Chart Patterns
GBP weakness + USD gaining bullish momentumFX:GBPUSD 🧠 What’s Driving GBP Weakness?
❄️ Cooling Inflation: Slows BoE policy tightening
🔻 Contracting Manufacturing: PMI deep in the red
🛍️ Falling Retail Sales: UK consumers are pulling back
💼 Labor Market Cracking: Recent jobs data may be peak
💣 BoE Dovish Pivot Incoming: Markets are anticipating future cuts in 2025
🇺🇸 USD Strength: Fed holding steady, US macro much stronger than UK
🧭 Extra Confluence: USD Strength
USD is being supported by:
Strong US labor market 🟢
Higher for longer Fed 🟢
Global risk-off sentiment 🟢
Positive divergence in US CPI and Retail Sales 🟢
📌 GBPUSD is not just a GBP short — it’s a USD long play too.
🧩 Historical Price Action Pattern
In 2023 Q3, GBP/USD dropped nearly 700 pips in 6 weeks during similar macro shifts — soft BoE + strong USD.
We may be setting up for a repeat pattern now.
🗣️ What’s Your Take?
Are you looking to short GBP/USD this month?
Where’s your target or trigger zone?
Let’s compare setups ⤵️
I’m sharing more breakdowns weekly — follow for macro + technical convergence trades.
GBPJPY Fundamentally Bearish🧠 Macro-Fundamental Breakdown
🇬🇧 GBP (British Pound)
🔻 GDP Shrinking: UK growth has stalled with below-trend GDP prints 3 quarters in a row.
📉 PMI Weakness: Manufacturing and Services PMIs both under 50 = economic contraction
🧊 Retail Sales Down: UK consumer confidence and demand are cooling
💼 Labor Trouble: Unemployment ticking higher + BoE hinting at peaking rates
🪙 BoE Dovish Pivot?: Market now pricing possible cuts into early 2025.
🇯🇵 JPY (Japanese Yen)
🟢 Inflation is ticking higher
🔄 BoJ is cautiously shifting from ultra-loose policy
🛡️ Yen often strengthens in risk-off environments (which aligns with current market volatility)
🇯🇵 Tokyo CPI surprises have reinforced JPY support
BTC defies expectations –Absorbs 9 billion USD, aiming for 130K?BTCUSDT maintains its bullish momentum despite Galaxy Digital offloading 80,000 BTC (worth ~9 billion USD). Price only saw a slight dip before bouncing back quickly, signaling strong demand and a more mature market sentiment.
Citi analysts point to ETF inflows and retail participation as the primary drivers of BTC’s rally, even as investors remain cautious ahead of the Fed’s rate decision.
On the daily chart, BTC continues to trade within an ascending channel, with the 116,200 zone acting as a potential buy area on any pullback. The next target is set at 129,500 USDT, aligning with the channel’s upper boundary and technical resistance.
Suggested strategy: Look to buy near 116,200–117,000. Target 129,500. Stop-loss below 115,000.
Novo Nordisk, generational buying opportunity? Novo Nordisk is currently experiencing one of the largest drawdowns in its history, primarily triggered by a downward revision of guidance for FY25 and FY26.
Focusing strictly on technical analysis:
For the first time, the monthly 200 EMA is serving as a key support level for Novo Nordisk - an area the stock has never approached in its previous history.
The long-term trendline, originating in 1989 and successfully tested three times since 1995, remains intact and is being approached once again.
Both support levels - the monthly 200 EMA and the long-term trendline from 1989 - are now converging in the same price area.
In addition, the latest twelve months (LTM) P/E has compressed to 13.8x, representing its lowest multiple in over two decades.
In the context of a highly valued broader market, Novo Nordisk is now trading at what can be considered a fair level from a purely technical perspective.
LULU into supportLulu is on sale as its just come into an area it has only sold at, 3 other times out of the past 5 years. As you can see by the Orange line, LULU has been holding this area of support for the past 5 years. This is a great buying opportunity. A close below the line on a weekly basis would stop out of the trade
Massive Move Loading? $SOL Prepping for a BreakoutSolana is showing real strength here.
CRYPTOCAP:SOL consistently taking support from the long-term rising trendline, a sign that buyers are defending key levels. We're also approaching a critical resistance zone, which was the previous ATH area.
If SOL manages to close above this zone, we could witness a strong rally towards $500 and beyond. Until then, it’s a crucial level to watch, a breakout here could set the stage for the next leg up.
DYOR, NFA
We might be changing the trend in the coming months!I found this indicator extremely accurate for the past tops. We are focusing on the histogram today and looking once that green candles starts growing momentum taking BTC down the hill. If this idea proves right we might be bottoming around 400 days perhaps August 2026 ~45k
Smart Money Knows: ETH Is Gearing for a Supercycle...Hello Traders 🐺
In this idea, I wanna break down why $15K ETH isn't just a fantasy — it's a real, reachable target. So stay with me 'til the end, because this is just the beginning for Ethereum and the altcoin market.
If you’ve been following my ideas over the past year, you know I’ve been loudly calling for an incoming altseason — especially since ETH hit $1700. I kept saying: “Load up on ETH while you can,” because smart money was clearly rotating into it.
And now? We’re seeing the result.
Since then, Ethereum has nearly 2x’d, and ETH ETFs are pulling in massive inflows — but the price hasn’t exploded yet. Why? Let’s look closer.
Over the past 90 days, ETH has rallied around +180%, but in a quiet, steady climb — which is actually bullish. A strong move with low hype = accumulation. That’s how smart money moves.
📊 Monthly Chart Breakdown:
ETH is moving inside a perfect ascending channel, with clean touches on both support and resistance. Right now, price is forming a bullish flag pattern at the upper range — a classic continuation structure.
Volume has dropped during this flag, which is a textbook sign of accumulation. Add to that: RSI is sloping downward, signaling that large players are shaking out weak hands while loading up quietly.
So yes — ETH has already done +180% during this consolidation phase, which tells us something big is brewing.
🔁 The current pullback on the daily? In my opinion, it’s just a technical reaction to the flag resistance. RSI is also trying to break above its own trendline. If both confirm, the next wave begins.
🎯 Targets?
First target: All-Time High around $4870.
After that? There's nothing but air until we hit the top of the monthly channel near $15,000.
That breakout above ATH is where the real FOMO begins — not just for ETH, but for the entire altcoin market.
Let’s not miss what’s coming.
And as always, remember our golden rule:
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable. 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
Dow Jones: Explosive US30 Trade Setup – Entry,Trap & Exit Mapped💎 Dow Jones Robbery Blueprint: The US30 Vault Crack Plan 💎
(Maximized for reach — within TradingView title limit)
🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Market Robbers & Money Movers 🕵️♂️💰🚨
This ain't your average analysis — it’s a Thief Trader-style 🔥tactical mission🔥 aimed at the mighty "US30/DJI" (Dow Jones Industrial Average). We're talkin' about a precision heist with a full blueprint: entry zones, trap setups, and escape exits. Read carefully — this ain’t for the faint-hearted traders! 🧠🦾
🧠 Entry Zones (The Break-In) 📈
🛠 ENTRY 1: Candle wick near 44200.0 – that’s the resistance gate. Wait for confirmation.
🎯 ENTRY 2: Sneak in at the Market Makers’ Trap around 43200.00 – a dirty zone where retailers get baited. Perfect time to strike long!
🧱 DCA/Layering strategy recommended. Stack those buy orders like a thief layering explosives on a safe. 💣💸
🛑 Risk Levels (Escape Routes/Stop Loss)
🔊 "Listen up, vault raiders! Never drop your SL until breakout is confirmed. If you jump early, you might land in a bear trap! 🪤"
🔐 Stop Zones (Based on Strategy):
🔐 Max Risk SL (5H TF): If you're deep, your last stand is at 43000.0
☝️ SL depends on your position sizing, number of entries, and risk appetite. Trade like a thief, not a gambler.
🎯 Heist Target (Profit Exit)
🏁 Escape Point: 46000.0 — or exit before heat rises! Don’t be greedy. Rob and vanish. 💨💰
🔥 Market Mood: Why the Heist Is On
"US30/DJI" is bullish AF — thanks to:
📊 Macro-Economic Wind at Our Back
📈 Institutional momentum
📰 Strong sentiment and intermarket flows
Check your chart radar: Fundamentals + technicals aligning = green light for robbery! 🟢
⚠️ Tactical Reminder: News Can Jam the Plan
📵 Avoid new entries during major economic releases
🛡 Use trailing SLs to protect running trades
Stay alert, stay alive. 💡
❤️ Support the Robbery Crew
Hit that 💥BOOST💥 — your love fuels our next mission.
Join us and ride daily heist plans with Thief Trading Style 🏴☠️🚀💰
MEMEUSDT 8H#MEME has formed a Cup and Handle pattern on the 8H timeframe. It has bounced nicely off the SMA100, and volume is showing signs of strong accumulation.
📌 Consider entering this coin only after a solid breakout above the resistance zone.
If the breakout occurs, the potential targets are:
🎯 $0.002369
🎯 $0.002675
🎯 $0.003064
⚠️ As always, use a tight stop-loss and apply proper risk management.
TRADE IDEA – EUR/USD SHORT (T2 TRAP REVERSAL)🔻 TRADE IDEA – EUR/USD SHORT (T2 TRAP REVERSAL)
📍 ENTRY ZONE: 1.1560 – 1.1580
🎯 TARGETS:
• TP1 = 1.150
• TP2 = 1.140
• TP3 = 1.130
• TP4 = 1.120
🛡️ STOP LOSS: 1.1600 (above Tier 2 trap extension)
📐 STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT:
• T1 (Macro): 🔻 Down
• T2 (Structure): 🔻 Trap Zone Active (161.8%)
• T3 (Execution): ⚠️ Rejection confirmed via M1 spike + engulf
• T4 (Micro): 🧨 Trap spike → lower high forming
📊 EXECUTION LOGIC:
• M1 rejection at 1.1580 confirmed
• Bearish engulf candle formed post-spike
• Multiple shorts laddered (1.1565 / 1.1580)
• SL held above extension zone
• Price now below both entries
🚦 TRADE STATE: ⚔️ ARMED
• Add-on only valid under 1.1560
• SL trail after 1.1550 break
• No long bias unless 1.1610 breaks with body close
#Renko #FractalCodex #EURUSD #ShortSetup #TrapReversal #Fibonacci #PriceAction
GOLD TRADING PLAN – Triangle Squeeze, All Eyes on NFP【XAU/USD】GOLD TRADING PLAN – Triangle Squeeze, All Eyes on NFP
Gold continues to trade within a large symmetrical triangle, tightening toward the end of its range. However, current candle structure shows clear bullish momentum, indicating the potential for a strong upside breakout.
🔍 Today’s Key Focus: Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)
Market expectations are pointing to weaker-than-expected US economic data, which could trigger strong FOMO-buying for gold if confirmed. A poor NFP report would likely weaken the USD, supporting bullish continuation.
🔑 Strategy and Key Technical Levels:
Watch for a confirmed breakout above the descending trendline to trigger Wave 3 of the bullish structure.
CP ZONE + OBS BUY ZONE triggered yesterday already yielded 160+ pips profit.
Strategy: Prefer buy-the-dip entries. SELL setups only valid on strong resistance rejection. Avoid counter-trend trades near breakout zones.
🟩 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3276 – 3274
Stop Loss: 3270
Take Profits:
3280, 3284, 3290, 3294, 3300, 3305, 3310, 3320, 3330, 3340, 3350
🟥 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3339 – 3341
Stop Loss: 3345
Take Profits:
3335, 3330, 3325, 3320, 3315, 3310, 3305
GBPNZD Breakout from Consolidation Bullish Momentum BuildingGBPNZD has broken out of its recent consolidation pattern and is showing signs of bullish continuation. Strong GBP fundamentals combined with NZD weakness from global risk-off sentiment and tariffs support this technical move.
Technical Analysis (4H Chart)
Pattern: Breakout from a descending channel with bullish follow-through.
Current Level: 2.2418, trading above the breakout level, confirming momentum shift.
Key Support Levels:
2.2294 – recent breakout support and invalidation point for bulls.
2.2222 – secondary support if a deeper pullback occurs.
Resistance Levels:
2.2500 – near-term resistance and potential target for the breakout.
2.2690 – extended bullish target if momentum continues.
Projection: Likely to continue higher toward 2.2500, with room for 2.2690 if GBP strength persists.
Fundamental Analysis
Bias: Bullish.
Key Fundamentals:
GBP: Supported by BOE’s cautious stance on inflation and the relative resilience of the UK economy.
NZD: Pressured by global tariffs, weaker risk sentiment, and limited domestic growth catalysts.
USD Factor: Fed rate cut expectations indirectly support GBP crosses against risk currencies like NZD.
Risks:
Hawkish surprise from RBNZ could strengthen NZD.
BOE dovish signals could stall GBP upside.
Key Events:
BOE meeting and UK CPI.
RBNZ policy decision.
Risk sentiment trends globally.
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
GBP/NZD is a leader among GBP crosses, with GBP strength and NZD weakness driving momentum. It also aligns with EUR/NZD upside moves, reinforcing the bearish NZD outlook.
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
GBP/NZD is bullish, having broken consolidation with upside targets at 2.2500 and 2.2690. The main drivers are GBP’s policy support, NZD’s risk-off weakness, and global tariff concerns. Watch for BOE and RBNZ updates as potential volatility triggers.
XRP 1H – 21% Decline Off the HighAfter hitting a strong resistance near $3.75, XRP has been in a steady downtrend, losing over 20% from its peak. The chart shows clear lower highs and a strong descending resistance line capping every bounce. Price action remains bearish, but short-term momentum (via Stoch RSI) shows signs of being oversold — hinting at a potential relief bounce.
To flip bias, bulls would need a clean break of the trendline and reclaim the $3.15–$3.25 area. Until then, lower highs + sustained sell volume = caution for longs.
📌 20.6% decline
📌 Downtrend intact
📌 Momentum diverging — bounce or continuation?
This setup is primed for a mean-reversion or further breakdown — stay reactive, not predictive.
**#XAUUSD H5 Higher Timeframe Analysis**
📊 **#XAUUSD H5 Higher Timeframe Analysis**
What we witnessed today was a **tremendous recovery in Gold 🟡** after **3–4 consecutive bearish sessions 📉**.
📅 **Today’s candle** has **completely flipped the weekly structure**, turning a fully **bearish weekly candle into a bullish one 📈** — thanks to the **NFP data** that came in **favor of Gold and against the Dollar 💵❌**.
🔍 However, price is now approaching a **critical confluence zone**:
* 🧭 A **long-running trendline** (since April)
* 🔴 An **H4 Bearish Order Block**
* 📐 The **Fibonacci Golden Zone (0.50–0.618)** at **3362–3372**
📌 **From this level, we have two possible scenarios:**
1️⃣ **Sharp Rejection 🔻:**
Price may **reverse sharply** from the 3362–3372 zone and **resume the bearish trend**.
2️⃣ **Breakout & Trap Theory 🔺:**
If price **sustains above this zone**, it may signal that the recent **3–4 day drop was a fake breakdown**, designed to **trap sellers** and grab liquidity for a **further upside move**.
✅ **Confirmation will come if we get an H4–H6 bullish candle close above the trendline** and back inside the **buying zone of 3375–3390**.
🔓 **A breakout above the triangle pattern** will likely lead to a **strong bullish continuation 📈🚀**.
Ethereum (ETH): Might Be Good Zone to Bounce From ETC caught our attention with a local retest of the support zone, which, after a breakout, was a natural movement for the coin!
Now that we have been having that retest, we are looking closely for any signs of recovery, which would give us an opportunity to long from here.
While we see a smaller recovery happening, we need that proper MBS to take place above the support zone, so keep your eyes on it.
As long as we are above the EMAs, this is the game plan we are going to look for!
Swallow Academy
SOL 1H – Bounce From Demand, Can It Reclaim the Breakdown Zone?SOL tapped into the key demand zone near $157 and is now showing signs of a reaction bounce. Price is approaching the former support-turned-resistance zone around $184 — a critical level that marked the start of the previous breakdown.
A reclaim of that zone would suggest bulls are regaining control, opening up room toward the $190–$200 region. Until then, it remains a lower high attempt inside a bearish structure.
📌 Demand bounce
📌 Bearish market structure
📌 Key resistance at ~$184
No confirmed reversal yet — just a bounce until proven otherwise. Keep watching the structure evolve.