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Gold Futures - Potential Springtime ReversalGold futures have been on a rally, but recent price action suggests a potential shift. Could we be witnessing a Wyckoff distribution forming? Understanding Wyckoff Distribution The Wyckoff distribution pattern occurs when large institutions begin selling off their positions to retail traders before a downtrend begins. This phase is often characterized by sideways price movement, false breakouts, and key "Signs of Weakness" (SOW) that hint at an impending sell-off. A Recent Sign of Weakness in Gold Futures A possible sign of weakness in gold futures was observed recently when prices gave a false break out at what retail traders would label "key levels". Historical Seasonal Trends: Spring Reversals Looking at historical data, Moore Research Center, Inc. (MRCI.com) has tracked seasonal gold price patterns for over 40 years. Their findings indicate that gold often experiences price reversals during the spring months. This aligns with the idea that we could be heading into a seasonally weak period, increasing the likelihood of a distribution phase playing out. What Traders Should Watch For As Gold rallies back towards a new all time high we should be aware that it may be just a false break to form the final phases of a distribution schematic. This would form an upthrust, and upthrust after distribution, followed by a sharp retracement back into the range and ultimately leading to a sell off and market reversal. Final Thoughts While nothing is certain, the combination of the financial institutions footprint and historical seasonal data suggests gold traders should proceed with caution. Whether you’re trading futures or investing in physical gold, staying aware of these patterns can help you make informed decisions. Do you think a Wyckoff distribution is playing out in gold? Share your thoughts in the comments!
COMEX:GC1!
by renegadeforex
CHFJPY Under Pressure! SELL! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for CHFJPY below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 167.74 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 166.88 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
GBPUSD DAILY CHARTSConcise but more likely its just a prediction. See it for yourself, I see an accumulation for almost 30 days, most likely it goes to test the 1.28 zone. Or it will rip lower? what's your idea here! remember this is daily charts. This might take a longer trades. I would rather trade this with 1:2 ratio. the stoploss would be 1.21500. lets see the chart in the next few weeks. are we all back here!? This is not a financial advice, were back on posting. see the other charts/pairs soon. see our gold clear the previous highs! pewpew...keep grinding on fellow traders. still risking the trading for freedom. once you understand it, you don't panick anymore.
Long
by D1GITALTRADES
10
Gold (XAU/USD) 1H Chart Analysis – Key Levels & Trade Setups!Gold (XAU/USD) 1H Chart Analysis 🏆✨ 1️⃣ Support & Resistance Zones 🚧 Resistance Zones (Purple areas): 🔹 Lower resistance ~ 2,920 🔹 Upper resistance ~ 2,960 Support Zone 🛡️ around 2,900 2️⃣ Possible Price Movements 📈📉 ✅ Bullish Scenario: If price breaks above 2,920, it may surge towards 2,960 🚀💰 ❌ Bearish Scenario: If price gets rejected at 2,920, a pullback to 2,900 is likely ⚠️📉 3️⃣ Trend Analysis 📊 🔥 The price is in an uptrend after bouncing from 2,880 🔍 Watch the 2,920 level—break or rejection will decide the next big move! 💡 Trading Plan: Bullish: Wait for a breakout 🔼 above 2,920, then target 2,960 🎯 Bearish: Short if price rejects 2,920, aiming for 2,900 📉
PYTH:XAUUSD
by Jameshead007
EURUSD is preparing for a breakout of 1.053A false breakout was formed in the area of 1.0400, where sellers' stop losses were collected. After that, the price rose sharply to the key resistance at 1.053. This level limits the market from further growth Support: 1.0400, 1.0475 (key retest zone) Resistance: 1.0530, 1.0629, 1.0682 Market Structure: On the lower timeframes (4H), the price has broken the previous highs, which confirms the upward momentum. Locally, a pullback to 1.0475 is possible before the growth continues. Accumulation range: We can see a consolidation phase between 1.0400 and 1.0475, after which the price impulsively went up. The next consolidation may occur around 1.0475-1.0530 before an upside breakout. Conclusion: Expecting a correction to 1.0475 where buyers may activate. Main scenario: Continued growth to 1.0530, then to 1.0629 and 1.0682.
Long
by AndeWave
1
Gold extending relief rally as expectedAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "Quick update: Gold is Trading within Neutral waters and it is question now which side will prevail. I am in excellent position currently, Highly satisfied with my Profits without urge to Risk more on ranging market. Either #2,892.80 - #2,900.80 gets tested, or #2,852.80 benchmark. If Resistance zone rejects the Price-action, I will Sell Gold there on spot Targeting #2,852.80 benchmark once again. If however #2,900.80 gets invalidated, Short-term Bullish bias is restored." Technical analysis: Gold is currently being rejected just above the Higher High’s Upper zone trendline of the Hourly 4 chart’s Ascending Channel that started with the February #28 local Low's. Within that Channel, the Price-action (Xau-Usd Spot) always tested the Higher High's extension zone after strong local Bottom rejection, so assuming no further Fundamental news breakout (and DX doesn't make a new Low or Bond Yields (near #5-Month High’s) continue the rejection towards new Support break), I don't see why this Hourly 4 chart’s fractal won't get repeated. #2,922.80 - #2,927.80 would be a fair estimate and those who Bought Gold should start taking Profits there. If however #2,927.80 gets invalidated, that would be a Bull break-out call towards the #2,952.80 benchmark (small chances for Selling configuration then to develop subsequently). Gold is having Bullish sentiment due Trump's Tariff declaration where DX is taking strong hits with every Hourly candle and Gold benefits on the other side posing as an well known safe-haven asset. Regardless, I am expecting #3,000.80 benchmark extension on the Medium-term run, and market closing above #2,900.80 benchmark restores Short-term Bullish trend as I mentioned throughout my yesterday's session commentary. Do not expect any meaningful pullback and do not Sell Gold at all costs as long as DX is Trading on such disappointing numbers. My position: My #2,902.80 pending Buying order got triggered and is currently running in decent Profit.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by goldenBear88
Will Trump’s Tariff Wars Bring the S&P’s Uptrend to an End?Donald Trump’s latest round of tariffs has rattled global markets, reviving memories of the trade wars that defined his first term. With China, Canada, and Mexico retaliating in kind, the fear of an escalating economic conflict has sent stocks tumbling. But will this shake-up be enough to break the S&P 500’s long-term uptrend? Trump’s New Tariff Wars The sweeping trade measures target the US’s largest trade partners, imposing a 25% tariff on Canadian and Mexican imports, along with an additional 10% levy on Chinese goods. The White House has framed these moves as a response to fentanyl trafficking and border security concerns, but markets are treating them as a renewed assault on global trade. China wasted no time in hitting back, slapping tariffs on US agricultural products and restricting exports of key biotech equipment. Canada, too, announced retaliatory measures, targeting $30 billion worth of US goods. The fallout was immediate—Wall Street suffered a sharp selloff, with the S&P 500 closing nearly 2% lower and the Nasdaq shedding 2.6%. Futures suggest European stocks will follow suit, while currency markets have seen a dip in the US dollar. Is the S&P’s Uptrend Cracking? The S&P 500’s relentless 2024 uptrend has struggled to extend into 2025. The index has now failed twice to break above the December highs, breaking last year’s pattern of higher swing highs. Instead, price action has settled into a range, with resistance forming at the December, January, and February swing highs, while support sits near the January lows—right at the bottom of the early-November election gap. For swing traders, the key question is whether a bullish reversal will emerge at the lower end of this range. A strong bounce here could reinforce the current consolidation phase rather than signal a breakdown. Momentum traders, however, will be watching for a decisive break below the range, which could trigger panic selling and accelerate downside momentum. From a long-term perspective, a single shakeout isn’t enough to derail a multi-year bull market. Even a break below the 200-day moving average—while significant for shorter-term trend followers—is unlikely to change the broader outlook for long-term investors. Trends of this magnitude take time and substantial effort to reverse. S&P 500 Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
CAPITALCOM:US500
by Capitalcom
EURUSD SELL TRADE PLAN📍 Primary Short Entry (Zone 1): 1.0450 - 1.0485 (H4 OB + FVG zone). 📍 Secondary Short Entry (Zone 2): 1.0495 - 1.0510 (Deeper Liquidity Grab Entry). 📍 Final Recovery Zone (Zone 3 – Optional): 1.0530 (Extreme Stop-Hunt Zone – Only if Smart Money traps more buyers). ✅ Stop Loss (SL): Above 1.0535 (Institutional SAFE Zone – Avoids stop hunts). ✅ Take Profit (TP) Levels: TP1: 1.0400 (First Liquidity Target). TP2: 1.0370 (Major SSL Below). TP3: 1.0340 - 1.0320 (Extended TP – Higher Timeframe Imbalance). 🔥 Final Institutional Decision: Short EUR/USD on Retracement 🚀 ✔ Bias: Bearish 📉 ✔ Trade Type: Intraday / Swing Short ✔ Entry Method: Pending limit orders at OB/FVG + Confirmation Entries on M15 BOS ✔ Confidence Level: High (Smart Money BOS, Liquidity Grab, & FVG Alignment) 🚀 Final Plan: Wait for retracement into OB/FVG zone (1.0450 - 1.0485). If price rejects with confirmation (BOS, liquidity grab, or bearish engulfing), enter short. Let the trade develop while monitoring Smart Money behavior.
Short
by jibkhan111
17