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CADCHF Alert: Bearish Flag Break? Don't Miss Out!Hello Traders, Exciting potential awaits on the CADCHF pair! Currently, we've spotted a bearish flag pattern forming on the 4h timeframe. A break from this formation will serve as a strong confirmation of continuing bearish momentum. Another key element to watch out for is the inside bar. A shift past its limit into a new low will underline the dominant bearish pressure in this scenario. Importantly, this analysis is also supported by the overall market direction which is decisively bearish. Furthermore, recent news has played a role in shaping this setup. The US Dollar has shown a slight weakening trend following a mixed July jobs report, and the Canadian employment change for July registered a decrease of 6.4K jobs. This gives additional context to our bearish outlook for CADCHF. As always, let's stay observant, manage risk wisely, and capitalize on these developments!
Short
by FX-TradingLions
1
CHFJPY Buy In this trading analysis, we will examine the CHF/JPY currency pair and provide insights into the prevailing short-term uptrend bias. Additionally, we will focus on the fundamental factors that indicate weakness in the Japanese Yen (JPY) and support the appreciation of the Swiss Franc (CHF) against the Yen in the near term. Technical Analysis: a) Short-Term Uptrend Pattern: Upon analyzing recent price action, it is evident that CHF/JPY has been forming higher highs and higher lows, signaling a short-term uptrend pattern. This pattern indicates that buyers have been dominant in driving the currency pair higher over the short run. b) Moving Averages: The 50-day and 100-day moving averages for CHF/JPY are trending upward, confirming the presence of a short-term uptrend. Moreover, the current price is above these moving averages, further reinforcing the bullish bias. c) Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI, a momentum oscillator, is currently showing readings above 50, indicating bullish momentum. This supports the short-term uptrend bias for CHF/JPY. d) Support and Resistance Levels: Price action analysis also reveals that CHF/JPY has been consistently finding support at key levels, while overcoming resistance levels with relative ease. This reinforces the strength of the short-term uptrend. Fundamental Analysis: a) Weakening Japanese Yen (JPY): Monetary Policy Divergence: The Bank of Japan (BoJ) has maintained an ultra-loose monetary policy, including negative interest rates and yield curve control, to stimulate the economy and counter deflation. In contrast, major central banks in other countries, including the Swiss National Bank (SNB), have been signaling a potential tightening of monetary policy due to improving economic conditions. This divergence in monetary policy outlooks contributes to JPY weakness. Economic Growth Concerns: Japan's economy has faced headwinds due to demographic challenges, sluggish consumer spending, and subdued inflation. Although there have been some signs of recovery, concerns about the sustainability of economic growth persist. In contrast, Switzerland's economy has shown more resilience, supported by strong exports and a favorable business environment, which enhances the attractiveness of CHF. Safe-Haven Flows Ebbing: The JPY is traditionally considered a safe-haven currency, attracting investors during times of heightened global uncertainty. However, with improving market sentiment and reduced geopolitical tensions, the demand for safe-haven assets like the JPY has diminished, causing the currency to weaken against its counterparts. Conclusion: Based on our technical and fundamental analysis, the CHF/JPY currency pair indicates a short-term uptrend bias. The technical indicators, such as the short-term uptrend pattern, moving averages, and RSI, all support the view that the currency pair is likely to continue its upward movement in the near term. Furthermore, the fundamental factors, such as the weakening JPY due to monetary policy divergence, economic growth concerns, and reduced safe-haven demand, contribute to the appreciation of the CHF against the JPY. Traders should, however, remain cautious and consider implementing appropriate risk management strategies, as market conditions can change rapidly in the forex market.
Long
by creamygem
USDCHF Approaching the 1D MA50 for the optimal sell entry.The USDCHF pair made a strong rejection near the top of the Channel Down pattern and hit our 0.88250 sell target as illustrated on our analysis 2 months ago (see chart below): The price is now rising again, after nearly the -0.5 Fibonacci extension for a Lower Low (same as the May 04 Lower Low). The most optimal sell entry is within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. That is located exactly at the top of the Channel Down. We will take that opportunity to sell and target 0.8300 (again near the -0.5 Fibonacci extension). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
1
USDCHF has turned positive.USDCHF - 24h expiry Short-term bias has turned positive. Price action has posted a Doji candle and signals a possible reversal of the recent trend. A lower correction is expected. We look to buy dips. 50 4-hour EMA is at 0.8677. We look to Buy at 0.8673 (stop at 0.8637) Our profit targets will be 0.8763 and 0.8773 Resistance: 0.8736 / 0.8750 / 0.8770 Support: 0.8700 / 0.8675 / 0.8660 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
Audchf keeps getting lowerLikely pullback to short,watching on lower timeframe like h1. **Find out more from my Tradingview Stream this week** *************************************************************************************** Hello there! If you like my analysis and it helped you ,do give me a thumbs ups on tradingview! 🙏 And if you would like to show further support for me, you can gift me some coins on tradingview! 😁 Thank you! Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. The author/producer of these content shall not and will not be responsible for any form of financial/physical/assets losses incurred from trades executed from the derived conclusion of the individual from these content shared. Thank you, and please do your due diligence before any putting on any trades!
Short
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
✨ NEW: EURCHF ✨ LONG TERM SWING ✨SLO @ 0.9625 TP4 @ 0.9610 (shaving) TP3 @ 0.9590 (shaving) TP2 @ 0.9580 (shaving) TP1 @ 0.9566 (shaving) BSO @ 0.9555 ⏳ -SL @ 0.9530 If the Pivot Low hold up, we can then use this range as our Curve Analysis and hope for some uptrend momentum above 0.9555 To help me better understand this pair, I use the correlation between EURCHF and EURUSD, which is positive 69%. This means that the two currency pairs tend to move in the same direction roughly 70% of the time. Whereas, about 30% of the time, they're negatively correlated. Looking at the history SHORTING is obviously you're best bet. Otherwise, you'll have to use TEMASHA to catch the actual turn to the upside. ⚠️ Because PA is at the ALL Time Low (with no real pivot low), there is NO CURVE to be analyzed. The only thing I see is a BSO @ 0.9555 WE ARE A COMMUNITY BOOST a trade idea to share with others and "pay it forward" FOLLOW to receive alerts of any new posted ideas COMMENT with questions, insight, and expertise JOIN our group chat: receive free analyses on any instrument
Long
by ProfessorCEWard
AUDCHF: Buy opportunity emergingAUDCHF is trading inside a Channel Down pattern for more than one year with the 1D timeframe bearish (RSI = 38.270, MACD = -0.004, ADX = 43.501) as the price is under its middle and the 1D MA50. The 1D MA200 is located exactly on its top. The 1D MACD is in the process of completing a Bullish Cross, which has been a strong buy signal inside this pattern. Even though the price can extend to 0.57000 to complete a -7.55% decline from the recent Lower High (similar declines have been -8.06%, -7.94% and -7.55% since the start of the pattern so we use the minimum scenario), once the Bullish Cross is formed, we will buy and target the 1D MA50 (TP = 0.59000). Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
1