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GBPCHF Downtrend Alert: Time to Sell?Good morning traders, As anticipated, we observed a retracement in the GBPCHF pair. A rising wedge pattern has subsequently materialized, and a recent downside breakout confirms this formation. The prevailing market sentiment remains bearish. On the 1-hour timeframe, all moving averages are aligned with our perspective, and the majority are consistent on the 4-hour timeframe as well. With the 1-hour death cross still intact, our current strategy suggests maintaining a bearish position.
Short
by FX-TradingLions
GBPCHF COULD BE A GOOD SELL Hello, Traders! Presently, we're seeing a strong bearish tide in the overall market. Particularly noteworthy is the 'Falling Three Methods' pattern completion we've spotted on the 4-hour timeframe. This is a significant bearish signal, pointing to continued downward momentum. We're also anticipating impactful GBP news in the next few hours. It's critical that you remain alert for swift price shifts and ensure you manage your positions in line with your account balance.
Short
by FX-TradingLions
CADCHF Alert: Bearish Flag Break? Don't Miss Out!Hello Traders, Exciting potential awaits on the CADCHF pair! Currently, we've spotted a bearish flag pattern forming on the 4h timeframe. A break from this formation will serve as a strong confirmation of continuing bearish momentum. Another key element to watch out for is the inside bar. A shift past its limit into a new low will underline the dominant bearish pressure in this scenario. Importantly, this analysis is also supported by the overall market direction which is decisively bearish. Furthermore, recent news has played a role in shaping this setup. The US Dollar has shown a slight weakening trend following a mixed July jobs report, and the Canadian employment change for July registered a decrease of 6.4K jobs. This gives additional context to our bearish outlook for CADCHF. As always, let's stay observant, manage risk wisely, and capitalize on these developments!
Short
by FX-TradingLions
1
CHFJPY Buy In this trading analysis, we will examine the CHF/JPY currency pair and provide insights into the prevailing short-term uptrend bias. Additionally, we will focus on the fundamental factors that indicate weakness in the Japanese Yen (JPY) and support the appreciation of the Swiss Franc (CHF) against the Yen in the near term. Technical Analysis: a) Short-Term Uptrend Pattern: Upon analyzing recent price action, it is evident that CHF/JPY has been forming higher highs and higher lows, signaling a short-term uptrend pattern. This pattern indicates that buyers have been dominant in driving the currency pair higher over the short run. b) Moving Averages: The 50-day and 100-day moving averages for CHF/JPY are trending upward, confirming the presence of a short-term uptrend. Moreover, the current price is above these moving averages, further reinforcing the bullish bias. c) Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI, a momentum oscillator, is currently showing readings above 50, indicating bullish momentum. This supports the short-term uptrend bias for CHF/JPY. d) Support and Resistance Levels: Price action analysis also reveals that CHF/JPY has been consistently finding support at key levels, while overcoming resistance levels with relative ease. This reinforces the strength of the short-term uptrend. Fundamental Analysis: a) Weakening Japanese Yen (JPY): Monetary Policy Divergence: The Bank of Japan (BoJ) has maintained an ultra-loose monetary policy, including negative interest rates and yield curve control, to stimulate the economy and counter deflation. In contrast, major central banks in other countries, including the Swiss National Bank (SNB), have been signaling a potential tightening of monetary policy due to improving economic conditions. This divergence in monetary policy outlooks contributes to JPY weakness. Economic Growth Concerns: Japan's economy has faced headwinds due to demographic challenges, sluggish consumer spending, and subdued inflation. Although there have been some signs of recovery, concerns about the sustainability of economic growth persist. In contrast, Switzerland's economy has shown more resilience, supported by strong exports and a favorable business environment, which enhances the attractiveness of CHF. Safe-Haven Flows Ebbing: The JPY is traditionally considered a safe-haven currency, attracting investors during times of heightened global uncertainty. However, with improving market sentiment and reduced geopolitical tensions, the demand for safe-haven assets like the JPY has diminished, causing the currency to weaken against its counterparts. Conclusion: Based on our technical and fundamental analysis, the CHF/JPY currency pair indicates a short-term uptrend bias. The technical indicators, such as the short-term uptrend pattern, moving averages, and RSI, all support the view that the currency pair is likely to continue its upward movement in the near term. Furthermore, the fundamental factors, such as the weakening JPY due to monetary policy divergence, economic growth concerns, and reduced safe-haven demand, contribute to the appreciation of the CHF against the JPY. Traders should, however, remain cautious and consider implementing appropriate risk management strategies, as market conditions can change rapidly in the forex market.
Long
by creamygem
USDCHF Approaching the 1D MA50 for the optimal sell entry.The USDCHF pair made a strong rejection near the top of the Channel Down pattern and hit our 0.88250 sell target as illustrated on our analysis 2 months ago (see chart below): The price is now rising again, after nearly the -0.5 Fibonacci extension for a Lower Low (same as the May 04 Lower Low). The most optimal sell entry is within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. That is located exactly at the top of the Channel Down. We will take that opportunity to sell and target 0.8300 (again near the -0.5 Fibonacci extension). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
1
USDCHF has turned positive.USDCHF - 24h expiry Short-term bias has turned positive. Price action has posted a Doji candle and signals a possible reversal of the recent trend. A lower correction is expected. We look to buy dips. 50 4-hour EMA is at 0.8677. We look to Buy at 0.8673 (stop at 0.8637) Our profit targets will be 0.8763 and 0.8773 Resistance: 0.8736 / 0.8750 / 0.8770 Support: 0.8700 / 0.8675 / 0.8660 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA