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DXY DOLLAR INDEX The DXY has declined from its current high 114.54 to 96.59 reflecting a weaker dollar against a basket of major currencies including the euro, yen, pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc. Despite this decline, the dollar remains supported by strong US economic growth and higher US 10-year bond yields, which have widened the yield gap with other developed economies . The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy has been relatively hawkish, with fewer rate cuts priced in compared to other central banks, helping to underpin the dollar. Trade tensions and tariff uncertainties continue to create volatility, but the dollar benefits from safe-haven demand amid global uncertainties Composition of the DXY Basket: Euro (EUR): 57.6% Japanese Yen (JPY): 13.6% British Pound (GBP): 11.9% Canadian Dollar (CAD): 9.1% Swedish Krona (SEK): 4.2% Swiss Franc (CHF): 3.6% context Drivers: US economic strength, Fed policy, bond yield differentials, trade tensions, and safe-haven flows keeping dollar on support hold. Ongoing US tariff announcements and trade policy changes have contributed to volatility and risk aversion, pressuring the dollar lower. US Economic Policy the Market is concerned about fiscal policy, Federal Reserve independence, and rising US debt which have led to reduced demand for US assets, further weighing on the dollar. Interest Rate Differential: The US Fed funds rate remains at 4.50%-4.25%, but with global central banks adjusting policy, the relative appeal of the dollar has diminished. Conversely, a sustained move above 98.00 could signal a reversal and renewed dollar strength. hope we can get back to 100 aagin. #dollar
TVC:DXY
by Shavyfxhub
USDJPY – Key Support Bounce with Macro TailwindsUSDJPY is bouncing off a key trendline and 61.8% Fib zone (143.25–143.60) with confluence across multiple JPY crosses (EURJPY, AUDJPY, CADJPY). This area has historically triggered strong upside momentum, and the current setup aligns with both technical structure and macro drivers. 📊 Fundamentals Supporting the Move: ✅ US Yields Stable: US10Y is holding above 4.20%, keeping USDJPY supported. If yields push back toward 4.30%, expect USDJPY to retest 145.30 and potentially 147.80. ✅ BoJ Dovish: Japan shows no shift in policy. Despite weak Tankan data, BoJ remains patient, and no meaningful rate hike or YCC change is expected soon. ✅ USD Macro Resilience: Core PCE held firm at 2.6%. Focus now shifts to ISM Services PMI (Wed) and NFP (Fri). Markets are still pricing a soft landing – supporting risk-on and a stronger USD. ✅ JPY as a Fading Safe Haven: Even with geopolitical headlines (Trump tariff tensions, Taiwan, Middle East), JPY demand remains weak. Traders are favoring USD and Gold over JPY as risk hedges. ⚠️ Risks to Watch: Dovish US Data Surprise: Weak NFP or ISM could drag yields down and trigger USDJPY reversal. Verbal or Actual BoJ Intervention: If we approach 148.50–150, Japan may step in again. Geopolitical Escalation: Any sharp risk-off could trigger safe haven demand for JPY, though this has underperformed recently. 🔎 Correlation Dynamics: 📈 USDJPY is leading JPY crosses like EURJPY and AUDJPY. The recent bounce started simultaneously across the JPY complex, with USDJPY slightly ahead. 📉 If US yields drop or risk sentiment shifts, USDJPY may lag gold or bonds but eventually catch up. 🧠 Trading Plan: 📍 Entry Zone: 143.30–143.60 (trendline + Fib confluence) 🎯 Target 1: 145.30 (38.2% Fib) 🎯 Target 2: 147.80 (channel resistance) 🛑 Invalidation: Daily close below 141.50 with US yields breaking down 📅 Upcoming Events to Watch: Wed July 3: ISM Services PMI (key for USD reaction) Fri July 5: US Non-Farm Payrolls + Average Hourly Earnings JPY Risk: Verbal intervention possible near 148+ 🧭 Summary: USDJPY is positioned for a bullish continuation, backed by: Rising yields Resilient US macro Weak JPY fundamentals Technical structure respecting trendline support Short-term traders can target the 145–147.80 range ahead of NFP, with a tight eye on yield and risk sentiment. 📌 If this analysis helps, drop a like and follow for more real-time macro-technical breakdowns. Stay nimble ahead of NFP! 🧠📈
Long
by ultreosforex
16
GOLD remains stuck near 3365dGOLD remains stuck near 3365 Price faced a strong resistance zone in the bullish move near 3365 If we look at the left side of the chart, it shows that it could fall further. The structure zone near 3365 seems to be ver.y strong. As long as the price has not risen above 3392 when Iran attacked the US, then it should not break this area under normal conditions. There is a high chance that a larger bearish wave will resume, but again it is very risky. Today the economic calendar is almost empty, so we could see gold take a break, as shown on the chart before falling to 3285 and 3250 first. It will also be affected by the tariff topic this week, because the deadline is July 9th. Trump is expected to create another mess. In my opinion, with the current data, ARI is rising, the chances of falling further. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
FX:XAUUSDShort
by KlejdiCuni
18
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar - 1h Analysis (OANDA)Price Overview Current Price: 3,286,190 24h Change: +15,525 (+0.47%) Recent High/Low: High: 18,286,420 Low: 12,284,465 Order Block (OB) Analysis Profit Targets: Multiple profit levels are identified, with the highest at 3,339,000 and the lowest at 3,279,000. The price is currently between the 3,286,190 (current) and 3,279,000 (next profit level), suggesting a potential pullback or consolidation. Entry & Stop-Loss: Entry: 3,270,000 Stop-Loss (S/L): 3,270,000 (same as entry, indicating a break-even or tight risk strategy). Key Levels (USD) Resistance: 3,350,000 (major) 3,339,000 (immediate) Support: 3,286,190 (current level) 3,279,000 (next profit target) 3,270,000 (critical support & entry) Market Sentiment Bullish Bias: Price is above the entry point (3,270,000) and showing a 0.47% gain. Caution: Profit-taking may occur near 3,330,000–3,339,000. A break below 3,270,000 could invalidate the bullish setup. Actionable Insights If Long: Hold for targets up to 3,339,000, but monitor for rejection at resistance. If Neutral: Wait for a break above 3,330,000 (confirmation) or below 3,270,000 (reversal signal). Risk Management: Tight stop-loss at 3,270,000 protects against downside.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Tdawly_Official
GBPUSD TECHNICAL & ORDER FLOW ANALYSISOur analysis is based on a multi-timeframe top-down approach and fundamental analysis. Based on our assessment, the price is expected to return to the monthly level. DISCLAIMER: This analysis may change at any time without notice and is solely intended to assist traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no obligation to act on it, nor should you. Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
Long
by dkb14246
1
Usoil buy trade am holding since last week📈 USOIL Trade Update – Long Position Holding Strong Since Last Week 🔥 Guess I didn't post this last week... Caught this buy from the demand zone around $64.16, with a clean structure shift and bullish momentum confirmation. The market is respecting structure with higher highs and higher lows forming beautifully. As price approaches my target zone, I’m locking in profits and managing risk. Trade has been running smoothly for days 💪🏽 SL at break even now, Holding patiently for that final push to the $70+ area. Let's see how the market reacts at that key zone.
TVC:USOILLong
by Solidwealth
#HOOK/USDT | Long Bias ?#HOOK The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it. We have a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel. This support is at 0.0882. We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upside. There is a major support area in green at 0.0857, which represents a strong basis for the upside. Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital. When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order. For inquiries, please leave a comment. We have a trend to hold above the 100 Moving Average. Entry price: 0.0941 First target: 0.0989 Second target: 0.1045 Third target: 0.1121 Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital. When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order. For inquiries, please leave a comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
SONATASOFTWARE techno-funda analysisSonata Software Ltd. is a global IT services and solutions company focused on digital transformation, cloud enablement, and platform modernization. It caters to sectors like retail, BFSI, travel, and manufacturing, with deep capabilities in Microsoft ecosystem technologies. The stock is currently trading at ₹509.35 and is forming a base after a broad retracement from previous highs. Sonata Software Ltd. – FY22–FY25 Snapshot Sales – ₹5,372 Cr → ₹6,214 Cr → ₹7,465 Cr → ₹8,155 Cr – Consistent revenue expansion led by digital and cloud Net Profit – ₹410 Cr → ₹487 Cr → ₹548 Cr → ₹618 Cr – Margin stability despite macro cost pressures Company Order Book – Moderate → Moderate → Strong → Strong – Strong deal pipeline in U.S. and Europe Dividend Yield (%) – 1.23% → 1.31% → 1.40% → 1.40% – Fair yield, supports total shareholder return Operating Performance – Moderate → Moderate → Strong → Strong – Cloud and IP-led growth improving Equity Capital – ₹140.23 Cr (constant) – Efficient capital structure Total Debt – ₹195 Cr → ₹180 Cr → ₹165 Cr → ₹155 Cr – Low and declining, comfortable leverage Total Liabilities – ₹2,030 Cr → ₹2,150 Cr → ₹2,270 Cr → ₹2,385 Cr – Growing with operating scale Fixed Assets – ₹465 Cr → ₹480 Cr → ₹505 Cr → ₹528 Cr – Gradual tech and infra investment Latest Highlights FY25 net profit rose 12.8% YoY to ₹618 Cr; revenue up 9.2% to ₹8,155 Cr EPS: ₹44.07 | EBITDA Margin: 17.4% | Net Margin: 7.58% Return on Equity: 21.79% | Return on Assets: 10.96% Promoter holding: 34.55% | Dividend Yield: 1.40% Strong performance in cloud migration, managed services, and proprietary platform IPs North America remains key growth driver, with robust enterprise digital transformation budgets Technical Snapshot Sonata Software is trading at ₹509.35 with an RSI of 44.70, signaling neutral to mildly bearish sentiment. After correcting from the recent top, the stock has found support around ₹509.35 and earlier at ₹424.15 and ₹366.45. Price is coiling near the base of a structural channel with rebound potential. If sentiment turns, bullish retracement targets lie at ₹787.00, ₹923.05, and ₹1,096.40 in the medium term. Business Growth Verdict Yes, Sonata Software is scaling steadily with a solid IP-led tech strategy Margins are stable with strong ROE and limited debt exposure Order book strength and platform-led solutions support future visibility Capex and infra investments remain conservative and purposeful Final Investment Verdict Sonata Software offers a mature growth narrative in the mid-cap IT services space. Its differentiated approach in digital engineering, Microsoft partnerships, and repeat global clientele provide high revenue stickiness. While broader IT demand is moderating, Sonata’s platform-led margin resilience and capital discipline stand out. The current technical base and improving order visibility make it a strong candidate for medium-term accumulation with a focus on operational consistency and yield support.
NSE:SONATSOFTWLong
by TechnicalAnalystSucrit
XRP breaks out: 19% rally in sightXRP has just broken out of an inverse head and shoulders pattern, a classic bullish setup that points to a potential 19% rally. The breakout comes at a time when the US is expected to deliver key crypto regulation updates by July 22. If the legal outcome is positive, it could fuel further upside not only in XRP but across the broader crypto market. This setup offers a strong risk-to-reward profile, especially if Bitcoin also breaks out of its current rectangle pattern. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by ThinkMarkets
07/07/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $110,529.95 Last weeks low: $105,108.81 Midpoint: $107,819.38 The "Big Beautiful Bill" was signed into law last week on the 4th July, a huge event in the financial world and undoubtedly the world of crypto. The debt ceiling is now instantly raised by $5T making risk-on assets even more appealing than ever, incoming demand shock will likely help BTC but also the struggling altcoin market as well. Last week the BTC ETFs saw a net inflow of $294m. This takes the total 30-day inflows to nearly 50K BTC and this is before the big beautiful bill was passed. PA wise, BTC is still struggling to break the $110k level and flip ATH, however the consolidation just under ATH with increasingly shallow pullbacks suggests a run at the highs is in the near future IMO. For this week US CPI & PPI data are the important release for the week. It's hard to tell if the data releases will actually provide any volatility this time around, they usually do but the FEDs refusal to act has made the last few CPIs very flat in terms of volatility for BTC. Key battleground for me this week would be the midpoint, clearly last week provided good support, however a larger area of inefficiency rest just under that it so there is a natural pull for price to revisit those areas. Could be a choppy week once again... Good luck this week everybody!
by ProR35
3
3M is skyrocketing againAfter a period of sideways trading, 3M has clearly shown where its resistance levels are—and this is dynamite for traders. If the price breaks above the current resistance, we could be in for a very interesting rally, especially if it also surpasses the previous all-time high at 165. This offers a great opportunity to enter a position in 3M with the potential for a 10% or greater profit in just a few weeks, while keeping your stop loss at 2-3%. This trade can be done with minimal risk. To learn more about the strategy, follow ;)
NYSE:MMMLong
by TopChartPatterns
4
#APT/USDT#APT The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it. We have a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel. This support is at 4.43. We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upside. There is a major support area in green at 4.35, which represents a strong basis for the upside. Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital. When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order. For inquiries, please leave a comment. We have a trend to hold above the 100 Moving Average. Entry price: 4.47 First target: 4.50 Second target: 4.54 Third target: 4.60 Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital. When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order. For inquiries, please leave a comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
AVA/USDT – Long-Term Bullish Reversal in PlayAVA has been trading within a well-defined downward channel for weeks, making consistent lower highs and lower lows. However, price has now broken above the upper boundary of the channel with strong volume and momentum, signaling a potential trend reversal. Technical Analysis: Channel Breakout: Price has successfully closed above the descending trendline (channel top), confirming breakout and bullish intent. RSI Surge: RSI has shot past 80, a sign of strong bullish momentum. Short-term pullbacks may occur, but long-term sentiment is shifting. Higher Lows Forming: Structure is starting to shift from bearish to bullish, especially with current candle body closings above $0.03016. Volume Spike: Notable increase in buying volume, often seen before trend flips in micro caps or small altcoins. Key Levels to Watch: Support Zones: $0.03016 – Key breakout level; should act as support now $0.02440 – Historical accumulation zone $0.02100 – Long-term base support Resistance / Target Zones: T1: $0.04026 – Local structure and previous consolidation T2: $0.05550 – Psychological and technical resistance T3: $0.07971 – Major reversal zone T4: $0.10185 – Long-term target from macro high Stoploss: $0.02400 (close below re-enters channel and invalidates breakout) Entry Idea: Accumulation Zone: $0.029–$0.031 This is the ideal area for positioning with minimal risk and a good reward ratio. Not Financial Advice | DYOR Always
Long
by ScramblerG
2