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Chfjpysignal

CHFJPY | Perspective for the week | Follow-UpMy last publication on this pair witnessed Price moving 90 and 100pips consecutively from our Buy windows before the crash (see link below for reference purposes). I remaining Bullish on this pair as we find ourselves in another trading opportunity arising from a simple Reversal set-up on the 4Hour chart. Tendency: Uptrend ( Bullish ) Structure: Breakout | Supply & Demand | Reversal Pattern (Double Bottom) Observation: i. We have been in a long term Bullish perspective since 2019 as the price continues to reject Fr116.000 level in recent times. ii. The decline that started mid-March 2021 appears to have found bottom @ Fr116.000 again as the appearance of a Double Bottom structure signals another reversal from the Demand zone. iii. My Key level @ Fr116.650 which will also serve as the Neckline shall be my yardstick for Buying opportunity in the coming week(s). iv. With a Breakout of Neckline finally happening during the latter part of last week trading session, it is time to make a move to join the rally as we look for buying opportunity above this level... Trade consciously! :) Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 180 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:6 Potential Duration: 4 to 10days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
1
CHFJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe price moved over 100pips in our favour since the counter-trend opportunity (see link below for reference purposes) before what appears to be a gradual change in structure that supports completion of a Reversal pattern. Recall that I warned against factors that might disrupt the previous set-up thereby giving way for a rally continuation (see my penultimate publication in the link below). Tendency: Uptrend ( Bullish ) Structure: Breakout | Supply & Demand | Reversal pattern | Harmonic (Cypher) Observation: i. The Bearish run that began on the 17th of February 2021 found a Bottom @ Y116.000 and since then the price has continued to find Higher highs that culminated in a successful Breakout last week Thursday. ii. Between the 1st and 10th day of March 2021, the Key level @ Y116.850 experienced selling pressure which finally saw a Breakout with signs that a new trend might have begun! iii. In this regard, I have identified two key areas to take advantage of the new trend and this is illustrated on the chart as Buy window I & II. iv. With the present pattern @ Y117.400, we might see a dip below my key level @ Y116.850 (corrective phase) hereby transposing into a Cypher pattern before the rally begins. v. Whatever happens, anywhere above Key level shall be a good area of confirmation. Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 200 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:4 Potential Duration: 4 to 10 days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
2
CHFJPY | Perspective for the new week | UpdateThis is a follow-up on my previous publication as we are yet to find a headway (see link below for reference purposes)... Recall, I mentioned in my last publication that we are in a long term uptrend situation on this pair. However, it appears the price is going through a corrective phase that might incite the much-expected rally in the nearest future. In this regard and despite Bullish expectations, I am looking for a "quick" counter-trend opportunity with hopes of a rally in sight. Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish ) Structure: Breakdown | Supply & Demand | Harmonic pattern (AB = CD) Observation: i. Since the 16th of February 2021, Bears have been engaging the charts as I expect a transposition to a Harmonic pattern (AB = CD) this week. ii. ABCD pattern with parameters explained below; a. Leg A-to-B is expected to be in harmony with the potential C-to-D leg. b. The B- to-C leg is currently hovering around 61.8% (with a possible 78.6% in the future) Fibonacci retracement of the A-to-B leg. c. The C-to-D leg is expected to fall within 127.2 - 1.414% Fib. ext. of the A-to-B move @ Y115.500/115.000 area. iii. My Key level @ Y117.300 shall be my yardstick for Bearish expectations in the coming week as any spot below this level is good for me! iv. This been said, I am advising that taking this trade requires utmost attention as we are generally on an uptrend and factors that might disrupt this set-up giving way for an immediate rally continuation can happen anytime... trade consciously :)! Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 200 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:3.5 Potential Duration: 4 to 10days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
1
CHFJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upWith 200 pips in our favour since my last publication, it appears we are close to another trading opportunity should the pattern transpose into expectations. What appears to be a temporary Breakout of Y118.000 on the 15th Feb 2021 reveals that there is a strong presence to buying pressure around this area and could be a level to focus on in the nearest future for buying possibilities but before this happens, find below my expectations; Tendency: Uptrend ( Bullish ) Structure: Breakout | Supply & Demand | Trendline | Reversal pattern (Double Bottom) Observation: i. The strong engulfing Bearish candle in the last couple of days after the breakout of Y118.000 is a sign that we might be experiencing "quick sells" - a correction wave in anticipation of a rally in the coming week(s). ii. Since the beginning of the year buyers have done a great deal to keep price above Key level hereby confirming to us how powerful their presence is at this juncture in the market. ii. In this regard, I have found two levels (Buy window I & II) to look out for buying options in the coming week(s). iii. The Bullish Trendline on the weekly chart shall be a yardstick to maintain the Bullish bias as a Breakdown/retest of this line shall render this bias invalid. iv. Now, if price decides not to reach any of the Buy windows, a close above Y118.000 could be a good opportunity to join the rally... Trade consciously :) Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 400 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:3.5 Potential Duration: 15 to 25 days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
2
CHF/JPY Long From SupportBig correction seen on JPY pairs today. This is back into a support level now, need to see it hold up here and there should be a very good long opportunity. Can use the 4HR and 1HR timeframes to pinpoint the best entry point, it has shown no sign of turning higher or slowing down yet but it should do soon. MACD is well above 0 so still bullish and EMA's have not crossed for short yet and we want to see it stay that way for a long entry. Target can be set at 119.917 although there will be some resistance around 119.000 so could exit the trade there to secure the profit.
Long
by olly48
CHF/JPY Looking To Breakout Above Big Monthly ResistanceThis is at a big monthly resistance level, it has rejected this level a number of times but I think it is likely to breakout above this soon as the price has been more stable than its previous attempts which were big spikes to this price. Price action is currently bullish as seen on MACD and EMA's, I want to see the breakout confirmed and then the support created before entering a long. After this a target of 121.950 can be set with SL below the support.
Long
by olly48
CHFJPY | Perspective for the new weekThe Bullish run that begun mid-November 2020 gets caught and sandwiched in a Bullish rectangle pattern until it finally broke out of the range last week. This development hereby gives rise to a trading opportunity that we might exploit in the coming week(s). Tendency: Uptrend ( Bullish ) Structure: Channel (Bullish rectangle) | Breakout | Supply & Demand Observation: i. Bullish Rectangle: This pattern is described by horizontal lines showing significant Demand and Supply level which has been respected since late last year (2020). ii. A successful Breakout of my Key level @ Y117.250 during the course of last week trading session is a signal pointing towards the idea that price might be anticipating new highs in the coming week(s). iii. After the Breakout, price is presently going through a corrective phase and patience is required to ascertain where Buyers are going to resume the rally. iv. My new and propose Demand level in the coming week shall be around Y116.650/117.200 where engulfing candle springing out of this zone might be a signal to follow. v. It is important to state here that if the price significantly comes down Y117.250 and extend into Y116.400, I shall revert to my previous set up on this pair (see link below for reference purposes). Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 200 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:4 Potential Duration: 2 to 7 days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
2
CHFJPY | Perspective for the new week60pips against us since my last publication on this pair (see link below for reference purposes); Price finally touches Y117.500 zone just like it did in August 2020 to make a Double Top structure. This was met with rejection followed by Lower Lows in the latter part of last week trading session. Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish ) Structure: Reversal pattern | Supply & Demand | Double Top Observation: i. Since July 2020, price action has been caught within a channel of Supply and Demand. ii. The appearance of a Reversal pattern since price hits Y117.500 has given rise to a risk of further decline in the coming week(s). iii. I shall be expecting a significant Breakdown of Key level @ Y116.400 (Neckline) for a signal this week. Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 200 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:3 Potential Duration: 5 to 10 days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
3