GU-Tue-1/04/25 Top down analysis-Investors in risk off modeAnalysis done directly on the chart
Risk On:
When the market is in a "risk on" mode, investors feel confident and optimistic about the economy or financial markets. They are more willing to take on higher-risk investments, such as stocks, cryptocurrencies, or emerging market assets, in pursuit of greater returns. This typically happens during periods of economic growth, positive news, or stability. Prices of riskier assets tend to rise, while safe-haven assets like bonds, gold, or the US dollar might see less demand.
Risk Off:
In a "risk off" environment, investors become cautious or fearful due to uncertainty, economic downturns, geopolitical tensions, or negative news. They shift their money into safer, lower-risk investments like government bonds, gold, or stable currencies (e.g., USD, JPY, CHF). Riskier assets like stocks or commodities often decline in value as investors "de-risk" their portfolios.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
Chart Patterns
TATASTEEL - Tata Steel LTD (2 hours chart, NSE) - Long PositionTATASTEEL - Tata Steel LTD (2 hours chart, NSE) - Long Position; short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: High {volume & support structure integrity risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 3.25
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 154
Entry limit ~ 153
1. Target limit ~ 158 (+3.27%; +5 points)
2. Target limit ~ 161 (+5.23%; +8 points)
3. Target limit ~ 166 (+8.50%; +13 points)
Stop order limit ~ 149 (-2.61%; -4 point)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observation notes
= important updates
(parentheses) = information details
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
EURCAD - Inverse head and shoulder on a monthly timeframeJM-CAPITAL - My 2cents on EURCAD for the month of April 2025 - Still on the inverse Head and shoulder
After a 38.2% retracement from the previous month high, I see a continuing uptrend on EC to reach 1.595.
While doing some HH and HL, my entry will respect some QP and take profit as I see fit.
Managing your trades is the best option here and I am always trading with the trend.
Happy trading.
GBPJPY BULLISH OUTLOOK WITH DEFINED RISK *GBP/JPY Trade Opportunity: Bullish Outlook with Defined Risk*
A potential buying opportunity has emerged in the GBP/JPY currency pair, with a defined risk management strategy in place.
*Trade Setup:*
- *Buy*: 192
- *Take Profit (TP)*: 197
- *Stop Loss (SL)*: 190
This trade setup is based on a bullish outlook for the GBP/JPY pair, driven by both technical and fundamental factors.
*Fundamental Analysis:*
The British pound (GBP) has been gaining strength against the Japanese yen (JPY) due to:
1. *Interest Rate Divergence*: The Bank of England (BoE) has maintained a hawkish stance, while the Bank of Japan (BoJ) continues to pursue a dovish monetary policy. This divergence in interest rates has created an attractive carry trade opportunity.
2. *Economic Growth*: The UK economy has shown resilience despite Brexit uncertainties, while Japan's economic growth remains sluggish.
3. *Trade Tensions*: The ongoing trade tensions between the US and China have led to a decline in the value of the yen, making it an attractive currency to sell against the pound.
*Technical Analysis:*
From a technical perspective, the GBP/JPY pair has broken out of a consolidation range and is now trending upwards. The relative strength index (RSI) is below 70, indicating that the pair is not overbought yet.
*Risk Management:*
To manage risk, a stop loss has been set at 190, which is below the recent swing low. This will limit potential losses if the market moves against the position.
*Conclusion:*
The GBP/JPY trade setup offers a bullish opportunity with defined risk. The combination of interest rate divergence, economic growth, and trade tensions provides a solid fundamental basis for the trade.
Keep your best wishes to the Travis 👍
DOW JONES: 4 week bottom on the 1W MA50. Best time to buy.Dow Jones turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 46.611, MACD = -297.980, ADX = 37.851) as it is recovering today and more importantly keeps its price action above the 1W MA50. This is the 4th straight week that it trades and holds the 1W MA50, which is shaping up to be the natural long term support. That is keeping the 1W RSI neutral (47.224), which technically suggets that it is the most low risk level to buy. The 1W RSI made a double bottom due to this consolidation and the 1W MACD printed the first light red bar, all of which are similar to the October 23rd 2023 bottom.
Both have been bottoms after bearish waves of the 1.5 year Channel Up and as a matter of fact similar in decline rate (-9.50%). The highest probability level for a rebound and start of the new bullish wave is this, and based on the previous, it should aim for the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (TP = 49,000).
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#DYM/USDT#DYM
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to continue lower.
We have a trend to stabilize below the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator, supporting the upward trend with a break above it.
We have a support area at the upper limit of the channel at 0.330.
Entry price: 0.328
First target: 0.325
Second target: 0.317
Third target: 0.310
Updates on Our Last US30 analysis Update 🎯🎯
Market Structure
1. Trend: The market has been in a downtrend since mid-February, forming lower highs and lower lows.
2. Recent Price Action: There was a strong drop in mid-March, followed by a recovery attempt.
3. Current Zone: Price is hovering around 42,090, attempting to push higher after a recent low.
Key Levels
• Support: Around 41,500 - 41,800 (recent swing low area)
• Resistance: Around 42,500 - 42,700 (previous supply zone)
Possible Trade Setups
1. Bearish Scenario (Short)
• If price rejects the 42,500 - 42,700 resistance zone with a bearish candle, it could signal a short entry targeting 41,800 or lower.
• Confirmation: Bearish engulfing or rejection wicks.
2. Bullish Scenario (Long)
• If price breaks and holds above 42,700, it may indicate a trend reversal.
• A clean breakout with retest can signal a buy entry, targeting 43,000+.
Feel free to leave a Comment below ⬇️
GBPJPY Technical AnalysisOur analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis.
Based on our view the price will rise to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you.
Please support our analysis with a like or comment!
Let’s master the market together. Please share your thoughts and encourage us to do more by liking this idea.
Dow Jones Limit Buy Entry Trigger 42,027I am placing a limit order for a long position at 42,027 in the anticipation of a pullback to support. My stop is 150 ticks ( based on the 115 tick ATR ) and my target is 2.5 risk to reward or 375 ticks. Will I know if this support level will hold? No, and I don't need to. To me, this is a great location, and I am willing to put risk on to find out.
I am bullish the next three months and so, will mainly look for buy setups when they present. This trade, I am buying the level and not waiting for confirmation.
If you take the same trade, manage your risk as any trade can fail.
EURCAD: Pullback Trade From Resistance 🇪🇺🇨🇦
EURCAD may drop from the strong daily resistance.
As a confirmation signal, I spotted a head and shoulders pattern
on that on an hourly time frame.
The price can fall at least to 1.552 support
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#APT/USDT#APT
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to continue lower.
We have a trend to stabilize below the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator, supporting the upward move with a break above it.
We have a resistance area at the upper limit of the channel at 5.43.
Entry price: 5.32
First target: 5.28
Second target: 5.21
Third target: 5.10
Breaking: Ethereum is Good ($EBULL) Surge 40% TodayThe price of Ethereum is Good coin ($EBULL) broke out of a falling wedge surging 40% today amidst Ethereum reclaiming $1900 pivot today. Albeit the crypto market was in a constant state of bloodbath, $EBULL shocked mainstream traders and DEGEN Maxis surging 40% to reclaim the $1M+ Market cap previously attended by the asset.
With the RSI at 60.92 and the support perfectly materialized, a 70% legged up is brewing up despite the recent breakout. With a whooping 24 hours trading volume of $32,124.71, representing a 133.40% increment in trading volume. These and many more technical factors hints at a potential 70% surge.
About ETHEREUM IS GOOD
$EBULL is here to reignite the glory of Ethereum in the memecoin universe, emphasizing the chain's unmatched legacy. With a nod to Ethereum's resilience and vitality, $EBULL invites the community to embrace their inner bull and charge forward with confidence.
ETHEREUM IS GOOD Price Live Data
The live ETHEREUM IS GOOD price today is $0.000109 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $32,915.77 USD. ETHEREUM IS GOOD is up 9.00% in the last 24 hours. The current CoinMarketCap ranking is #1887, with a live market cap of $1,093,146 USD. It has a circulating supply of 10,000,000,000 EBULL coins and a max. supply of 10,000,000,000 EBULL coins.
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 NAS100
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market Strike
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF
🔥 Deep market insight – no random moves, only calculated execution.
☄️ Bullish Setup – 19170 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
🩸 15M Time Frame Confluence
————
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 19100
Key Level / Equal Highs Formation
Strong Rejection from 18800 – The Ultimate Pivot
🔥 1H Time Frame Confirmation
Twin Wicks @ 19120 – Liquidity Engineered
BOS @ 19030 – Directional Shift Confirmed
☄️ 4H Historical Market Memory
——
💯 29 Aug 2024 – First Retest @ 19150
💯 5 Sep 2024 – Second Retest @ 19100
💯 12 Sep 2024 – Third Retest @ 19200
👌 The Market Has Spoken – Are You Ready to Strike?
AUD/NZD "Aussie-Kiwi" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing/Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the nearest / swing low level Using the 4H timeframe (1.09700) Day / swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 1.11700 (or) Escape Before the Target
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💵💰AUD/NZD "Aussie-Kiwi" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing / Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors.
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DeGRAM | EURGBP broke through the trend lineEURGBP is in a descending channel above the trend lines.
The price is moving from the support level and the lower boundary of the channel.
The chart formed a harmonic pattern, broke the upper trend line and reached the 50% retracement level.
The indicators indicate that a bullish divergence is now being worked out on the 4H Timeframe.
We expect the growth to continue after consolidation above the correction level.
-------------------
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GO SHORT The Market has made the move I wanted to see. Price did test into the 1.08203-1.08292 level as I thought it could before finally making its way back down. Currently I'd still like to see price meet the 1.07612 level.
If price can make a rebound to 1.07969, while the Eur & Usd sessions come to a close. Using the 30M or 15M timeframes I'd look for entry there to simply go back to first support level mentioned (1.07612)
If price just keeps falling I'd wait for an entry around 1.07786 price level. And my ideal with this entry and exit is: if price doesn't rebound to entry 1 we look even more bearish on the 4H time frame, which may allow us find profits at our deeper support level of 1.07326.
That's all I have. Study on your but my opinion can be insight to someone hopefully. Good day traders
CADCHF: Bullish Forecast & Bullish Scenario
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the CADCHF pair which is likely to be pushed up by the bulls so we will buy!
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