111-112 Resistance LevelOnce BTC breaks above the 111-112 resistance level and flips it into support we should see price run to 125+ rather quickly. If history echoes, price discovery could easily touch 150, if not 175-200. Also, we should see BTC entering the "euphoric" phase of the cycle around the week of Aug 18th. Fun days are ahead :) remain vigilent!
Chart Patterns
ETHUSD | Wyckoff Accumulation, Compression & Expansion PlaybookMapping out Ethereum’s journey through classic Wyckoff phases: from Buying Climax and Failed Test (distribution/markdown) to Spring and Accumulation (SC, creek, and “spring” event). After months of compression and failed breakout attempts, ETH unleashed its first expansion/release move, trapping late bears and rewarding patient entries.
Take note: The first expansion candle after a long coil is rarely the spot to FOMO. Best R:R comes from waiting for the retrace to the 0.618–0.786 zone, where smart money reloads and risk is tightly defined.
Key Levels:
Compression/Coil range = accumulation
Retest/retrace = sniper entry zone (purple box)
If you missed the first push, don’t chase—let the retrace come to you.
Chart markup: Wyckoff logic, supply/demand, coil/expansion, R:R zones.
XLM - Stellar - Possible Short coming up - This is Why?Reading the chart (annotations in sync with chart):
1. Location: Fib over-shoot - possible sellers
2. Largest up volume - possible sellers in there
3. Mountain shape PVR - increasing volume as wave progress
4. Abnormal SIs at top (could be closing positions but it also could be sellers absorbing buy orders.
Risky Entry but with better RR enter now. stop above tops, target blue AVWAP
Conservative Entry with worse RR: wait for the break downwards of red AVWAP, target blue AVWAP.
Enjoy, wave and speed index reading!
GOLD (XAUUSD): Classic Breakout Trading📈GOLD has surpassed and closed above a significant intraday resistance level.
After retesting this level, the price created a small ascending triangle on the hourly chart, and we've observed a confirmed breakout of its neckline.
I plan to go long on the pair during the retest, anticipating further growth, with the next resistance target at 3327.
Copper - the hot topic this weekUS is planning to implement tariffs on copper imports at a scale of 50%. It's an interesting move, which might not make much sense. Let's dig in.
MARKETSCOM:COPPER
COMEX:HG1!
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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Gold Analysis Bullish Breakout | Trendline & OB Setup📈 Gold Analysis
We are currently seeing price action within a descending channel, testing key support at the M30 OB (Order Block). The price is pushing higher after bouncing off the support level, and the trendlines suggest a potential breakout to the upside.
💡 Key Levels:
Support Zone: 3326
Resistance Zone: 3342
The market is primed for a possible rally, indicated by the upward momentum and price breaking out above the trendline. Watch for confirmation as we approach the liquidity level for further bullish movement.
⚡ Trade Idea: Look for a long entry if price closes above the trendline for a continuation towards the next resistance.
EUR/USD Bearish Setup H4 Chart AnalysisMarket Structure:
Current Price: 1.17057
The market has rejected a key resistance zone around 1.17600–1.17800 (highlighted in yellow).
Price formed a lower high, suggesting bearish momentum is taking control after an uptrend.
The pair is trading around a key trendline and Ichimoku cloud, with a likely break below.
Bearish Signals:
1. Double Top / Lower High Formation near 1.17600 indicates potential reversal.
2. Bearish Projection Drawn: Expecting a drop after the neckline break.
3. Support Zones Marked:
First Support/TP1: 1.1650 – 1.1595
Second Support/TP2: 1.1456
Final Target/TP3: 1.1351
BTC Just Hit the Brakes – Is the Pump Over?Bitcoin just tagged the upper Bollinger Band on the 1H chart while Stoch RSI maxed out and crossed down — a classic signal of volatility exhaustion combined with a momentum slowdown.
Technical Breakdown:
Bollinger Band Top: Price tapped the upper band, often a sign of near-term overextension
Overbought Stoch RSI (July 9th): RSI hit 97+ and flipped — momentum may be shifting
Cooling Phase? Price is stalling inside a tight range with low follow-through
arget Zone: $109K or BB midline as a possible mean reversion area
This is a high-probability zone for a pullback setup or a more attractive long opportunity if momentum resets.
Trade Idea: $HOOD – $106C by 7/25 | Bullish Setup🧠 Thesis:
After topping out at $100, NASDAQ:HOOD pulled back ~10%. I believe this recent pullback sets up a healthy base for a continuation move back toward $100+ in the coming sessions. If momentum kicks in, we could see a push toward the $106 level by expiration.
📊 Key Levels:
Resistance: $95.60 → $97.34 → $99.77 → $102 → $106
Support: $94.00 (uptrend line), $92.97 (higher low), $90.97 (must hold for bulls)
📌 Trade Strategy:
I'm scaling into the $106 Calls expiring 7/25.
Looking for:
A breakout above $97.34 to trigger upside momentum
Profit-taking zones around $99.77 and $102
Final target near $106 (ITM zone)
Risk is managed below $92.97.
🧭 Notes:
Watching broader market sentiment and NASDAQ:QQQ correlation closely. Volume confirmation will be key on any breakout attempts.
Just Two Months Left: Navigating Bitcoin and Global ChangesGreetings to everyone reading these lines! Today, I want to share with you not just an analysis, but my personal reflections and feelings about the current situation in the financial and cryptocurrency markets, especially regarding Bitcoin.
Many of you already know that I have always been a firm believer in Bitcoin’s market cycles. Right now, we are approaching the final stage of another such cycle-the distribution phase. The past few months have seen considerable turmoil: Trump's election, escalating conflicts between India and Pakistan, Israel and Iran, rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine, and not to mention China’s increasingly assertive geopolitical moves. I can't shake the feeling that the world stands on the threshold of something significant, perhaps serious. I sincerely hope I'm mistaken, but signs of a global conflict or a substantial reset in the world order are undeniably in the air.
History shows us that after major upheavals and wars, the world undergoes profound changes. It seems we are nearing such a pivotal moment within the next couple of months. For a long time, I've highlighted September 2025 as a critical point in the current market cycle, and now everything confirms this scenario.
In these unstable times, participants in the financial markets face both risks and tremendous opportunities. The distinguishing factor today is the rapid integration of artificial intelligence into all areas of life. I firmly believe that if you don't begin incorporating AI into your activities now, you risk being left behind. Personally, I'm actively integrating artificial intelligence into my professional processes and everyday life, as I see it as inevitable in our near future.
Regarding the cryptocurrency market, I'll be frank: the past couple of years have significantly changed it and even somewhat disappointed me. Liquidity has become diluted, and the market has clearly become seasonal, with brief periods of explosive growth followed by long downturns. This has led me to return to trading Forex and gold, where the market is more transparent and predictable.
Many crypto projects that seemed promising in 2017 are now nearly forgotten and stagnating. Think of Dash, EOS, Litecoin, ZCash, and others-they haven't disappeared entirely, but they no longer play significant roles in the market. The battle for user attention has become overly aggressive, and competition has devolved into chasing short-lived hype. Nevertheless, there are exceptions, such as Solana—a project that achieved success thanks to a fortunate combination of factors. Yet such projects remain exceedingly rare.
Today, I see the most promising and powerful trend as the tokenization of real-world assets (RWA). It doesn’t matter so much which blockchain will be used-the concept itself has already proven effective. While this journey won't be easy, the involvement of giants like BlackRock indicates the trend is sustainable and promising in the long run.
Overall, I am confident that financial markets and digital currencies will continue to evolve and grow. However, in about two months, I plan to adopt a bearish stance. Unfortunately, there are few signs of a quick global economic recovery. The world needs significant restructuring and changes-new rules and agreements are inevitable, and the coming year promises many notable events.
Ask yourself: Are you ready for these changes? Are you prepared to adapt to new conditions, technologies, and realities? Personally, I'm fully ready, which is why I remain active in the market, continuing to share my thoughts, assist, and engage with each of you. If you have questions, ideas, or proposals for collaboration, I am always open to dialogue and eager for any interaction.
I sincerely thank each of you for your support, comments, and attention to my posts. I stay here because I believe in the enormous opportunities available even in the most uncertain times. We have an exciting journey ahead, and I invite you to travel it together with me.
Wishing you success, profits, and above all, peace and kindness on our planet. The time of change is already here. Let’s meet it together.
Warm regards,
Your EXCAVO.
Bitcoin Breaks Out – The Final Test Has Begun 🚀🔥 Bitcoin Breaks Out – The Final Test Has Begun 💥📈
Boom! The breakout is here. After days of grinding under resistance, BTC has finally burst out of the channel — and all eyes are now on the monster level at $114,900.
📊 We spoke about this level again and again — the third macro test, the “HUGE-est Level EVER,” the battleground between Ultimate FOMO and End of Cycle.
⚠️ This breakout could lead to:
✔️ Acceleration to retest 114,900
✔️ A potential 3rd attempt to break the golden structure
✔️ Euphoria or exhaustion — no middle ground
🧠 Smart traders will remember:
– 8+ divergences still exist on higher timeframes
– The risk of failed breakout traps is high
– But this is what we’ve been waiting for: confirmation + continuation
🎯 If momentum holds, we may be on our way to test the upper macro structure. This is not the time to hesitate — it’s time to manage risk like a pro and track the flow.
💡 Catch up on the setup:
👉 Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 8
👉 July 10th Market Outlook – Uncharted Waters
🗣️ It’s not about prediction — it’s about preparation.
We were ready. Are you?
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
BTC USDT ANALYSESBitcoin (BTC) is currently forming an ascending triangle, which is typically a bullish continuation pattern. If BTC breaks out of the triangle to the upside, my target would be around $130,000.
However, we also have a long-term ascending trendline that BTC has been respecting for a significant period. If BTC fails to break out of the ascending triangle, we may see a pullback toward this trendline. Notably, there is also a strong demand zone in that area, which could act as support.
On the weekly timeframe, there is a visible regular bearish divergence—a bearish signal that suggests a potential slowdown or correction. If the divergence plays out, a realistic downside target could be around $100,000 to $98,000.