Chart Patterns
COIN long -- currently in Wave 3 of 5 wave advance I've been using Elliott Wave Theory to look at COIN's price action. We seem to be in the middle of Wave 3.
- Wave 1: April 7, 2025 to May 22, 2025
- Wave 2: May 23, 2025 to June 13, 2025 - we pulled back right below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level with ~$244 serving as support.
- Wave 3: June 14, 2025 - now. The third wave usually has 5 distinct sub-waves. As of July 7, 2025 We appear to be in the 3rd sub-wave of wave 3. Using the upper channel line, price target for this wave is around $408-$410. Quite possible if we see BTC move up explosively, which also seems imminent given the highest weekly close on July 6, 2025.
COIN is a very volatile stock that has explosive moves to the up and downside. I think we still have more room to run in this current wave 3--even beyond sub-wave 1 peak at $380.
$SPY Tomorrow’s Trading Range and everything in it /// 7.8.25Today’s Trading range and everything in it. How are you playing it?
EURUSD – From Structure to Shift
1H Technical Outlook by MJTrading
EURUSD moved cleanly through a sequence of structural phases:
• Previous Base
• Multi-day Consolidation (potential quiet accumulation)
• Transition into a well-respected Descending Channel
Price has since shown repeated rejections from the upper boundary, including a decisive selloff from the 1.1750 zone, forming what we now label a "Pressure Gap" — a space where aggressive sellers overwhelmed price.
🧭 Key Scenarios Ahead:
🔻 Bearish Continuation:
Breakdown below 1.1700 opens room toward:
• 1.1640 (channel bottom)
• 1.1600 Liquidity Zone
Watch for impulsive sell candles + EMA rejection
🔁 Short-Term Bounce or Trap:
Holding above 1.1700 could spark a rebound toward 1.1750
This may serve as a final test before another leg lower
Only a clean break and hold above 1.1763 flips structure bullish
🔍 Bonus Confluence:
1D Chart shows broader bullish context (inset)
EMAs tightening = expect volatility burst
Well-defined structure gives clear invalidation and targets
Every trend tells a story — from base building to breakout, and now a possible breakdown. Trade the structure, not the prediction.
#EURUSD #Forex #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #DescendingChannel #LiquidityZone #SmartMoney #MJTrading
DOT/USDT Weekly Accumulation or Annihilation?📌 Overview & Market Context
Polkadot (DOT) is currently testing one of the most critical technical zones in its price history. Price action is revisiting a multi-year demand zone between $2.70 and $3.60, which has previously served as the springboard for explosive upward moves — including the 2021 rally to all-time highs near $55.
This weekly chart reveals that DOT may be transitioning from a prolonged downtrend into an accumulation phase, often seen before major bullish expansions.
🧱 Historical Support Zone & Technical Validation
🔹 The yellow demand zone ($2.70–$3.60) has acted as a strong support multiple times since 2020.
🔹 Price has once again bounced from this area, forming a potential triple bottom or accumulation base pattern, consistent with Wyckoff Accumulation Theory.
🔹 A confirmed bullish candlestick (e.g., bullish engulfing, hammer, or long-tail doji) on the weekly timeframe could signal early institutional accumulation and a potential macro trend reversal.
🟢 📈 Bullish Scenario: Strong Reversal Potential
If DOT successfully holds this support and forms a higher low, we could see a multi-leg bullish breakout, targeting the following resistance levels:
🎯 Target Price Level Significance
TP1 $4.75 First structural breakout
TP2 $5.88 Minor historical resistance
TP3 $7.63 Previous consolidation zone
TP4 $10.37 Major weekly resistance
TP5 $12.49–14.00 Extension zone during strong rallies
🧠 Note: A move from the current level to $14 represents a potential 250%+ upside — a major opportunity if confirmed by momentum and market sentiment.
🔴 📉 Bearish Scenario: Breakdown from Historic Support
A clean break below $2.70 with high volume would invalidate the bullish setup and signal:
Breakdown from a multi-year base structure.
Possible entry into a new bearish price discovery phase.
Next psychological support at around $2.00 or lower.
This scenario could materialize if:
Bitcoin or broader crypto markets turn bearish.
Macro factors worsen.
No strong demand appears from long-term holders.
⚖️ Strategy & Investor Insights
Swing Traders: Consider aggressive entries near current levels with tight stops below $2.70.
Mid-Term Investors: This is an ideal zone for DCA (dollar-cost averaging), with attractive long-term risk-reward.
Confirmation Needed: Watch for structure breakouts above $4.75 and momentum from RSI/volume indicators.
🧠 Market Psychology: Fear Breeds Opportunity
DOT is currently in what can be described as the “boredom phase” — the stage in market cycles when most traders have given up, and smart money quietly accumulates.
As Warren Buffet famously said:
> “Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.”
#DOTUSDT #Polkadot #CryptoReversal #AltcoinSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoneyMoves #AccumulationPhase #SupportZone #BullishCrypto #BearishBreakdown
Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 9 – Breakout and History in Motion🌋🚀 Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 9 – Breakout and History in Motion. 🔓💥
The breakout over 114900 has happened.
After 2 rejections, years of preparation, and countless fakeouts… Bitcoin has finally cleared the $114,921 barrier.
We are now officially in price discovery mode within the upper resistance channel.
📍 As long as BTC stays above $114,900 – we are long.
This level is now our trigger line. Lose it? Flip back to short bias. Hold it? There’s only one word: 🚀
🔑 Context:
We’ve tracked this structure since 2023 using a 1-2-3 model based on macro highs. The third test is always the decider — and this time, we broke through.
✅ Test 1: Rejected (2021)
✅ Test 2: Rejected (2025)
✅ Test 3: Breakout confirmed (July 2025)
Now compare that to previous cycles:
2016 halving → ATH in 2017
2020 halving → ATH in 2021
2024 halving → ATH coming by end of 2025?
🧭 Based on this map, BTC’s next structural targets are:
→ $137K
→ $160K
→ $182K+
But there’s a catch: if we fall back below 114,900, the entire breakout thesis is at risk. This is now a binary zone.
⚠️ What to Watch:
📌 Support Retests:
Expect volatility around the 114.9–116K level. This zone will now be stress-tested.
📌 Media Frenzy vs Structure:
As hype increases, stick to levels — not noise.
📌 Ultimate FOMO vs Breakdown:
Hold structure = ATH potential
Lose structure = Down we go, potentially hard.
🎥 Missed the full structural breakdown?
👉 Watch “Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 8” for the blueprint
👉 This is now Part 9 – The terminal move has begun
We are now playing for cycle maturity – this could be the final leg before topping out in late 2025.
Let’s trade it with clarity, not emotions.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
🚨 BITCOIN HAS BROKEN OUT but keep in mind: under 114900 be OUT!
NVIDIA made history! First company with $4 trillion market cap!NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) became today the first company in history to surpass a $4 trillion market value, as A.I. bulls extended the recent rally and pushed the price past the approximate $163.93 level needed to reach this market capitalization threshold.
The long-term trend on the 1D time-frame couldn't look more bullish. Coming off a 1D Golden Cross less than 2 weeks ago, the price has turned the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) into Support and sits at +88.13% from the April 07 2025 Low.
This is the exact set-up that the market had when it was coming off the 2022 Inflation Crisis bottom (October 13 2022). As you can see, both fractals started with a -44% decline, bottomed and when they recovered by +88.13%, there were just past a 1D Golden Cross. In fact that Golden Cross (January 24 2023) was the last one before the current.
NVIDIA entered a Channel Up (green) on its recovery and for as long as the 1D MA50 was supporting, it peaked on the 2.618 Fibonacci extension before it pulled back below it.
If history repeats this pattern, we are looking at a potential peak around $390, which may indeed seem incredibly high at the moment, but as we pointed out on previous analyses, the market is in the early stages of the A.I. Bubble, similar to the Internet Bubble of the 1990s.
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Pullback to a demand zone (bottom pink box)Pink Rectangles: These represent key support and resistance zones:
Middle box (around 3,336–3,342): Current resistance / liquidity zone
Lower box (around 3,328): Support / potential reversal zone
Upper box (around 3,354–3,356): Target resistance zone / take profit area
Arrows:
The downward arrow suggests a potential retracement to the lower support zone.
The upward arrow suggests a bullish breakout scenario, targeting the upper resistance zone.
🧠
Interpretation:
This appears to be a forecast for a long trade, based on a:
Pullback to a demand zone (bottom pink box)
Followed by a bullish move targeting higher resistance (top pink box)
The trader is likely watching for price confirmation at the lower level before entering a buy position.
XAUUSD H4 | Premium Supply RejectionPrice has tapped into a premium selling zone around 3,340 - 3,350 and is showing signs of rejection.
📍 Key Levels:
• Premium Supply Zone: 3,340 – 3,350
• Current Price: 3,332
• Target Zone: 3,275 – 3,265
• Intermediate Support Zones: Around 3,320 & 3,300
🔴 Liquidity was swept above the previous high, and price has reacted strongly from this level.
🔻 Bearish Bias:
• Expecting a move down towards target support.
• Clean break of structure confirms bearish intent.
• Multiple FVGs and imbalance zones below price support the downside continuation.
📌 Trade Idea:
Sell from premium zone with confirmation
🎯 Target: 3,275 zone
📉 SL suggestion: Above 3,355 (structure invalidation)
XABCD Double Top
Hello traders! I hope you’ve had a productive trading week.
Let’s take a look at USDJPY, where we’re wrapping up the week with a textbook XABCD Double Top formation.
📍 Structure Overview
Price action completed an extended XABCD formation, with D printing a perfect double top around the 147.17 level.
The move from C to D aligns closely with the prior XA leg, showing strong symmetry in price.
D terminates precisely within the PCZ (Potential Completion Zone), aligning with both 78.6% and 100% extensions.
🎯 Bearish Targets Below
If this Double Top confirms with bearish follow-through, the structure offers a clean setup with downside targets:
Target 1: 145.35 (100%)
Target 2: 144.96 (127.2%)
A break below point C (146.13) would further validate the bearish thesis.
🧠 Pattern Highlights
XABCD geometry
Strong price symmetry
Completion into previous high (resistance)
Clear target zone for risk-defined trades
CAKE : Are we left behind?Hello friends🙌
😉We came with a good currency analysis from the decentralized exchange Pancake Swap.
So you see that we have a good price support that buyers supported the price well after each collision.
🔊Now, considering the collision with this support, we can expect growth to the specified areas. Of course, don't forget that capital management and risk are the priority of trading.
🔥Follow us for more signals🔥
*Trade safely with us*
ADA/USDT : ADA Rally in Motion – Over 20% Gain and More to Come?By analyzing the Cardano (ADA) chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that after revisiting the $0.57 zone, the price once again followed the previous analysis and encountered strong buying pressure—rallying up to $0.61 so far.
The return from the previous entry has now exceeded 8%, and the overall gain from the full move stands above 20%.
The next bullish targets are $0.76, $0.93, $1.05, and $1.33.
(A deeper and more detailed analysis is recommended for long-term investment decisions.)
THE MAIN ANALYSIS :
$GA (GBPAUD) 1HIf price holds and reacts from the OB, expect a short-term bullish leg toward:
Internal liquidity first (2.07400), Then external buy-side liquidity above 2.08000.
Price has been in a clear bearish structure, printing lower highs and lower lows.
Recently, price swept multiple layers of internal liquidity (marked as $$$) before tapping into a key Order Block (OB) just above the 2.06500 zone.
The OB zone aligns with a higher timeframe demand area, suggesting this could be a reaccumulation phase.
The OB zone has previously led to strong expansions, making it a valid area for institutional re-entry.
The current liquidity grab beneath the previous lows appears intentional — a trap for breakout sellers.
Smart money often waits for such sweeps to absorb sell-side liquidity before shifting the structure.
DXY Tests Key Support – What’s Next for the Dollar?
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the dollar’s performance against a basket of major currencies, recently broke below its 50-month moving average based on the monthly chart —a significant technical signal. After this drop, the index is now bouncing off a key support zone near 96.50.
This area has acted as a pivot point in past cycles, and a sustained bounce could indicate the dollar regaining strength. If risk sentiment fades—due to weaker equity markets, geopolitical tensions, or stronger U.S. data—the dollar might find new momentum.
On the flip side, failure to hold 96.50 could open the door toward the 90.00 zone, a major long-term support level. Such a move would likely reflect expectations of looser U.S. monetary policy or further deterioration in economic confidence.
For now, price action near 96.50 will be decisive. A rebound could shift sentiment back in favor of the dollar, while a deeper decline may trigger broader adjustments in FX markets. Traders should closely monitor upcoming macro data and risk sentiment for cues on the next leg.
NZDCAD– Potential Bulish SetupPerfect! Since you're planning a **swing buy** on NZDCAD, here’s an updated **heading** and **description** tailored for your bullish outlook:
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📈 NZDCAD Swing Buy Setup – Bullish
NZDCAD is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal from a strong support zone, presenting a promising swing buy opportunity.
This setup is ideal for patient traders looking to catch the next leg higher. Always follow your trading plan and apply proper risk management.
Bitcoin - Liquidity grab at $111.000?This 4-hour BTCUSD chart illustrates a potential short-term bullish continuation scenario followed by a deeper retracement, highlighting key liquidity levels and an important Fair Value Gap (FVG) support zone.
Liquidity sweep
At the top of the current price action, just above the $110,612.16 level, there is a clear area of resting liquidity. This zone has likely accumulated a significant number of stop-loss orders from traders who are shorting the market or who went long earlier and are protecting profits below previous highs. The market tends to seek liquidity to fill institutional orders, making this zone a high-probability target for a sweep. As a result, price is likely to take out these resting stop orders in a quick upward move, often referred to as a "liquidity grab" or "stop hunt", before potentially reversing or consolidating.
Bullish 4H FVG
Following this liquidity sweep, the chart suggests a retracement into a bullish 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) located around the $106,600 to $107,400 region. This imbalance zone was formed during an impulsive move up, leaving behind a gap between the wicks of consecutive candles. Such gaps represent areas where demand previously overwhelmed supply, and they often act as strong support on a retest. If price revisits this zone, it is expected to offer support and could serve as a base for another upward push, assuming bullish momentum remains intact.
Downside risk
However, if the bullish FVG fails to hold as support and price breaks down through this imbalance zone, it would signal a weakening of bullish structure. In that case, the breakdown would likely lead to a deeper correction or even a trend reversal, with price seeking lower levels of support further down the chart. This would invalidate the short-term bullish scenario and suggest that sellers are gaining control, possibly triggering further liquidations and more aggressive selling pressure.
Conclusion
Overall, the chart is currently leaning bullish, anticipating a liquidity sweep to the upside followed by a potential pullback into the FVG. The reaction at the FVG will be critical in determining whether the market can continue higher or if it shifts into a deeper bearish correction.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Wyckoff Pattern- To understand trading at its core, you need to understand the Wyckoff Theory.
- Everything you need is in the chart and yes, it's simple and might look like copy-paste, but it's pure Wyckoff.
- Remember this post i made in 2021 ? check it again :
Remember, trading is like a washing machine, it shakes you up, spins you around, and pressures you to sell when you should be buying or Holding.
Not a price prediction, just a smarter way to level up your strategy.
Happy Tr4Ding !
BITCOIN BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 111,047.38
Target Level: 109,294.85
Stop Loss: 112,211.89
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 2h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
CHF/JPY BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the CHF/JPY with the target of 179.028 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Gold Long Position 11-07Buyers attempting to reach 3350 and above OANDA:XAUUSD
Buy 3336 - 3339
TP 3358-3360
SL 3329
Gold Trade Setup – Long Invalidated, Watching Retest for ShortGold has been consolidating between $3,200 and $3,500, recently pressing against a descending resistance line that has rejected price several times. I was favoring the upside, but our long setup was invalidated — the stop loss at $3,330 was hit.
Price is now retesting ascending support, and I'm shifting focus to a short opportunity, using our previous long entry level (~$3,333) as a key area of interest for entries.
Here’s the updated plan:
Short Entry: Around $3,333
Stop Loss: $3,340
Take Profit: $3,303
Remaining cautious but opportunistic — the larger structure is vulnerable and could break further if support fails.
SELL EURUSD for bullish divergence trend reversal STOP LOSS: 1.1SELL EURUSD for bullish divergence trend reversal STOP LOSS: 1.1747
Regular Bearish Divergence
In case of Regular Bearish Divergence:
* The Indicator shows Lower Highs
* Actual Market Price shows Higher Highs
We can see a strong divergence on the MACD already and There is a strong trend reversal on the daily time frame chart.....
The daily time frame is showing strength of trend reversal from this level resistance so we are looking for the trend reversal and correction push from here .....
TAKE PROFIT: take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything
Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with........trading with the trend, patient and good risk management is the key to success here...
Gold Futures Short Bias Into NY CloseGC is stalling beneath the 3330–3336 resistance cluster after failing to break out during NY session. Price rejected the fair value gap (3312–3318) and is now compressing just above the mean-reversion anchor (LWN). There’s no momentum reclaim from buyers, and structure suggests weakness into Friday.
We’re positioning short into expected downside continuation.
Key Levels
Reactive Resistance Cluster: 3330–3336
FVG (rejected): 3312–3318
Mean-Reversion Anchor (LWN): 3290–3300
Absorption Shelf (Target Zone): 3275
PDH/PDL (provisional): 3325 / 3280
VWAP: Flattened, near 3302
Short Setup (Active)
Entry: 3332
Stop: 3340
TP1: 3305 – Mean reversion
TP2: 3288 – LWN sweep
TP3: 3275 – Absorption shelf
Staakd Setup: 1:5.7 R:R to final target
Bias confirmed by rejection from inefficiency and absence of buyer follow-through
QM Probabilities
Bear Move 60–65% Structure favoUrs continued rejection + flush to 3275
Bull Move 35–40% Requires reclaim of 3318 + aggressive close above VWAP
Range/Flat Possible pre-close Tight range unless displaced overnight
Staakd Bias:
Structure is holding beneath resistance. Without a reclaim of 3318, we remain short-biased into Friday with eyes on 3275. Probability favours continuation unless buyers reclaim initiative fast.
Follow for post-close recap and updated levels ahead of Friday's NY open and we hope your trades worked out how you expected today.
