Chfjpyforecast
CHF/JPY SELL SIGNAL
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welcome to a new free trading-setup!
CHF/JPY: Daytrade-Execution
Notice: For those who want some additional risk in the market. Rememeber that all trades are risky ahead the FOMC-Meeting.
Market-Sell-Order: 124.715
Stop-Loss: 124.900
Point of Risk-Reduction: 124.540
Take-Profit: 123.785
Stop-Loss: 18,5 pips
Risk: 0,5% -1%
Risk-Reward: 5,0
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Irasor
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Trading Idea Regarding CHFJPYRight Now this Currency Pair is in Neutral Phase
1- It is making Cup & Handle Chart Pattern on Daily Time Frame Indicating its Bullish Behavior
2-It is Moving in Parallel Channel Chart Pattern on Daily Time Frame and Right Now heading towards bottom of the channel indicating Bearish Behavior
3- When Considering Fibo Levels after breaking 38.2 % Fibo Level Price touches top of the parallel channel and came back down and start moving around 23.6 level So, there are two possibilities at this point either it bounce back and continue moving up or it will came down to retest 38.2 fibo level
4- It is making Symmetrical Triangle Chart Pattern on 4 Hour Time Frame also indicating possibilities of moving in either direction
Note:
If this pair break above Symmetrical Triangle Chart Pattern it is also possible price plunge down from 126.226 level to 38.2 fibo level which is also bottom of parallel channel by fallowing Quasimodo chart pattern
CHF/JPY AnalysisWe can easily expect the creation of a higher high
Monthly:
We have an impulse and correction respecting precious resistance now turn support. When we have an impulse and correction we can definitely expect another impulse.
Weekly:
In weekly we have an impulse correction pattern. Also price is respecting .50 fibonacci level. We could expect a creation of a higher high at least to the price of 126.435.
Daily:
The price is in a consolidation period. The price is most likely creating liquidity before the continuation to the upside. We can definitely expect more continuation according to our multi-time frame analysis.
CHFJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up detailsWith over 60pips in our direction since my last publication on this pair (see link below for reference purposes), I am expecting that the retracement phase will push into a 50, 61.8 or 78.6% retracement before the trend continuation begins. So, if you are not in the bearish train you still have a minimum of 150pips to catch before the buyers find a good price!
Tendency: Uptrend (Bullish)
Structure: Breakout | Supply & Demand | Trendline | Retracement | Harmonic move (AB=CD) expectations
Observation: i. This is going to be a follow up on my last speculation on this pair as it appears that the retracement of the Impulse leg identified as finally taken course and we are looking at the Key level (JY121.000) area for reversal set-ups.
ii. The visual representation of a line drawn under pivot lows on the weekly chart reveals the prevailing direction and speed of price action since September 2019.
iii. And after considering the long term bullish perspective in this market, it is appropriate that we remain a little more patient for buying opportunity after the exhaustion of the correction phase after which we can look forward to a possible harmonic move (AB = CD pattern) with parameters explained below;
a. Impulse A-to-B is expected to be in harmony with the potential C-to-D leg.
b. The B- to-C leg is expected to fall within 50 to 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the A-to-B leg.
c. The C-to-D leg is expected to fall within 127.2 - 1.414% Fib. ext . of the A-to-B @ JY128.000 area..
iv. So, while we wait for buying opportunity; the counter-trend in the guise of a retracement could be a risk worth taking (see link below for my previous analysis supporting a bearish bias)... Trade consciously!😊
Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 500 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:5
Potential Duration: 10 to 20days
NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CHFJPY Multi-timeframe Analysis & Trade IdeaHello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
We can see on the COT - Commitment of Traders, which is what Hedge funds and the non commercials so the biggest in the market are doing. Where we can see that CHF's net positions have been decreasing, where we went from having positive 9,678 net positions to down to minus -17,584 we can see that in CHF is weak, but JPY is weaker from minus -55,190 to minus -102,734, where there has been a lot of shorts being added, we can see that JPY is weaker, hence we are looking for a SELL to BUY trade.
We also have a W formation on the Monthly & Weekly where we have 2 sets of trades as seen below. We are looking into a neckline retracement before the move to the upside.
Sell is from the M pattern entry on the daily and the correction Buy on the Monthly & Weekly.
All entries are on the break and retest of the structure.
Trade Signals
SELL 1
Entry: 124.338
Take Profit: 119.850
Stop Loss: 124.808
SELL 2
Entry: 124.338
Take Profit: 121.194
Stop Loss: 124.808
BUY 1 (Weekly W Pattern - Neckline reversal)
Entry: 119.861
Take Profit: 127.331
Stop Loss: 118.564
BUY 2 (Monthly W Pattern - Neckline reversal)
Entry: 121.193
Take Profit: 127.087
Stop Loss: 119.458
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~FX_SHIFTER
UPDATE: CHFJPY Multi-timeframe Analysis & Trade IdeaHello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
We still have a W formation on the Monthly & Weekly where we have 2 sets of trades as seen below. We are looking into a neckline retracement before the move to the upside. We are also looking for a sell reentry before the reversal on the Monthly or Weekly long.
BUY 1 (Weekly W Pattern - Neckline reversal)
Entry: 119.861
Take Profit: 127.331
Stop Loss: 118.564
BUY 2 (Monthly W Pattern - Neckline reversal)
Entry: 121.193
Take Profit: 127.087
Stop Loss: 119.458
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~FX_SHIFTER
CHFJPY LONG - Buy Entry - H4 ChartCHFJPY LONG - Buy Entry - H4 Chart
Symbol: CHFJPY
Timeframe: H4
Type: BUY
Entry Price: Buy @ Market
Stop Loss: 122.340
Take Profit: 124.483
🔺 DISCLAIMER
🔺 For educational informational purposes only.
🔺 Analysis may change at any time without notice.
🔺 You must research and create your own trading plan.
ChfJpy- To reverse from support?Like most Jpy pairs, November was a correction month also for ChfJpy(so far) and the pair dropped from its 125 recent high
An H&S pattern is pretty obvious on lower time frame charts, but in my opinion, this will not pay off.
A short dive under this H&S support is not out of the question, but in the medium term, my opinion is that we'll have a new leg up above 125
CHFJPY on dailyOANDA:CHFJPY
Hey guys
So about CHFJPY we see that in long term it's moving in an ascending channel
- now we are in the top of channel and as we expected price touched there and started falling
+ there's a bearish head and shoulders pattern in 4h which makes price to keep falling more .
the support zones in front of us are :
122.550
121.200
120.620
what's your opinion guys ?? mention it in comments !
CHFJPY | Perspective for the new weekThe Swiss have been Bullish in the last 8 weeks and I suspect a temporary correction is evolving with anticipation of a rally continuation in the coming week(s). Therefore, we shall be looking for the completion of the reversal pattern sighted on the Daily chart to take advantage of a counter-trend opportunity this new week.
Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish)
Structure: Supply & Demand | Reversal pattern (Head & Shoulder)
Observation: i. After hitting a peak @ JY125.500 at the beginning of this month, I observed that buyers lost momentum as this is evident in price action afterwards and this is assumed to be "quick sells" from participants who took advantage of the last Bullish run.
ii. Since the beginning of the month of November 2021, price continued to find lower highs which evolved into a Head and Shoulder look-a-like structure.
iii. Technically, the appearance of a head and shoulders pattern describes a specific chart formation that predicts a bullish-to-bearish trend reversal.
iv. Noticing a baseline with three peaks at this juncture in the market, where the outside two are close in height and the middle is highest requires a little more patient before a decision is made.
v. Below key level @ JY123.500 remains my yardstick for the bearish expectations; In this regard, we shall be awaiting confirmations for entry if the price falls below the support level @ JY123.500 (Key level) to signal Bearish tendency in the coming week(s).
vi. However, it is worthy to state here that the early hours/days of the new week might see price climb to test the Supply level I have identified around @ JY123.500/124.500 to incite further decline.
NB: Considering the fact that it is a Bullish trend from a long-term perspective it is appropriate that we remain conscious with locking profits at appropriate zones to avoid unexpected spikes that could incite rally continuation ... Trade consciously!😊
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 200 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:4
Potential Duration: 7 to 15days
NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Hope u took the short, CHFJPYThe swiss yen broke down farther after breaking the channel and testing the bottom of the channel, we expect to see more downside this week. But the white line(200ma) serves as a strong support. If you're in a short take some profits at around there and re-enter again at a better price.
BEAR CASE
Price to go farther down to ~122.9, there we can see some support. Our ultimate target is ~122
BULL CASE
We expect price to test at least 122.9 but the support can be stronger than expected, do not be surprised if we bounce to 125 from there before another big leg down.
CHFJPY Nice Setup for Monday open on Asian sessionA clear structure formation on CHFJPY for sells and a short term buys after we reach the area of 123.578 as we see liquidity resting right below it. Price Action on LTF will be a good indicator to take those buys but 4H and 1H directions are at the moment for sells as Daily will be approaching for 38% retracement level at 122.500 and also a structure retesting structure level.
CHFJPY all za way downWhat's up guys ,
Price approaches a resistance zone and I'm looking for major sell setups , it will be a classic entry immediately after the break of the last low and the neckline of the potential Heads and shoulders , Why I said potential is because it hasn't formed yet and I am looking forward to see it happen so it could suite my trading style and give me an edge
I can spot a divergence but don't wanna add it , so that my chart won't get too complex cause we have to keep it simple during trading
Waiting for market to show its hand
Also a cross of the MA can be used as a confluence ,those who are familiar with the ichimoku cloud could also use that
what do you guys feel ?
Bearish signal on the weekly but big move may come lateThe weekly candle on the swiss yen gave us a potential bearish signal. We expect price to continue to consolidate to the upside before giving us a big drop to the downside.
BULL CASE
Price moves to the top of the channel before dropping down farther. The price we're looking at is 126 but it may breakdown midway due to the uncertain nature in this zone.
BEAR CASE
This is unlikely but price may just collapse from here. If it does break structure our price target is 122. Remember not to fomo in and control your risk if it happens.