Chart Patterns
GOLD POSSIBLE SELL?The market is currently testing the current MONTHLY AREA. Will be watching out for a possible reversal pattern which could lead to SELL.
Disclaimer:
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account.
High-Risk Warning
Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor.
USDJPY - SHORT - 27/01/25 (after) This is an after to the trade idea posted 22/01/25. On that analysis, the trade was supposed to be taken on the order block but when price reached that area, it violated the initial setup.
However, a new idea formed based on these same concepts:
Price swept a high and closed below it.
Change in character to the downside.
Return to Order Block
Now looking for long opportunities.
AUD/USD "The Aussie" Forex Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the AUD/USD "The Aussie" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉⭐
Entry 📈 : Traders & Thieves with New Entry A Bull trade can be initiated at any price level.
however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 0.64700 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, Sentimental Outlook
The AUD/USD (The Aussie vs U.S Dollar) market is expected to move in a bullish direction, driven by several key factors.
🟤Improving Australian Economic Data
- Employment Data: Australia's employment data has been strong, with the unemployment rate decreasing to 3.5%.
- GDP Growth: Australia's GDP growth rate has been steady, with a 2.2% annual growth rate.
- Inflation Rate: Australia's inflation rate has been within the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) target range, which could lead to a rate hike.
🟣Rising Commodity Prices
- Iron Ore Prices: Iron ore prices have been rising due to strong demand from China and supply disruptions.
- Coal Prices: Coal prices have been increasing due to strong demand from Asia and supply constraints.
- Gold Prices: Gold prices have been rising due to safe-haven demand and central bank buying.
🟢Weakening US Dollar
- US Dollar Index: The US Dollar Index (DXY) has been weakening due to a decline in US bond yields and a decrease in US economic growth expectations.
- Federal Reserve Policy: The Federal Reserve has been dovish, with a pause in rate hikes, which could weaken the US dollar.
🟡Technical Factors
- Trend Line Breakout: The AUD/USD pair has broken above a key trend line, which could indicate a bullish trend.
- Moving Average Crossover: The 50-day moving average has crossed above the 200-day moving average, which could indicate a bullish trend.
🟠Sentimental Factors
AUD/USD sentiment analysis and market positioning are indicating a slightly bullish tone. Here's the breakdown:
- Bullish Sentiment: 55% of traders and investors are bullish on AUD/USD, expecting the pair to rise ¹.
- Bearish Sentiment: 35% of traders and investors are bearish on AUD/USD, expecting the pair to fall.
- Neutral Sentiment: 10% of traders and investors are neutral on AUD/USD, expecting the pair to trade sideways.
In terms of market positioning, the AUD/USD pair has seen a decrease in short positions, with CAD and AUD shorts decreasing, as reported by Rabobank ¹. This could indicate a potential bullish trend. However, it's essential to note that market sentiment can change rapidly and may not continue to drive the AUD/USD pair higher.
Trading Alert⚠️ : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
🚨Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
🚨Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
DEEP Key Levels - Weekend Trade SetupsDEEP has been consolidating in a 6-day trading range and as we move into the weekend, lets look at the setups.
Short Trade Setup
Resistance Zone: The 0.786 Fibonacci retracement aligns with the POC of the 6-day range at $0.304, making it an ideal short entry
Target: The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $0.208, where liquidity has built up below
Risk-to-Reward (R:R): This short offers an impressive 10:1 R:R if the setup plays out
Long Trade Setup
Support Zone: The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $0.208 also serves as a key support level
Anchored VWAP from the recent highs provides additional support near this level
Stop Loss: Stop just below $0.195
Take Profit: TP at round 0.24
NIFTY : Analysis, levels, Prediction and next aheadThis chart provides an analysis based on Elliott Wave theory (Modified with psychological behavior), showing how the NIFTY 50 index has moved through different phases and highlighting important levels where price actions suggest significant market behavior.
Initially, prices consolidated around 21174-22469, forming the base of a larger upward move referred to as Wave C which was started from 15290 on weekly chart. This phase is significant because it shows the market finding strong support, where buyers stepped in to absorb selling pressure. This type of consolidation often indicates the foundation of a bullish rally. From here, the index began its upward journey, reaching an extended Wave C completion zone between 25,096 and 26,641 which was predicted on 30-Aug-2024 when prices were trading at 25151 .
from this range, prices started to lose strength, which is typical when markets approach exhaustion zones in an extended trend. The selling pressure increased, leading to a reversal.
charts.fyers.in
After hitting this extended resistance zone, the market entered a correction phase, forming Wave A. This phase is marked by a sharp decline, with prices finding support at 23,263, a significant 50% retracement of the previous move. Retracements like this are crucial because they represent a balance point where the market pauses to decide its next move. The 50% retracement is also a key Fibonacci level, often considered a strong resistance / support area. from retracement zone prices started decline again to complete its structure of ABC (Correction wave)
Currently, the index is trading in the first corrective Wave C zone between 22,762 and 23,061. This range is critical because it represents a decision point for the market. If prices hold here, it could signal the end of the correction and the start of a new upward wave. If the market fails to sustain this level, it could move further downward toward the extended correction zone at 21,617–21,893. This area is identified as a potential bottoming-out zone where strong support is expected. Historically, such zones offer good buying opportunities for traders looking for a trend reversal.
However, if prices fail to hold even this extended correction zone and break below 21,174, it would confirm a decisive bearish trend on both weekly and monthly charts. A breakdown like this would suggest a prolonged sideways or negative trend, meaning the market could struggle to recover for some time.
In summary, the chart highlights key areas to watch for potential market reversals. If prices hold above 22,762, there’s a good chance of a bullish recovery, and this could be a buying opportunity. On the other hand, if prices break below this level, the next significant support lies around 21,617–21,893. A failure to hold even that zone would shift the outlook to bearish, signaling the end of the bullish trend and a move toward a deeper correction. Understanding these levels and their significance helps traders and investors make informed decisions about when to enter or exit the market.
#WLD/USDT Ready to launch upwards#WLD
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is adhering to it well and is heading to break it strongly upwards
We have a bounce from the lower limit of the descending channel, this support is at a price of 1.77
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken, which supports the rise
We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100
Entry price 1.90
First target 1.94
Second target 2.03
Third target 2.11
4th historical signal confirmedFor some reason, people keep forgetting that this has happened or are unaware.
So let me repeat.
Dow Jones Industrial Average (priced in gold) gave its 4th historical exit signal.
Signals seen in 1930, 1969 and 2002
Yes, this is the area were recessions are always found.
27/01/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $109,555.48
Last weeks low: $99,643.66
Midpoint: $104,599.57
A new Bitcoin ATH as President Trumps second term officially begins! Just shy of $110K with a much tighter range of $10k from range low to high leaves Bitcoin in a very interesting place going into what has been called the first "pro-crypto" administration.
Now the weekly close is an interesting one as there is a clear sell-off that has continued at time of writing bringing the price down below the weekly low. This has been a common theme in recent weeks as either a bearish SFP of the weekly high early in the week resulting in a sell-off for the remaining days. Or the opposite were a sweep of the weekly low early on results in a recover rally for the rest of the week. As of right now the later is in play but what is causing this sell-off this time?
The AI issue:
The recent headlines have been that the US wants to win the AI war and be the dominant force in what is possibly the most important product of the future. OpenAI, Grok, Meta etc all have AI products and services and the US government hope that by backing these companies the US can be the victors of this race. However, the game has changed with the release of "DeepSeek R1" a chinese AI competitor with some remarkable attributes that has the US stock market very worried as reflected in the pre-market.
DeepSeek R1 was reportedly built for $6m, now this is a Chinese company and therefor any numbers should be taken with a pinch of salt but OpenAI has raised $17.9B for ChatGPT and many now see DeepSeek as a superior product in many ways:
- Less GPU intensive due to a more efficient and streamlined model, this is mainly why NVIDIA pre-market is down 11% at time of writing, investors are seeing that perhaps US companies have overblown the demand for GPU's as the product they are making is not optimised in comparison.
- Considerably cheaper due to this streamlined approach, personally this is a symptom of how America has been operating as a nation since the pandemic, a severe lack of efficiency made up for by throwing insane amounts of capital at the problem with no thought as to where the money comes from (printed via QE & tax payer funding). DeepSeek just proved why Trumps planned approach of getting value for money and increasing efficiency is a winning formula, anything else is unsustainable.
- Open source code, we would expect the company called OpenAI that was founded on the basis of transparency and the mission to do good as a non-profit would be the product that has publicly available code, but no that would be DeepSeek... This further compounds just how out of touch the US based AI companies have got, the quest for revenue has taken over as the mission goal, which in the case of AI is very dangerous.
To conclude the AI problem, the Chinese AI product is cheaper, more efficient and more transparent that current US based products and that is why indirectly BTC took a tumble.
On the data news this week FOMC is on Wednesday, the forecast is for interest rates to remain unchanged however the volatility of FOMC often leads to interesting price action, this could be another reason for the sell-off as de-risking takes place.
For this week I am looking at using the chaos to find goo d long entries, I still think that Feb-March looks good until I have reason to think otherwise. Weekly low is a key S/R level that will determine by bias in the short term until then.
TL;DR
- DeepSeek R1 worrying investors of US AI companies as the Chinese AI product is far cheaper, more efficient and more transparent. US stocks down on pre-market.
- FOMC midweek, first of Trump admin, volatility expected.
- Weekly low key S/R level for BTC
BTCUSDT H8 : New RoadmapHi Friends,
Following the previous analysis of Bitcoin and the rejection above the ATH , I expect such a movement from the chart. And once again, liquidity can be collected above the historical ceiling.
SecondChanceCrypto
⏰ 21/Jan/25
⛔️DYOR
Always do your research.
If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below and I will answer them.
And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comments.
Chips No Longer Power Hungry?With news of DeepSeek overnight hitting semi-conductors, is there all of a sudden less need for power? Well if there is then the first place I typically go is ERY. This ETF trades as a Bear 2x leveraged ETF to XLE. This means that for every penny XLE goes down, ERY goes up two pennies... Developing situation here so will watch this one closely!
SOL/USDT 1H: Bulls Building Momentum for a $244 Retest!!SOL/USD 1H Chart Analysis
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Current Price: $235
Market Structure:
Bearish momentum after breaking key support at $244.
Potential bottoming formation visible at current levels.
Smart Money Analysis:
Accumulation Zone: $220-$230 with heavy institutional volume.
RSI: Hidden bullish divergence forming (lower lows in price, higher lows in RSI).
Market makers appear to be accumulating for the next upward move.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $244, $252, $268.
Support: $220, $228.
Trade Setup (Confidence Level: 8/10):
Entry Zone: $232-$235.
Targets:
T1: $244
T2: $252
T3: $268
Stop Loss: Below $220 (accumulation zone).
Risk Score: 6/10 (moderate risk due to market volatility).
Recommendation:
Long position recommended with tight risk management.
Watch for confirmation above $238 to increase confidence in bullish continuation.
Volume and price action at $244 will be key to determining the strength of the breakout.
Confidence Level: 8/10 for bullish reversal potential.
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EUR-CAD Strong Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-CAD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair has
Made a bullish breakout of
The key horizontal level
Of 1.5041 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are
Bullish biased and we
Will be expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
#GALA/USDT Ready to go up#GALA
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is adhering to it well and is heading to break it strongly upwards
We have a bounce from the lower limit of the descending channel, this support is at a price of 0.02690
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken, which supports the rise
We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100
Entry price 0.02900
First target 0.03073
Second target 0.03252
Third target 0.03440
SOLUSDT to 283After a retest to the previous External Structure resistance which is now support on a daily Timeframe there's an high probability to re-test the Reistance one more to clear out liquidity on 4HR TF which the internal resistance as been tested 3time now before breaking to support to the External Structure Support now expexting a pull back to cleae the internal liquidity to the upside.