SHORT EURUSD Possible scenarioWeekly chart of EURUSD show potential short coming next coming weeks . MOMENTUM IS UP but the price is declining ,
Two possiblities AT the moment that can play IF ( BIG IF) the price decide to down in the coming days ,
Green arrow show a bounce from 1.1360 area and red arrow show a possiblity for further down to 1.1090.
Chart Patterns
SWING TRADE NASDAQIs this another case of Trump moving the markets so his buddies can get better entries? 👀
Not saying anything... but July candles were way too friendly in that yellow box. Institutions were loading up like it was Black Friday.
I jumped in too—snagged a clean 10RR 😎📈
Now, with seasonality (August 3.5% average past 10 years) + Commitment of traders data backing me up( July COT is heavy longs), I’m risking light for a tiny 27RR setup.
Will it work? No clue.
Will I be dramatic about it? Absolutely. 🎭📉📈
DOGEUSDT|Pullback Confluent Support -cup&handle next ext. +80%DOGE - retraced at the confluent support zone, high potential pullback buy position:
- SMA50 Dynamic support—often attracts mean-reversion buys.
- cup & handle support retest Price retested prior breakout zone—flips resistance to support.
- key 38% Fib “sweet spot” pullback level after corrective moves.
- Previous Change of Character marks shift from bearish to bullish structure—support confluence.
Potential Entry & Risk Management
Entry Zone
- Aggressive: immediate handle breakout support
- Conservative: Wait for liquidity pattern and re-bounce confirmation candle above SMA50
Stop-Loss
-Below Cup Handle low -10% larger position prior swing high RR:2.5/1
-Suggested SL: previous low -0.17 USDT - 5% below entry
Initial Targets
-Key resistance 61.8% Fib retracement — 0.217 USD
-100% Prior swing high — 0.26 USD
-162% Next extended target - 0.35 USD
Trade Rationale
-Mean-reversion into SMA50 and Fib 38.2% zone aligns multiple buyers.
-Pattern support: Cup & handle retest confirms breakout strength.
-Structure flip: CoCh zone indicates bullish regime shift.
Watch-Outs
-Rejection below 0.188 USD erodes support cluster—invalidates setup.
-Rising volume on bounce is crucial—low-volume lifts often fail.
-Beware broader market sell-offs impacting altcoins.
Next Steps:
-Monitor 4-hour candlestick close inside entry zone.
-Check volume spike on reversal candle.
-Adjust risk dynamically if price gravitates toward upper channel resistance.
Always trade with affordable risk and respect your stop..
NIKKEI: Strong Bullish Momentum Driven by Favorable IndicatorsData analysis indicates a "Bullish" bias for the NIKKEI, with a strong overall score. This positive outlook is supported by a confluence of factors, including Commitments of Traders (COT) data, retail positioning, seasonality, and trend. While some economic data points show neutrality or slight negativity, the overriding sentiment and key technical factors suggest a continued upward trajectory for the NIKKEI.
Key Supporting Factors (Bullish):
Strong Technicals/Momentum: The "Trend" and "Seasonality" scores of 2 each suggest strong underlying bullish momentum and favorable seasonal patterns for the NIKKEI.
COT & Retail Positioning: Positive scores in "COT" and "Retail Pos" (both 2) often indicate that institutional money and retail traders are aligned in a bullish direction, providing a strong foundation for upward movement.
GDP, SPMI, Retail Sales: These economic indicators, with scores of 1, are contributing positively to the overall bullish bias, indicating healthy economic activity.
SOL/USDT | NFP Volatility Could Trigger Drop Toward $154!By analyzing the Solana chart on the daily timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around $169. If it fails to hold above the $168 level, a deeper drop could follow. With the upcoming NFP data release, increased volatility is expected across the markets. If Solana begins to decline, the potential correction targets are $163, $157, and $154. Watch the $145–$154 zone closely for a possible bullish reaction and buy opportunity.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
USDCHF SHORT IDEA FULL BREAKDOWNUSD/CHF is flashing a strong bearish signal from both a macro and sentiment perspective.
✅ Bearish USD Drivers:
FOMC Pivot Watch: July meeting minutes hinted at potential rate cuts before year-end due to inflation moderating and soft jobs data.
Rising Swiss Franc Demand: CHF is benefiting from safe haven flows amid escalating tensions in Eastern Europe and shaky U.S. equity markets.
Swiss CPI Stable: Inflation is in check, allowing SNB to maintain their policy stance without pressure.
Institutional traders are reducing their exposure to the U.S. dollar, while retail traders are net long USDCHF — a classic contrarian bearish signal. Seasonality also favors Swiss Franc strength in August. On the macro side, U.S. data is underwhelming: job growth has slowed, services PMI is soft, and inflation metrics (CPI, PCE) are cooling. This has increased expectations for a Fed rate cut later in the year. Meanwhile, the Swiss National Bank remains stable with no urgency to ease policy. Combined with global risk-off sentiment, capital is flowing into CHF, giving it an added edge over the dollar.
ADA/USDT | ADA Slips Below Support – Watching $0.61 for Support!By analyzing the Cardano chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that the price failed to hold above the $0.75 support and is currently trading around $0.72. Given the current momentum, a deeper correction for ADA seems likely. If the price fails to stabilize above $0.69, we could see a sharp drop toward the $0.61 zone. If ADA reaches this key support area, keep a close eye on it — a strong bullish reaction could lead to the next big upside move!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
$PEPE: the big picture, 1W analysis.August 1st, 2025 – A tough day for altcoins, hit once again by tariff concerns.
But let’s talk about CRYPTOCAP:PEPE , one of my favorite altcoins to track. Why? No VC backing, the entire supply is community-held, and volume is consistently strong—making it a reliable market sentiment indicator.
Weekly Outlook:
CRYPTOCAP:PEPE remains in a macro uptrend, riding above the 100 EMA.
- My Momentum indicator has triggered two buy signals: at 0.00000634 and 0.00001040
- RSI is rising but still mid-range—there’s plenty of room to move higher.
- MACD is gradually ramping up.
- Stochastic RSI is cooling off, but given the strength of the other signals, further downside looks limited.
Technically, we’re seeing a bullish flag pattern. Price is currently testing support at the lower range—likely setting the stage for a decisive move in the coming weeks.
Conclusion:
Based on the current indicators and structure, the odds favor a bullish breakout and continuation of the uptrend—though, as always, DYOR.
USOIL Is Bearish! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 69.178.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 66.684 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
OM (SPOT)BINANCE:OMUSDT
#OM/ USDT
Entry range (0.2360- 0.2460)
SL 4H close below 0.02287
T1 0.32
_______________________________________________________
Golden Advices.
********************
* collect the coin slowly in the entry range.
* Please calculate your losses before the entry.
* Do not enter any trade you find it not suitable for you.
* No FOMO - No Rush , it is a long journey.
Pudgy Penguins (PENGU): Huge Volatile Movement IncomingPengu coin seems to be in a pretty dangerous zone; while we are hovering near the ATH and seeing some smaller pullback prices, we are yet to see the potential huge breakout take place or breakdown happen.
We have marked 2 zones to keep an eye on; if either of those zones is broken, a huge volatile movement will happen so be careful!
As long as we are above the Sell Zone, we are going to look for more MSB areas for smaller long scalps!
Swallow Academy
USDCAD bounced from Support and can continue higherLooking at the chart and the overall structure, I think we can favor the continuation setup with a emphasis on price action at key zones, particularly when price breaks out then can revisit this structure for a retest.
This bounce off support has been accomplished in my previous analysis:
Here, if price breaks with strength and dips back into the area and holds with bullish confirmation (likely a wick rejection or bullish engulfing on lower timeframes), that would be the cue to get in.
I am projecting the next target to 1.38600 that makes sense as a logical level for trend continuation and that I find achievable.
Is the #BTC pullback over?📊 Is the #BTC pullback over?
🧠From a structural perspective, a bearish structure has formed on both the 1-hour and 4-hour charts, so we should be wary of the risk of a further pullback.
➡️Resistance is the area formed by the two necklines (114675-115729).
Support is primarily the overlap between the yellow and green areas (110000-111688). If we can establish a bullish structure on the 1-hour chart here, we still have a chance of continuing the bullish trend.
🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
GBPUSD: Bearish Momentum vs. Fundamental Repricing – Key LevelsGBPUSD is at a critical juncture, balancing a clear technical breakdown with a fundamental backdrop favoring near-term volatility. The pair has slipped from its rising wedge structure and is now testing key retracement zones while markets reprice expectations for Fed rate cuts after weak US jobs data. Traders are closely watching whether this bearish momentum will extend toward the 1.3128 support or if a rebound from oversold conditions could trigger a corrective bounce.
Technical Analysis (8H Chart)
Pattern: Clear breakdown from a rising wedge, confirming bearish bias.
Current Level: Price sits near 1.3278, struggling to reclaim the 1.3300 resistance zone.
Key Support Zones:
1.3128 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) – main bearish target.
1.2945 (78.6% retracement) – extended downside target if selling pressure deepens.
Resistance Levels:
1.3300 (immediate resistance, prior support now flipped).
1.3380 (secondary resistance if a retracement rally occurs).
Projection: Likely bearish continuation toward 1.3128, with a potential retest of 1.3300 before continuation.
Fundamental Analysis
Bias: Bearish in the short term, but Fed policy and risk sentiment remain key drivers.
Key Fundamentals:
USD: Weak NFP (73K), higher unemployment (4.2%), and downward revisions boost Fed cut bets (~75% for September), typically a USD-negative factor.
GBP: BOE maintains a cautious stance due to sticky inflation but lacks clear hawkish conviction as growth slows.
Tariffs: US tariffs add a mild negative weight on GBP trade sentiment.
Risks:
Hot US CPI could slow Fed cut bets, supporting USD.
Hawkish BOE comments could limit GBP downside.
Global risk sentiment shifts could either favor USD (risk-off) or weaken it further (risk-on).
Key Events:
US CPI and PPI for USD direction.
BOE policy updates and UK CPI.
US jobless claims and Fed commentary.
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
GBP/USD is a lagger, mainly reacting to USD shifts. However, its moves directly influence GBP crosses such as GBP/JPY and GBP/CHF.
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
GBP/USD remains in a bearish phase, targeting 1.3128 with a potential corrective bounce toward 1.3300 first. The primary driver is the technical breakdown, while fundamentals add volatility around US CPI and BOE policy. If CPI surprises lower, the bearish outlook could reverse into a short-term rebound; if CPI is hot, downside momentum could extend. You should monitor USD-driven events closely as GBP/USD sets the tone for broader GBP movements.
GBPCHF RETAINS BEARISH MOMENTUMInstitutional (COT) data shows a net reduction in GBP exposure, suggesting big money is pulling out of the pound. Retail sentiment also leans heavily against the trend, with traders buying the dip — another contrarian bearish signal. Seasonality does not favor the pair in August either, with historic trends leaning against GBP performance this time of year.
On the macro side, UK economic data continues to weaken. Both manufacturing and services PMI are deteriorating, indicating contraction across sectors.
Retail sales and GDP growth are negative, while inflationary pressure is easing — all of which reduces the urgency for further BOE tightening. Employment metrics are also weak, with poor job creation and falling labor market momentum.
Meanwhile, Switzerland is showing relative macro strength. The SNB is benefiting from stable inflation and its traditional safe-haven appeal, which is further boosted by rising global risk-off sentiment. Interest rate expectations are neutral for CHF but increasingly dovish for the UK, creating clear policy divergence in CHF’s favor.
Gold Surges on Non-Farm Data; 3330 Key Next WeekGold was strongly boosted by the significantly bullish non-farm payroll data, surging sharply like a rocket 🚀, with gains that completely "wiped out" all the weekly losses. The current gold trend, as if injected with super momentum, has completely broken the previous long-short stalemate. Starting from the 3300 level, it has been breaking through obstacles all the way up to 3350. At present, 3330 is like a critical "battleground" ⚔️ fiercely contested by both long and short sides.
This week, when gold was still "lingering" below 3300, I emphasized repeatedly that a rebound was inevitable – we just needed to stay calm and wait for the opportunity. As it turns out, our judgment was spot on, and we successfully took profits around 3340, reaping good gains 💴. Now, gold prices are oscillating back and forth in the 3340-3350 range. Based on a comprehensive analysis of the current trend, I boldly predict that gold is likely to pull back to around 3330 next week, so everyone can prepare in advance 🤗
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@ 3350
🚀 TP 3330 - 3320 - 3310
🚀 Buy@ 3300 -3310
🚀 TP 3320 - 3330 - 3340
Daily updates bring you precise trading signals 📊 When you hit a snag in trading, these signals stand as your trustworthy compass 🧭 Don’t hesitate to take a look—sincerely hoping they’ll be a huge help to you 🌟 👇
“Exactly What I Saw” promises value and transparency.
In today's analysis, I’ve identified a clear completion of Wave D, securing a 3% ROI across just two trades – all before the move unfolded.
🔍 What’s inside this breakdown?
• Multi-timeframe analysis: Weekly ➝ Daily ➝ 4H ➝ 1H
• Elliott Wave structure with confluence zones
• Trade psychology at key turning points
• Exact entry & exit insights explained
• Risk management for consistent returns
---
⚡ Highlights:
Precise reversal spotted before it was obvious
No indicator clutter – just clean, confident price action
Part of my 100-day breakdown series: real, raw, and repeatable setups
---
👣 Day 7 of 100 is just the beginning.
Tap Follow to stay ahead of the market – one wave at a time.
#EURUSD #ForexAnalysis #ElliottWave #Forex #TradingViewUK #SwingTrading #PriceAction #RiskReward #FXMindset #ForexTradersIndia #ForexEducation
US500: Rebound Setup After Sharp Pullback – Key Support HoldingUS500 has experienced a strong corrective move after an extended bullish run but is now showing signs of stabilizing near a key support area. This zone aligns with both technical retracement levels and the market's reaction to fundamental shifts—particularly the dovish repricing of the Fed following weak US jobs data.
Technical Analysis (4H Chart)
Pattern: After a strong uptrend, price faced a steep correction, forming a potential short-term reversal setup.
Current Level: 6,235, holding above the 6,217 support zone.
Key Support Levels:
6,217 (immediate support; key defense zone for bulls).
6,171 (38.2% retracement, secondary support if deeper pullback occurs).
Resistance Levels:
6,272 (23.6% retracement and initial resistance).
6,360 (upper resistance zone and retest of recent breakdown).
6,429/6,436 (recent high and target if bullish momentum resumes).
Projection: A rebound from current levels could push US500 back toward 6,360–6,430 if support holds.
Fundamental Analysis
Bias: Neutral-to-bullish as macro drivers favor a recovery from pullback.
Key Fundamentals:
Fed Policy: Weak US jobs (+73K) and downward revisions have solidified rate cut expectations (~75% probability in September), boosting equity sentiment.
Inflation: Market awaits US CPI; softer data would further support equities.
Tariffs: While Trump’s tariffs create a medium-term risk for earnings, immediate Fed easing bets outweigh these concerns.
Risk Sentiment: Global risk remains supported by lower yields and optimism about Fed easing.
Risks:
Hot US CPI could reverse cut expectations, pressuring equities.
Geopolitical risks or tariff escalation could trigger renewed selling.
Key Events:
US CPI and PPI.
Fed speeches and rate expectations.
Earnings reports from key US companies.
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
US500 is a leader, driving global risk sentiment and influencing risk-sensitive assets like AUD/USD, NZD/USD, and JPY crosses.
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
US500 is neutral-to-bullish, stabilizing at key support (6,217) after a sharp correction. Fed cut expectations and risk-on sentiment support the upside scenario, targeting 6,360–6,430 if US CPI aligns with softer inflation. However, a hot CPI print could invalidate this rebound and trigger another leg lower.
US100The US100 (Nasdaq 100) has shown a dramatic shift in trend, forming what appears to be a large-scale bearish harmonic pattern or potential M-top structure. After reaching its peak in mid-2025, the index has entered a sharp downward trajectory, shedding significant value in a short span.
This chart raises a critical question for long-term investors and traders:
Are we witnessing the early phase of a prolonged bear market that could stretch into 2026 and beyond?
🔻 Key Observations:
Bearish structure developing with aggressive selling pressure.
Potential breakdown from long-term support trendlines.
Momentum suggests institutional risk-off behavior.
Stay alert for macroeconomic cues, interest rate policy, and earnings season signals. A break below 13,000 could confirm a deeper bear cycle