$BTCUSD Trade Setup – Rejection at Channel Highs or BreakoutBitcoin is approaching a key decision point at the top of its descending channel. After bouncing off $100K support and reclaiming the midline, price is now pressing against the upper trendline near $112K. The MACD has just flipped bullish, and momentum is turning upward. However, BTC has repeatedly failed at this level over the last two months, forming a clear resistance zone.
This trade is structured as a short from resistance with tight invalidation above $112K. The setup offers a favorable risk/reward if this rejection holds and BTC pulls back to the $97K–$98K zone.
Entry: ~$108K
Stop: ~$112K (channel breakout)
Target: ~$97.5K (lower channel support)
If BTC breaks and holds above $112K, that would invalidate the short thesis and likely flip the structure toward a full breakout scenario.
Chart Patterns
Gold Trade plan 07/07/2025Dear Trader,
✅ Symbol: Gold vs. US Dollar (XAUUSD)
✅ Timeframe: 4H
✅ Date: July 7, 2025
✅ Technical Overview:
🔹 Price is forming a Symmetrical Triangle pattern.
🔹 A key support zone lies between $3245–3260, marked by the blue area.
🔹 Price has bounced from this zone and the ascending trendline (black), as shown by the red circle.
🔹 Main scenario: A potential bullish bounce toward the upper triangle resistance or even breakout (blue arrow).
🔻 Invalidation Level: $3,244.85
If this level breaks to the downside, the bullish setup will be invalidated, with possible targets at $3200 and $3100.
📉 RSI is currently between 38 and 49, not oversold yet, but near dynamic support.
✍️ Conclusion:
Holding above the current support area could trigger an upward move.
A break below $3245 would likely lead to further downside.
The current price area offers a favorable risk-reward for bullish positions.
Regards,
Alireza!
07/07/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $110,529.95
Last weeks low: $105,108.81
Midpoint: $107,819.38
The "Big Beautiful Bill" was signed into law last week on the 4th July, a huge event in the financial world and undoubtedly the world of crypto. The debt ceiling is now instantly raised by $5T making risk-on assets even more appealing than ever, incoming demand shock will likely help BTC but also the struggling altcoin market as well.
Last week the BTC ETFs saw a net inflow of $294m. This takes the total 30-day inflows to nearly 50K BTC and this is before the big beautiful bill was passed. PA wise, BTC is still struggling to break the $110k level and flip ATH, however the consolidation just under ATH with increasingly shallow pullbacks suggests a run at the highs is in the near future IMO.
For this week US CPI & PPI data are the important release for the week. It's hard to tell if the data releases will actually provide any volatility this time around, they usually do but the FEDs refusal to act has made the last few CPIs very flat in terms of volatility for BTC.
Key battleground for me this week would be the midpoint, clearly last week provided good support, however a larger area of inefficiency rest just under that it so there is a natural pull for price to revisit those areas. Could be a choppy week once again...
Good luck this week everybody!
Break of downward sloping channel LongNike has swept liquidity and is now showing a strong bounce to the upside.
Although I didn’t manage to enter the initial long, I am monitoring for a break above the current downward-sloping channel. A clean breakout followed by a retest would provide a more reliable entry point. I’m not aiming to catch the absolute bottom—I’d rather wait for confirmation of trend reversal.
A move above the monthly level at 79.46 would be an additional sign of strength and increase conviction in the long setup.
There is still significant overhead resistance, particularly around the point of control aligned with the anchored VWAP near 92.50. That area would be my first target. However, if momentum continues, there is potential for a move towards the 122 level.
USD/JPY Made H&S Reversal Pattern , Short Setup Valid !Here is my 15 Mins Chart on USD/JPY , We have a very clear reversal pattern , head & shoulders pattern and we have a confirmation by closure below our neckline so we can enter direct now or waiting the price to go back and retest the neckline and this is my fav scenario .
#PEOPLE/USDT Breakout in Action!#PEOPLE
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is poised to break it strongly upwards and retest it.
We have a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel. This support is at 0.01660.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upside.
There is a key support area (in green) at 0.01655, which represents a strong basis for the upside.
Don't forget one simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
We have a trend of stability above the Moving Average 100.
Entry price: 0.01740
First target: 0.01775
Second target: 0.01828
Third target: 0.01895
Don't forget one simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
Weekly Analysis of the Dollar Index, BTC, SPX500, NAS100 & GOLDIn this week's video I break down key technical patterns and indicators to discuss the behavior and direction of the Dollar index, Bitcoin, SPX500 and NAS100 Indices and finally GOLD for the coming week. I highlight price trends, support and resistance levels, candlestick formations, and moving averages to identify potential targets. My goal is to interpret market sentiment and forecast possible price movements based on historical data and technical signals. I hope you find value in my analysis to make informed trade and investment decisions. Cheers
$UJ (USDJPY) 1HPrice tapped into a 4H FVG (gray zone 146.800–146.300), a high-probability reversal zone when paired with liquidity sweep and break of structure.
The bullish internal trendline was cleanly broken, signaling a short-term shift in momentum.
Prior to the drop, price ran buy-side liquidity resting above previous highs (marked $$$), fulfilling liquidity objectives before reversing.
The move into the 4H-FVG occurred in premium territory, ideal for institutional distribution.
As long as price holds below 146.300 (top of the FVG), the bearish leg remains valid.
Next liquidity target is around 145.240, where previous sell-side liquidity (lows marked $$$) is resting.
#ZIL/USDT Descending channel ?#ZIL
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to break and continue upward.
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that supports the upward break.
We have a support area at the lower boundary of the channel at 0.01022, acting as strong support from which the price can rebound.
We have a major support area in green that pushed the price upward at 0.01010.
Entry price: 0.01034
First target: 0.01061
Second target: 0.01097
Third target: 0.01135
To manage risk, don't forget stop loss and capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some profits and then change the stop order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please comment.
Thank you.
DeGRAM | TRXUSD reached the resistance line📊 Technical Analysis
● TRX is grinding the channel top (≈ 0.288-0.290) while printing a narrowing rising-wedge; momentum is fading as each thrust stalls just below the June trend-line.
● A decisive break beneath 0.285 would invalidate the wedge and hand control to sellers, opening 0.279 (mid-band) and the broader channel floor/April pivot at 0.271.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Glassnode notes TRON’s stable-coin inflow growth slowed to its weakest since March, hinting at waning on-chain demand, while renewed U.S. regulatory noise around offshore venues keeps speculative flows cautious.
✨ Summary
Sell 0.288-0.290; loss of 0.285 targets 0.279 → 0.271. Bear view void on an H4 close above 0.2945.
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USDCAD LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D10 W28 Y25USDCAD LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D10 W28 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Bitcoin Bullish Flag Breakout Incoming?MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN is currently consolidating within a bullish flag pattern on the daily chart, following a strong impulse move from the $74,000 support zone marked in April. The price is hovering near a critical horizontal resistance zone ($ 108,000–$ 109,000), which has historically acted as a major barrier to further gains.
Technical Highlights:
Bullish Flag Pattern: Clear flag formation after a strong uptrend, suggesting continuation potential.
Strong Support Rebound: April's bounce from the ~$74K support zone marked a key higher low.
EMA: Price is currently trading above both the 50-day and 100-day EMAs — a bullish sign of momentum.
Breakout Potential: A confirmed breakout above the flag resistance (~$109K) could ignite a strong rally toward $130K+.
Breakout Move: If the flag pattern plays out, CRYPTOCAP:BTC could target the $125K–$135K zone in the coming weeks.
Buy Entry: Once the day candle closes above the flag resistance line
XNGUSD POSSIBLE LONG OPPORTUNITY
Us natural gas has been falling since June 20th and stopped a decline nearby the 3.3900 level with minor false breakouts of it. Currently we observe the reversal bullish wedge pattern, which is supported by a divergency on rsi on 4-h timeframe. Yesterday natural gas trading session opened with a gap downside, however, later, closer to the American session we observed buying volumes and the asset managed to hold above the 3.3900, which makes it interesting to go long.
If the price breaks above the MA50 at 3.4824, would be nice to set a
🔼buy stop order at 3.5144 with a
💰take profit at 3.8000 and a
❌stop loss at 3.2494, below the trendline.
The risk-reward ratio is 1:1.08.
Sp500S&P 500 (SPX) Technical Update:
Closing Price: 5648.39 (as of last week’s close)
Outlook: The SPX appears poised for a potential rally, with immediate resistance levels identified at 5700.00, 5800.00, and 6000.00. Based on current technical indicators and market conditions, a continuation of the bullish trend to the 5800.00 level within the next month seems plausible.
Technical Indicators Supporting a Bullish Move:
Moving Averages: The SPX is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a strong bullish trend. The positive crossover between these moving averages often signals sustained upward momentum.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is currently positioned in the bullish zone (above 50) and has not yet reached overbought conditions. This suggests that there is room for further upside before any potential reversal.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD line is above the signal line, and the histogram is in positive territory. This indicates that the momentum is favorable and supports the possibility of further gains.
Volume: Recent upward movements have been accompanied by increasing trading volume, which validates the strength of the rally and suggests that buying interest remains robust.
Summary: Given the strong technical indicators and the current market environment, the SPX is well-positioned to advance towards the 5800.00 level over the next month. Current buying opportunities appear favorable for potentially significant gains.
Ethereum Wave Analysis – 9 July 2025- Ethereum broke the resistance area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 2885.00
Ethereum cryptocurrency recently broke the resistance area located between the resistance level 2645.00 (which stopped wave 1 at the start of July) and the resistance trendline of the weekly Triangle from January.
The breakout of this resistance area accelerated the active short-term impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (3) from June.
Given the strongly bullish sentiment seen across the crypto markets today, Ethereum cryptocurrency can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 2885.00 (top of wave (1) from June).
DeGRAM | ETHUSD rebound from the support line📊 Technical Analysis
● Bounce off the purple up-trend and 2 320 support printed a bullish engulfing, maintaining the sequence of higher-lows that has guided price since April.
● Price is squeezing into an ascending triangle under 2 700-2 730, where the former wedge cap meets horizontal supply; a break projects to the 3 040 macro fib / channel roof.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Net-staking deposits keep rising while, per FXStreet (25 Jun), whales add ETH ahead of the SEC’s spot-ETF S-1 verdict, underpinning demand.
✨ Summary
Long >2 320; triangle breakout above 2 730 targets 3 040. Thesis void on a 16 h close below 2 200.
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