CHFJPY – is this pretty picture tradeable?? … the week of 18/09These lines I drew make a pretty picture for sure 😊. But the big question is am I reading the price action correctly and are my expectations reasonable? We will find that out soon. My daily chart shows clearly how I read the movement in this pair so far and what I expect next. However, here are a few main points:
Triple top followed by a series of lower highs.
About 8 weeks of consolidation, higher prices not accepted by the market.
Price contained between a downward sloping trend line and a horizontal one at 164.00
A squeeze to the downside is in progress and IMO a breakout as shown will likely occur. I will be monitoring H4 and H1 charts to confirm if this does happen. Monitoring PA in other JPY crosses will also be useful.
A good level to target will be around the 160.00 area.
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Chfjpy!
CHFJPY, DOOMSDAY BEAR-MARKET Scenario, Wedge-TRIGGER-Setup!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis about CHFJPY on several timeframe perspectives. The CHFJPY conditions have accelerated to an unnatural dynamic recently as the pair moved into new highs instead of the massive overbought condition and the fact that this main reversal into the bearish direction should have setup already long times before especially considering the deficit of capital flows in CHF against the JPY there is a lot of bearish pressure present for CHF.
On the broader perspective the pair is forming this gigantic ascending-wedge-formation in which it already penetrated the lower boundaries with crucial bearish momentum spikes into the lower direction. This means that once a huge bearish pressure spike below the lower boundary has setup this will lead to many long liquidation triggers down the road and will lead to further continuations into this perspective. When the bearish pressure accelerates heavily this will also lead to the massive head-shoulder-formation to be completed triggering further bearish liquidations and momentum.
Especially with a further increase of the deficit in capital flows between CHF and JPY this will lead to the main market momentum to convert into a bearish dynamic and will lead to the underlying bearish scenario perspective to be confirmed by traders and investors moving into a more bearish sentiment consideration. Once the whole head-shoulder-formation has completed the momentum is likely to accelerate to the target-zones mentioned.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching the analysis, support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
CHFJPY: Long Signal with Entry/SL/TP
CHFJPY
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy CHFJPY
Entry - 162.59
Stop - 161.97
Take - 163.82
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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CHFJPY - Look for a short ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on CHFJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for short. I want price to continue the retracement to fulfill that huge imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish order block.
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CHFJPY I Expect to fall further toward next supportWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** CHFJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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CHFJPY - Bearish Double TOP 📉Hello Traders!
On The Daily Time Frame, The CHFJPY Price Formed a Double Top Pattern.
The Neckline is Broken.
So, I Expect a Bearish Move📉
i'm waiting for retest...
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TARGET: 162.500🎯
___________
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CHFJPY Swing Trade As Channel BreaksQuick update on the CHFJPY pair that I've been watching for the past while. the reversal is underway. After a quick consolidation, this pair continues to selloff.
There's a swing trade opportunity underway as price is breaking the lower boundary of this daily range.
CHFJPYBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 164.1- 163.8, which is a pullback resistance
Our take profit will be at 163.01, an overlap support level. The stop loss will be placed at 165.23, a multi-swing high resistance level.
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CHFJPY: Bearish Outlook Explained 🇨🇭🇯🇵
CHFJPY formed an important high momentum bearish candle last week.
With one single candle, the pair violated a lower boundary of a horizontal range,
and the market also closed below a major rising trend line.
It makes me think that the pair may go lower.
Goals: 162.42 / 160.8
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Final Target yet to be run on CHFJPYThis inverse Head and shoulders has produced fantastic gains already
What suggests that final target will be met
is that Yen vs other crosses is still yet trigger their respective necklines!
I assume more madness to come from the #BOJ in the next Financial Panic.
Like the Bank of England another Island nation probably first to embark on a new wave of #QuantitativeEasing
CHFJPY BUYS in playCHFJPY BUYS in play.
1. Potential Bullish Trend.
2. CHF is strong meanwhile JPY is weak.
3. Short term sellers pressure.
We are looking to go Long on this pair, As the price is heading towards the support and resistance zone. We will look for confirmations on the lower time frames.
CHFJPY SHORT SETUPCONFLUENCE
1. Major Down-Trend with another minor DOWNTREND.
2. Previous Daily Candlestick breaks the last 7 candles structure and last 2 swing low.
3. Swing Low Break of Structure on Daily Timeframe.
4. Order Block highs is the Swing High.
5. Order BLOCK created a very wide FVG/imbalance right beneath itself in cause of an "Order-Flow" which is pulling back price to the spot for a "SHORT".
6. A Strong Sell Side Order Flow in 2bars of the 4H Timeframe.
There are 2 possible entries here
First Possible Entry.
Entry: 164.825
SL: 165.175 (35pips)
TP: 163.230 (159pips)
Second Possible Entry.
Entry: 164.570
SL: 165.175 (60pips)
TP: 163.230 (134pips)
USDCHF - Bottom In Place! ✨USDCHF has recently provided us with an ending diagonal, signalling that the bottom is in.
We are now looking for a retracement. The deeper the retracement, the better!
Trade idea:
- Watch for lower timeframe reversal patterns to indicate retracement has started
- once entered, taper positions as we move lower towards the bottom
- The longer term trade will be going LONG on USDCHF
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
CHFJPY Trading Ideaased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
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CHFJPY : Short Trade , 4hHello traders, we want to check the CHFJPY chart. The price has broken the ascending channel to the bottom and pulled back to the key level indicated. If this level can play the role of a resistance level and maintain the downward trend of the price, we expect the price to fall to around 161.950 and if it can break this level, the next price target will be 159.000. Good luck.
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Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Is the Top In ?? Time For the Monthly Reversal ?This is a follow-up to the idea I presented last month regarding this pair being severely overbought on longer timeframes. The existing price action strongly suggests that a downward cycle is imminent. Here's my rationale.
In the past three weeks, each weekly candlestick has initially surged to new highs before experiencing a significant selloff in the second half of the week. The 166 level is proving to be a key High Time Frame (HTF) resistance level, with sellers ardently defending this level. See the chart below for the visual
When we look at the daily charts, reversal indicators become even more prominent. It appears we have now entered a distribution cycle , a sideways movement often seen following a long rally in price.
This cycle is more easily identifiable on shorter timeframes, but its appearance on a daily chart strongly points to an impending downward move.
The daily charts show the distribution trading range between 164.5 and 166.3. A decisive break and close beneath 164.5 would serve as a conservative entry point for traders.
Additionally, my TRFX indicator has just signaled its first daily sell alert in quite a while. This is a high-probability indicator for me and prompts my re-entry into the market.
There's a possibility for a minor rally up to the 165.5 level, but I anticipate a substantial sell-off to occur, targeting the 158.7 level which marked July's low.
This trade is expected to unfold in the weeks leading up to the next Bank of Japan (BOJ) meeting. The potential drop could provide an entry point for buyers eyeing another upward push.
However, given the extreme overbought conditions evident on the monthly charts and now we are approaching the last Quarter of the year, we might see a deeper correction down to the 150 level, a prior monthly high, which could spark profit taking over the coming months. This becomes more likely if the 158.7 level gives way.
I will hold this trade as the profit potential is huge and given the reasons above anyone buying at these highs should be very cautious as the higher timeframes looking to be pointing to large players positioning for a downward move.
Let's see how it unfolds.