S&P500: Once it breaks the 1W MA50, it doesn't look back.S&P500 has turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 75.570, MACD = 96.940, ADX = 23.950) and rightly so as it is extending the rally after crossing above the 1W MA50. The Channel Up since late 2011 shows that when the index crosses above its 1W MA50, it tends to spend a notable time over it (and every contact is a buy opportunity), with the most recent example being the March 2023 - December 2024 period. The shortest such period has been in 2019, which was suddently disrupted by the black Swan event of COVID. We may have gotten out of a similar situation as Trump's tariffs disrupted the uptrend earlier this year with a huge, unexpected correction. There 1W MA200 supported and this brings us to a new 'above the 1W MA50 bullish phase', which even if it is as short as 2019, it can still target 7,000.
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Chart Patterns
BTC/USD 4H – Key Decision Zone | Trade Plan/BUY & SELL ScenarioBitcoin is at a critical decision point as price hovers around the $109,000 zone on the 4H chart.
After a strong bullish recovery and a clean structure of higher highs, BTC is currently consolidating just below major resistance at $111,893. Price action is squeezing between dynamic EMA14 support and horizontal supply, indicating a potential breakout or breakdown.
Sell if 4H candle closes below $108,500 with body confirmation.
XAU/USD remains subdued beneath 3352, with downward pressure perXAU/USD Below Pivot, Eyes on 3352 for Bullish Clarity
Gold remains pressured under the 3347 pivot and the 3352 resistance, aligning with the 1h–2h supply zone. Despite brief upside attempts, price action still struggles to gain bullish momentum.
A clear 4H close above 3352 is essential to confirm any bullish shift toward 3365. Until then, the sentiment stays bearish, especially with repeated rejections from the pivot and supply zone.
Failure to reclaim 3352-3365 could trigger further downside towards 3320 and 3295, with the support line sitting at 3295.
⸻
Key Levels
Resistance: 3352 · 3365 · 3400
Support: 3320 · 3295 · 3264
Pivot: 3347
EUR-AUD Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-AUD was trading along
The rising support line but
Now we are seeing a bearish
Breakout so we are bearish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
RSKD - breakout confirmed, now waiting for retestRiskified (RSKD) shows a textbook breakout setup: daily triangle plus 4H bullish flag. Price already broke out and is now retesting the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $5.21, which also matches the flag resistance flip and EMA cluster. This is a clean buy zone with strong technical alignment.
Volume spiked during the breakout, trend structure remains intact, and moving averages are converging — usually a precursor to strong moves. The current pullback is orderly, and if buyers show strength on this retest, the price could target $6.00, then $6.54, and potentially $7.25 (1.618 extension).
Fundamentally, Riskified offers fraud prevention tech for e-commerce. The business is benefiting from global growth in online transactions and improved margin control. While still unprofitable, recent quarters showed progress toward positive operating leverage and strong client acquisition.
Tactical plan:
— Entry on confirmation from $5.21 retest
— TP1: $6.00
— TP2: $6.54
— TP3: $7.25
— SL: below $4.90 or $4.43 support zone
You’ve been watching this one. The triangle broke. The pullback is clean. Maybe it’s time to stop watching and start participating.
#JASMY/USDT GOOD TIME TO BUY JASMY I MARK THE TARGETS#JASMY
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to break and continue upward.
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that supports the upward break.
We have a support area at the lower limit of the channel at 0.01213, acting as strong support from which the price can rebound.
We have a major support area in green that pushed the price upward at 0.01178.
Entry price: 0.01264.
First target: 0.01308.
Second target: 0.01367.
Third target: 0.01441.
To manage risk, don't forget stop loss and capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some profits and then change the stop order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please comment.
Thank you.
Rob the Wheat Market Before the Trend Escapes!🏴☠️Wheat Vault Breach: Sweet Profit Heist in Progress!🍫💰
(Thief Trader’s Swing/Day Plan – Only Bulls Allowed)
🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
We’ve cracked the code to the 🏉"WHEAT"🏉 Commodities CFD market, and now it’s time to launch a high-stakes heist based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical + fundamental analysis🔥.
🎯 Mission Objective: Infiltrate the overbought zone, where traps are set, robbers are lurking, and the market’s about to turn. The plan? Ride the bullish wave, loot the Red Zone, and vanish with sweet profits. 🏆💸
🔓 Entry Point:
"The vault is wide open!"
Buy at will — loot that bullish treasure!
⏱️ Best tactic: Set buy limits on the 15M or 30M swing low/high zones. Set alerts and stay sharp.
🛑 Stop Loss:
SL = Nearest 6H Swing Low below the MA line (520.00)
🔐 Protect your stash. Use risk-adjusted SL based on trade size and number of entries.
🎯 Target:
575.00 or escape early if the pressure builds!
⚔️ Scalper’s Note:
Only steal on the long side.
💰 Big money = Go direct
💼 Small bags = Team up with swing traders
📉 Use trailing SLs to guard your gains.
🔥Wheat Market is Bullish – Why?
☑️ Fundamentals
☑️ Macroeconomics
☑️ COT Report
☑️ Sentiment Signals
☑️ Intermarket Vibes
☑️ Seasonal Patterns
☑️ Trend Forecasts & Target Levels
👉 Dive into the data: 🔗🔗🔗
⚠️ Trading Alerts:
News releases = Danger zones!
❌ No new entries during news
✅ Trailing SL to protect ongoing raids
💥 Smash the Boost Button 💥
Support this Thief Plan and keep our crew winning daily.
💪 Rob with confidence. Win with consistency.
🎉 Thief Trading Style = Your daily cash machine.
💣Stay tuned for the next robbery blueprint!
— Your Friendly Market Criminal, 🐱👤
XAU/USD (GOLD) H1 Chart Outlook – Supply & Demand PerspectiveGold is currently consolidating in a tight range near the 3355–3358 zone, showing indecision ahead of a potential breakout. Based on supply and demand dynamics, here’s what to watch:
---
🔼 Bullish Scenario
If the H4 candle closes above 3365, this would confirm a bullish breakout above the immediate supply zone. In that case, expect upside momentum to target key resistance levels:
🎯 3385 – Minor resistance
🎯 3400 – Major resistance and potential reversal zone
A confirmed breakout with strong volume could open room for a short-term bullish rally.
---
🔽 Bearish Scenario
On the flip side, if the H4 candle closes below 3340, it would signal weakness and a possible rejection from the current range. This breakdown could shift the momentum to the downside, targeting the following support levels:
🛑 3320 – Near-term support
🛑 3300 – Critical demand zone
Failure to hold 3300 could indicate further bearish pressure in the coming sessions.
#C98/USDT#C98
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to break and continue upward.
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that supports the upward break.
We have a support area at the lower boundary of the channel at 0.0394, acting as strong support from which the price can rebound.
We have a major support area in green that pushed the price upward at 0.0371.
Entry price: 0.0435
First target: 0.0459
Second target: 0.0496
Third target: 0.0542
To manage risk, don't forget stop loss and capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some profits and then change the stop order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please comment.
Thank you.
NAS100 4H – Bullish Breakout Continuation BUY SetupUS100 (NAS100) is showing clear bullish strength after reclaiming 22,500.0, now trading around 22,718.0. The structure remains bullish, with higher highs and higher lows forming cleanly.
Buyers are still in control — looking for continuation to the upside.
---
BUY Trade Plan:
🔵 Buy Limit: 22,650.0 – 22,680.0
🛑 Stop Loss: 22,600.0
🎯 Take Profit 1: 22,800.0
🎯 Take Profit 2: 22,950.0
---
Why Buy?
✅ Strong bullish market structure.
✅ Recent pullback held above previous support levels.
✅ Momentum favoring upside continuation after minor retracement.
Smart Money likely to drive price higher after liquidity grab around 22,650 zone.
---
Summary:
Bias: BUY ONLY 🔥
Setup: Wait for price to pull back into 22,650 – 22,680, enter long on confirmation.
Risk Management: Respect SL and TP levels — no emotions.
---
💬 Are you buying NAS100 too? Drop your thoughts below!
#NAS100 #US100 #Indices #TradingView #SmartMoney #BuySetup #FrankFx14
US30 (DOW JONES) 4H – Bullish Breakout BUY Setup
US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) is pushing higher, breaking through previous resistance levels. Price is now trading at 44,586.48, confirming strong bullish momentum after reclaiming the 44,000 psychological zone.
We remain bullish — looking for continuation of this breakout.
---
BUY Trade Setup:
🔵 Buy Limit: 44,500.00 – 44,520.00
🛑 Stop Loss: 44,400.00
🎯 Take Profit 1: 44,750.00
🎯 Take Profit 2: 45,000.00
---
Why Buy?
✅ Clear bullish market structure.
✅ Price consolidating after breakout — healthy sign for continuation.
✅ Smart Money likely accumulating for next leg up.
We ride with momentum — no reason to fight the trend.
---
Summary:
Bias: BUY ONLY 🔥
Setup: Wait for price to retest 44,500 – 44,520 zone, look for rejection, then enter.
Risk Management: Respect SL — trade with discipline.
---
💬 Are you buying US30 too? Let me know your setup below!
#US30 #DowJones #Indices #TradingView #BuySetup #SmartMoney #FrankFx14
#LPT/USDT It can go up from this zone#LPT
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to break and continue upward.
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that supports the upward break.
We have a support area at the lower boundary of the channel at 5.77, acting as strong support from which the price can rebound.
We have a major support area in green that pushed the price higher at 5.40.
Entry price: 6.20
First target: 6.45
Second target: 6.78
Third target: 7.145
To manage risk, don't forget stop loss and capital management.
XAUUSD Forming Triangle Pattern – Eyeing Breakout After Wave (e)🚨 Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis – 3H Chart
Gold is currently forming a classic contracting triangle pattern (ABCDE), with wave (e) in progress. Price is bouncing from a strong buyers’ zone near 3269.60, showing signs of upward pressure.
📊 Current Structure:
Wave count: (a)-(b)-(c)-(d)-(e)
Consolidation within a symmetrical triangle
Key support: 3269.60
Resistance zone to watch: 3408.00
📈 Potential Scenario:
If price holds above the buyer’s zone, we can expect a bullish wave (e) push towards the upper trendline at 3408, potentially leading to a breakout continuation.
📍 Trade Plan (Educational Purpose):
Long Setup Valid Above: 3269.60
Target: 3408.00
Stop Loss (SL): Below 3260 (based on your risk profile)
---
🧠 Why This Matters?
This triangle setup often leads to strong breakout moves, especially in commodities like gold during fundamental uncertainty or dollar index shifts. The market is compressing — be prepared for the breakout move.
---
📢 Follow for more clean Elliott Wave + Price Action setups!
💬 Drop your analysis in the comments. Let’s grow together!
#LPT/USDT#LPT
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is expected to break and continue upward.
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average once again.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that supports the upward break.
We have a support area at the lower boundary of the channel at 5.77, acting as strong support from which the price can rebound.
We have a major support area in green that pushed the price higher at 5.40.
Entry price: 6.20
First target: 6.45
Second target: 6.78
Third target: 7.145
To manage risk, don't forget stop loss and capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some profits and then change the stop order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please comment.
Thank you.
Review and plan for 4th July 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Swing ideas.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see our 4H chart update, following on from our 1h chart update. Once again, no surprise with our levels playing out to perfection!!
We started the week with both our Bearish 3242 and Bullish 3301 targets hit. This followed with a ema5 cross and lock above 3301 to confirm a continuation into 3370. We got the push up, over 600 pips but just short of the full gap to 3370.
We are now seeing playing between 3301 and 3370, keeping in mind the full gap to 3370 remains open, as long as ema5 remains above 3301.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3301 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3301 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3370
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3370 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3429
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3499
BEARISH TARGETS
3242 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3242 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3171
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3089
3171
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3089
3001
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
BTC – Holding or Rolling?BTC has pushed up from the late June low and is now testing the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement zone from the prior downswing. Price is currently sitting around 109.5K–110K, directly in a high-confluence rejection area. This level aligns with the top of the recent range, 78.6% retracement, Bollinger Band resistance, and the zone where the last breakdown began.
While the move resembles a double bottom or W-pattern on first glance, structure invalidates the bullish case:
The second low was lower than the first, breaking symmetry.
The second high is still lower than the June high near 111.9K.
RSI made a lower high while price made a higher high — classic momentum divergence.
Volume has not increased meaningfully on the bounce, suggesting a lack of strong buyer commitment.
Until BTC reclaims and holds above 111.9K on strong volume, this looks like a lower high inside a broader downtrend.
Short Setup Thesis
Entry Zone:
109.5K–110.5K (zone of rejection, aligned with 78.6% Fib and prior supply)
Stop Loss Zone:
Above 112K–113K (a full reclaim of prior highs would invalidate the setup)
Target Zones:
TP1: 102K–100K (local support range and prior consolidation area)
TP2: 97K–95K (Fibonacci cluster and volume shelf)
TP3: 91K–88K (structure low and potential sweep zone)
Break Trigger / Confirmation:
A daily close below 106K–105K would confirm bearish continuation. Weak retests into this zone would provide additional short entry opportunities.
EURUSD – Bearish Reversal Confirmed After Structural BreakEURUSD has shifted out of its bullish environment after a sustained rally inside a clean ascending channel. Price recently rejected a resistance zone that capped previous buying pressure and has now started to rotate downward. This marks the first serious challenge to the trend and sets the tone for a potential bearish phase.
Channel Breakdown and Price Behavior
The ascending channel had been respected for several sessions, guiding price upward with consistent higher highs and higher lows. The recent breakdown from this structure is significant, as it shows the market is no longer willing to support higher prices within that controlled environment. This type of breakout often signals a loss of momentum and increased volatility in the opposite direction.
Break of the Low and Shift in Structure
After breaking the channel, price also took out a major internal low, which had previously held during retracements. This is a key signal of a structural shift, confirming that the uptrend has been interrupted. When price breaks a low that buyers had been defending, it shows sellers have stepped in with conviction and are likely aiming lower targets.
Short-Term Target and Reaction Zone
The first area of interest sits just below current price where a support shelf and price inefficiencies line up. This zone, marked with the dollar sign symbol on the chart, may attract a short-term reaction. If buyers are still present, this is where they would likely try to step in. However, the rejection from resistance and the structural break suggest this level could eventually give way.
Imbalance Zone Below and Liquidity Target
If that support fails, the next high-probability draw is the large untested imbalance sitting further below. This zone has remained untouched since the rally began and represents unfinished business for the market. Price often seeks out these inefficiencies, especially after trend shifts, making it a natural target for sellers if momentum continues.
Conclusion
EURUSD is showing clear signs of bearish pressure after rejecting resistance, breaking structure, and leaving behind unmitigated downside targets. As long as we remain below the broken low, the path of least resistance points lower. The imbalance zone below remains the key destination unless the market shows signs of reversal higher.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAUUSD forecast For my forecast we see market should be make a structure .in this structure my observation is Market make today buy side liquidity 3366 and other side also make sell side liquidity 3311 but is not fixed because day was not close if market price hunt liquidity strong bearish mode than we found new lower low otherwise we saw bullish correction if market price mitigated recent FVG than target will be hunting buy side liquidity its my thought .
Sui (SUI): Either We See Huge Drop or Huge Pump | 200EMA is KeySui is back near the 200EMA, where last time we had a strong rejection and movement to lower zones, which would have been an amazing entry for short.
So this time we will not miss the big move; we are looking either for a proper MSB to form to enter a short position here or a proper break of local high (BOS), which would give us a good opportunity for a long.
Swallow Academy