NZDCHF Strong buy opportunity on the 1D MA50.The NZDCHF pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the October 23 2023 Low. After breaking above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in more than 1 year (since January 31 2023), the pair confirmed the trend shift from long-term bearish to long-term bullish. The recent 3-day pull-back to the 1D MA200 is a technical buy opportunity.
As long as we close 1D candles above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), this is a buy opportunity, targeting the top of the Channel Up and Resistance 2 at 0.55140. Notice how this is exactly on the -0.236 Fibonacci extension, which is the level that the November 29 2023 Higher High was priced at. Also the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement is the level where it double bottomed (November 17 2023) and started the rebound to the Higher High. We are at the 0.5 currently, which indicates a strong Support case.
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Chf
USDCHF to find buyers at current support?USDCHF - 24h expiry
Levels close to the 50% pullback level of 0.8789 found buyers.
Prices have reacted from 0.8742.
The bullish engulfing candle on the 4 hour chart the positive for sentiment.
We look to buy dips.
Our outlook is bullish.
We look to Buy at 0.8790 (stop at 0.8762)
Our profit targets will be 0.8860 and 0.8875
Resistance: 0.8821 / 0.8838 / 0.8850
Support: 0.8790 / 0.8770 / 0.8742
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CHFJPY 4HR Analysis My name is Kieran Trewick and I am a full-time trader with 6 years of experience in the industry. With my coaching service, you will have the opportunity to work directly with me to learn the ins and outs of Forex trading and gain the knowledge and skills you need to become a successful trader. One of the unique aspects of my coaching service is that it goes on indefinitely. This means that even after you become confident in your own trading abilities, you will still be able to communicate with me and receive ongoing support and guidance.
During our coaching sessions, I will teach you everything you need to know about trading Forex, from the basics and fundamentals to more advanced strategies and techniques including that of my own.
This includes how to use trading platforms, which brokers to choose, how to place trades, and how to understand different order types and tools. I will also cover topics such as trend lines, support and resistance, price action, trading psychology, and in-depth analysis of indicators and some of my winning strategies.
As everyone learns at a different pace and has a unique approach to trading, I have structured my coaching service to be indefinite. This means that I will continue to work with you until you become a successful, consistent trader who is confident in conducting your own analysis.
If you are interested in signing up for my 1-1 coaching service, please contact me directly or visit my website for more information. I look forward to working with you and helping you achieve your goals as a Forex trader!
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CHFJPY Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring CHFJPY for a selling opportunity around 171.200 zone, CHFJPY was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 171.200 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDCHF Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring AUDCHF for a buying opportunity around 0.57800 zone, AUDCHF is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.57800 support and resistance area.
We would also like to consider the current easing inflation in Switzerland which could trigger some CHF weakness in the medium term.
Trade safe, Joe.
USD/CHF bulls eye move to 0.90The daily chart shows a nice bullish trend on the daily chart. A minor retracement has occurred at the cycle highs, although Thursday's bullish hammer found support at the 100-day EMA, 38.2% Fibonacci level and prior swing high.
RSI (2) is confirming the trend and RSI (14) is above 50 to show bullish momentum of the past three weeks.
Given the bullish trend structure and shallow retracement, the bias is for a bullish breakout and for prices to head towards the 0.9 handle, near a volume cluster from an older trend.
CADCHF Rejected on the 1D MA200. Sell opportunity.It has been more than 4 months since our last analysis on the CADCHF pair (October 10 2023, see chart below), which was a sell signal that hit directly our 0.64800 Target:
The current signal is no different, as the continuous rejection on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) since February 13, is giving a strong sell signal, which will be confirmed once the 1D MACD forms a Bearish Cross. As you can see, the pattern since December 2022 is a Channel Down and every 1D MACD Bearish Cross above 0.00, has formed a Lower High, hence issuing a strong sell signal. Our Target is the top of the Support Zone at 0.63500, which has been the first Target during the previous 2 Lower High rejections.
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CHFJPY: Fundamental Insights on Swiss InflationHey Traders, in today's trading session, we are monitoring CHFJPY for a selling opportunity around the 170.500 zone. CHFJPY is currently in a downtrend and appears to be in a correction phase as it approaches the critical 170.500 support and resistance area. Now, let's delve into the fundamental analysis shaping this trade.
One fundamental factor influencing CHFJPY is the easing inflationary pressure in Switzerland. Recent data indicates a slowdown in inflationary trends in Switzerland, which may weaken the Swiss franc against other currencies. This easing inflation could contribute to downward pressure on CHFJPY as traders anticipate a softer Swiss franc in the forex market.
Navigating USD/CHF: Dual Fundamental Forces at PlayHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCHF for a buying opportunity around the 0.88000 zone. USDCHF is currently in an uptrend and approaching the critical 0.88000 support and resistance area. Now, let's dive into the fundamental analysis shaping this trade.
On one hand, recent CPI data in the US has shown signs of strength, suggesting potential USD appreciation. The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures indicate a robust performance, which could bolster the greenback's position against the Swiss franc. This upward pressure on the USD could provide support for USDCHF to maintain its upward trajectory.
However, on the other hand, there's a contradictory fundamental factor to consider. In Switzerland, there are indications that inflationary pressures are easing. The easing inflation in Switzerland may lead to a scenario where the Swiss franc weakens against the USD, consequently pushing USDCHF higher. Despite the USD's potential strength fueled by CPI data, the easing inflation in Switzerland adds a contrasting dynamic to the equation.
In summary, while strong CPI data in the US may support USD strength and USDCHF buying opportunities, the easing inflation in Switzerland introduces a counterbalancing factor that could also contribute to USDCHF upside potential. Traders should carefully weigh these conflicting fundamental dynamics alongside the technical analysis when making trading decisions.
Trade safe, Joe.
Swiss Franc can fall a little and then continue grow in channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Swiss Franc. Observing the chart, we can see that the price a few days ago rebounded from the current support level and started to decline to the next level, which coincided with the buyer zone. But soon, CHF declined lower than 0.8485 level and declined until to 0.8330 points, after which Swiss Franc turned around and started to move up inside an upward channel. In the channel, the price soon broke the 0.8485 support level again and then in a short time rose to the current support level, which coincided with the support area and resistance line of the channel. But the price didn't fixed and in a short time fell to the support line of the channel, after which CHF turned around and rebounded back to the 0.8710 level. Soon, the price broke this level, some time traded near, and then continued to grow to the resistance line of the upward channel. Recently price bounced from this line and fell below, so I think that Swiss Franc can decline a little more, after which CHF turns around and then starts to move up to the resistance line of the channel. For this case, I set my target at the 0.8900 level, which coincides near the resistance line of the upward channel. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Swiss Inflation Trends Impacting AUDCHF: A Closer LookIn the upcoming trading week, we're keeping a close eye on AUDCHF for a potential buying opportunity near the 0.57450 zone. AUDCHF is currently undergoing a corrective phase within its uptrend, approaching the critical support and resistance area. Adding a fundamental layer to our analysis, it's noteworthy that inflationary pressures in Switzerland are showing signs of easing. This shift in inflation dynamics could influence trading sentiments and provide insights into potential currency movements.
Stay vigilant and trade safe,
Joe.
USDCHF Analysis: Divergent CPI Trends in the US and SwitzerlandGreetings, traders! In today's trading session, we are closely monitoring USDCHF for a potential buying opportunity around the 0.88020 zone. USDCHF has been exhibiting an uptrend and is currently undergoing a correction phase, approaching the trend at the 0.88020 support and resistance area.
Recent Core CPI data from the United States has shown a notable increase, with the latest reading coming in at 0.4%, surpassing both the expected 0.3% and the previous 0.3% figures. This trend indicates a consistent upward trajectory in inflation, signaling potential economic strength. Considering this inflationary pressure, it is less likely that the Federal Reserve will implement rate cuts in the upcoming March meeting. The robust CPI data suggests a resilient economy, which could influence the Fed to maintain or adjust interest rates accordingly.
In Switzerland, inflation has been slowing at a faster rate than anticipated. This deceleration in inflationary pressures indicates potential economic challenges and could prompt the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to reassess its monetary policy stance. A significant deviation from expected inflation metrics may lead the SNB to adjust its interest rate policies, which could impact the USDCHF pair.
The contrasting CPI trends between the US and Switzerland play a crucial role in shaping monetary policy expectations. The stronger-than-expected inflation in the US diminishes the likelihood of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in March. Conversely, the deceleration in inflation in Switzerland may prompt the SNB to reassess its monetary policy approach, potentially influencing the USDCHF pair.
Trade safe and stay informed,
Joe.
a daily price action early hour update - usd/chfGood morning and i hope you are well.
USD/CHF
bull case: Bulls want the breakout of the triangle and bear channel here to test the 2023-11 and afterwards the 2023-10 high. The rally looks good enough that they can get it. Measured move target is right in between those 2 targets. If they can get the breakout, the market cycle changes from bear trend to trading range and the downside will probably be limited. Since this is a 20+ year bear channel, it has to find a bottom eventually right?
bear case: Bears need to step in here to keep it inside the bear channel or the targets given above are very high probability. Since this is the third touch of the upper bear trend line, odds are not all that great to break it on the first try here. Ranging here is more probable but for that, bears need to print bear bars and right now there are none. First target for the bears is to stop the rally and then print back below 0.872.
short term: odds favor sideways but rally is strong and i would not do anything here unless the bulls keep printing strong bars, then it's clearly continuation of long
medium-long term: sideways. markets do not go from trend to trend, bottoms and tops are formed over a period before a new trend emerges
EURCHF - Looking for Shorts Again ❗️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 EURCHF has been overall bearish , trading within the falling wedge pattern in green.
At present, EURCHF is undergoing a correction phase and it is currently approaching the upper green trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
Moreover, it is retesting a strong resistance zone marked in blue.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the blue resistance and upper green trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURCHF is around the green circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a top bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
CHFJPY Short Analysis + Trade IdeaCHFJPY 4HR Analysis + Trade Idea by OfficialKieranTrewick
Looking for a 4HR fractal pivot rejection off 170.750-171.000 to provide good entries for shorts down to 169.500 - 167.000, The daily trend is very strong with chfjpy ongoing since 2021 and with multiple recent rejections off the latter side it seems it may be loading up for the surge into ATNH but with how strong of a resistance there has been at 171.500 i am not sure if this will be anytime soon, and with how strong the trend has been there is definitely room for some exhaustion down to 165-163 without affecting any long term market structure.
Currently where the inner trend meets the underside of the largescale trend within a large range zone block trapped between 50% and a strong resistance level, the key here is just patience and waiting for the right confirmations to play out.
On friday I already entered a short position with my VIP group from around 170.850 with various take profits levels down to 170.750, 170.500, 170.250, and 169.250.