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Most likely scenario for BitcoinI am tired of all analysts just saying that we are going down to 70k or up to 200k in one go. So let me add a small informative chart for all people new or lost. Don't get me wrong, i am bullish mid and long term but right now we are in the middle of a strong correction but shouln't last long. We could have been super bullish above 106k but the price broke down with strength. Now we see a super clear 5 wave movement down. Currently we are in the 4 wave, trying to bounce back to the 106k area and doing a classic 4 wave ABC correction. The bounce lacks volume so the most likely scenario is completing the 5 wave. We might get to the 101k area and ONLY THEN we can see what could happen. If you are a futures trader, do it with caution and small leverage. If you are a long term investor, these are perfect areas to buy more. Good day to everyone.
Short
by baezlmarco
1
Bitcoin📉 Bitcoin price might be showing weakness… but it’s deeper than that. Uncertainty in the global market, including the ongoing Iran-Israel conflict, is creating pressure on risk assets like BTC. Investors are shifting capital, signaling fear and caution. This could also be a clue that interest rates may not be cut soon, keeping financial conditions tight and slowing down the economy further. 🏦💥 When there's no clear direction from the Fed and geopolitics dominate the headlines, liquidity dries up and Bitcoin feels it first. Stay alert. Volatility is not going anywhere.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TheMoney_Association
1
AUDNZD BULISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISAUDNZD is currently trading around 1.078 and is on the verge of a classic falling wedge breakout, which is a bullish reversal pattern typically seen after a downtrend. Price action has been compressing within this wedge formation, suggesting an imminent breakout as market pressure builds. A decisive close above the descending trendline would be a powerful signal of bullish continuation, with a near-term upside target of 1.086. The structure has held multiple rejections at both resistance and support, highlighting strong accumulation behavior from institutional participants. Fundamentally, the Australian dollar is gaining relative strength due to the Reserve Bank of Australia maintaining a hawkish tone, supported by persistent inflation and labor market resilience. In contrast, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand recently surprised the market by signaling a potential end to its hiking cycle, citing slower growth and inflation moderation. This divergence in monetary policy outlook is creating favorable conditions for AUDNZD bulls, particularly as global risk appetite improves and commodity-linked currencies gain traction. Technically, this 4-hour chart pattern aligns perfectly with recent AUD strength across the board, particularly in pairs like AUDUSD and AUDJPY which have broken key resistance levels. The tight consolidation near the wedge’s upper boundary, coupled with bullish candlestick formations, suggests buyers are stepping in ahead of the breakout. With a clean invalidation below 1.075, the risk-reward ratio here is compelling, especially for momentum traders looking to catch an impulsive leg higher toward 1.086 and beyond. This setup is high-conviction. AUDNZD is poised for a breakout that aligns with both technical and macro fundamentals. As a professional trader, I’m tracking this setup closely, and any confirmation candle above the trendline will trigger my entry. I expect bullish continuation in line with AUD’s broader strength and NZD’s underperformance.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
1
Is #ETC Ready For a Breakdown or Will it Recover From Here? Yello Paradisers! Have you checked what’s unfolding on #ETCUSDT lately? Let's look at the latest moves of #EthereumClassic: 💎#ETC has been trading inside a descending triangle for weeks, and once again, it failed to break above its strong descending resistance line, with the 50 & 200 EMAs acting as a dynamic ceiling on every rally attempt. These two indicators are stacking against the bulls, reinforcing the overhead pressure and keeping ETC pinned below key resistance levels. 💎The red zone between $18.60 and $19.20 has been acting as a strong resistance area and that’s exactly where the last bounce got rejected. The setup is clear: as long as price remains below this red supply zone, any short-term bullish case is invalidated. Each rejection here only fuels further downside conviction. 💎Unless we see a high-volume breakout and hold above $19.20, the structure remains extremely vulnerable. This is the invalidation level for the bearish thesis. If bulls can't flip that, the current pattern suggests continuation to the downside. 💎#ETCUSD is currently hovering around $16.50, with short-term bounces being aggressively absorbed. The mid-term support zone around $12.49 is likely the first magnet for price, but don’t get too comfortable there. The real target lies deeper: the strong support zone around $10.78 is shaping up to be the key smart money reaccumulation area if the selling intensifies. This is where real interest may return—but only after retail gets flushed. Trade smart, Paradisers. This setup will reward only the disciplined. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
1
NZDCAD SELL TRADE PLANNZD/CAD – 18 June 2025 📋 PLAN OVERVIEW Parameter Details Type Swing Short Direction 🔻 Bearish Status ✅ Active Setup Forming R:R 1:3 (Base Targeted) Confidence ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (88%) – Clean HTF Compression Structure 📈 MARKET BIAS & TRADE TYPE Price is operating within a highly coiled D1/H4 compression range, after a clean rejection off a prior supply shelf at 0.8245–0.8260. The current move down is structurally aligned with a larger HTF BOS event from late May, where price failed to sustain above 0.8300 and dropped impulsively. 📌 Trade Type: Continuation (Supply Rejection)
📌 Bias Origin: D1 CHoCH + H4 OB rejection + Minor FVG fill 🔰 CONFIDENCE FACTORS Component Weight Score HTF Structure (D1 CHoCH, H4 OB) 35% ✅ Liquidity Logic (Equal Highs, Wick Sweeps) 25% ✅ Macro/Sentiment (NZD Weak, CAD Neutral) 25% ⚠️ Mixed Volume & Reaction History 15% ✅ Total Confidence Score: 88% ✅ 📍 ENTRY ZONES Zone Range Type Confidence 🟦 Zone 1 0.8238–0.8258 H4 OB (Refined) ⭐⭐⭐⭐ 🟧 Zone 2 0.8285–0.8300 D1 FVG Tap + Inducement ⭐⭐⭐ 📌 Price currently below Zone 1 → Awaiting retrace or rejection wick for tactical entry.
📌 Both zones are supply-driven and lie above recent BOS. ❗ STOP LOSS LOGIC * Zone 1 SL: Above 0.8265 (Above OB + wick) * Zone 2 SL: Above 0.8305 (Breaks structure + clears inducement) 🎯 TAKE PROFIT LEVELS TP Level Reason TP1 0.8180 Intra-day LTF structure shelf TP2 0.8145 D1 reaction zone & minor support TP3 0.8100 HTF liquidity pocket / imbalance draw 🧠 TRADE MANAGEMENT LOGIC * Entry 1/2 if Zone 1 taps with H1 engulfing * Entry 1/2 if Zone 2 taps and confirms with volume/sweep * SL to breakeven on TP1 * Reduce size at TP2, trail remainder with H1 fractal levels * Fully exit if HTF BOS against plan occurs below TP1 ⚠️ ENTRY CONFIRMATION CONDITIONS Confirmation Required H1 Bearish Engulfing ✅ Volume Spike / Sweep Wick ✅ NY or London Session Trigger ✅ 📌 Market orders allowed only if all 3 are met after OB tap ⏳ TRADE VALIDITY WINDOW Zone Duration Zone 1 Valid for 18–24h (London–NY overlap ideal) Zone 2 Valid up to 48h ❌ INVALIDATION * H1 close above 0.8305 * Bullish structure flip on H4 🌐 MACRO SNAPSHOT Asset Condition NZD Weak – no supportive macro/fundamentals CAD Oil-neutral – no major directional catalyst Risk Sentiment Risk-off supportive of CAD Macro Alignment: Partial ✅ (supports downside bias) ✅ FINAL TRADE SUMMARY Entry SL TP1 / TP2 / TP3 R:R Status 0.8248 0.8265 0.8180 / 0.8145 / 0.8100 ~1:3
Short
by jibkhan111
4
EURGBP - Bullish No More!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 EURGBP has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue. And it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel. Moreover, the orange zone is a strong weekly resistance. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper blue trendline and resistance. 📚 As per my trading style: As #EURGBP is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
2
Tesla - This bullish break and retest!Tesla - NASDAQ:TSLA - confirmed the bullish reversal: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) Tesla recently created a very bullish break and retest. Therefore together with the monthly bullish price action, the recent rally was totally expected. But despite the short term volatility, Tesla remains bullish, is heading higher and will soon create new highs. Levels to watch: $400 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by basictradingtv
15
Gold falls back and then risesThe recent market has been up and down, and the long and short positions have been frequently switched. Many investment friends are caught off guard or don’t know where to start. As soon as they buy, the price drops, and when they exit, the price rises. In fact, this is the situation that many novice friends will encounter. Here I tell you that when trading, first of all, do not trade frequently. Secondly, you need to have a precise control of the market and stick to your own trading system. Analysis of gold trend: Today, the strength of gold is very weak. It is just a wave of highs. It quickly fell below the 3400 mark. Keeping above the key point of 3400, gold continues to be bullish. Now after falling below 3400, the short-term has gone out of the small-level top, and the market is no longer so strong. For our short-term operations, the short-term correction of gold prices focuses on the daily cycle MA5 support and the weekly MA5 support to go long. Pay attention to the 3403-3408 resistance card short on the rebound. You can follow the short, but it can only be short-term! Although gold has fallen below 3400, the short-term direction has changed, but the general direction has not changed. It is still bullish. In the future, we still have the opportunity to look at the high point of 3500, but we have to wait for the bottom to stabilize. Now we can only follow the trend. We will do what the market does. We will go short in the rebound in the next two days! From a technical perspective, the current 4-hour MACD high dead cross with large volume, and the smart indicator STO is running oversold, which represents the 4-hour oscillation trend. The current 4-hour Bollinger Band three-track narrowing also represents the range compression. The current 4-hour upper pressure is located at the adhesion point of the middle track and the moving average MA10 at 3404-3409, and the corresponding support is the 3380-3363 line near the moving average MA30 and MA10. From the current 4-hour perspective, if the price is to fall directly, the rebound will not exceed the 3420-3422.5 line. The current 1-hour MACD dead cross of gold is shrinking and sticking, and the smart indicator STO is running downward, indicating that the hourly line continues to oscillate weakly. What we need to pay attention to now is the adhesion and suppression of the upper moving average MA60 and MA30 corresponding to the 3412 line. Pay attention to the resistance of 3403 in the short term. Today's short-term operation of gold recommends rebound shorting as the main, and callback long as the auxiliary, and pay attention to the support of 3380-3370 in the short term. Gold operation strategy: It is recommended to go short near 3410-12, stop loss at 3420, target at 3390-3380, break at 3370;
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WardBloomer
1
EURUSD H2 Best Levels to BUY/SELL and Market Update🏆 EURUSD Market Update m20 short-term trade 📊 Technical Outlook 🔸Short-term: BEARS 1275 🔸1500/1540 short sell rips/rallies 🔸Mid-Term outlook: BULLS 1750 🔸bulls buy low 1250/1275 reload 🔸bulls exit at 1750 swing trade 🔸Price Target Bears: 1250/1275 🔸Price Target Bulls: 1750 🌍 Macro & Political Drivers U.S. tax & spending concerns: The Congressional Budget Office now projects President Trump's tax‑and‑spending bill will raise deficits by about $2.8 trillion over the next decade. This massive debt addition is pressuring the U.S. dollar, as rising Treasury issuance and weaker fiscal confidence weigh on demand. Geopolitical tensions: Escalation in the Israel–Iran conflict is pushing investors toward the safe-haven U.S. dollar. The DXY jumped to around 98.80 as President Trump’s remarks on Iran sent the EUR/USD down to approximately 1.1484. EU developments: ECB officials, including Christine Lagarde, are doubling down on strengthening Europe’s financial infrastructure to elevate the euro as a viable alternative to the dollar — calling this a “global euro moment.” Key resistance is around 1.1550–1.1575; downside support zones near 1.1450 and broader range 1.1360–1.1420 remain intact, though current levels suggest consolidation above the lower range. Strength from safe-haven flows could stall upward momentum. 📊 ECB Policy & Inflation Signals The ECB cut rates by 25 bp last week to 2.0%, reinforcing the message that inflation remains subdued (1.9% in May) and prompting a data-driven, meeting-by-meeting decision approach. ECB speakers stress “agile pragmatism” given global uncertainties, citing the euro’s ~10% rally year-to-date but cautioning amid rising oil prices and geopolitical risks. ⚡ What to Watch Next Catalyst Outlook U.S. yields & bond auctions More issuance tied to tax plans could steepen the curve and support the USD. Middle East headlines Escalation may continue to offer dollar safe-haven benefits, pressuring EUR/USD. EU economic data Inflation softness (e.g., France) could weaken ECB’s stance, re-pressuring the euro. Technical levels Watch 1.1450 support—holds for possible rebound; resistance 1.1550–1.1575 for upside pressure. ✅ Summary Current: EUR/USD around 1.1484, with bearish tilt amid risk aversion. Bull case: Ongoing U.S. fiscal weakness, delayed tariffs, and ECB support for euro could cap downside. Bear case: Safe-haven demand from geopolitical tensions, Fed‑ECB divergence, and technical breakdown through 1.1450 could push toward 1.1360.
Short
by ProjectSyndicate
20