Chart Patterns
ETHFI _ just went Long reading the waves and Speed IndexReading the recent history of the waves (annotations in sync with the chart):
1. Support
2. Huge volume on PVR indicator at the bottom (buyers)
3. Abnormal Speed Index 55.7 on the down wave , that's Hard to Move Down , more buyers
4. Finally the Entry on a PRL signal.
Enjoy!
PS. I have no idea what this ETHFI crypto is, I just analyzed the chart and it looked like a high probability trade.
ETHUSD 8H – Moving Toward Breakout After Months of AccumulationEthereum has been trading within a large ascending structure since April, forming consistent higher lows while repeatedly testing overhead resistance between $2,730 and $2,850. This is a classic example of a compressed range setup where buyers gradually gain strength beneath a defined ceiling, leading into a potential breakout scenario.
The chart highlights the key structural components of this setup:
An ascending support trendline has been respected for over two months, showing persistent bullish pressure on each dip.
A multi-month resistance zone has capped every breakout attempt since early May, with multiple upper wick rejections confirming this level as major overhead supply.
Most recently, ETH bounced cleanly off the rising trendline again, forming yet another higher low, reinforcing the bullish structure.
If this pattern holds, Ethereum is approaching a technical inflection point. A breakout above $2,850 with strong volume and follow-through could trigger a rapid move toward the $3,000–$3,200 range. That move would align with the measured move from the height of the ascending triangle formation.
However, if price is rejected again from resistance, the ascending trendline remains a key support level to watch for another potential retest. A breakdown below $2,400 would invalidate the pattern and open the door to a deeper retracement.
Key Technical Zones:
Support: Rising trendline from April lows (~$2,400–$2,500)
Resistance: Horizontal zone between $2,730 and $2,850
Breakout Target (on confirmation): $3,000–$3,200
Strategy Notes:
Bias remains bullish while higher lows continue to hold
Breakout setups often benefit from confirmation (candle close above resistance with volume)
Rejections from resistance could offer opportunities to re-enter at trendline support
Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar 4-Hour Chart (BTCUSD)4-hour candlestick chart displays the price movement of Bitcoin (BTC) against the U.S. Dollar (USD) from late June to early July 2025. The current price is $108,895.04, with a 24-hour change of +$619.70 (+0.57%). Key levels include a support zone around $107,278.58 and a resistance near $110,908.05. The chart highlights recent price action, including a potential upward trend indicated by a green shaded area, with buy and sell signals marked at $108,895.04.
HIVEUSDT Forming Falling WedgeHIVEUSDT is starting to attract notable attention from traders and investors who are seeking solid opportunities in the altcoin space. With good volume backing recent price movements, HIVE appears to be consolidating in a healthy range that could soon give way to an upward breakout. The project’s fundamentals, combined with its strong community engagement, make it an interesting prospect for short- to medium-term gains. Analysts are eyeing a potential price rally of around 40% to 50%+ if market sentiment remains supportive.
One of the key reasons behind the growing interest in HIVE is its consistent development activity and use case within the decentralized social media and content creation space. As blockchain-based social networks gain momentum, HIVE stands out as a pioneer with an active user base and proven on-chain activity. This makes it a compelling option for investors who want exposure to utility-driven tokens with tangible adoption.
On the technical side, traders should watch for breakouts above significant resistance levels and monitor how volume behaves during these moves. A strong surge in buying activity could confirm that bullish momentum is taking over, offering an attractive risk-reward setup. With the broader crypto market showing signs of recovery, HIVE’s setup looks promising for traders looking to capture gains in the coming weeks.
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Gold price drops to 3250Today's daily line is in the negative, rebounding in the morning, and the high point yesterday morning was 3310, and the bearish point is also at this point. It is higher than the 382 line of yesterday's decline and rebound, 3307. After the morning rebound, the current decline formed a morning downward trend. The watershed is 3308-10, today's short stop loss position. The market fell in the morning, and the strength of the rebound should not be strong. The top and bottom conversion position is 3297-98. The European session broke the bottom, and the US session continued to fall. The next double bottom support is around 3275. If the rebound is in place, it is still bearish, and the decline continues. 3258-60 line.
MBOXUSDT Forming Descending WedgeMBOXUSDT is catching the eye of many traders right now, as its technical setup hints at a significant upside potential in the near term. With volume picking up and market participants showing renewed interest, MBOX is forming a strong base that could lead to a powerful rally. The current price action suggests that bulls are quietly accumulating positions, preparing for a breakout that could deliver gains in the range of 90% to 100%+.
In the broader crypto market, MBOX continues to gain traction thanks to its unique position in the GameFi and NFT sectors. As more investors look for projects with real-world use cases and active ecosystems, MBOX stands out for its innovative approach and growing community support. This underlying strength provides additional confidence that once momentum builds, the move could be both sharp and sustained.
From a technical perspective, traders should watch for confirmation signals such as a breakout above recent resistance levels or a decisive increase in buying volume. These clues could validate the bullish scenario and trigger fresh entries from trend-following traders and swing investors. With favorable market conditions and clear risk management, this trade setup aligns well for those seeking high-potential altcoin plays.
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Btcusd techinical analysis.This BTC/USD 1-hour chart suggests a bullish breakout scenario. Here's a breakdown of key technical signals:
Key Observations:
1. Price Level: Current price is $109,582.1, with a recent rise of +0.59%.
2. Resistance Zones (Purple Boxes):
First resistance near $109,800 – $109,900.
Second (minor) resistance around $109,300 – $109,400.
Price is testing the upper resistance zone now.
3. Bullish W Pattern:
A sharp drop and recovery formed a “W” pattern—common before breakouts.
The neckline of this W is being challenged.
4. Trendline Breakout Projection (Blue Arrows):
The chart suggests a breakout projection towards $110,300 – $110,400.
This is based on the upward trajectory from the recent swing low.
5. Support Zone (Lower Purple Box):
Support established at $109,150 – $109,250.
If price
An Elliot Wave indicating a Bitcoin SupercyclePrimary cycle 3 ends approximately March 2026 at $225,000. Primary cycle 4 ends around Nov 2026 at $75,000. Primary cycle 5 and the end of cycle I ends near $400,000 in Jan 2028.
This illustrates Bob Loukas' latest thought toward an extended right translated bull Bitcoin cycle ending in early 2026 instead of the end of 2025. Then a shortened bear market that ends in Nov 2026, 4 years after the last bear cycle in Nov 2022.
Then a "left" translated cycle ending in Jan 2028 near $400,000 which completes Cycle I. It looks like a supercycle by combining the right translated current cycle with a left translated next cycle.
A good cycle strategy would be to take at least partial profit near $225,000, reaccumulate near $75,000 at the end of 2026 in anticipation of a big move up to near $400,000 by Jan 2028. A major sell at that point would be prudent. Loukas believes after a 12-16 month left translated cycle into early 2028 will be followed by a 2.5 year or more bear market to the end of 2030.
(6A1!) – Bullish Continuation SetupDescription:
6A1! (AUD/USD Futures) is currently coiling inside a symmetrical triangle structure, developing a textbook compression pattern after reclaiming a key low-volume demand zone. The price action shows signs of bullish continuation, supported by structural higher lows and the recent mitigation of a local Fair Value Gap (FVG).
Market Structure & Context:
After a sharp drop into premium demand, price formed a structural bottom near 0.6500 and began carving out higher lows.
Price is now consolidating beneath a descending trend line, forming a symmetrical triangle, typically a neutral pattern but here it follows a strong impulsive move from demand, giving it bullish continuation potential.
A Fair Value Gap (FVG) formed on the most recent impulsive candle and is now being actively tested if reclaimed and held, it could act as a launchpad for upside continuation.
Key Technical Levels:
Entry Zone: 0.65320 (Break and retest of triangle support + micro demand)
Fair Value Gap: 0.65380–0.65440 (needs a clean close above)
TP1: 0.65480 (Previous structural resistance)
TP2: 0.65670 (Full premium supply mitigation zone)
Invalidation: Below 0.65200 (would break triangle and invalidate bullish thesis)
Quantitative Confluence:
Volume tapering off within the wedge = compression
Efficient rejection of thin liquidity zone suggests institutional accumulation
Symmetrical triangle resolution statistics historically favoUr continuation of prior move (bullish impulse precedes consolidation)
Risk Considerations:
FVG rejection could trap breakout traders wait for clear close above + retest
CPI/News events during Asia or London may cause fake out wicks — avoid premature entries
Final Thoughts:
This setup offers a high-probability breakout scenario if price can hold above 0.65320 and reclaim the FVG zone. A clean breakout of the triangle and fair value gap would open the path to premium inefficiency fill around 0.65670. However, a breakdown below 0.65200 flips the script bearish and could target the lower demand block around 0.65000.
Big day for xauusd (gold)today fed (fomc ) will change the game , so i provide the level on chart. please check that levels . chart say #xauusd touch the level 3264 on negative news that level for buy and positive news for #gold 3296 and 3307 level and next t day 3328 and 3343 . so all thing on fed sir. and i am going for buy . thanks
XAUUSD Pre-FOMC SMC Setup This is a Smart Money Concept (SMC) based bullish setup on XAUUSD (Gold) ahead of the upcoming FOMC statement release. The idea builds on internal liquidity grabs, break of structures (BOS), and refined entry from a high-probability H1 bullish order block.
🧠 Price Action Narrative:
Price formed multiple Market Structure Shifts (MSS) and Breaks of Structure (BOS) following a mitigation of the higher H1 OB.
The final BOS to the upside was preceded by a sweep of short-term sell-side liquidity (marked as “$$$”), confirming bullish intent.
Price tapped into a refined H1 Order Block (OB) at ~3295.552, which also aligns with a previously unmitigated demand zone.
Clean reaction seen with strong bullish momentum pushing toward the next H1 Supply Zone (H1 SP).
🧩 Key SMC Zones:
H1 OB Entry Zone: ~3295.552
H1 SP Target Zone: 3318–3324
Invalidation Below: 3283.643 (OB low)
🕓 FOMC News Impact:
The FOMC statement in 15 minutes adds volatility potential. The bias remains bullish unless price invalidates the H1 OB. However, news-driven momentum could:
Accelerate the move into the H1 SP zone.
Induce a liquidity sweep before the actual push.
Temporarily fake out and then return to internal structure.
🎯 Trade Management Considerations:
Risk should be adjusted accordingly due to upcoming high-impact news.
Aggressive TP near the H1 SP.
Conservative traders may want to monitor how price reacts at MSS or internal resistance zones.
Usoil buy trade am holding since last week📈 USOIL Trade Update – Long Position Holding Strong Since Last Week 🔥
Guess I didn't post this last week...
Caught this buy from the demand zone around $64.16, with a clean structure shift and bullish momentum confirmation.
The market is respecting structure with higher highs and higher lows forming beautifully. As price approaches my target zone, I’m locking in profits and managing risk. Trade has been running smoothly for days 💪🏽
SL at break even now, Holding patiently for that final push to the $70+ area. Let's see how the market reacts at that key zone.
GBPUSDPrice reached a major weekly resistance and started selling with the daily giving a strong bearish engulfing last week. H4 formed a double top and started creating lower highs. H1 has formed a third bearish wedge. Waiting for clear breakout to look for shorts. Watch out for fundamentals this week.
WTI Crude Oil volatility spikeWTI prices ticked higher as renewed Houthi attacks in the Red Sea raised supply and shipping risk concerns.
A drone and speedboat strike on a Greek-operated vessel killed four crew members, marking the second attack in a day and signaling a fresh escalation after a temporary Middle East truce.
The Red Sea remains a critical route for crude flows, and heightened tensions could support oil prices due to potential disruptions.
However, US inventory data is a key counterweight:
The API reported a surprise 7.1 million barrel build in crude stockpiles last week (vs. expected 2.8M draw).
This adds to an 11 million barrel increase in inventories year-to-date, which could limit upside momentum in WTI.
Traders now await the official EIA report later today, which could confirm or challenge API’s bearish signal.
Trading Implications:
Geopolitical premium is re-entering the market—bullish for WTI in the short term.
Inventory build limits gains—if confirmed by EIA, could lead to price pullbacks.
Key levels and positioning will hinge on EIA stock data and any further escalation in shipping threats.
Bias:
Short-term: Bullish with upside risk from Red Sea conflict
Medium-term: Capped by high U.S. stock levels unless demand outlook improves
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 7120
Resistance Level 2: 7260
Resistance Level 3: 7375
Support Level 1: 6650
Support Level 2: 6460
Support Level 3: 6290
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