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US COPPER: is the technical breakout a trap?The unexpected announcement of a dramatic increase in US copper tariffs triggered a bullish impulse in the copper price, which reached a new all-time high. The question is whether this bullish technical signal is reliable, or whether it could be a false signal and therefore a bullish trap. So let's review the technical analysis message on the price of copper (copper which is listed in New York) and take a look at the fundamentals. 1) 50% US tariff on copper imports! President Trump has announced a 50% tariff on imports of this strategic metal, triggering an immediate price surge in the US and a pullback in the London-listed copper price. This decision is part of a wider move to reduce the country's dependence on foreign suppliers, following similar measures on other industrial metals. Faced with the prospect of trade barriers on such a scale, international traders rushed huge volumes of copper to US ports to protect themselves against an imminent surcharge. However, this rush has added to the confusion, as no one knows precisely when the new taxes will come into force, or whether certain companies will be granted exemptions. We must therefore remain cautious, as Trump's trade announcements are highly fickle, and the price of copper in the US could fall back if these 50% tariffs are not finally implemented. It takes many years to bring new mines on stream and build copper processing plants, while imports continue to dominate the US market. This could exert sustained upward pressure on prices, penalizing the competitiveness of US industries. At the same time, the timetable for implementation remains unclear. The Secretary of Commerce mentioned the end of summer as a likely horizon, but without detailing which types of processed or raw products would be affected. This uncertainty fuels speculation and maintains volatility on commodity markets. We therefore need to be fully aware of the speculative aspect of copper's behavior on the stock market at present, and therefore of the risk of false technical signals. 2) In terms of technical analysis, if the breakout is confirmed, bullish potential may be limited by the top of a long-term Chartist channel. In terms of chart analysis, a bullish technical breakout has therefore taken place, with the overrunning of resistance at $4.70/$5. It remains to be seen whether or not this bullish technical break will be confirmed at the weekly close at the end of the week. But if it is, the upside potential will be limited by the upper part of a long-term Chartist channel which runs towards the $6 price. If the market were to break back below support at $4.70/$5, then the bullish technical signal would be invalidated. 3) The relative strength between the copper price and the gold price should be kept under close watch On the other hand, I would like to highlight the presence of major long-term support on the ratio between the copper price and the gold price. The current bounce off this long-term support suggests that copper should outperform gold over the coming months. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. 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OANDA:XCUUSD
by Swissquote
1
#XAI/USDT#XAI The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it. We have a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel. This support is at 0.0476. We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upside. There is a major support area in green at 0.0472, which represents a strong basis for the upside. Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital. When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order. For inquiries, please leave a comment. We have a trend to hold above the 100 Moving Average. Entry price: 0.0483 First target: 0.0502 Second target: 0.0517 Third target: 0.0532 Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital. When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order. For inquiries, please leave a comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
1
NVIDIA made history! First company with $4 trillion market cap!NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) became today the first company in history to surpass a $4 trillion market value, as A.I. bulls extended the recent rally and pushed the price past the approximate $163.93 level needed to reach this market capitalization threshold. The long-term trend on the 1D time-frame couldn't look more bullish. Coming off a 1D Golden Cross less than 2 weeks ago, the price has turned the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) into Support and sits at +88.13% from the April 07 2025 Low. This is the exact set-up that the market had when it was coming off the 2022 Inflation Crisis bottom (October 13 2022). As you can see, both fractals started with a -44% decline, bottomed and when they recovered by +88.13%, there were just past a 1D Golden Cross. In fact that Golden Cross (January 24 2023) was the last one before the current. NVIDIA entered a Channel Up (green) on its recovery and for as long as the 1D MA50 was supporting, it peaked on the 2.618 Fibonacci extension before it pulled back below it. If history repeats this pattern, we are looking at a potential peak around $390, which may indeed seem incredibly high at the moment, but as we pointed out on previous analyses, the market is in the early stages of the A.I. Bubble, similar to the Internet Bubble of the 1990s. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by TradingShot
2
Gold Coils Beneath Resistance – Breakout Setup Brewing Above $3,Gold remains in a consolidation phase after its sharp rally earlier this year, but the broader uptrend remains intact. Price action continues to respect the ascending trendline that has been active since late 2024, as well as the 50-day SMA which currently offers dynamic support around the $3,323 level. The key horizontal resistance at $3,430 continues to cap upside attempts. Price has formed a series of higher lows while facing rejection at this ceiling, suggesting a potential ascending triangle pattern—a bullish continuation setup. Indicators: MACD remains below the zero line and has flattened, reflecting the lack of momentum and confirming the consolidation. RSI hovers near 47, showing neutral momentum. However, it has started to curl up slightly, which could hint at a developing bullish bias if price breaks higher. Key Levels to Watch: A confirmed breakout above $3,430 could open the door to fresh highs. On the downside, a break below the ascending trendline and 50-day SMA could trigger a deeper correction toward the 200-day SMA near $2,950. Conclusion: Gold is currently coiling within a tightening range. While momentum is subdued, the technical structure favors a potential bullish breakout if resistance at $3,430 gives way. Traders should watch for a daily close above this level for confirmation of renewed bullish momentum. -MW
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
1
Bearish Outlook on Nifty – Based on Smart Money ConceptI'm seeing a clear downside setup on Nifty, with Smart Money indicating distribution and the market transitioning into a bearish trend. 📉 Target: 25,340 📍 Current Price: 25,474 🔍 Reasoning: Clear signs of institutional distribution and lower highs/lows forming. Smart Money is exiting, suggesting the beginning of a deeper correction. Will monitor closely for any change in structure, but as of now, bias remains strongly bearish.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Rizwan-Ali
3
XAU/USD bullish path is projected with higher highs towardTARGETSUPPLY Zone (Bottom Left): Marked where aggressive selling started previously. FVG (Fair Value Gap): Imbalance between buyers and sellers; often revisited. Support Zone (Middle Right): ~$3,260 - $3,280 — marked for potential price reaction or bullish reversal. Support (Lower): Much deeper level, around ~$3,160 — a critical demand zone in case of breakdown. 2. Resistance & Target Zones: First Target: ~$3,360 — Initial resistance, just above current price. Second Target: ~$3,400 — Next major resistance level. Third/Final Target: ~$3,455 - $3,480 — Strong resistance zone and potential exit point for longs. --- 🧠 Market Structure Insight: Current trend: Range-bound to slightly bullish in the short term. Price recently bounced near the support zone, suggesting bullish interest. A bullish path is projected with higher highs toward the targets — shown with the curved arrows. --- 📌 Trade Plan Visualization: Entry Area: Current price ($3,316) or near the support zone ($3,260–$3,280) Stop Loss: Below the lower support zone (~$3,250) Take Profits: TP1: ~$3,360 TP2: ~$3,400 TP3: ~$3,455–$3,480 This layered TP strategy reflects a scaling-out exit method — a pro move for managing risk and locking profits. --- ✅ Professional Observations: Multiple confirmations: Price is forming higher lows near support. Risk-Reward Ratio: Good setup with clear invalidation. Volume not shown: Would be useful for additional confirmation of breakout/rejection zones. Fair Value Gap (FVG): This area often acts as a magnet — price may return to fill it, which aligns with bullish projections. --- 🎯 Summary: This chart presents a high-probability long setup with well-defined support zones, clear targets, and smart risk management. Ideal for intraday to swing traders following technical structure and institutional trading concepts.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Thewiningtrades000
1
ETHUSD | Wyckoff Accumulation, Compression & Expansion PlaybookMapping out Ethereum’s journey through classic Wyckoff phases: from Buying Climax and Failed Test (distribution/markdown) to Spring and Accumulation (SC, creek, and “spring” event). After months of compression and failed breakout attempts, ETH unleashed its first expansion/release move, trapping late bears and rewarding patient entries. Take note: The first expansion candle after a long coil is rarely the spot to FOMO. Best R:R comes from waiting for the retrace to the 0.618–0.786 zone, where smart money reloads and risk is tightly defined. Key Levels: Compression/Coil range = accumulation Retest/retrace = sniper entry zone (purple box) If you missed the first push, don’t chase—let the retrace come to you. Chart markup: Wyckoff logic, supply/demand, coil/expansion, R:R zones.
CRYPTO:ETHUSD
by Avery_Upton
2
XLM - Stellar - Possible Short coming up - This is Why?Reading the chart (annotations in sync with chart): 1. Location: Fib over-shoot - possible sellers 2. Largest up volume - possible sellers in there 3. Mountain shape PVR - increasing volume as wave progress 4. Abnormal SIs at top (could be closing positions but it also could be sellers absorbing buy orders. Risky Entry but with better RR enter now. stop above tops, target blue AVWAP Conservative Entry with worse RR: wait for the break downwards of red AVWAP, target blue AVWAP. Enjoy, wave and speed index reading!
Short
by TradeTheVolumeWaves
1
XAUUSD Flags and Pennants XAUUSD Current Price 3316 Analysis Visible Pattern Flags and Pennants Trend Neutral The current price of Gold Spot is $3,316.240, reflecting a rise of $2.540 (0.08%). The recent performance indicates a consolidation phase around the $3,300 to $3,340 range. The market appears to show a flag formation, which typically suggests a continuation pattern after a recent decline. Given the consolidation and minimal fluctuations, the analysis suggests a neutral trend at this moment. Analysts are watching for clear breakout points above $3,340 for bullish signals or a fall below $3,300 as a bearish trend. Economic indicators and geopolitical factors will continue to play a crucial role in price movements. Overall, the current positioning indicates a wait-and-see approach, as market dynamics can change swiftly based on external factors.
TVC:GOLDLong
by FarazXAhmed
1