Euphoria in the air! But, will it get us there?
-liquidity pools at white lines
-triangle formation atop fast move up
-gan fan from recent move and one dating back to Nov '22 coincide
-lost support of 50ma on 12h tf
conclusion: before any significant move upward,
i think that bitcoin will first reclaim liquidity around
the 97,700-99,988k zone. if support lost there, next zone below would be ~90,225k. this could either be a deswelling of momentum into a further drop, or a compression event, indicative of a rapid, significant move, possibly beyond current ATH ranging up to 181,678 thousand dollars or there abouts.
Im building a position broken up into many parts to wait out this long grind we have ahead of us.
Chart Patterns
SMH BREAKOUT: Semiconductor ETF Explodes Higher After 13-Month VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) - 1Y Chart Analysis
THE SETUP:
After 13 months of sideways chop between $180-$240, SMH has finally broken out with real conviction. This lengthy accumulation phase built a massive foundation for what could be the next major leg higher.
KEY LEVELS:
Breakout Level: $240 (now critical support)
Current Price: $261.59 (+1.79%)
Next Target: $300 (major psychological level)
Stop Loss: Below $240 breakout
WHAT HAPPENED:
Semis have been coiling throughout 2024, basically going nowhere while digesting the previous run. The break above $240 on solid volume tells me buyers are finally stepping in with size.
MY TAKE:
This looks like the real deal. 13 months is a long time to build a base, and when these sector ETFs finally break out of extended ranges, they tend to move fast. $300 is the obvious target - round numbers always matter in this game.
TRADE SETUP:
Long SMH with targets at $280 and $300. Stop below $240. The risk/reward here looks solid for swing traders who can handle the volatility.
Anyone else playing this breakout or waiting for a pullback? The semiconductor space has been dead money for over a year, so this could be the start of something bigger.
This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk and size accordingly.
ZBCN: Looking for support to hold and AVWAP's regained
CRYPTOCAP:ZBCN
D/30m chart
We have had out first real pullback on the daily. It's holding the midline, held the GP. I played the break of the triangle on Sunday and took it to the ATH AVWAP (black). I'm wanting the same squeeze that threw that triangle north to hold as support now as buyers defend their positions.
I want to see a shake out below that green AVWAP, I want it to hold and proceed higher. then and only then do we stalk our entry.
I want a break and a pullback test of that red/green AVWAP. If I see that, its a buy on the other side of the "V".
Shows price action with clear bullish and bearish candles.Key Elements in the Chart:
Current Price: Around $104,615 at the time of the screenshot.
Time: 3:30 AM on June 18, 2025 (UTC+3).
Candlestick Chart: Shows price action with clear bullish and bearish candles.
Chart Patterns:
Multiple descending channel patterns, with price breaking out upwards.
Support Zone: Around $104,000 (highlighted in green).
Resistance Zone: Around $110,000–$111,500 (also highlighted in green).
Lower Support Zone: Around $97,000–$99,000.
Forecast Paths (White Arrows):
The white arrows represent potential future price paths:
Bullish Scenario: Bounce from support near $104k and rise toward the $110k–$111k resistance zone.
Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold the $104k support leads to a drop toward the $97k–$99k range.
Choppy Scenario: Price oscillates within the current range before breaking either up or down.
Bearish USD/CAD Presents a Selling Opportunity Now.FenzoFx—USD/CAD surged to 1.3686, a resistance zone backed by a bearish Fair Value Gap. Stochastic shows 81.0, signaling short-term overpricing. The market remains bearish below 1.3729, with fundamentals pointing to a stronger CAD.
A decline toward 1.362 is likely if USD/CAD stays below 1.3729.
US100 – Eyes on $22,040 as bulls take chargeIntroduction
The US100 is currently showing signs of a bullish breakout, moving above the boundaries of a previously established parallel channel. It is now approaching an important area of imbalance, known as a Fair Value Gap (FVG), on the 4-hour chart. If the index manages to break through this zone, there is a strong potential for continued upward momentum. Let’s take a closer look at the technical setup and what might come next.
Parallel Channel
For some time, the US100 had been trading within a downward-sloping parallel channel, consistently making lower highs and lower lows. However, today's price action has changed that narrative. The index has broken out of the channel to the upside and is currently pushing towards new short-term highs, which could mark the beginning of a bullish trend reversal.
4-Hour Fair Value Gap (FVG)
The current focus is on an open 4-hour FVG that ranges from approximately 21,840 to 21,870. This zone could serve as a significant resistance level, potentially rejecting further upward movement. However, if the US100 breaks decisively above this range, it could open the door for a rapid push toward previous highs. Such a move would signal strong bullish momentum and confirm the breakout as legitimate.
Possibility of a False Breakout
There is always the risk that this breakout could turn out to be a false move. If the US100 fails to hold above the 4-hour FVG and reverses back below the channel breakout point, it could indicate a bull trap. In that case, the index may resume its downward trend. Still, based on the current momentum and market structure, this scenario seems less likely at the moment.
Upside Target
If the breakout above the FVG is successful, the next significant target lies at the recent highs near 22,040. This level is expected to act as strong resistance. Should the US100 manage to break through it, we could see a test of the all-time high in the near future. However, it’s important to approach the market with patience and let each level confirm itself before expecting further upside.
Conclusion
While the US100 has successfully broken out of its parallel channel, it is now facing a key test at the 4-hour FVG. A clean break above this zone would likely shift market sentiment to bullish and set the stage for a move toward 22,040 and potentially beyond. Until then, traders should watch closely for confirmation and be mindful of the possibility of a pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Maple (SYRUP) Bullish Impulse, Final Target & Correction Support+553% since its 7-April bottom, but the third wave is already in. Notice how the volume is super high until 15-May but then it drops as prices continue higher. This means that only the fifth wave remains. After the completion of the fifth wave there should be a correction before additional growth.
The two main targets for this current bullish impulse are shown on the chart but it can go higher of course. A number came up around $1.23 but this chart is just too young.
Once the correction starts, the main support will be where the 1.618 Fib. extension is now. Can wick lower but the 0.786 isn't likely to be tested. Maple Finance SYRUP.
Namaste.
BTCUSD Analysis Today: Technical and On-Chain !In this video, I will share my BTCUSD analysis by providing my complete technical and on-chain insights, so you can watch it to improve your crypto trading skillset. The video is structured in 4 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the on-chain data analysis, then I will be moving to the liquidation maps analysis and lastly, I will be putting together these 3 different types of analysis.
EUR/AUD Giving Amazing Bullish P.A , Ready To Get 150 Pips ?Here is my EUR/AUD 2H Chart , if we check the chart we will see that we have a very strong old res that forced the price to respect it may times and finally we have a great breakout and also we have a very good rejection to the area , so it`s the best place to enter a buy trade to go to the high again to see if we can take it also or not . if the price closed below the broken res and new support with daily candle , this mean the idea is not valid anymore .
Top 5 Most Effective Forex Trading StrategiesTop 5 Most Effective Forex Trading Strategies Used by Professional Traders
Forex trading requires not just knowledge, but discipline and a clear strategy. So what are the most effective forex trading strategies that professional traders consistently use to achieve sustainable profits?
Let’s explore the 5 most trusted strategies that have stood the test of time – helping you level up your skills and reduce risk in this trillion-dollar market.
1. Breakout Strategy – Catching the Wave When the Market Explodes
A breakout occurs when price moves beyond a key support or resistance level after a period of consolidation. This usually signals the start of a new trend.
Best for: Traders who love strong momentum.
Pro tip: Confirm breakout with volume or candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing).
Caution: Avoid entering right after the breakout – wait for a retest.
2. Trend Following Strategy – Trade with the Market, Not Against It
“Trend is your friend” – one of the most famous sayings in trading. This strategy helps traders ride the main trend, buying in uptrends and selling in downtrends.
Recommended tools: MA 20, MA 50, RSI, MACD.
Insider tip: Combine with pullback entries (enter when price retraces to dynamic support/resistance).
3. Price Action Strategy – Reading the Market Without Indicators
Price Action focuses on interpreting pure price behavior, without relying on indicators. Many pro traders prefer this approach to understand market psychology in real time.
Advantages: Clean, flexible, sharpens decision-making.
Popular candlestick patterns: Pin Bar, Inside Bar, Fakey, Engulfing.
4. News Trading Strategy – For Quick Thinkers and Fast Hands
When major news events like CPI, NFP, FOMC, or rate decisions hit the market, volatility surges. This creates both high-profit opportunities and high risks.
Common tactic: Straddle – place Buy Stop & Sell Stop before news release.
Risk warning: Watch out for slippage and widened spreads.
5. Fibonacci & Confluence Strategy – High-Probability Entries
This strategy combines tools like Fibonacci retracement, trendlines, support/resistance zones, and moving averages to find high-probability entry points.
Strength: Optimizes Risk: Reward ratio.
Tip: Focus on Fib levels 0.382 – 0.618 (commonly used retracement zones).
Conclusion: The Best Strategy is the One That Matches Your Style
There’s no perfect strategy – but understanding and applying the one that best fits your trading style will help you avoid emotional decisions and build long-term consistency.
Remember: Risk management – Emotional control – Systematic discipline = Long-term trading survival.
GBPCHF: Bearish Movement After Breakout📉GBPCHF appears to be bearish following a breakout of a significant daily support level.
After retesting this broken structure, the pair formed an inverted cup and handle pattern, and we are now seeing the test of the broken neckline.
A downward movement towards 1.1006 is anticipated.
Head & Shoulders Breakdown in Progress, Eyes on 1.83 and 1.61XRP is showing a classic Head and Shoulders reversal pattern, which has now broken down below the neckline, indicating a potential bearish continuation.
🔻 Bearish Structure Highlights:
The head and shoulders formation is well-defined and price has confirmed a neckline break.
The breakout is occurring within a descending channel, aligning with the broader bearish context.
Momentum oscillator (DTosc) is also turning down after a lower high, supporting the bearish case.
📉 Targets:
First target: 1.83580
Extended target: 1.61184
🔴 Invalidation Zone:
A daily close above the right shoulder and key resistance at 2.3589–2.4829 would invalidate this bearish view and signal potential reversal.
📌 Trade Plan:
Favoring short setups below the neckline
Targeting the support levels noted above
Stop-loss suggested above 2.48 for conservative risk control
The setup offers a clean risk/reward opportunity based on a textbook bearish reversal pattern.
Bitcoin is about to bounce back!
The Israel-Iran conflict caused a drop in Bitcoin prices last week, but it didn’t last long as bullish institutions rushed to buy the dip, triggering a surge in demand and a rapid price recovery.
Strategy and Metaplanet, two of the most prominent Bitcoin asset managers, bought a combined 11,212 BTC in the last 24 hours, taking advantage of a brief drop in cryptocurrency prices following the Middle East conflict.
Fearing that a secret nuclear weapons program could pose an existential threat to Israel, Israel launched a preemptive missile attack on Iranian nuclear facilities last Thursday. Iran retaliated, and the conflict continued to escalate. Last Friday, stock and cryptocurrency markets fell as a result, providing firms like Strategy and Metaplanet with an opportunity to buy Bitcoin at a discount.
Strategy invested more than a billion dollars to buy 10,100 BTC, while Metaplanet purchased 1,112 BTC for approximately $117.2 million. Strategy now owns a total of 592,100 Bitcoins, and Metaplanet has achieved its 2025 goal of 10,000 BTC ahead of schedule. Metaplanet previously announced a "21 Million Plan" to obtain 21,000 BTC by 2026. The company has now upped the ante, announcing a new "Metaplanet Road to 210,000 Bitcoin" roadmap.
After the news came out, the price jumped to over $107K, fully recovering the losses from the drop to $103K at the beginning of the Israel-Iran conflict last week.
But the current Bitcoin price has returned to the adjustment range of 105K. My view is that as long as there is no further decline, there will be a rebound at the price position of 105K!
USDCAD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow Analysis !In this video I will be sharing my USDCAD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
Tranchess Bull Flag... Do You Agree?This one here is also a bull flag, a wide one and you know where prices are headed next.
Let me ask you a question and be honest; do you have any doubts about what I am saying? You can answer in your own mind of course but just think about it.
I say the market is bullish but consolidating.
I say the market produced a retrace, in some cases a correction, which will only lead to higher prices.
I say this based on the information that is available through the charts and I share all the charts with the evidence.
Do you agree?
I am an optimist.
To me, I have 100% level of certainty but what about you?
I was right about the rise from April but that seems already to be far away. Do you believe me? Do you trust me? Do you know what will happen next? It is written all over the charts.
If you do, then you have to take action.
Money is on the table, and this is a money game.
If you agree and you can see what I see, how will you proceed to maximize profits?
What actions can you take now to maximize your earning potential and increase your trading success?
If you know the market is going up, then, you have to take action that goes in accordance with what you know.
First you read.
Through reading we learn.
We use the gained knowledge to achieve our goals.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Oh, and by the way, Crypto is going up.
Namaste.