Ethereum at Risk of Breakdown Below Key Fibonacci Support
Ethereum’s price action is showing notable weakness as it tests a crucial Fibonacci level. Currently sitting on the 0.618 retracement, ETH is at a make-or-break point.
A confirmed close below $1,825, the current 0.618 Fibonacci level, would likely signal a deviation and a potential breakdown in structure. This would increase the chances of price rotating down toward the next major support at $1,055, which also aligns with a deeper 0.618 retracement from a higher timeframe — a level of historical significance and potential buying interest.
However, this downside move has not yet been confirmed. As long as Ethereum holds the current support, the structure remains intact. But if acceptance below this range occurs, especially with volume and momentum, it would likely initiate a broader corrective move.
Traders should remain patient and let the setup develop. A breakdown could present a high-probability buy-the-dip opportunity at lower support. Until then, caution is advised as price remains range-bound and vulnerable.
Chart Patterns
NASDAQ Bullish Breakout Above Channel;📈 Technical Analysis Overview
1. Breakout from Downtrend Channel
The price has clearly broken out of a descending channel, confirmed by a clean breakout above the upper trendline.
This is a bullish signal, indicating the end of the prior downtrend and the start of a possible uptrend or reversal.
2. Moving Averages (EMA 50 & EMA 200)
EMA 50 (Red): 18,965
EMA 200 (Blue): 19,409
Price is currently trading above both EMAs, which is another strong bullish indicator.
A bullish crossover (where EMA 50 crosses above EMA 200) is likely imminent if upward momentum continues—this would form a Golden Cross, further confirming bullish sentiment.
3. Structure and Market Behavior
After the breakout, price retested the breakout zone and showed a bounce, forming a higher low, which is characteristic of a bullish structure.
The chart includes projected price action with higher highs and higher lows—suggesting a bullish continuation pattern.
4. Volume & Momentum (Not shown but implied)
Breakouts are typically validated by volume. Although volume is not shown, the sharp upward movement and breakout above resistance suggest strong buying pressure.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 20,000 psychological level; above that, 20,500–21,000 may act as resistance.
Support: 19,400 (near EMA 200), and 18,965 (EMA 50); a break below may invalidate the bullish setup.
📊 Conclusion
The chart shows a clear breakout from a descending channel, supported by the price moving above both key EMAs. The structure favors bullish continuation, especially if price holds above the 19,400–19,500 support zone. Upside targets lie around 20,500 to 21,000.
BTCUSD... 1H CHAT PATTERN Here’s a breakdown of the BTCUSD trading idea you’ve presented:
---
### 🟢 **Trade Setup (Long Position)**
* **Entry Price:** 9692
* **Stop Loss:** 9550
* **Targets:**
* **1st Target:** 9800
* **2nd Target:** 9900
* **Final Target:** 10000
---
### 📊 **Trade Metrics**
* **Risk (Stop Loss Distance):** 9692 - 9550 = **142 points**
* **Reward:**
* **To 1st Target:** 9800 - 9692 = **108 points** (R\:R ≈ 0.76)
* **To 2nd Target:** 9900 - 9692 = **208 points** (R\:R ≈ 1.46)
* **To Final Target:** 10000 - 9692 = **308 points** (R\:R ≈ 2.17)
---
### ✅ **Key Considerations**
* The reward-to-risk ratio improves at each target level.
* Make sure price action or indicators support this long bias at 9692.
* Adjust position sizing based on your risk tolerance (typically risking 1–2% of capital).
BTCUSD Analysis Today: Technical and On-Chain !In this video, I will share my BTCUSD analysis by providing my complete technical and on-chain insights, so you can watch it to improve your crypto trading skillset. The video is structured in 4 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the on-chain data analysis, then I will be moving to the liquidation maps analysis and lastly, I will be putting together these 3 different types of analysis.
Beyond FOMO: Strategic Analysis of BTC.D and Market ProspectsLet's begin by examining CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D on the monthly timeframe. Here we see the old EXP model, which formed in December 2020. This model reflected the decrease in bitcoin dominance during 2020-2021. For our current analysis, we're interested in the level of the first point — 73.02%.
On the weekly timeframe, we see an AMEXP model that formed in January 2023 and effectively describes the entire current upward trend.
Note the price reaction from the model levels of 51.7% and 59.64%. Within this model, we have two more upper levels: 68.9% and 90.36%.
The dominance level of 90.36% seems unrealistic from a common sense perspective: such a scenario is only possible with a total collapse of the entire crypto market, when all assets (including bitcoin) would depreciate to the point where bitcoin's capitalization would constitute 90% of the entire market. I hope we never see these values. However, reaching the 68.9% level seems quite likely.
Most likely, the price will try to break through the 68.9% level (we may see a bounce from this level, which might be mistakenly perceived as the beginning of a new alt season). After that, the price will likely make a new maximum and rise above the 73.2% level. And only then will we finally see the formation of a downward trend in bitcoin dominance.
What might be happening in the market if our bitcoin dominance analysis proves correct?
Let's look at the #BTC chart, where the expansion model was validated on the weekly timeframe (green model):
According to the model levels, we can expect growth to at least $109,354, and at maximum — to a new all-time high (ATH) with targets of $115,116, $116,757, and even $152,723 or $174,102 (although the probability of reaching the last two targets, despite their presence in the model, is relatively low).
If we look at CRYPTO:ETHUSD , the picture looks significantly worse — the asset is in a deep bearish phase.
Against the backdrop of general positive sentiment, CRYPTO:ETHUSD may grow to $2 059 or even to $2 626, but we will consider this merely as a bounce. We can only talk about a real trend change when the price moves beyond the yellow model.
Everyone is waiting for the reversal of bitcoin dominance (we have only calculated the most probable reversal point), as its exponential growth should be replaced by the long-awaited alt season.
However, few consider a possible negative scenario: the correction of bitcoin dominance may occur against the backdrop of a general market decline, where bitcoin will fall faster than altcoins. Against the background of growing macroeconomic uncertainty (problems in the global economy have not disappeared, they continue to accumulate, and no matter how they try to "postpone" them — this will not pass without a trace), we consider the negative scenario to be the main one.
For the past year, everyone has been saying that bitcoin is a super-reliable asset, and if something goes wrong — you need to buy bitcoin. Most retail investors love bitcoin and hate altcoins — largely because they have many unprofitable altcoins in their portfolio and no bitcoin. Each time, missing the moment to buy bitcoin, they succumbed to FOMO. Now, as bitcoin moves toward a new maximum, everyone is rushing to buy it again.
At the same time, we have a market where 80-90% of participants are in large losses. For most assets to just break even (not to mention profits), they need to grow by 300-400%.
Of course, we're not saying everything will necessarily be bad, but we prefer to stick to a strategy that primarily takes into account the negative scenario. For now, we will refrain from investment positions and give preference exclusively to speculative ones.
US100 - Perfect Long Opportunities Unfolding?This chart illustrates a high-probability bullish setup based on a combination of market structure shifts, fair value gaps (FVGs), Fibonacci retracement confluence, and order block interaction. We are analyzing the US Tech 100 on the 1-hour timeframe, focusing on recent price action development and a potential reversal scenario forming after a corrective move.
Context and Market Structure:
Price action has been in a corrective downtrend after printing a local high near the 19,950–20,000 range. This move led to a break in short-term bullish structure as sell-side liquidity was swept. A series of bearish candles followed, confirming a shift in momentum to the downside.
However, the retracement stalled upon entering a prior area of imbalance—highlighted here as a larger fair value gap (FVG) zone. This FVG zone acted as a significant demand area, with price reacting strongly upon entry. The zone is marked with a light blue shaded rectangle and aligns with a 1-hour bullish order block.
Price created a swing low in this FVG area before forming higher lows, suggesting the possibility of a short-term reversal.
Golden Pocket & Liquidity Sweep:
A key zone of interest is the "Golden Pocket downtrend" area, which is derived from the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels of the last impulse down. Price previously respected this zone, leading to a rejection and continuation lower. This makes it a notable supply area. Price may revisit this zone as a target or potential reaction point on the next bullish leg.
Note how the initial reaction from the FVG brought the market back into a smaller 1H FVG, situated just beneath the 0.5 retracement level. The internal structure within this zone supports a bullish outlook due to the formation of a higher low followed by a bullish engulfing candle.
Fibonacci Confluence & Execution Levels:
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level of the recent move aligns closely with the midpoint of the bullish FVG, providing confluence for a potential re-entry or continuation point. This level is annotated on the chart and highlighted with a horizontal line labeled "0.618 - Entry." This suggests it may act as a magnet for price before further continuation to the upside.
The 0.786 retracement level, also plotted on the chart, indicates the deeper end of the retracement spectrum and lies just above a major structural low. This region, though aggressive, would represent a final line of defense for bullish continuation.
Projection and Price Path:
Based on the current structure and bullish reaction from the FVG zone, a potential price path is drawn on the chart. It suggests one more liquidity grab into the FVG area followed by an impulsive move to the upside.
The blue projection line outlines a potential retracement to fill the nearby FVG (which remains partially unmitigated), followed by a resumption of bullish momentum that targets a revisit to the previous high area around 19,875.
Additional Notes:
* Multiple FVGs are actively interacting in this region, giving layered confluence for demand zones.
* The reaction from the FVG zone is coupled with a bullish engulfing pattern on the 1-hour timeframe, signaling aggressive buying.
* Price remains above the internal bullish structure despite the earlier rejection from the Golden Pocket area.
Conclusion:
The chart setup represents a textbook example of FVG demand zone reaction, supported by Fibonacci confluence and market structure shifts. As price consolidates above this key FVG, a continuation to the upside becomes a strong probability if the internal structure remains intact. Traders should monitor price behavior on lower timeframes as it interacts with the 0.618 and FVG zones for confirmation of bullish continuation.
BTCUSD/BITCOIN | M30 | SELL LIMIT ORDERHey There,
I'm currently waiting for the level I've targeted to enter a sell position on Bitcoin.
I've shared the exact entry level with you below.
Just a heads-up:
This trade carries high risk due to potential market manipulation.
Please trade cautiously and avoid taking on too much risk.
SIGNAL ALERT
SELL LIMIT ORDER (BTCUSD/BITCOIN) 97,000/97,500
🟢TP1:96,850
🟢TP2:96,654
🟢TP3:96,100
🔴SL: 98,390
Traders, your likes are always my biggest source of motivation for me to share analysis. For this reason, I would like to ask each and every one of my followers; please do not miss your likes.
I sincerely thank everyone who supports me with their likes.
Bitcoin Outlook May 5th – Short, Swing, & Long-Term Views1/ Short-Term (Intraday): Chop City
BTC is stuck in a tight range between 95K (demand) and 98K (supply). Oscillators mixed, momentum fading near resistance.
Play: Fade extremes, scalp carefully.
Watch: Breakout above 98K or breakdown below 95K for momentum triggers.
2/ Swing Traders (Days–Weeks): Cautiously Bullish
Weekly bullish structure intact, but daily charts flashing caution (Three Black Crows, Double Top, RSI stretched).
Ideal scenario: Buy dips near 96K–95K if momentum resets bullishly.
Invalidation: Daily close below 94.5K flips bias neutral/bearish.
3/ Long-Term Investors (Months+): Bullish with Caution
Macro backdrop remains supportive (SPX bullish, DXY weak, yields stable/rising). Institutional BTC flows steady.
BUT monthly chart shows bearish divergence—momentum slowing.
Core strategy: Accumulate on major dips (ideal: 87K–76K).
Critical invalidation: Monthly close below $76K demands risk-off rebalance.
4/ Macro Catalysts to Watch
- Equity markets (SPX) & bond yields (US10Y) maintaining risk-on stance.
- USD weakness (DXY bearish) supports BTC upside.
- Watch ETF news, institutional flows, and altcoin rotation signals for early clues.
5/ Risk Management
Short-term: Tight stops, quick profits.
Swing: Respect daily structure; cut below $94.5K.
Long-term: Hold bullish conviction above $76K monthly support.
Bottom Line for Traders & Investors
- Short-term: Range-bound scalps
- Swing: Buy dips cautiously
- Long-term: Bullish, but respect slowing momentum
Stay agile, manage risk, and trade smart. Good luck this week! 🍀
AUDUSD Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis.
Based on our view, the price will fall to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you.
Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
GBP-USD Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD is making a local
Correction but the pair will
Soon hit a horizontal support
Level of 1.3204 and as the pair
Is in the uptrend we will be
Expecting a local bullish
Rebound and a move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTCUSD... 4H CHAT PATTERNMY message seems to be a trading signal or trade plan for *BTC/USD (Bitcoin to US Dollar)*. But there's a likely typo or inconsistency in the numbers:
* You wrote: *"Buy now 9726 target 1017"*
* This implies *buying at \$9,726* and targeting *\$1,017, which is a **loss*, not a profit.
### Possible Interpretations:
1. *If you meant:*
*Buy at 9726, **target 10170* → This makes more sense as a profit-oriented trade.
Example:
* Entry: \$9,726
* Target: \$10,170
* Potential gain: \$444
2. *If you actually meant:*
*Buy at 9726, **target 1017* → That’s a major loss and likely a typo.
---
*Note:* As of early 2025, Bitcoin has not traded in the \$9,000 range for years. It has been well above \$20,000+ for a long time. This suggests your entry point is outdated or incorrect.
Baby Doge Near Support — 24% Upside to 0.000000001600!Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌
All previous targets were nailed ✅! Now, let’s dive into a full analysis of the upcoming price potential for Baby DogeCoin 🔍📈.
After an extended downtrend, Baby DogeCoin is now approaching a key support zone, hinting at a potential short-term reversal. If the support holds, a 24% upside move toward the 0.000000001600 target remains on the table. 📈
🧨 Our team's main opinion is: 🧨
Baby DogeCoin is testing strong support, eyeing a potential 24% move toward the 0.000000001600 target if momentum holds. 🔍
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest hours crafting valuable ideas, and your support means everything—feel free to ask questions in the comments! 😊💬
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
IWM: Trade PlanTechnical Analysis:
Rising Wedge formation clearly visible on the 15-min chart, typically a bearish reversal pattern.
Major horizontal resistance at $200.78 — a strong previous breakdown level, now acting as a supply zone.
Plan: Short near $200.78 with stop-loss slightly above the upper wedge boundary (~$202-203).
Target Zones:
First target: ~$190
Second target: ~$185 if momentum increases.
Momentum indicators (RSI, MACD) are beginning to show early signs of bearish divergence — momentum fading while price grinds higher.
Fundamental Context (April 28, 2025):
Macro Risk:
Small-caps (Russell 2000) under pressure as investors anticipate a potential slowdown in U.S. GDP growth Q2 2025.
Treasury yields remain elevated → Higher financing costs disproportionately hurt smaller companies (Russell 2000 heavily debt-sensitive).
Earnings Season:
Mixed earnings for small and mid-cap companies; many struggling to beat analyst expectations.
Federal Reserve Outlook:
Futures pricing only a ~12% probability of a rate cut at the May FOMC meeting (CME FedWatch Tool, 2025).
"Higher for longer" interest rate environment is a headwind for IWM.
Market Sentiment:
Risk appetite cooling as VIX (volatility index) starts ticking up from multi-month lows.
Summary:
IWM faces a confluence of technical resistance, a bearish chart pattern, and growing fundamental pressure. Watching closely for rejection at $200.78 to initiate a short position with a measured risk/reward setup.
Hashtags:
#IWM #Russell2000 #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingSetup #ShortSetup #BearishWedge #SmallCaps #StockMarket2025 #MacroAnalysis
SUSDT - This opportunity might not come around again.!All tokens built on the Ethereum network pumped yesterday as ETH moved up by just 4%, and SONIC (S) stood out as the top performer among them, surging by around 22%.
Currently, the coin has formed a symmetrical triangle pattern, which has been broken to the upside with a massive green candle. It's now retesting the 0.382 Fibonacci level — a key zone to watch for continuation.
This is a massive investment opportunity to buy the token at around $0.55 only.
The long-term targets for S in 2026 are insane — the most conservative target for now is $1.20.
Best regards Cecilion🎯
NQ-ES-YM Bearish Long Term Scenario Playing Out VERY BEARISH I think of all the pension funds, all the mortgages, all the war, all the grief and sorrow and depression and inability to find work, there's a whole heap of a mess going on behind the scenes and i hope for the best but expect the worst, and this structure Last Months April Candle is Bearish, and it looks like this Month will be a test of the Distribution Zone and then further down side to the Original Consolidation just like 2008.
It makes a lot of sense to me from the standpoint of not really studying very much but being Intune with the Price Action Analysis, this is a repeating phenomenon in History, the Great Reset, the New Shiny Syndrome, and the classic human behavior to spend more than we have available, over extended and over leveraged individuals will not be readily risk verse,
This Revolving door of money will lead to a bloom of opportunities in a few years, although i see at least 6 months of capitulation to the down side incoming fairly quickly, and i can say this with certainty about one news article i saw recently: US sanctions any country buying Oil from IRAN. Prayers for all, Thank You Jesus, Gods Speed. Amen.