GOLD: Short Trade with Entry/SL/TP
GOLD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GOLD
Entry - 3391.03
Stop - 3394.3
Take - 3384.2
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Chart Patterns
Deepak Fertilisers- mera Ghar kaa DEEP!!📊 Summary:
Deepak Fertilizers has successfully broken out of a Cup and Handle pattern with a weekly close above ₹1450, confirming a strong bullish trend. RSI supports the move, and price action aligns with classic breakout behavior.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
Pattern: Cup & Handle formation – bullish continuation setup.
Breakout Zone: ₹1450 breached on weekly closing basis.
Stoploss: Revised to ₹1414 (recent swing low and pattern base).
Immediate Resistance: ₹1637 (recent high – minor resistance).
Next Target Zone: ₹1750–₹1850 (based on cup depth projection and pattern breakout).
RSI (14): 69.17 – just below overbought zone, strong momentum.
Volume: 1.24M – confirms breakout strength with good participation.
✅ Suggestions:
Trend Confirmation: Weekly close above ₹1450 = Confirmed uptrend.
Buy on Dips: Any retest toward ₹1450–₹1475 could be a good entry zone.
Short-Term Targets: ₹1650–₹1700
Medium-Term Targets: ₹1800–₹2000 (Cup & Handle measured move)
Stoploss (Trailing): ₹1414 (weekly close basis) – can be revised higher as price progresses.
RSI Alert: Watch if RSI crosses into 70–75 zone – that may signal potential overbought conditions; partial profit booking advised.
⚠️ Caution:
After a sharp breakout, minor pullbacks are natural – don’t panic on short-term dips.
Avoid chasing the price – wait for consolidation or minor retracement to enter.
📌 Conclusion:
Deepak Fertilizers has entered a strong bullish phase post a confirmed Cup and Handle breakout. Momentum is healthy, supported by volume and RSI. Maintain a bullish stance with a trailing stop below ₹1414, and ride the trend toward ₹1750+ over the coming months.
CHESS/USDTKey Level Zone: 0.07100 - 0.07180
LMT v2.0 detected.
The setup looks promising—price previously trended upward with rising volume and momentum, then retested this zone cleanly. This presents an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity if momentum continues to align.
Introducing LMT (Levels & Momentum Trading)
- Over the past 3 years, I’ve refined my approach to focus more sharply on the single most important element in any trade: the KEY LEVEL.
- While HMT (High Momentum Trading) served me well—combining trend, momentum, volume, and structure across multiple timeframes—I realized that consistently identifying and respecting these critical price zones is what truly separates good trades from great ones.
- That insight led to the evolution of HMT into LMT – Levels & Momentum Trading.
Why the Change? (From HMT to LMT)
Switching from High Momentum Trading (HMT) to Levels & Momentum Trading (LMT) improves precision, risk control, and confidence by:
- Clearer Entries & Stops: Defined key levels make it easier to plan entries, stop-losses, and position sizing—no more guesswork.
- Better Signal Quality: Momentum is now always checked against a support or resistance zone—if it aligns, it's a stronger setup.
- Improved Reward-to-Risk: All trades are anchored to key levels, making it easier to calculate and manage risk effectively.
- Stronger Confidence: With clear invalidation points beyond key levels, it's easier to trust the plan and stay disciplined—even in tough markets.
Whenever I share a signal, it’s because:
- A high‐probability key level has been identified on a higher timeframe.
- Lower‐timeframe momentum, market structure and volume suggest continuation or reversal is imminent.
- The reward‐to‐risk (based on that key level) meets my criteria for a disciplined entry.
***Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved.
Important Note: The Role of Key Levels
- Holding a key level zone: If price respects the key level zone, momentum often carries the trend in the expected direction. That’s when we look to enter, with stop-loss placed just beyond the zone with some buffer.
- Breaking a key level zone: A definitive break signals a potential stop‐out for trend traders. For reversal traders, it’s a cue to consider switching direction—price often retests broken zones as new support or resistance.
My Trading Rules (Unchanged)
Risk Management
- Maximum risk per trade: 2.5%
- Leverage: 5x
Exit Strategy / Profit Taking
- Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5).
- Typically sell 50% during a high‐volume spike.
- Move stop‐loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 R:R.
- Exit at breakeven if momentum fades or divergence appears.
The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. LMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement.
If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it.
Thank you for your support~
Sharing this with love!
From HMT to LMT: A Brief Version History
HM Signal :
Date: 17/08/2023
- Early concept identifying high momentum pullbacks within strong uptrends
- Triggered after a prior wave up with rising volume and momentum
- Focused on healthy retracements into support for optimal reward-to-risk setups
HMT v1.0:
Date: 18/10/2024
- Initial release of the High Momentum Trading framework
- Combined multi-timeframe trend, volume, and momentum analysis.
- Focused on identifying strong trending moves high momentum
HMT v2.0:
Date: 17/12/2024
- Major update to the Momentum indicator
- Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection
- New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals
HMT v3.0:
Date: 23/12/2024
- Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation
- Improved potential for momentum-based plays
- Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks
HMT v3.1:
Date: 31/12/2024
- Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios
HMT v4.0:
Date: 05/01/2025
- Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling
HMT v4.1:
Date: 06/01/2025
- Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis
HMT v5 :
Date: 23/01/2025
- Refined wave analysis for trending conditions
- Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability
- Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy
HMT v6 :
Date : 15/02/2025
- Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis
HMT v7 :
Date : 20/03/2025
- Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment
HMT v8 :
Date : 16/04/2025
- Fully restructured strategy logic
HMT v8.1 :
Date : 18/04/2025
- Refined Take Profit (TP) logic to be more conservative for improved win consistency
LMT v1.0 :
Date : 06/06/2025
- Rebranded to emphasize key levels + momentum as the core framework
LMT v2.0
Date: 11/06/2025
- Fully restructured lower timeframe (LTF) momentum logic
XAU/USD One-Hour Chart:Buy Position Setup (Breakout Upside)
Buy Stop Entry: 3,405
Stop Loss: 3,365
Take Profit (TP1): 3,451
Rationale:
Price is consolidating in a symmetrical triangle (highlighted in purple).
A breakout above 3,405 will signal bullish momentum continuation.
RSI supports potential bullish divergence, shown by rising momentum.
🔸 Sell Position Setup (Breakdown Downside)
Sell Stop Entry: 3,365
Stop Loss: 3,405
Take Profit (TP1): 3,331
Rationale:
If price breaks below the lower boundary of the consolidation zone, bearish continuation is expected.
Downside breakout confirmation with RSI showing prior bearish divergence.
💡 Strategy:
This is a two-way trade plan based on a breakout from consolidation. Enter the direction in which price breaks—up or down—using stop orders with tight SLs for controlled risk.
CHEMPLAST SANMAR LTD - Weekly Analysis🔍 Summary:
Chemplast Sanmar has been in a prolonged downtrend after peaking near ₹750. Price recently respected key Fibonacci retracement zones and horizontal support near ₹420. Currently, it is attempting to break a falling trendline, with RSI also showing early signs of strength.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
Trend: Downtrend since July 2023 with consistent lower highs.
Support Zone: ₹420–₹410 (well tested multiple times)
Resistance Zone: ₹450–₹460 (confluence of horizontal and falling trendline)
Fibonacci Levels: Key retracement at 0.786 (~₹420) has held.
Fibonacci Extension: 1.618 level projects target near ₹843 (only on strong reversal).
RSI (14): Currently at 47.38, slightly below 50 but showing a breakout above the RSI trendline.
Volume: Moderate, but increasing near support – a sign of accumulation.
⚠️ Observations & Mistakes to Avoid:
RSI divergence and breakout from RSI downtrend line is bullish, but confirmation on price is still pending.
Volume hasn't spiked significantly yet – wait for volume confirmation before large position.
The downtrend line is still intact on price – do not pre-emptively assume breakout.
✅ Suggestions:
Breakout Watch: A weekly close above ₹455–₹460 with volume will confirm breakout from the falling wedge pattern.
Risk Management: Stop loss for long positions below ₹410 on weekly closing basis.
Upside Targets (Post Breakout):
₹490 (Initial target)
₹530 (Fibonacci resistance)
₹590+ (Medium-term)
Avoid Fresh Shorts unless price breaks and closes below ₹410.
📌 Conclusion:
Chemplast Sanmar is at a decisive juncture. A breakout from the falling trendline with volume could initiate a trend reversal. RSI is improving, and horizontal support has held well. Keep it on radar for potential breakout entry
Bitcoin may rebound from support line of wedge and start to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Initially, the price was trading inside a well-defined range, moving sideways with repeated rejections from both support and resistance. After several attempts to stay above the support zone, BTC finally broke down and sharply declined below the 104000 level, entering the buyer zone. However, the decline was short-lived. Price quickly rebounded from the lower boundary and formed a strong bullish candle, suggesting that buyers were still active. After this recovery, BTC began forming a wedge pattern, with a gradually narrowing structure between the resistance line and the ascending support line. This kind of price action typically signals a buildup of pressure and potential breakout. Currently, BTC is once again testing the support line of the wedge and hovering near the buyer zone, where it previously reversed. This level has proven significant and is now being retested. Given the current structure, the wedge formation, and price behavior near the support, I expect BTC to rebound from this zone and start climbing back toward the upper resistance area. My current TP 1 is set at 106800 points, which aligns with the mid-level of the previous impulse zone and the inner resistance of the wedge. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Multi Year Silver BreakOut to USD 42.11We're looking at XAGUSD breaking out to USD 42.11 after several years of being in consolidation and storing a lot of suppressed energy/ momentum which has broken out a few weeks back. This is also supported by a Gold Silver ratio exceeding 100 and as of now cooling down below 95.
The bulls rise strongly and continue to rise after falling backFrom the 4-hour analysis, today's support is around 3345-50. If the intraday retracement relies on this position, the main bullish trend will remain unchanged. The short-term bullish strong dividing line is 3320-25. Before the daily level falls below this position, any retracement is a long opportunity. Maintain the main tone of participating in the trend.
Gold operation strategy:
1. If gold falls back to 3340-45 and does not break, go long, stop loss 3335, target 3375-3380, continue to hold if it breaks
How to position gold in the week of the Federal Reserve’s decisiAs last week came to a close, further geopolitical tensions in the Middle East pushed market risk aversion to its highest level in nearly two months. This round of rising prices was driven by multiple factors. Among them, the weak inflation data released by the United States last week further strengthened the market's expectations for the Fed's loose monetary policy, thereby increasing the attractiveness of gold assets. In the short term, gold prices are expected to continue to be supported by risk aversion on Monday. In addition, the market this week needs to focus on the impact of the Fed's interest rate decision and Chairman Powell's speech on gold prices. Everyone should pay close attention to the price fluctuations that may be caused by the Fed's policy trends. It is particularly important to note that US President Trump plans to attend the G7 summit in Canada from June 15 to 17. His policy statements during the summit may also have an important impact on the gold market. Investors are advised to keep an eye on it.
Technically, the daily level reminds us to focus on the key resistance range of 3455-3460: if this area fails to break through effectively, the price may face a technical correction; if it breaks through, it may open up further upward space. The 4-hour period chart analysis shows that the gold price maintains a unilateral upward trend, the Bollinger Band channel continues to expand, and the moving average system maintains a complete long arrangement. Two major support levels need to be monitored this week: 3420 constitutes a short-term long-short watershed, and if this position is maintained, the price will maintain its strong characteristics; 3410-3405 is a key trend support level. If it is not effectively broken, the long structure will continue.
Operation strategy:
Gold recommends buying long positions near 3420-3415, stop loss at 3407, and target 3440-3460
GOLD Short trade setup.This chart shows a Gold Spot (XAU/USD) trade setup on the 30-minute timeframe, using Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Here's the breakdown:
🟩 Chart Analysis
OB (Order Block): Marked as a zone of supply, where price previously dropped sharply. This is considered a strong resistance area.
Entry Zone: Positioned inside the OB. The trader expects the price to tap into this zone before reversing.
📉 Trade Setup
Entry: Near the top of the OB, around 3,395.14 – 3,397.50
Stop Loss: Above the OB at 3,401.06
Target 1: 3,388.20 – a recent minor support level.
Target 2: 3,378.53 – deeper support, aligning with a previous demand zone.
🔁 Expected Price Action
Price rises into the OB/Entry Zone.
Rejection from that zone.
Pullback, followed by a bearish continuation.
Hit Target 1, then move toward Target 2.
🎯 Strategy Insight
This setup uses supply zone rejection and liquidity engineering to catch a potential short (sell) trade after a bullish retracement. It's a classic SMC-based reversal trade.
XAUUSD 15M CHART PATTERNThe chart you’ve shared appears to be a 15-minute timeframe for Gold CFDs (XAU/USD), published on June 18, 2025. Here's a breakdown of the technical analysis and the trade setup depicted:
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🔍 Chart Breakdown
1. Downtrend Channel (Blue):
Price previously moved within a descending channel.
The breakout to the upside from this channel suggests potential trend reversal or retracement.
2. Horizontal Green Boxes:
Represent key support/resistance zones.
The largest green box outlines a consolidation zone or accumulation area.
3. Trade Setup:
Entry Point: Around 3,390–3,391 USD.
Stop Loss: Around 3,373.418 USD.
First Take Profit (TP1): Around 3,405–3,410 USD.
Second Take Profit (TP2): Around 3,430–3,435 USD.
4. Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR):
Appears to offer a favorable RRR, potentially 2:1 or greater, especially if TP2 is hit.
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🧠 Interpretation
This is a long (buy) setup, assuming the market will break above the consolidation range.
Price action suggests a bullish breakout is anticipated.
The double Take Profit levels allow for scaling out of the position partially to lock in gains.
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⚠ Considerations
Be cautious of false breakouts above consolidation zones.
The setup assumes continuation based on a reversal from the downtrend.
Consider monitoring volume and macro news (e.g., FOMC, CPI, etc.), as Gold is sensitive to economic indicators.
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Would you like me to:
Backtest a similar setup?
Calculate exact RRR?
Analyze this in a different timeframe?
Gold to $3500-$3600Gold broke out of a two touch point downwards trend line recently and retested a previous swing high of around $3475. Since the swing high retest gold has dropped back to a retest of the trendline that was broken. Price has been holding above the lower green trend line with multiple touch points. With continued economic uncertainty among retail investors gold still stands as a safe haven investment so In the short term I can see it going to $3500 or even $3600.
If the lower trend line has a candle close below it then do not go long into this trade.
XBRUSD is moving within the 65.95 - 76.55 range👀 Possible scenario:
Oil prices eased on June 18, with Brent trading near $75.15 per barrel, as traders awaited the U.S. Fed’s rate decision and monitored Iran-Israel tensions.
The Feed is expected to hold rates steady, but concerns over slowing global growth and Middle East instability could influence future cuts. Analysts warn that conflict-driven price spikes may fuel inflation, complicating policy moves. Markets are also watching the Strait of Hormuz, a key route for 20% of global oil. While a full Iranian export hell could be offset by OPEC+ spare capacity, a blockade would severely disrupt flows, especially to Asia. Despite risks, Commerzbank noted the market remains well supplied, with slow demand growth and rising OPEN+ output. However, ongoing trade disputes may weigh on future demand.
✅ Support and Resistance Levels
Now, the support level is located at 65.95.
Resistance levels are now located at 76.55 .
GOLD Made Inverted H&S Pattern , Long Scalping Ready !Here is my 15 mins chart on gold and we have a reversal pattern , ( inverted head & shoulders ) and we have a clear closure above our neckline so we can buy it to get the target and then wait for the news tonight and then decide the new direction after news effect .
EURUSD broke the Support level 1.14865👀 Possible scenario:
The euro (EUR) rose 0.07% on June 16, supported by safe-haven flows as geopolitical tensions escalated. The move followed U.S. calls for evacuation from Tehran after intensified Israeli strikes, with former President Trump blaming Iran for rejecting a nuclear deal.
Markets now eye the Fed’s upcoming policy decision and June 17’s U.S. Retail Sales report at 12:30 p.m. UTC. Strong data may push EURUSD down toward 1.15000, while weaker numbers could lift it back to 1.16300. Peace talk updates between Israel and Iran may also impact sentiment.
✅ Support and Resistance Levels
Now, the support level is located at 1.14740
Resistance level is located at 1.16330
AUDNZD Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the AUDNZD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.0786
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.0770
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) 4-Hour Chart4-hour candlestick chart displays the price movement of Gold Spot (XAU) against the U.S. Dollar (USD) from June 4 to June 18, 2025. The current price is 3,391.79, reflecting a +3.61 (+0.11%) change. The chart highlights a recent upward trend with a notable peak, followed by a slight pullback. Key price levels are marked, ranging from 3,320.00 to 3,420.14, with technical analysis indicators such as a resistance zone (pink) and a support zone (light green) overlaid.