Chf
EURCHF Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring EURCHF for a selling opportunity around 0.96100 zone, EURCHF is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.96100 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
Audchf keeps getting lowerLikely pullback to short,watching on lower timeframe like h1.
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The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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1HOUR TIMEFRAME CHF/AUD IDEA HELLO GUYS THIS MY IDEA 💡ABOUT CHFAUD FX_IDC:CHFAUD is nice to see strong volume area....
Where is lot of contract accumulated..
I thing that the buyers from this area will be defend this LONG position..
and when the price breakout this resistance , strong buyers will be push up the market again..
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✨ NEW: EURCHF ✨ LONG TERM SWING ✨SLO @ 0.9625
TP4 @ 0.9610 (shaving)
TP3 @ 0.9590 (shaving)
TP2 @ 0.9580 (shaving)
TP1 @ 0.9566 (shaving)
BSO @ 0.9555 ⏳
-SL @ 0.9530
If the Pivot Low hold up, we can then use this range as our Curve Analysis and hope for some uptrend momentum above 0.9555
To help me better understand this pair, I use the correlation between EURCHF and EURUSD, which is positive 69%. This means that the two currency pairs tend to move in the same direction roughly 70% of the time. Whereas, about 30% of the time, they're negatively correlated.
Looking at the history SHORTING is obviously you're best bet. Otherwise, you'll have to use TEMASHA to catch the actual turn to the upside.
⚠️ Because PA is at the ALL Time Low (with no real pivot low), there is NO CURVE to be analyzed.
The only thing I see is a BSO @ 0.9555
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AUDCHF: Buy opportunity emergingAUDCHF is trading inside a Channel Down pattern for more than one year with the 1D timeframe bearish (RSI = 38.270, MACD = -0.004, ADX = 43.501) as the price is under its middle and the 1D MA50. The 1D MA200 is located exactly on its top.
The 1D MACD is in the process of completing a Bullish Cross, which has been a strong buy signal inside this pattern. Even though the price can extend to 0.57000 to complete a -7.55% decline from the recent Lower High (similar declines have been -8.06%, -7.94% and -7.55% since the start of the pattern so we use the minimum scenario), once the Bullish Cross is formed, we will buy and target the 1D MA50 (TP = 0.59000).
Prior idea:
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CADCHF - Watch For Breakout!Following on from our last CADCHF post, which resulted in a full TP of 900pips, we have found another great opportunity.
We are currently in wave 4, which appears to be a ABC correction. We are looking to trade the C leg of wave 4. We anticipate that wave B has completed therefore we can use the lows of wave B as invalidation level for our bullish trade.
Trade idea:
- Watch for bullish price action and enter
- stop loss below wave B completion (basically the lows)
- Target: 6.8 (300pips) but do actively manage your positions as we move higher.
See our last CADCHF post here:
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
AUDCHF Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDCHF for a buying opportunity around 0.58500 zone, AUDCHF was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.58500 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPCHF: Price Action Analysis & Forecast 🇬🇧🇨🇭
GBPCHF is testing a strong horizontal resistance.
Here are multiple bearish clues that I spotted after the test of the underlined area:
the market was rejected heavily, forming a sequence of rejection candles,
the price formed a head and shoulders pattern and broke its horizontal neckline,
the pair violated a support line of an expanding wedge pattern.
I believe that the market will most likely drop lower soon.
Goals: 1.1117
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USD/CHF bullish idea(+150 pip)Hello Traders
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
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Thanks For Reading
Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
CHFARS Long Trend bullish continuesNo divergence! Bullish Trend will continue
Strategy:JUST TREND TRADING!!!!!On Higher TF (Daily,weekly monthly)
What is the state of Argentina’s economy?
Argentina is the third-largest economy in Latin America, behind Brazil and Mexico. Its major industries include automobiles, textiles, mining, technology, agriculture, and tourism. Additionally, analysts say there is significant economic potential in the development of renewable energy, such as solar and wind power, and related resources, such as lithium.
Argentina has historically shifted between pro-business and populist administrations, which have taken a more heavy-handed role in the economy and increased social spending. Before taking office, Fernandez promised to reverse the austerity measures enacted under Macri. His administration has since increased taxes on exports and high-income households, lowered interest rates, and raised the minimum wage. However, while year-on-year unemployment has fallen recently, the country still has one of the highest inflation rates in the world, and four in ten Argentines live below the national poverty line.
Argentina’s top trading partners are the United States, Brazil, and China. The United States is also Argentina’s largest foreign investor, with more than three hundred U.S. companies operating there. In addition, Argentina is a member of several regional trade groups, including the Southern Common Market (Mercosur) and the Latin American Integration Association, and it is currently a prospective member for the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, a bloc of the world’s most advanced economies.
What are Argentina’s major economic challenges?
Argentina’s climate for business and investment has worsened in recent years, weakening due to political dysfunction, price and capital controls, high inflation, debt concerns, and the COVID-19 pandemic. In 2020, foreign investment dropped to $4.1 billion, down 38 percent from the previous year, and several international companies announced they were downsizing or leaving Argentina amid the country’s ongoing recession. The overall economy has shrunk each year since 2018.
Argentina was one of the ten wealthiest countries per capita in the early twentieth century. However, economists say that its overreliance on commodity exports and unsustainable government spending fueled frequent boom-bust cycles, resulting in political instability and economic decline in the decades that followed.
Successive administrations have struggled to keep the country’s finances in check during periods of economic turmoil. As a result, Argentina has often failed to pay its international creditors; it has defaulted on its sovereign debt nine times over the last two centuries, one of the most frequent in the world to do so. The largest default occurred in December 2001, when the government reneged on nearly $93 billion in loans, causing Argentina to lose access to international debt markets. To restore its ability to borrow, Macri cut export taxes, lifted currency controls, and negotiated a debt settlement with holdout creditors in 2016. While these actions were successful, Argentina lost access again following the country’s default in May 2020.
As of December 2020, Argentina’s total national debt was $336 billion, or nearly 90 percent of its gross domestic product (GDP). Of that, the government owes $45 billion to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and $2.4 billion to the Paris Club, an informal group of private creditors.
GBP/CHF Interest Rates up But Gold Supporting CHFBoth the UK and Switzerland are sort of rebels as they’ve both disregarded the EU in one way or the other. This makes them unique to the rest of the world but quite similar to each other. Here is why you should trade the GBPCHF currency pair:
GOLD PRICE
Across the seven seas, Switzerland’s currency, the Swiss franc, also has a strong link with gold. Using the dollar as base currency, the USD/CHF usually climbs when the price of gold slides.
Conversely, the pair dips when the price of gold goes up.
Unlike the Australian dollar, the reason why the Swiss franc moves along with gold is that more than 25% of Switzerland’s money is backed by gold reserves.
Gold has a negative correlation with USD/CHF.
When gold goes up, USD/CHF goes down. When gold goes down, USD/CHF goes up.
Isn’t that awesome?
Keep in mind that that this correlation is not set in stone and may change in the future.
So the Gold price has a positive correlation with AUD and CHF.
Market Correlations
The correlations between currency pairs like the GBPCHF and other assets in the market are a great reason to trade them. This is evident in the case of the British Pound, which has strong correlations with commodities such as machinery and transport. These are its most popular exports. It is especially evident in the instance of the Swiss franc, which has strong linkages with goods such as medicines and watches. This is due to their involvement in the exportation of these valuable products. As a result, trading this pair becomes even easier since if we understand the direction of the commodities market, we can easily grasp the direction of the GBPCHF market as well. We’ll go over how these commodities will affect the movement of the GBPCHF currency pair in greater detail later.
Market Predictability
Identifying market conditions for GBPCHF seems to be rather clear cut. This is due to the fact that they are most influenced by developments in their respective countries, namely the United Kingdom and Switzerland. Because the USD is the standard currency for global transactions, any changes anywhere in the world would have an impact on a pair including the USD. Similarly, any changes that occur anywhere in the European Union’s 28 member countries would have an impact on a pair that contains the Euro. As a result, maintaining track of every location that may have an impact on a currency pair becomes rather difficult. Forex pairs that are exclusively tied to a certain region, such as GBPCHF, are much easier to forecast since we just need to assess their individual nations for economic changes.
Interest Rates
The United Kingdom is well-known for its high interest rates set by the Bank of England. These high interest rates are far higher than those of other market players like the United States and Australia. Switzerland has substantially lower interest rates than the United Kingdom. The Swiss National Bank is responsible for Switzerland’s low interest rates.
Their economy is relatively steady, which is why their interest rates are so low. As a result of these interest rates, traders are driven to the GBPCHF currency pair due to its high interest yields. Because of the wide disparity in interest rates, this combination delivers high returns. When trading this currency pair, traders usually employ a carry trade due to the high rewards. Carry trading is the practice of selling a low-interest-rate currency in order to buy one with a higher interest rate.
GBPCHF Trading Tips
As we’ve mentioned previously, GBPCHF is quite unique to others but very similar to each other. This places them in quite a tricky spot as their markets would be facing very unique circumstances. Here are a few tips for trading the GBPCHF currency pair:
Trade Timings
Although you can generally trade the GBPCHF currency pair anytime as long as the market is open, there are certain timings that make the market conditions perfectly ideal for this dynamic duo. The perfect time to trade this pair is when the London market is open. This would be considered between 8 am and 4 am GMT. The reason this timing is so ideal is because if any changes were to occur in the economic or monetary policies of these individual countries, they would occur within this time zone. And so, this is why it is important to keep in mind trade timings when trading the GBPCHF currency pair.
Carry Trading
Carry trade is the practice of borrowing a low-interest-rate currency to invest in a higher-interest-rate currency. When using the carry trade strategy, you must first decide on the funding and asset currencies. The currency traded in the transaction is known as the funding currency. This currency often has a lower interest rate. Historically, the CHF has been a popular funding currency. Selling the CHF while simultaneously buying the GBP, is critical for successful GBPCHF carry trading. When this happens, you will be paid interest based on the difference in interest rates between GBP and CHF which is quite a significant amount.
Range Trading
The technique of determining when to enter a trade by analyzing support and resistance levels is known as range trading. The highest points on a particular chart are the resistance levels. Similarly, the lowest points on a particular chart represent support levels. Understanding the location of these highs and lows is critical to the range trading approach. For instance, if the price is approaching a resistance level and you believe it will hold, you may place a SELL order. If the price, on the other hand, reaches a level of support that you believe will hold, you may make a BUY transaction. If the price goes below the support level, you can begin a short position because the support level will no longer be valid. Similarly, if the price continues to rise over the resistance level, you may enter the market long since the resistance level will be invalidated.
Factors Affecting GBPCHF
Both the UK and Switzerland are quite similar to each other. Despite this, they are each known for their own reasons and have greatly benefitted from them respectively. Here are a few factors impacting the GBPCHF currency pair:
The Pharmaceuticals Industry
Switzerland is one of the world’s largest exporters of medicinal products. These mostly consist of medications, although other pharmaceutical items are also provided. Any changes in demand for these products have a considerable influence on the value of Switzerland’s economy. If worldwide demand for drugs and other medicines rises, Switzerland will be able to export them more often, improving the value of the CHF. As a result, the value of the GBPCHF currency pair would plummet. Similarly, if the worldwide demand for drugs and other pharmaceuticals falls, Switzerland will be unable to export as much as usual, leading the CHF to lose value. As a result, the value of the GBPCHF currency pair would increase.
The Transport Industry
The United Kingdom is a leading exporter of automobiles and auto parts. As a result, its economy is strongly dependent on worldwide demand for these goods. Any changes in demand for transportation vehicles will have an immediate impact on the pound’s value. If demand for automobiles declines, the UK will not export as many of them, causing the value of the GBPCHF to fall. Similarly, if worldwide demand for autos increases, the UK will export them more frequently, and the value of the GBPCHF will rise.
The Watch Industry
Switzerland is also well-known for its timepieces and its exports of them as well. They produce some of the highest-quality watches in the world. Their watches are quite popular abroad, accounting for a sizable share of their exports. Any changes in demand for these products have a substantial influence on the Swiss economy’s value. If worldwide demand for watches rises, Switzerland will be able to export them more often, raising the value of the CHF. As a result, the GBPCHF currency pair’s value would plummet. Similarly, if worldwide demand for watches falls, Switzerland will be unable to export as many as it does now, leading the CHF to lose value. As a result, the GBPCHF currency pair’s value would appreciate in value.
The Machinery Industry
The United Kingdom is a leading exporter of electrical machinery. As a result, its economy is strongly dependent on worldwide demand for these goods. Any changes in demand for electrical machinery will have an immediate impact on the pound’s value. If demand for electrical machinery declines, the UK will not export as many of them, causing the value of the GBPCHF to fall. Similarly, if worldwide demand for electrical machinery increases, the UK will export them more frequently, and the value of the GBPCHF will rise.
Financial Institutions
Both the Bank of England and the Swiss National Bank are majorly responsible for any instability in the GBPCHF marketplace. The BOE and SNB release monthly reports and statements regarding updates to any policy changes. These reports also display the economic and monetary forecasts for the upcoming short-term. Any positive results from the BOE will have a positive impact on the GBPCHF currency pair.
However, any positive results from the SNB will have an inverse impact on the GBPCHF currency pair. The representatives of these individual banks also hold speeches frequently where they explain these results in more detail. These speeches are just, if not more, important in determining the direction of the GBPCHF market. From BOE, Andrew Bailey who is the Governor of the institution is highly looked upon for his speeches. From SNB, Thomas Jordan who is the Governor of the institution is highly looked upon for his speeches.
Unemployment Rate
The unemployment rate has a considerable influence on the GBPCHF currency pair’s value. Switzerland is renowned for having a very low unemployment rate. Switzerland has one of the world’s most stable economies. Any changes in the number of citizens employed in a country will have an impact on the economy. This is because the more people who are unemployed, the more the government must pay for them from its own resources. This significantly reduces the value of a country’s economy. If Switzerland’s unemployment rate rises, the CHF will decline in value, leading the GBPCHF currency pair to gain in value. Similarly, if the unemployment rate in the United Kingdom rises, the value of the GBP lowers, leading the GBPCHF currency pair to decline as well.
🔥 MODIFICATION: CHFJPY 🔥 POSITION TRADE 🔥Being that Price Action (PA) continues to go long, please manage your trades as we take the risk of shorting it from here.
SSO1 @ 158.50 ⏳
SSO2 @ 152.60 ⏳
TP1 @ 141.33 (shaving 25%)
TP2 @ 131.85 (shaving 25%)
TP3 @ 124.90 (shaving 25%)
TP4 @ 114.15 (closing ALL Sell Orders)
BLO1 @ 111.55 ⏳
BLO2 @ 105.25 ⏳
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EURCHF to stall at EURCHF - Intraday
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
Broken out of the channel formation to the downside.
Rallies should be capped by yesterday's high.
50 4-hour EMA is at 0.9661.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
We look to Sell at 0.9659 (stop at 0.9685)
Our profit targets will be 0.9599 and 0.9589
Resistance: 0.9625 / 0.9650 / 0.9670
Support: 0.9603 / 0.9580 / 0.9560
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
USDCHF to correct to the upside?USDCHF - Intraday
Broken out of the channel formation to the upside.
Short term momentum is bullish.
A break of yesterdays high would confirm bullish momentum.
We are trading at oversold extremes.
Trades at the lowest level in 105-months.
We look to Buy a break of 0.8686 (stop at 0.8650)
Our profit targets will be 0.8776 and 0.8796
Resistance: 0.8684 / 0.8700 / 0.8720
Support: 0.8656 / 0.8626 / 0.8600
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.