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HOW TO FIND CHEAP ENTRY SIGNAL FOR RISKRETURN LIKE 1:10 AND MOREHI BIG PLAYERS, in this tutorial I want educate you my experience, how to find really cheap entry for trading. In this example it was possible to take part on a 1:10 trade. It means for 1 USD investment you could take 10 USD return (Risk-Return-Ratio => RRR). ///////////////////////////////////////////////////// E X A M P L E F O R A B U L L I S H T R E N D ///////////////////////////////////////////////////// At the beginning we are looking for an oscillator, that shows us an oversold area and in the same time a bullish trend with higher and faster EMA than a slower EMA on the chart. This is possible with a slow EMA(close, 200) and a fast EMA(close, 50) and a RSI(close, 14).... => this is for example my way to find it on the Forex Screener from TradingView at fast as possible. I developed a similar structure with more quality signals with my candle oscillator indicator. Named: CO 'I. This indicator allows to see the candle between a range und works at well like the RSI oscillator with 30% and 70% oversold and overbought area. The most positive on this indicator, you don't only see the closing relating price - you see almost more: open, high and low. Furthermore, I found out that if the body of a candle goes into the range between 30-70% and this is the same trenddirection in the chart, then it was to 90% the lowest/highest bar or 3+ bars nearby them. So back to my education: My main view starts on 4H Chart. In this example I found on EUR/JPY a bullish trendfilter with the EMA's and a oversold area on my OC 'I (the wick of the candle was touching the 30% line) - it's only necessary that a touching of the candle is true. NEXT STEP: After this bullish signal it is necessary to zoom in the lower timeframe. Here I choosed the 1H Chart and had to wait till the body of the OC 'I also touched the 30% line and of course wait till the candle is finished. It don't depend how much the body touch the 30% line - but it's necessary that the body is touching. In addition, a bullish divergence was built (looking to blue lines). After the first touching I go into a lower timeframe again. The 15H-Chart was choosed for this example. Hereby the same game: waiting till the body is touching the 30% line. NOTE: furthermore, if I going into the lower timeframe and the body is already touching - then you don't need to wait for the relase into the range and back to touching again the 30% line. The 15MIN Chart is the last timeframe. Now we wait till the body goes up and don't touch any line. This is my signal to buy. My exit depends always how the market flow are: in this case it was a big uptrend and a adapting correction wave (this is mostly the time for divergence and this why I set a takeprofit on this high). With this approuch it was possible to catch a 1:10 trade. Kind regards NXT2017
Education
by NXT2017
APPLE 4% ALGO SPIKE? LOWER VOLS & VOLU; HIGHER NEGATIV VOLS CORRAlgo spike 4% to $101.8? At 18:19 BST Apple stock surged from 99. to $101.8 and back again all within a minute. It was Likely to be algo driven OR a data/exchange error - though no news outlets reported either or offered any other speculation. Though $101.8 is the closest near by resistance strong hold for apple, so it would be a weird coincidence for a "data error" to trade to that price - equally as possible none the less. IMO, because there was little volatility after the event and also because Apple is now struggling to break the $100 i think it was probably a data/exchange error. If it was an actual demand induced algo spike, the stock would have experienced signifcant price volatility after the event as much of the markets TP/SL levels would have caused a large wave of stochastic automated buying/selling as positions are closed out. Further, if the spike was real, apple should have been able to trade above $100 easily today; 1. As $101.8 would be a clear bull target level. 2. as the spike would have removed all of the $100TP selling pressure last night - meaning there would be little volume left to continue long squeeze selling today (which annoyingly has been the case). Volume Apple Volume fell significantly on Monday by 40% to 23m vs 39m (1month av.) and 43m (6month av.). In the first half of trading today, volume was also 7% down from yesterdays first half at 11.23m vs 12.0m - signalling today may continue the bullish trend. This is Bullish IMO as it shows that at these prices holders are not willing to sell their AAPL risk at these prices, as they seek higher prices before they offer higher supply, hence volume stays low and the stock trades with a bid bias - hence the gap up at the open today - illustrating the supply & demand disequilibrium caused by low supply side liquidity and maintained order demand. Volatility & Apple vs VXAP Correlation We continue to have a bullish view from a vols perspective as vols dropped yesterday despite an algo driven spike to $101.8 (4%). Apples CBOE VXAP continued to sell off, closing yesterday at 21.64 from 21.73 Friday. Also the correlation between APPLE and its Implied volatility index continued to fall deeper into negative territory - surpassing levels seen in the last bull run to $112 which peaked at 90% (92% to 94%), This reinforces the bullish volatility signal - as historically, a higher negative relationship sets the best environment for Apple price growth.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by QuantumLogicTrading
GBPUSD: SELL/FADE CABLE ALGO SPIKE @ >1.45Unknown quantity just repriced GBPUSD right into my sell limit zone of 1.45-1.465 (see attached article). Im recommending getting on the cheap risk NOW as FOMC and BREXIT REF can only price GU lower in the coming days/weeks - get it now whilst its cheap! IMO there are 2 things it could have been 1. Algo/ flash buying 2. Some asia-lead Brexit poll that came back "no leave. Either way both dont have much grounding. HOWEVER whatever it was MAY set us up for more GU buying today at some point so make sure you have more SELL LIMITS to take advantage of any further upside volatility that you can get some downside GBP risk cheaply! SELL LIMITS @ 1.455, 1.460, 1.465, 1.469
Short
by QuantumLogicTrading
2
GBPUSD OPEN - 100 PIPS LOWER; UNDERPRICED RISK = SELL PULL BACKSA disappointing open from cable with a bears perspective. Gapping down 100 pips to 1.435 almost immediately puts my sell limit orders (at 146.5) in "unlikely" territory of being hit this week. On friday following the $ EMP report cable managed to rally to 1.458 - i was hopeful it would tick a few more pips upward before the slew of selling started as we move further into FOMC and Brexit event Uncertainty territory. Reason being, i was looking for better/ safer levels to short at - cable at 1.465 is an almost CERTAIN trade (the ones i like) as the next daily support level isnt until 1.443 which means there was over 200 pips of 0 risk equity upside to be collected. Since we are already trading well below last weeks lows at 1.436, we will likely soon test the daily support level at 1.433 then 1.430. TRADING STRATEGY: SELL/ FADE ANY PULL BACKS IN A PYRAMID e.g. 1@1.450, 2@1.456 & 3@1.464! TPSL is discretionary.. i personally have my stops just above 1.48 (on my current shorts at 1.45as I will be holding until the 23/24th of june (to include the FOMC and BREXIT REF volatility) which at somepoint IMO will yield at least TP1.5x the amount of SL = 250/300pips. FOMC hike = 1.38 or 700pips; FOMC Hawkish = 1.41 or 400 pips; BREXIT uncertainty = 1.40-1 or 400-500pips; BREXIT YES = < 1.345. Thus the risks from 1.45 are certainly skewed to the downside for cable (upside for shorts) in my opinion. Above is my strategy for this week, given it is the last realistic week we will be able to add "risk-cheap" shorts to our portfolios (given FOMC is on the 16th and brexit ref on the 23rd). BUT given we have already started the week lower, I think the market has finally begun to price in the cheap risk hence the 100 pips lower - you will see in my previous articles i said to short cable anything below 1.45 - which is now 150pips of upside and looking good for more!
Short
by QuantumLogicTrading
LOW VOLUME, VOLATILITY & PRICE + CORRS TURN NEGATIVE (LONG AAPL)The strong fundamentals aside, Apple is showing signs of upside stability and momentum. IMO after a failing bear run last week this week we are set up for a week of gains, given that friday - the naturally bearish day for stocks, apple managed to close higher, going against the trend of the previous two days of high volume and losses, and instead, carving itself out some strong support at 97-98. reasoning for apple upside recently has been: 1. to start the febuary bull run we saw, correlation between Apples price and Vols turn negative from positive - and establish the correct relationship of lower volatility and higher price, as the greater stability provides a home for more liquidity. - at the end of may correlations between the two did the same again - moving from positive to negative. shortly after apple recovered from 90-100. The negative relationship is still holding (infact increasing) and therefore i take it as a bullish sign, as more investors should flow into the stock. 2. The Febuary bull run was characterised by lower than average volume, as IMO, the market had less sellers in due to the cheap value apple was providing at the <100. Once again in the last 2 weeks apple is showing lower than average volume, which i am again taking as bullish. Low volume at these prices only means one thing - holders do not want to sell at these prices and thus the price must be bid up to encourage more selling. - also the low sell side liquidity may cause the stock to trade gappy, until we reach the 100 level again, where volume may pick up again as uncertainty increases selling. 3. Volatility for apple is at yearly lows at 21 flat. Low vols in this price environment, is very bullish for the stock, as it is cheap and safe, the two characteristics investors seek. Further, it was in the may-June period 2015 where vols were last at 21 flat AND also when apple made its record highs several times at 134, Thus, the low vols and previous price action at the same time last year gives me a positive outlook on the stock. This week id like to see a 101 close, ideally a 103 close. I believe apple is cheap even at 115-120 given its only 11/2x p:e for a leading tech company which is low. Apple risk at these prices is super low, I am personally buying apple at any price below $100 with a 6-12 month target in line with the market at 120+.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by QuantumLogicTrading
2