Hanzo | Gold 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Gold
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market Strike
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF
🔥 Deep market insight – no random moves, only calculated execution.
☄️ Bearish Setup After Break Out – 3111 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Bullish Setup After Break Out – 3136 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
🩸 15M Time Frame Confluence
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CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 3142
Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 3111
Strong Rejection from 3149 – The Ultimate Pivot
Strong Rejection from 3100 – The Ultimate Pivot
🔥 1H Time Frame Confirmation
Twin Wicks @ 3136 – Liquidity Engineered
Twin Wicks @ 3127 – Liquidity Engineered
☄️ 4H Historical Market Memory
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💯 31 march 2025 – bearish Retest 3126
💯 31 march 2025 – bearish Retest 3126
💯 1 april 2025 – Liquidity Grab Range 3118 : 3126
💯 1 april 2025 – Bullish Retest At 3126 : 3130 Zone
👌 The Market Has Spoken – Are You Ready to Strike?
Chart Patterns
Short The price is consolidating between 89,000 and 76,500 zone. But I can see another downward move to 76,500 is developing.
Where I drew blue rectangular blocks and red vertical lines in the chart (Feb and March 2025) are the very similar set up as the current situation as follows:
1) The market creates the set up where it looks like the price is slowly recovering and pushes above EMA200.
2) The reverses aggressively to the downside (liquidity sweep).
3) The price consolidates in the very tight range.
4) Momentum indicators move into the bear zone.
I already have one small short position, but once RSI and MACD enter the bear zone and the price stays below VWAP (purple line drawn from the August 24 low) and also closes below the buy order block (green box), I will open another short position.
Stop loss - above EMA 200 in 4H chart.
Target - 76,540
EURNZD SELL IDEA i love how the zones on eurnzd have been super clear and with the recent bos a pullback has occurred and on the lower time frame we can see that price is starting to close back under support and for me once price did that the probability of at least going back into half of that zone makes this trade idea worth one me taking.
Bullish on All Time Frames.Bullish on All Time Frames.
Monthly Closing above 211 - 212 would
be very positive for OGDC.
Retested the Previous Breakout Level
around 194 - 195.
Hidden Bullish Divergence on Daily Tf.
227 - 228 is the Weekly Resistance that
seems to break this time.
If this level is Sustained, we may witness
250+ initially.
Ethereum Price Analysis: Is a Drop to $1,550 Imminent This Week?As of April 3, 2025, Ethereum (ETH) is trading at approximately $1,838 (based on recent market data), reflecting a precarious position in the crypto market. After a volatile start to the year, ETH has shed over 44% year-to-date and is now testing critical support levels. This analysis explores the potential for an 11% drop to the $1,550 range within the next few days (by the end of this week, April 6), driven by technical breakdowns, bearish on-chain signals, and broader market pressures.
Technical Analysis: Bearish Signals Mounting
On the daily chart, ETH has been struggling to maintain momentum above the $1,800 psychological level. After a brief bounce from its yearly low of $1,760 on March 11, the price has failed to reclaim the $2,000 mark—a key resistance zone that previously acted as support in late 2024. Here’s a breakdown of the technical setup:
Key Support Breach: The $1,800–$1,877 range has been a critical support zone, aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level from the December 2024 high of $4,106 to the March 2025 low of $1,759. A close below $1,770 this week would confirm a breakdown, opening the door to the next major support at $1,550–$1,600, a level last tested in October 2023.
Bearish Pattern Confirmation: The 2-hour chart shows ETH completing a corrective structure (likely an A-B-C wave) after its March 19 peak at $2,070. If wave C mirrors wave A in length—a common Elliott Wave scenario—the target aligns near $1,550, coinciding with the 1.61 external Fibonacci retracement of the recent bounce.
Moving Averages: ETH is trading below both its 50-day SMA ($2,321) and 200-day SMA ($3,010), signaling a sustained bearish trend. The 50-day SMA, now sloping downward, acts as dynamic resistance, capping any relief rallies. A failure to reclaim this level soon reinforces the downside risk.
RSI Oversold but Weak : The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits near 30, indicating oversold conditions. However, in strong downtrends, RSI can remain oversold for extended periods, as seen during ETH’s 2022 bear market. Momentum remains weak, with no bullish divergence to suggest an imminent reversal.
Target Projection : A drop from $1,838 to $1,550 represents an 11% decline, achievable within 2–3 days if selling pressure accelerates. The $1,550 level aligns with historical support and the long-term 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, making it a plausible target.
On-Chain Data: Selling Pressure Intensifies
On-chain metrics paint a grim picture, supporting the bearish technical outlook:
Exchange Reserves Rising: Ethereum’s exchange reserve has ticked up from 18.3 million ETH, reversing a multi-month decline. This suggests long-term holders or institutions are moving assets from cold storage to exchanges, potentially preparing to sell.
Whale Activity: Recent data shows significant whale sell-offs, with large transactions (over 100 ETH) spiking in the past 48 hours. This aligns with posts on X noting whale distribution near current levels, adding downward pressure.
DeFi Weakness: Ethereum’s dominance in decentralized finance (DeFi) is waning, with total value locked (TVL) dropping as competing Layer-1 chains gain traction. Reduced network activity undermines ETH’s utility-driven demand, a key pillar of its value proposition.
Staking Dynamics: While staking activity increased post-Shapella upgrade, the anticipated selling pressure from unstaked ETH continues to linger, especially as macroeconomic uncertainty prompts profit-taking.
Market Sentiment: Fear Dominates
The broader crypto market is reeling from macroeconomic headwinds. The U.S. Core PCE Index rose to 2.8% in February, exceeding the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, signaling persistent inflation. Higher interest rates for longer dampen risk-on assets like cryptocurrencies. Posts on X reflect growing pessimism, with some traders eyeing sub-$1,000 levels if $1,760 fails—a sentiment echoed by Ethereum’s 7% drop this week alone.
Bitcoin (BTC), trading near $82,000, has also faltered, dragging altcoins lower. ETH’s correlation with BTC remains high (around 0.9), and a failure to hold $80,000 for BTC could amplify ETH’s decline. Additionally, the lack of immediate catalysts—such as ETF approvals or major network upgrades—leaves ETH vulnerable to further capitulation.
Price Scenarios and Key Levels
Bearish Case (Base Scenario): A daily close below $1,770 triggers a swift move to $1,550–$1,600 by April 6. Volume spikes and panic selling could push it lower, though $1,550 offers strong historical support.
Bullish Rejection: A reclaim of $2,070 (the March 19 high) invalidates the bearish setup, potentially sparking a relief rally to $2,250. This seems unlikely without a significant BTC breakout or positive news.
Invalidation: A close above $2,120 this week would negate the short-term bearish thesis, though resistance at the 50-day SMA ($2,321) caps upside potential.
Trading Strategy
Entry: Short ETH below $1,770 with confirmation of increased volume.
Target: $1,550 (11% drop), with a stretch goal of $1,500 if momentum persists.
Stop Loss: $1,911 (intraday high from April 2), limiting risk to 4–5%.
Risk/Reward: Approximately 2.5:1, assuming a $1,550 target.
Conclusion
Ethereum’s technical setup, coupled with bearish on-chain signals and a fearful market, suggests an 11% drop to $1,550 is plausible by the end of this week (April 6, 2025). The $1,770 level is the line in the sand—watch it closely. While oversold conditions hint at a potential bounce, the lack of buying conviction and macro pressures tilt the odds toward further downside. Traders should monitor BTC’s price action and exchange inflows for confirmation. Stay nimble, and let the charts guide your next move.
Can gold still go long?The market has ushered in key variables. There is uncertainty about the increase in tariffs in the tariff policy. Whether it is a reciprocal tariff or a 25% increase on the basis of the reciprocal tariff has attracted much attention. However, even if the news is not as good as market expectations, the price of gold will only fall back at most, because the implementation of the tariff policy will slow down the development of the global economy, especially the impact on the manufacturing industry, which is not conducive to the recovery of the global economy. Under the global economic contraction, the price of gold will inevitably be supported. In addition, the ADP data is also crucial, which is related to the trend of non-agricultural data. At present, the probability of interest rate cuts has increased to 50%, and the expectation of interest rate cuts has supported gold. The overall environment is good for gold. Although the news will cause price fluctuations in the short term, it is difficult to change the overall rhythm. The bull trend cannot continue indefinitely; second: the reversal of the trend is bound to be accompanied by changes in the fundamental environment; we are now in the third stage of the bull market, and it is a historical bull market trend, which cannot be treated in a conventional way of thinking; the subsequent trend changes will definitely give us enough time and space to make arrangements! The hourly line of gold dropped to 3110 again. Obviously, the bulls have withstood the test. The big positive line took off directly. The bullish trend has not changed. The big positive line broke through the suppression of the moving average again. At present, it is rising on the moving average and continues to look at the 3150 line. Investment strategy: Gold 3110 long, stop loss 3100, target 3180
Gold may have big moves!The trend of gold's rising trend after breaking through $3,100 indicates that its path of least resistance is still upward. After losing the lower level, it may return to the integer mark of $3,100. If it effectively falls below this level, it may trigger a long-covering market, which will push the gold price to test the support of $3,076 near the low point. In the short term, pay attention to the suppression of $3,148-50, which is a new high. Gold has been singing all the way to the 3085 line, and there is still room and demand for further rise. It opened directly to the 3097 line. Pay attention to the suppression of the 3150 line above gold. The callback is mainly long, and short orders must be cautious. Gold operation ideas; 1; The upper short order can be tried at the 3125 line, with a small stop loss, and the target is 15 points above 3075. If the loss is swept and the position is not covered, no more entry will be made. The previous high is near this point, and the short order will try a single order at this point. 2; The lower long order can be tried at the 3100 line, looking at 10-15 points, and the long order must be stopped.
Gold tariff policy implemented and increased as expectedAffected by fundamentals, gold has once again risen sharply. The daily line finally closed with a medium-sized positive, maintaining a strong run at a high level. Pay attention to the top and bottom support of 3148 during the day. If it holds, there will be continued high momentum. In the hourly cycle, it has strongly broken through the upper Bollinger track and moved higher around the moving average support. There is no doubt that it is strongly bullish. At the same time, the middle track has been lost and recovered. The middle track is still a key watershed. The lower support is at 3148 and around 3138. Go long according to the strength of the decline during the day, and then gradually look up to 3170 and 3200! Operation suggestion: Gold is long near 3138, stop loss at 3130, and look at 3150 and 3170! If it is extremely strong, it relies on 3148 to directly short the position and be long!
#TRUMPUSDT - Breakout or to the Target? Hey there, folks! Today, we're checking out #TRUMPUSDT! 🚀📊
It looks like there's a bull flag forming, but we’re not at a decision point yet. Will the flag break down, or will it keep pushing up and hit the target? We shouldn’t open a trade until we have an answer to that question. 🧐🔍
Let’s stay cautious and make sure we catch the right opportunities at the right time! 💰⚡
Manage your risk, stay in the game! 🎯🔥
#AlyAnaliz #TradeSmart #CryptoVision #TRUMPUSDT
GBPJPY- Stay bullish!GBP/JPY is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 193.69
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 193.46
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Take profit: 197.49
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
The DXY extends its decline, maintaining a bearish sentiment The DXY extends its decline, maintaining a bearish sentiment as it sweeps imbalances toward 100.370. Meanwhile, the gold market remains bullish, benefiting from the weakening dollar. Traders should watch for further downside in DXY and potential strength in gold FOLLOW FOR MORE INSIGHTS , COMMENT AND BOOST IDEA
GMBREW CMP 660.GMBREW is a strong fundamental company with- PE = 10, PRICE to Book Value less than 2,Debt equal zero. ROCE and ROE around 20%. consistent net profit gainer every year. In this correction it trading at a best valuable price.And around 35% discount from last high.For long term player it is a best opportunity.Add this to your wachlist and find your own risk reward.i am not SEBI registered all profit loss is your own.Thanks.
Introduction to the Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Chart
This TradingView chart offers an in-depth look at the current dynamics of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on a 30-minute timeframe, making it a powerful tool for traders seeking to navigate the gold market with precision. At its core, the chart is not just a depiction of raw numbers—it’s a visual narrative of price movement, market sentiment, and technical signals that together guide sound trading decisions.
Prominently featured are the key price levels, with the chart marking a sell order at 3,145.71 and a buy order at 3,146.65. These numbers serve as immediate reference points for traders looking for entry or exit signals. Beyond these basic levels, the chart is enriched with annotations such as “BOS – BUY,” which indicates a Break of Structure suggestive of bullish momentum, and “CHOCH – SELL,” highlighting shifts in market behavior that may signal selling pressure. Additionally, a clearly defined “Key Buy Zone” emphasizes an area where traders might consider initiating long positions.
The visual layout further segregates critical price zones: a purple resistance area around 3,183.80 suggests where the price might encounter significant selling pressure, while a green support zone near 3,110.00 signals potential buying interest. Alongside these, the integration of the Relative Strength Index (RSI)—with readings such as 51.57 and 68.37—provides deeper insight into market momentum and potential overbought or oversold conditions. This blend of support/resistance levels and momentum indicators allows traders to anticipate price reversals or continuations with greater clarity.
Finally, the presence of various TradingView tools along the chart’s sidebar underlines the platform’s versatility. These interactive elements empower users to perform real-time technical analysis, from drawing trend lines to adjusting timeframes, ensuring that every aspect of market movement is captured and analyzed meticulously.
In summary, this chart encapsulates the multi-faceted approach required for trading gold effectively. It combines precise numerical data with strategic technical annotations, making it an invaluable resource for anyone looking to master the intricacies of gold trading.
For further exploration, you might consider deepening your understanding of how Break of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHOCH) indicators can inform advanced strategy adjustments. Additionally, integrating other tools like Fibonacci Retracement or volume analysis alongside RSI readings could provide even more nuanced insights into the market’s behavior.
GBPNZD BUY TRADE PLAN🔥 GBP/NZD TRADE PLAN
📅 Date: April 2, 2025
🔖 Plan Type: Main Swing Plan
📈 Bias & Trade Type: Bullish Reversal – D1 Discount Rejection
📌 Trade Idea: Buying into D1 pullback structure for continuation to weekly range high
📥 Entry Type: H4 Demand Zone + Liquidity Sweep + FVG Alignment
🔰 Confidence Level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (80%)
Reasons / Confluences:
– D1 strong bullish BOS structure still intact
– Pullback into clean H4 OB zone + unfilled FVG
– 1H wick rejection & MACD weakening bear momentum
– Volume compression near discount zone
– NZD softening + GBP stable = sentiment favoring GBP
📌 Status: Waiting for clean LTF confirmation inside zone (1st touch pending)
📍 Entry Zones:
Primary Buy Zone: 2.2575 – 2.2605
(Refined H4 OB with liquidity pocket and imbalance overlap)
Secondary Buy Zone: 2.2520 – 2.2540
(Deeper sweep zone below intraday liquidity; last defense)
❗ Stop Loss:
SL: 2.2470 (Below OB, last liquidity wick, and invalidation structure)
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 2.2720 🥉 (Last minor swing high)
TP2: 2.2805 🥈 (Equal highs + H4 inefficiency)
TP3: 2.2890 🏆 (D1 supply zone & range high)
📏 Risk:Reward: Minimum R:R = 1:3.1
🧠 MANAGEMENT STRATEGY:
– Risk 1%–2% depending on account type
– Once TP1 hits → move SL to BE
– Secure partials at TP2
– Let runner target TP3 with trailing SL above structure lows
– Re-entry only allowed on fresh confirmation post TP1
⚠️ Confirmation Criteria:
– H1 bullish engulfing or pin bar inside entry zone
– Volume uptick on entry candle close
– Preferably during London or NY session
– Bonus: M15–M30 divergence or inducement confirmation
⏳ Trade Validity:
Valid for 2–4 days (HTF swing structure – moderate cycle)
❌ Invalidate if price closes below 2.2470 or H4 BOS to downside
🌐 Fundamentals & Sentiment Confluence:
✅ COT shows GBP neutral-to-positive flow
✅ NZD weakness driven by soft dairy exports + RBNZ dovish tone
✅ Global sentiment = neutral to mild risk-on, favoring GBP cyclical strength
✅ No major red news for either currency in next 24h = ideal execution window
📋 Final Summary:
Looking to buy GBPNZD on a retracement into refined demand zone between 2.2575–2.2605, aligned with D1 bullish structure and H4 rejection confluence. Tight institutional structure, optimal risk curve, and clean invalidation zone. Confirmation required – DO NOT ENTER EARLY. This is a controlled swing entry with >1:3 R:R potential.
Sui Bear Flag !! Big Cluster liquidity area
Bearish Continuation Trade Idea - Potential Breakdown from Bear Flag
📉 Market Outlook:
The price has been in a strong downtrend, forming a bear flag after an impulsive move downward. This pattern is typically a continuation signal, suggesting further downside if the price breaks below the flag structure.
📍 Key Observations:
1️⃣ Big Cluster Liquidity Area: The highlighted zone marks an area where the price previously accumulated/distributed liquidity before a strong breakout. Now that the price has fallen below this region, it is acting as a major resistance.
2️⃣ Bear Flag Formation: After a steep decline, the price is moving inside a narrow ascending channel, which often acts as a bearish continuation pattern.
3️⃣ Potential Breakdown: A clear break below the lower boundary of the flag could confirm the next leg down.
🔴 Trade Plan (Short Setup):
Entry Trigger: Wait for a confirmed breakdown below the bear flag's lower boundary, ideally with a strong bearish candle close.
Stop Loss: Place above the recent swing high inside the flag to limit risk.
Take Profit Targets:
First target: Recent swing low
Second target: Major support zone with historical liquidity
⚠️ Risk Management:
Position sizing should align with your risk tolerance.
Beware of false breakouts; a confirmed breakdown with strong momentum is preferred.
Monitor macroeconomic events that might cause volatility.
📌 Conclusion:
The overall trend remains bearish, and the formation of a bear flag suggests further downside if confirmed. If the price breaks lower with conviction, sellers may push it toward key support levels.
🔔 Disclaimer: This is NOT financial advice. Always conduct your own analysis and manage risk accordingly.
Would love to hear your thoughts—drop a comment below! 🚀🔥
Strong Buy ZoneThe Green 1h Zone Acts as Zone buying Zone.
The 1h Red Zone Acts as Resistance.
Scenarios Two: the 1h/4h Green Zone Act as the strongest support level.
Also there is strong Bullish Pattern "M pattern forming triple bottoms"
We have two Scenarios indicating Buyers step in Strongly Within 1h Green Buying Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of green Buying Zone.
Both indicate Buyers Stepping in strongly.
Once One Showed Up a safe entry would be 50% Fibo from the buying Candle at 1h TF.
The "Profit Take" are area's where you may reduce or sell all position to secure profit which act as Resistances. as for Previous Low Pink Line (P. Low)
CHFJPY Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the CHFJPY next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 169.03
Bias - Bullish
Safe Stop Loss - 168.45
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 170.00
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Bitcoin (BTC): Another Buying Push Been Suppressed By Sellers!Weekends were pretty bloody and so is Monday. We are seeing a strong dominance of sellers where one last push of the month has been suppressed by sellers with strong dominance.
Price is again below both EMAs and we think this might be the start of the movement toward our major target zone!
Swallow Team
Combined US Indexes - Lower High checked; Lower Low next...As expected from previous analysis, there is a lower high likely as the TD Sell Setup is Perfected. This just missed the target but has the TD Bear Trend intact
Following, a Bearish Engulfing pattern plus a Gap Down occurred yesterday.
Breaking back into Extension Zone box... and likely to protrude out the other side.
MACD is turning down in the bearish zone too.
So, looking for a lower low now...