CADCHF Pure Resistance - Support trade.The CADCHF pair is trading within a 5-month Rectangle pattern. Following the rejection on the 0.68310 Resistance and establishing the price action below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), it should begin the final bearish phase towards the 0.64600 Support. The 1D MA50 is in between but after the 1D MACD formed a Bearish Cross, it shouldn't hold. Our target is 0.64800.
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Chf
EURCHF Bearish leg of Channel Down has started.EURCHF is trading inside a Channel Down that priced the latest Lower High at 0.969650 (Resistance A).
That is confirmed by the Sell Cross formation on October 5th, the highest formed since January 31st.
Sell and target 0.94100 (Support A), even though we can decline a little more (-3.25% was the previous bearish leg).
Previous chart:
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CHFJPY - Looking For Sell Setups ↘️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
CHFJPY has been overall bearish trading inside the falling broadening wedge pattern in red, and it is currently approaching the upper trendline.
Moreover, the zone 164.5 is a resistance zone.
🏹 So the highlighted purple circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the blue resistance and upper red trendline.
As per my trading style:
As CHFJPY approaches the purple circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
USDCHF 9/10/23US dollar to the Swiss franc is showing us exactly what we'd like to see which is a reversed version of our USD secondary pairs so for example in this case we have a bearish swing range showing us that the gap is at the low of the range in our usd secondary pairs we have the reverse where our gap is at the top of the range and we are in a bullish directional range now the gap on the US dollar Swiss franc was not as large as our other primary pairs but we have still had a gap at market open which has now been filled due to the high impact news on Friday we created a huge 5 minute range this range needs to be broken either higher or lower to confirm our manipulated low until that we will just continue to follow the internal price action to possibly find some movements for a short term entry.
Remember to always read order flow and follow what price is showing you instead of trading based on your desired direction. And, as always, stick to your risk and your plan.
We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
CADCHF - Over 1000pips Banked. What Is Next?CADCHF has given us over 1000pip worth of setups. We are now looking for one more trade setup to complete this bearish wave.
We know that Waves 1, 3 and 5 have a 5 wave structure. We are currently in wave 5 and looking for 5 subwaves to complete the bearish sequence.
Trade idea:
- We are in subwave 1 (of wave 5)
- Watch for subwave 2 retracement
- price should not go above 0.683 = invalidation level
- Targets: 0.645 (300pips), 0.62 (550pips)
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
See our previous CADCHF setups below:
Why is AUD/CHF Going Down?The Australian dollar (AUD) has been on a downward trajectory against the Swiss franc (CHF) since the beginning of October 2023. The AUD/CHF exchange rate has fallen from 0.60 to 0.58, representing a decline of over 3%.
There are a number of factors that have contributed to this decline. One factor is the ongoing strength of the Swiss franc. The CHF is considered to be a safe-haven currency, and investors tend to flock to it during times of uncertainty. The current global economic climate is uncertain due to a number of factors, including the war in Ukraine, rising inflation, and concerns about a recession. As a result, the CHF has been in high demand, which has pushed its value higher.
Another factor that has contributed to the decline in the AUD/CHF exchange rate is the weakening of the Australian dollar. The AUD has been under pressure due to a number of factors, including the slowdown in the Chinese economy, rising interest rates in the United States, and concerns about the outlook for the global economy. As a result, the AUD has fallen against a number of currencies, including the CHF.
The image attached to the query shows the AUD/CHF exchange rate over the past year. The chart shows that the exchange rate has been on a downward trajectory since the beginning of October 2023. The decline in the AUD/CHF exchange rate is likely to continue in the near term, as the factors that are driving the decline are expected to remain in place.
Here is a more detailed explanation of the factors that are driving the decline in the AUD/CHF exchange rate:
Strength of the Swiss franc: The CHF is considered to be a safe-haven currency, and investors tend to flock to it during times of uncertainty. The current global economic climate is uncertain due to a number of factors, including the war in Ukraine, rising inflation, and concerns about a recession. As a result, the CHF has been in high demand, which has pushed its value higher.
Weakness of the Australian dollar: The AUD has been under pressure due to a number of factors, including the slowdown in the Chinese economy, rising interest rates in the United States, and concerns about the outlook for the global economy. As a result, the AUD has fallen against a number of currencies, including the CHF.
Trade flows: Australia and Switzerland have a relatively small trade relationship. This means that the AUD/CHF exchange rate is not as sensitive to trade flows as some other currency pairs. However, the slowdown in the Chinese economy is likely to have a negative impact on the Australian economy, and this could lead to a further decline in the AUD/CHF exchange rate.
Interest rates: The Swiss National Bank (SNB) has maintained a negative interest rate policy for several years. However, the SNB is expected to raise interest rates in the near future. This is likely to make the CHF more attractive to investors, and could lead to a further decline in the AUD/CHF exchange rate.
Overall, the decline in the AUD/CHF exchange rate is likely to continue in the near term, as the factors that are driving the decline are expected to remain in place. Investors should closely monitor the global economic climate, the strength of the Swiss franc, and the performance of the Australian economy to assess the outlook for the AUD/CHF exchange rate.
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EURCHF Potential DownsidesHey traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURCHF for a selling opportunity around 0.96500 zone, EURCHF is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.96500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDCHF: Important Breakout & Very Bearish Pattern 🇦🇺🇨🇭
Take a look at a strong rejection from a key horizontal daily resistance on AUDCHF.
After a test of 0.5925 level the market dropped and violated a support line of a rising parallel channel.
Taking into consideration that the pair is trading in a long term bearish trend,
probabilities are high that the market will drop now.
Goals: 0.577 / 0.567
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AUDCHF Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDCHF for a selling opportunity around 0.58400 zone, AUDCHF is trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDCHF: Reversing near the top of the Channel Down.AUDCHF may have crossed over the 1W MA100 but eventually failed, also on the 0.5 Fibonacci level, and appears to be reversing. The technical outlook on the 1D time-frame is neutral (RSI = 55.574, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 42.778), so it is a valid sell entry. On top of that, every LH inside this 15 month Channel Down (exception Jan 23rd 2023) has been around the 0.5 Fibonacci level. All this while the 1D MACD is close to a Bearish Cross formation. Sell and target the bottom of the Channel Down over the -0.382 Fib (TP = 0.54500).
Prior idea:
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CHFGBP, Major Ascending-Triangle, Ready for Completion, Targets!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis of CHFGBP. Within recent times CHFGBP continued with forming a highly important formation in the whole formational structure as it managed to build up bullishly within the major areas of the structure. In this case, I have detected the most prevalent important signs and considerations to determine for CHFGBP and the upcoming price actions, therefore, I have analyzed the major factors in the analytics backend.
As when looking at my chart now CHFGBP has formed two important formational factors here. The first factor, CHFGBP continued with this major uptrend channel in which it has substantial support bouncing several times towards the upside. The second factor, CHFGBP is still bouncing above the 65-EMA as well as the 100-EMA being major support levels within this whole chart. Together these two factors are holding the bullish trend towards the upside and building the bullish base here.
The major formation within this whole chart is the main ascending triangle formation which is about to complete within the next times as CHFGBP continues to bounce within the ascending triangle formation this means that a final breakout above the upper boundary is likely to emerge within the upcoming times. Once this breakout has emerged as it is marked in my chart CHFGBP is going to set up the next wave-expansions towards the bullish direction. Especially as the solid bullish volume is building up here this breakout is likely to happen faster than thought about.
Taking all these factors into consideration here, once CHFGBP has completed the whole ascending triangle formation it is going to activate the upper target zones as they are marked within my chart, and especially depending on the momentum and volume with which CHFGBP actually emerges these targets can be reached in a major accelerated bullish volume spike. When this happens it increases the potential for a bullish continuation tremendously and CHFGBP is going to accelerate the further bullish dynamics above the initial target zones into the bullish continuation zone.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching my analysis of CHFGBP. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
CHFAUD, This Major Formation to ALTER the Current Trend-Dynamic!Hello There!
Welcome to my newest idea about CHFAUD. In my recent analysis, conduction, and chart price-action I have detected important underlying trend dynamics and price action dynamics that are likely to alter the whole CHFAUD price action and trend that is currently ongoing. Currently, it is highly necessary conduction to consider if the CHFAUD current trend dynamics are going to hold on or if a massive reversal is going to convert the whole price action into a different market.
Within my analysis chart, I am considering the massive ascending triangle formation CHFAUD is likely to complete within the next times as it is going to approach this massive supply zone between the 1.8 and 1.87 level from where it already pulled back several times in the past increasing the possibility for a major pullback into the other trend direction.
Especially, within this whole price-action the most important parts are the 25-EMA, the 50-EMA, and the ascending trend line which hold the current trend, and if they are broken towards the other trend direction it is going to indicate the massive trend reversal and is going to activate the next continuations till either the bearish momentum is going to accelerate so heavily below the supports or a potential for a reversal within the supports is indicated.
When considering the whole dynamic here the major ascending triangle formation forming here is a formation that is indicating a reversal in almost all of the cases. The most important conduction once it has been completed will be on how the price action approaches the target zones because it is going to complete a much larger wave count from A to E with the finalization of the wave E. A bounce in this area is going to confirm a potential reversal otherwise a continuation is going to accelerate the bearishness to even further target zones.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching my analysis of CHFAUD. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
USDCHF: One More Bearish Setup 🇺🇸🇨🇭
USDCHF also looks overbought:
the price formed a rising wedge pattern and a descending triangle within.
Both the support on the wedge and the neckline of the triangle were broken.
I expect a further decline to 0.9163
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USD/CHF Retreats Amidst Positive US Data and Trade TensionsUSD/CHF Retreats Amidst Positive US Data and Trade Tensions
Introduction
The USD/CHF currency pair is currently trading lower around 0.8910 during the Asian session on Friday, marking a retreat from its recent winning streak that commenced on Tuesday. This reversal comes despite the pair receiving upward support from robust US job data released on Thursday. In this article, we will dissect the factors contributing to the pair's recent movements and the broader economic landscape.
Positive US Job Data
One of the key drivers of the recent USD/CHF gains was the release of encouraging US job data. US Initial Jobless Claims as of September 1 dipped to 216K, falling below the expected 234K and the previous reading of 229K. Additionally, US Unit Labor Costs improved to 2.2% in the second quarter, up from the previous figure of 1.6%, a development that was expected to remain steady.
The Strength of the US Dollar
The recent surge in the strength of the US Dollar (USD) can be attributed to growing investor confidence in a more hawkish stance from the US Federal Reserve (Fed). This optimism is fueled by a consistent stream of positive economic data from the United States, reflecting the country's robust economic health.
Market Expectations
Market participants are now factoring in the likelihood of a 25 basis point (bps) interest rate hike during the November and December Fed meetings, along with the possibility of maintaining interest rates at elevated levels for an extended duration. These expectations have played a significant role in bolstering the USD's position in recent trading sessions.
Trade Tensions and Safe-Haven Appeal
Despite the positive economic developments in the US, investor confidence remains tempered by concerns regarding China's deteriorating economic situation and the persistent trade tensions between China and the United States. These factors continue to pose risks to the global economic landscape. In times of uncertainty, the Swiss Franc (CHF) often garners appeal as a traditional safe-haven currency, which could explain the recent resurgence in demand for the CHF.
Focus on Upcoming Speeches
With no significant economic releases expected to impact the market from either the United States or Switzerland in the near term, traders are likely to keep a close eye on forthcoming speeches from Fed members. These speeches have the potential to provide further insights into the central bank's monetary policy stance and may influence currency market dynamics.
Conclusion
The USD/CHF currency pair's recent retreat, despite positive US job data, underscores the impact of global economic uncertainties, particularly related to China's economic condition and ongoing trade tensions. While the US Dollar has enjoyed a recent surge in strength due to robust economic indicators and expectations of a more hawkish Fed, the Swiss Franc's safe-haven appeal remains intact. Traders should remain vigilant and adaptable as they navigate a forex landscape influenced by a delicate balance of economic factors and geopolitical tensions.
AUDCHF Hit our bullish target. Now time to sell the Channel DownThe AUDCHF pair has hit the 0.58200 target (0.382 Fibonacci level) we set on our last buy call (see idea below) and is resting today at the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel Down pattern since the January 27 2023 High:
The price price is now on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) and just below the 0.5 Fibonacci level. There is also a chance that the dotted Channel Down will be materialized, so the technical Lower High max extension is a little higher. The sell confirmation typically comes when the 1D MACD makes a Bearish Cross. Our target is a potential -9.10% extension at 0.54000.
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USDCHF, Massive Broadening-Wedge, BREAKOUT Incoming, Targets!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis about USDCHF on the 2-Day Timeframe Perspective. In the recent times, as I have spotted, USDCHF is converting more and more into a determining structure that is setting up a much larger price-action volatility-breakout than already seen before. Therfore, the next finalization-steps need to be confirmed for the major determinations to emerge. Especially once the volume and momentum is aligned into this direction it is going to transform the whole chart-development into a major breakout determination. In this case I have spotted the most important parts of this whole considerations and what to expect in the upcoming times.
Formational Structure:
As when looking at my chart now USDCHF continued forming this gigantic Descending-Broadening-Wedge-Bottoming-Formation in which it formed a coherent Wave-Count within the structure to continue gradually bouncing within the lower boundary to now aim higher and test the upper boundary for a final breakout. Especially as USDCHF is building up above the 35-EMA this is offering an strong support within this whole structure and is actually forming the structure for the final breakout to emerge. Once the breakout above the upper-boundary emerged as it is seen within my chart this is going to be the first Breakout-Confirmation in a series of further continuation developments.
Upcoming Indications and Prospects:
Once the initial Breakout-Confirmation has shown up this is going to activate the target-zones as they are marked within this whole formational structure. Once the second Breakout-Confirmation has been validated it is going to increase the odds for the second target to be reached within the schedule and especially with a strong trend-acceleration those targets are likely to be reached faster than setup. The next times will be extremely important here as they are going to determine the final breakout and completion of the whole wedge-formation. According to this further assumptions to consider for the next alignments can be derived. This paramount formation and the upcoming developments are factors why we are keeping USDCHF on the watchlist and re-evaluate the situation once changes in the chart have emerged.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching the analysis, support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
CHFJPY, DOOMSDAY BEAR-MARKET Scenario, Wedge-TRIGGER-Setup!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis about CHFJPY on several timeframe perspectives. The CHFJPY conditions have accelerated to an unnatural dynamic recently as the pair moved into new highs instead of the massive overbought condition and the fact that this main reversal into the bearish direction should have setup already long times before especially considering the deficit of capital flows in CHF against the JPY there is a lot of bearish pressure present for CHF.
On the broader perspective the pair is forming this gigantic ascending-wedge-formation in which it already penetrated the lower boundaries with crucial bearish momentum spikes into the lower direction. This means that once a huge bearish pressure spike below the lower boundary has setup this will lead to many long liquidation triggers down the road and will lead to further continuations into this perspective. When the bearish pressure accelerates heavily this will also lead to the massive head-shoulder-formation to be completed triggering further bearish liquidations and momentum.
Especially with a further increase of the deficit in capital flows between CHF and JPY this will lead to the main market momentum to convert into a bearish dynamic and will lead to the underlying bearish scenario perspective to be confirmed by traders and investors moving into a more bearish sentiment consideration. Once the whole head-shoulder-formation has completed the momentum is likely to accelerate to the target-zones mentioned.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching the analysis, support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP