CHF/JPY Free Sell Trade Is Available Now Catch It With Me THE Price is reacting really good around the fib levels so we can enter sell now
CHFJPY
MarketBreakdown | EURUSD, AUDUSD, AUDNZD, CHFJPY
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watchlist.
1️⃣ EURUSD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇺🇸
The market is currently trying to break a solid rising trend line.
Its breakout – a daily candle close below will be a strong bearish signal
and will most likely push the prices lower.
2️⃣ AUDUSD daily time frame 🇦🇺🇺🇸
AUDUSD is trading in a bearish trend.
Since the middle of August, the market is consolidating, though.
The price is stuck within a horizontal range on a daily.
The pair is currently approaching a support of the range.
Its bearish breakout will most likely trigger a trend-following movement.
A daily candle close below that will confirm a violation.
3️⃣ AUDNZD daily time frame 🇦🇺🇳🇿
AUDNZD formed a bearish flag pattern.
The price is currently approaching its lower boundary.
Its breakout will be a strong bearish signal.
4️⃣ CHFJPY daily time frame 🇨🇭🇯🇵
The pair is trading in a long-term bullish trend.
For the last 4 weeks, the market is consolidating within a horizontal range.
After the last test of its support, we see a positive bullish reaction to that.
The market will most likely keep growing to the resistance of the range now,
while its bullish breakout will trigger a new bullish wave.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
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CHFJPY : Short Trade , 1hHello traders, we want to check the CHFJPY chart. The price has broken the uptrend line and pulled back to the key level that the price has reacted to several times in the past. If the price cannot break this level and can stabilize itself, this area is a good place to enter a sell trade. We expect the price to fall to around 164,500. Good luck.
CHFJPY - AMD Pattern ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on CHFJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we can see the confirmation of the AMD pattern, as price accumulated for couple of weeks and now manipulated and rejected from institutional big figure 164.000. Now I want price to distribute higher.
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Chfjpy holding current band should have more upside if reversedWill be looking at h1 to go on long.
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CHFJPY I Potential to correct lower but will go up short-termWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** CHFJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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CHFJPY What Next? BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for CHFJPY is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 164.29
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 165.55
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CHFJPY - NFP Possible play.high probability of CHFJPY to move higher and tag PD AVWAP at NFP news.
idea is to go short when price rejects PD AVWAP and holds beneath it.
entry will be on the candle post news candle with SL above POC.
this idea is 100% dependent upon price tagging and rejecting PD AVWAP.
✅CHF_JPY LONG FROM SUPPORT🚀
✅CHF_JPY is going down now
But a strong support level is ahead at 164.50
Thus I am expecting a rebound
And a move up towards the target of 165.00
LONG🚀
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CHFJPY A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the CHFJPY next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.6656
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 165.53
My Stop Loss - 166.98
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CHFJPYIn the monthly timeframe, the price has reached the ceiling of the channel and we are in that PRZ range. Also, the range is 200% expansion.
I think the price could have a big drop for the new year
It is perfect for setting a long-term position
CHFJPY H4 | Falling from 50% Fibo?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that price has just reacted off our sell entry at 165.41, which is an overlap resistance level that aligns with 50% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 164.47. The stop loss will be placed at 166.60 which is a swing high resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM EU LTD (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
FXCM Markets LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Name of third party provider). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Name of third party provider.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
CHFJPY Bearish Breakout! CHF-JPY was trading in a
Rising wedge but now we
Are seeing a bearish breakout
So I think that we will see
A local bearish correction !
CHFJPY Buy?Let's attempt a slightly more daring trade on the CHF/JPY pair, with a 20-pip stop loss – a modest amount considering the potentially substantial gains. Please refrain from harboring excessive expectations for this trade or similar outcomes. This is meant to be a light-hearted endeavor before the week concludes. Anticipate a potential loss on this trade, so I strongly advise against a significant investment .
To calculate a 1% stop loss of your balance, you use a lot size calculator. RR: 1:8.53
Prime Target: Carry Trades - except for the USDJPY!Sure, the Yen is overly weak on a trade-weighted basis BUT it is the least weak versus the USD!
E.g., For any intervention to be effective it ought target just about any other high yielding spread/pair EXCEPT for the USD!
Having established that, it is still far more likely that any intervention would target the USD/JPY directly than the rest, if for no other reason but for its success last September (2022). (Last September, dollar longs were extremely overcrowded which amplified the effects of that intervention, and then most of the cash went into carry trades.)
Times have changed, though, whether the BoJ will be willing to subscribe to that notion or not. (which is yet to be seen).
OK, so where does this potential paradox (or rather, just a dichotomy? ;-) leave one, in trading terms?
1) If there ever was a right time to trade the Japanese Yen against a basket of it's counterparts, now would be it! (Work has almost completed on just such a basket this time with correct weighing. ;-)
2) FX options (especially Gamma changes) have been gauging the potential market effects of the BoJ's various jaw-boning attempts (most of which were summarily ignored by the markets) in support of the Yen, rather accurately. "If it ain't broke don't fix it." Stick with it!
p.s. The CHF/JPY is a special case here (not quite a carry trade) as it's eye-watering rise is due to the same, deranged SNB policy which ended in tears, back in 1978-79. (... Switzerland slipping into a far deeper depression than it's trading partners, back then.)
CHFJPY - Bullish price action ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on CHFJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a strong bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for long. I want price to go a little bit lower to fill the imbalance and then to reject from bullish order block + institutional big figure 164.000.
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CHF JPY LONGRisk 0.5%
TP1 = 1:3 RR
Disclaimer:
The contents in this Idea are intended for information purpose only and do not constitute investment recommendation or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios. A full version of the disclaimer is available in our profile description.
(Weekly backtest and review)CHFJPY on the retraceWe foresee CHF would continue to shine brightly against JPY.
However, with recent market sentiment, the momentum in shorting JPY is getting weak. CFTC report showing that shorting volume on JPY is on the decline since 18JUL.
Shorting JPY become a risky trade when the outlook is turning from strong sell to neutral.
CHFJPY next retracement level at
S1- 164.000
S2- 162.500 (H4 MA200 indicator support)
CHFJPY Buy opportunity unless the 1D MA50 breaks.The CHFJPY pair has been on a very strong and steady rise, supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) since the March 29 break-out. Our last signal was on April 28 (see chart below):
The situation hasn't changed and the trend remains bullish, aiming at a +8.00% extension. Our target is 171.000. If however the pair breaks below the 1D MA50, we will close it and open a sell instead, targeting the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) at 152.000.
P.S. Notice the Rectangle pattern on the 1D RSI. Since the price broke and remains (to this date) above the 1D MA50, every test of the Rectangle's bottom is a buy opportunity.
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CHFJPY Analysis H1Here is my analysis for CHFJPY on H1 using Order Block. The price could go bullish, you can put a pending order on the Order block or find an entry on LTF within OB Zone. Trade Safe!
CHFJPY H4 | Falling to 23.6% Fibo supportCHFJPY is falling towards the buy entry at 165.402 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level and could potentially reverse from here to bounce higher.
Stop loss is at 163.980 which is an overlap support that sits under the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is between 166.30 and 166.70 which is an over resistance that lies under the 100% Fibonacci projection level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Name of third party provider). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Name of third party provider.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): **
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
FXCM Markets LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Is the Market Primed for a Reversal? 1000 Pip Move On The Cards?Predicting market peaks and turning points is always a challenging task, made even more daunting when a financial asset is achieving unprecedented highs without any clear resistance or sell-off zones to reference. This challenge is even more pronounced when this situation occurs with a forex pair, as is currently happening. This is a true test of your trading experience and your ability to interpret price action.
Let's dive in, shall we?
When we take a look at the long-term timeframes, especially the monthly charts, we can easily observe an overextension. This overextension is also apparent in the weekly charts shown above, with clear signs of buying fatigue and a visible struggle between buyers and sellers. This struggle is evident in the last weekly candle where sellers managed to drive the price down to 159 (the previous all-time high) - a newly established weekly buy zone, from which buyers have managed to push the price back up.
A closer look at the daily charts (refer to the image below) reveals a structural shift with price activity moving sideways, suggesting a potential shift into a distribution phase, indicated by the lackluster buying momentum from the 159-point surge last week, as buyers were unable to establish a new high.
All signs are currently pointing towards a potential reversal. Typically, in such situations, we might expect a final upward push, breaking the distribution range's upper limit in what can be seen as a deceptive breakout. This can lure the market into believing that prices are escalating to new highs. Additionally, a number of retail traders might place their stops above 164, as per conventional trading wisdom.
From this point, my strategy is straightforward. I'll be waiting for that final upward push and monitor for signs of a false breakout. I'll also begin to look for entry signals on the daily chart from my TRFX indicator to gradually establish a position.
As for trade targets, the first one will be last week's low at 159 (the previous all-time high), but it is likely that this level will not hold and the market will plunge further to the previous monthly high of 152, also within a recently formed monthly buy zone.
The price charts are suggesting these moves, but as always, it's essential to wait for the right signals. This is a long-term setup grounded in high timeframe charts - these are optimal for tracking institutional moves. At the moment, a sell setup appears to offer the best risk-reward balance, given the apparent dwindling buying momentum.
I hope you found this analysis insightful. I'll keep you updated as this situation evolves.
