 4H Time Frame Analysis
Pattern Formation: A rounding top is clearly visible, suggesting weakening bullish momentum and potential trend reversal.
Trend Structure: Price is forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming a bearish trend.
Key Zones:
Supply Zone: $0.85 – $0.975
Demand Zone: $0.35 – $0.45
Neckline Support: Price is approaching a critical neckline level. A break below this could trigger strong downside movement.
Weekly FVG & Fib Confluence:
Below the neckline lies a weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG).
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement aligns with this zone, forming a golden pocket — a key support area.
Scenario 1 – Bullish Reversal:
If price holds above the golden pocket, a bounce could push it back toward psychological levels (e.g., $0.70 and $0.80)
Scenario 2 – Bearish Continuation:
If price fails to hold the FVG/GP zone, this invalidates bullish setups.
Expect a breakdown targeting the $0.35–$0.45 demand zone.
DeGRAM | GOLD kept the rising channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Price rejected the channel roof near 3 435 again, carving a small evening-star and slipping back under the May trend-median 3 370 — a repeat of April/May fades.
● Bearish RSI divergence plus a break of the micro up-sloper (last three sessions) tips for a rotation toward the lower rail/3 295 support; loss of that opens the April pivot at 3 225.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Sticky US retail-sales and hawkish Fed comments keep 2-yr yields near 4.8 %, firming the DXY, while CFTC data show specs cutting longs for a second week — limiting bid depth.
✨ Summary
Sell rallies 3 410-3 430; sustained trade below 3 366 targets 3 295, stretch 3 225. Short view void on an H4 close above 3 450.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.1451
1st Support: 1.1342
1st Resistance: 1.1614
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.